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Higher-Density PowerPoint
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Slide 1                                                                          Good morning (afternoon).

                                                                                 Thank you for allowing me to speak to you today.

          A Plan for Tomorrow:
          Creating Stronger & Healthier Communities Today
                                                                                 My topic is growth, or specifically how we can grow
                                                                                 in ways that preserve the health and strength of our
                                                                                 community and even improve it.

                                                                                 This presentation was actually produced by a
                                                                                 unique collaboration between three leading real
                                                                                 estate and environmental organizations and it
                                                                                 designed to challenge the way many of us think
                                                                                 about growth and density.

                                                                                 CLICK TO NEW SLIDE

Slide 2                                                                          Before we talk about how we want to grow, we
                     A Plan for Tomorrow                                         should look at the scope of population growth we’ll
                                                                                 be absorbing in the coming years. It’s actually much
                   » The U.S. population is expected to
                     increase 33% by 2030 to 376 million.                        greater than many people realize.
                   » That’s 94 million more people than
                     there were in 2000.

                   » About half of the homes, office
                                                                                 CLICK
                     buildings, stores and factories needed
                     by 2030 don’t exist today.
                                             –   Source: Brookings Institution

                                                                                 By 2030, there will be 94 million more people in the
                                                                                 U.S. than there were in 2000. And all of these
                                                                                 people need somewhere to live, somewhere to work
                                                                                 and somewhere to shop.

                                                                                 CLICK

                                                                                 Analysts say that America will experience a
                                                                                 construction boom unlike anything we’ve seen in
                                                                                 the past over the next 25 years.

                                                                                 CLICK TO NEW SLIDE
                                                                                 _________________________________________
                                                                                 _____________
                                                                                 Source: Arthur C. Nelson, Toward a New Metropolis: The
                                                                                 Opportunity to Rebuild America, Brookings Institution,
                                                                                 Washington, DC., 2004. Found at
                                                                                 www.brookings.edu/dybdocroot/metro/pubs/20041213_Rebuil
                                                                                 dAmerica.pdf




                                                                                                                                      1
Slide 3                                                            The fact that we will be constructing nearly half of
               A Plan for Tomorrow                                 our future buildings in 25 years means we have an
                                                                   unprecedented opportunity to re-think the way we
          » Growth = Choices and Opportunity.                      develop.
          » Sprawling, low density growth:
               – Creates long commutes
               – Creates bedroom towns with no sense of
                 community
               – Consumes natural areas
                                                                   CLICK
               – Damages the environment with air and water
                 pollution



                                                                   We can grow the way we have for the past 50 years
                                                                   with sprawling, low-density growth.

                                                                   But anyone who suffers the long commute to work
                                                                   or lives in a bedroom town with no sense of
                                                                   community knows how unsuccessful that has been.

                                                                   CLICK TO NEW SLIDE

Slide 4                                                            Or we can use this opportunity to create a new
               A Plan for Tomorrow                                 model.

          » Build a new model.                                     CLICK
          » Strong, healthy communities have:
               –    Walkable, mixed-uses
               –
                                                                   When we look at America’s most popular
                    A mix of homes for a wide range of residents
               –    Green space
               –    Strong economies
               –    Balanced budgets
                                                                   communities, they share some basic
                                                                   characteristics. In general, they are:


                                                                   Are walkable and combine homes, work,
                                                                   entertainment and schools in the same
                                                                   neighborhoods
                                                                   They have several different housing options
                                                                   They have lots of parks and green space.

                                                                   CLICK TO NEW SLIDE

Slide 5                                                            The single element that makes all of that possible?
               A Plan for Tomorrow

                                                                   Higher-density, mixed use development
           »    The critical ingredient…



                                                                   CLICK TO NEW SLIDE


                                          …well-planned,
                   higher-density, mixed use development




                                                                                                                      2
Slide 6                                                              So what is well-designed density?

                                                                     CLICK

          Well Designed Density




Slide 7                                                              Well, we know what it isn’t.
            Well Designed Density

                                                                     A lot of people think of this when they think of
            » We are not talking about this:
                                                                     density. They think of ugly architecture, crime and
                                                                     poverty.

                                                                     But the problems typically associated with density
                                                                     aren’t caused by density but by poorly designed
                                                                     development.

                                                                     CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE




Slide 8                                                              These next few slides give us a visual example of
            Well Designed Density                                    how we can use well-designed density to reclaim
                                                                     neighborhoods and create great places to live.

                                                                     CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE

                                               Urban-Advantage.com




                                                                                                                          3
Slide 9                                                                        Here’s another example.
            Well Designed Density

                                                                               CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE



                                                         Urban-Advantage.com




Slide                                                                          Beyond its visual appeal, higher-density
10                                                                             development offers us valuable lifestyle and
                                                                               financial benefits.

          Benefits of Density                                                  CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE




Slide                                                                          It can
11          Benefits of Density

                                                                               CLICK
            » Good density can:                                                Strengthen our economy by offering enough
               – Enhance our economic competitiveness
                 by attracting a diverse resident base
               – Reduce pressure on local budgets
                                                                               housing for the workers our businesses need
               – Reduce commuting time
               – Protect the environment


                                                                               CLICK
                                                                               Reduce the cost of providing public services (water,
                                                                               sewer, roads).

                                                                               CLICK
                                                                               Reduce commuting time and traffic

                                                                               CLICK
                                                                               Help us preserve space for parks and outdoor
                                                                               recreation.




                                                                                                                                 4
Slide                                                                         The good news is that density is not only needed,
12                                                                            it’s also desirable.

                                                                              More than we realize, a lot of Americans actually
        Attracting the Best                                                   want higher-density neighborhoods. If we want to
                                                                              attract the “best of the best” to our town, we need to
                                                                              understand how American’s housing preferences
                                                                              are changing.

                                                                              CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE




Slide                                                                         For generations, married couples with children
13          Attracting the Best                                               dominated our housing markets and caused the
                                                                              suburbs to explode.
          » For 50 years, families with children
            drove America’s housing industry.
                                                                              CLICK
          » But now, married couples with
            children make up less than 25 percent
            of American households.
                                                                              But today those families are less than 25 percent of
                                             –   Source: U.S. Census Bureau
                                                                              American households.

                                                                              CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE
                                                                              _________________________________________
                                                                              _____________
                                                                              Source: U.S. Census Bureau. U.S. Census Bureau,
                                                                              "America’s Families and Living Arrangements: 2003"
                                                                              (November 2004). www.census.gov/prod/2004pubs/p20-
                                                                              553.pdf

Slide                                                                         In their place are young professionals, childless
14          Attracting the Best                                               couples, empty nesters and single parents.

          » Today’s fastest growing households are:
              –   Young professionals
                                                                              CLICK
              –   Empty nesters
              –   Single parents
              –   Couples without children
              –   Senior citizens                                             More than we realize, many of them prefer condos,
          » They create demand for:
              – the Live/Work/Walk experience
              – Apartments, condos and townhouses
                                                                              apartments and townhouses to traditional suburban
                                                                              living.

                                                                              Remember, businesses follow workers now, so if
                                                                              we want to retain our existing businesses and
                                                                              recruit new ones, we have to first attract the
                                                                              workers they need.

                                                                              CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE




                                                                                                                                   5
Slide                                                                                                         Here’s just one piece of evidence.
15                                    Attracting the Best

                                                                                                              A Realtors’ survey asked prospective homebuyers if
                                    » In a national survey, 6 out of 10
                                      prospective homebuyers chose a
                                                                                                              they would rather live in a large-lot neighborhood
                                      higher-density, mixed use community.
                                                                                                              where they would depend entirely on cars to get
                                                                                                              around or in a more compact neighborhood with
                                                 –   Source: Smart Growth America and National Association
                                                                                                              schools, shops, and restaurants nearby. Sixty
                                                                                               of Realtors


                                                                                                              percent chose the compact neighborhood.

                                                                                                              In other words, we aren’t protecting our community
                                                                                                              by opposing higher-density development. We are
                                                                                                              actually limiting its future potential by pushing
                                                                                                              desirable households out of our town.

                                                                                                              CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE
                                                                                                              _________________________________________
                                                                                                              _____________
                                                                                                              Source: Smart Growth America and National Association of
                                                                                                              Realtors. 2004 American Community Survey: National Survey
                                                                                                              on Communities, Washington, DC., October 2004.

Slide                                                                                                         We also need to re-think our attitudes about rental
16                                    Attracting the Best                                                     housing.

                                    » 40% of apartment residents choose to
                                      rent for lifestyle reasons — not because
                                                                                                              A lot of people assume that no one would rent if
                                      they have to.

                                    » From 1999 to 2003, the fastest growing
                                                                                                              they could afford to buy, but that’s no longer true as
                                      segment of renters was those earning
                                      $50K or more.                                                           we see here.
                                                     –   Sources: Fannie Mae Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau
        © Steve Hinds Photography




                                                                                                              CLICK
                                                                                                              A lot of higher-income households are happy to
                                                                                                              trade long commutes and weekend chores for the
                                                                                                              convenience of apartment living.

                                                                                                              And if we don’t offer it to them, they’ll simply look
                                                                                                              elsewhere.


                                                                                                              CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE



                                                                                                              _________________________________________
                                                                                                              _____________
                                                                                                              Sources: National Multi Housing Council tabulations of
                                                                                                              microdata for the U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population
                                                                                                              Survey, March Supplement 1997-2001.
                                                                                                              National Housing Survey, 2001. Washington, DC: Fannie
                                                                                                              Mae.




                                                                                                                                                                          6
Slide                                                                                       In addition to attracting higher-income households,
17        Attracting the Best                                                               we can also use higher-density housing to recruit
                                                                                            vital service workers such as fire fighters, teachers
        » Higher-density development offers
          homes that are within reach of vital
                                                                                            and police officers.
          community members such as:
            –   Teachers
            –   Nurses
            –
            –
            –
                Fire fighters
                Police officers
                Retail salespeople
                                                                                            Increasingly, these people can’t afford to live where
        » And our own children!                                                             they work. If we offer them homes within their
                                                                                            reach -- through less expensive higher-density
                                                                                            building -- we can attract them to our town and raise
                                                                                            the quality of life for all of our citizens.

                                                                                            CLICK

                                                                                            Apartments, condos and townhouses are also
                                                                                            important if we want our children to be able to afford
                                                                                            to live here once they leave our homes.

                                                                                            CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE

Slide                                                                                       We should also understand that this is not a short
18        Attracting the Best                                                               term change. The demand for higher density
                                                                                            homes – by renters and owners -- is expected to
        » Demand for higher density homes will hit
          new highs by 2015 due to an influx of:
                                                                                            increase significantly in the future thanks to
            – 78 million downsizing Baby Boomers
            – 78 million children of the Baby Boomers                                       changing demographics.
              graduating from college
            – 9 million new immigrants
            – Service and municipal employees priced out of
              the neighborhoods where they work


                         –   Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Homeland
                                                                                            CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE
                                                Security Office of Immigration Statistics




                                                                                            _________________________________________
                                                                                            _____________
                                                                                            Sources: Population estimates: U.S. Census Bureau,
                                                                                            Population Division. Table 1: Annual Estimates of the
                                                                                            Population by Sex and Five-Year Age Groups for the United
                                                                                            States: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2003 (NC-EST2003-01). June
                                                                                            14, 2004

                                                                                            Immigration statistics:
                                                                                            Source: Population Projections Program, Population Division,
                                                                                            US Census Bureau, Washington, DC. Found at
                                                                                            www.census.gov/population/projections/
                                                                                            nation/summary/np-t6-a.txt




                                                                                                                                                      7
Slide                                                                          Higher-density development can also help us
19                                                                             manage our local budget.

                                                                               CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE
        Balancing Our Budget




Slide                                                                          Sprawl is expensive!
20         Balancing Our Budget

                                                                               It costs us a lot to extend water, sewer, electric,
           » Sprawl is expensive!
                                                                               highway, police and fire protection farther and
                                                                               farther out.

                                                                               CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE




Slide                                                                          But compact development can save a lot of money.
21          Balancing Our Budget

                                                                               CLICK
          » Compact development reduces
            infrastructure costs and saves money.

              – Average annual cost to service a new family of
                four (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer):
                                                                               Compare these two Kentucky counties. In one, it
                   • Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88.27
                   • Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222.39
                                                                               costs one less than $90 for every new family of four
                                                                               to provide policy, fire, highway, schools and sewer.
                                          –   Sources: Brookings Institution




                                                                               The other pays more than $1200 simply because it
                                                                               is more spread out.

                                                                               CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE
                                                                               _________________________________________
                                                                               _____________
                                                                               Source: Bollinger, Berger and Thompson (2001) as cited by
                                                                               the Brookings Institution in “Is Washington Ready for Smart
                                                                               Growth” presentation. October 2004




                                                                                                                                         8
Slide                                                                                   The possible savings are significant. Nationally,
22          Balancing Our Budget                                                        they could total over $100 billion.
          » Nationally, the U.S. can save over $100
            billion in infrastructure costs over 25
            years by growing compactly.
                                                                                        CLICK
          » Chicago can save $3.7 billion over 20
            years by growing compactly.

          » Charlottesville, VA can save $500
                                                                                        For Chicago, compact development can save $3.7
            million in transportation costs with
            compact development.                                                        billion. Charlottesville can save $500 million.
                          –   Sources: Urban Land Institute, Chicago Metropolis 2020;
                                      Thomas Jefferson Planning District Commission




                                                                                        The point is that all of those savings translate into
                                                                                        lower taxes for us.

                                                                                        CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE



                                                                                        _________________________________________
                                                                                        _____________
                                                                                        Source: The Metropolis Plan: Choices for the Chicago
                                                                                        Region, Chicago Metropolis 2020. Chicago, IL, 2002. p. 24.
                                                                                        Source: Building Livable Communities: Jefferson Area
                                                                                        Eastern Planning Initiative. Thomas Jefferson Planning
                                                                                        District Commission. Page 5.
                                                                                        Source: Sam Newberg and Tom O’Neil, “Making the Case,”
                                                                                        Multifamily Trends, vol. 6, no. 3, Summer 2003, p. 47.

Slide                                                                                   Higher density housing can boost our economic
23                                                                                      development efforts too.

                                                                                        CLICK TO NEW SLIDE
        Jumpstarting Our Economy




                                                                                                                                                 9
Slide                                                                                 Let's look at the connection between jobs and
24        Jumpstarting Our Economy                                                    housing. When towns don’t have enough housing
                                                                                      for the workforce the business needs, the business
        » Attract new employers and retain existing ones.
            – Employers need workers.
            – Workers need housing
                                                                                      leaves.
            – Without housing, workers and jobs leave a
              community
            – Towns lose out on consumer spending and tax
              revenue.
                                                                                      One of the main reasons firms relocate isn’t high
        » Minneapolis-St. Paul region loses out on an
          estimated $265 million per year in consumer
          spending and business income because it lacks
                                                                                      taxes or strict regulations, but the shortage of
          sufficient housing.
                         –   Source: GVA Marquette Advisors and Maxfield Research     housing for their workers.

                                                                                      CLICK
                                                                                      One study estimates that the Twin Cities lose out on
                                                                                      $265 million a year in consumer spending and
                                                                                      business-related taxes because they don’t have
                                                                                      enough housing.

                                                                                      In the past, workers followed the jobs. But these
                                                                                      days, jobs follow workers. If we want to recruit a
                                                                                      strong workforce, we need to create walkable, lively
                                                                                      neighborhoods. Once the workers are here,
                                                                                      companies will take notice.

                                                                                      CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE
                                                                                      _________________________________________
                                                                                      _____________
                                                                                      Source: GVA Marquette Advisors and Maxfield Research.
                                                                                      Workforce Housing: The Key to Ongoing Regional Prosperity
                                                                                      Found at
                                                                                      www.fhfund.org/_dnld/reports/Workforce%20Housing_Full%2
                                                                                      0Report.pdf.

Slide                                                                                 Encouraging higher density housing will also help
25        Jumpstarting Our Economy                                                    us attract more high quality retailers to our town
                                                                                      since retailers look at the concentration of people
        » Attract new retail development.                                             when deciding on new locations.
            – Densities of 8 to 12 homes per acre can create
              compact low-rise centers that can support a
              lively business district, mixed uses, and public
              transit nodes.

            – 1,000 to 2,000 new houses and apartments
              within a 10-15 minute walk can support new
                                                                                      CLICK
              retail areas.



                         –   Sources: Massachusetts Citizens Housing and Planning
                             Association; Byrne McKinney & Associates and Goody
                                     Clancy Architecture, Planning and Preservation
                                                                                      And as we see here, we aren’t necessarily talking
                                                                                      about city-like density to attract retailer attention.

                                                                                      CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE



                                                                                      _________________________________________
                                                                                      _____________
                                                                                      Source: Regional Responses: Smart Growth and Affordable
                                                                                      Housing presentation by Carol Burns and Kimberly Vermeer
                                                                                      for the Massachusetts Citizen Housing and Planning
                                                                                      Association.
                                                                                      Source: Density Myth & Reality presentation, Byrne

                                                                                                                                            10
McKinney & Associates Real Estate Appraisers and
                                                       Consultants and Goody Clancy Architecture, Planning and
                                                       Preservation.




Slide                                                  Now the important part. How do we get there.
26
                                                       CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE

        Next Steps: Take Action!




Slide                                                  We have a great opportunity here, but if we want to
27          Take Action                                take advantage of it, we need to take action.
                                                       Otherwise we’ll simply end up with more expensive,
          » If you like what you’ve seen, we need to
            take action. It won’t just happen.
                                                       sprawling, low quality of life development.
          » Everyone has a role to play.


                                                       The important thing to understand is that this is a
                                                       job that requires action by everyone. We can’t
                                                       assume that local policymakers will, or even can, do
                                                       this on their own.

                                                       CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE




                                                                                                                 11
Slide                                                                                                     Although elected officials certainly do have an
28                                        Take Action                                                     important role.
                                        » The Role of Elected Officials:
                                            – Change the regulatory climate
                                                 • Update our zoning/land use regulations
                                                                                                          CLICK
                                            – Change the economic climate
                                                 •
                                                 •
                                                     Density bonuses
                                                     Tax deferrals and reductions
                                                                                                          For instance, most zoning regulations are more
                    Elected Officials            •
                                                 •
                                                     Fee waivers
                                                     Setting aside or buying down the cost of land
                                            – Change the dialogue
                                                                                                          than 50 years old and prohibit developments that
                                                 • Educate citizens – density brings new amenities, new
                                                   jobs, new tax revenues, new retail
                                            – Change the political climate
                                                                                                          mix residential and commercial uses. We need to
                                                 • Sponsor sessions with local citizens, planners and
                                                   other stakeholders to develop a common public vision
                                                   of how to grow in the future.
                                                                                                          change that.
                                                 • Assure citizens you will insist on quality




                                                                                                          CLICK:
                                                                                                          In addition to updating planning laws, elected
                                                                                                          officials can create economic incentives that
                                                                                                          encourage developers to build the kind of
                                                                                                          developments we want. We have lots of tools at
                                                                                                          our disposal to shape growth.

                                                                                                          CLICK
                                                                                                          You can also help change the dialogue and help
                                                                                                          reduce citizen opposition to density. You need to
                                                                                                          educate citizens that density can bring new jobs,
                                                                                                          new retail, new tax revenue and more.

                                                                                                          CLICK
                                                                                                          And you can reassure residents that they won’t
                                                                                                          approve density unless it’s done well.

                                                                                                          CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE

Slide                                                                                                     There are also several things business leaders can
29                                        Take Action                                                     do to make this new future happen.

                                        » The Role of Business Leaders:
                                            – Attend planning meetings to support good
                                                                                                          CLICK
                                              projects

                                            – Lobby for zoning law changes that allow for
                                              higher density and mixed uses

                                            – Locate businesses near public transportation
                                              and existing infrastructure
                                                                                                          For instance, you can attend planning meetings to
        Business Leaders                    – Encourage employees to actively support
                                              proposals for higher-density housing near jobs
                                                                                                          support good projects. Too often, the only people at
                                              and transportation.
                                                                                                          these meetings are the ones who oppose new
                                                                                                          development.

                                                                                                          You can also
                                                                                                          -- lobby for zoning changes, and
                                                                                                          -- locate your business in already developed areas.

                                                                                                          And you can help your employees understand the
                                                                                                          connection between housing and jobs and that
                                                                                                          when they oppose new development they could be
                                                                                                          putting jeopardizing their own jobs down the road.

                                                                                                          CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE


                                                                                                                                                            12
Slide                                                                                             Finally, citizens themselves play a key role.
30                               Take Action

                                                                                                  -- You can get educated about the importance of
                            » The Role of Citizens & Environmentalists:
                               – Get educated about the importance of compact, mixed
                                                                                                  compact development and help your neighbors
        Citizens /
                                 use development and spread the word.
                               – Get involved early in comprehensive community
                                 planning.
                                                                                                  understand that it can be a positive thing.
        Environmentalists
                                    • Urge local leaders to create a community-based vision for
                                      future smart growth

                               – Attend planning meetings and insist on:
                                    • Quality design that fits in with the community
                                    • Track record of success
                                                                                                  -- You can get involved early in comprehensive
                                    • Integrated with the transportation system

                                                                                                  planning efforts instead of opposing individual
                                                                                                  projects.

                                                                                                  -- You can urge policymakers to engage the
                                                                                                  residents and create a comprehensive smart growth
                                                                                                  plan for the town.

                                                                                                  -- and you can attend public hearings for new
                                                                                                  developments and ask the right questions:
                                                                                                         - Does it fit in?
                                                                                                         - Is it integrated with the transportation
                                                                                                  system?
                                                                                                         - Does the developer have a successful track
                                                                                                  record?


Slide                                                                                             The future is our choice and it can be a great one if
31                               Take Action                                                      we understand three things:

                              » The future is our choice.                                         ONE: We have tremendous opportunity ahead of
                                                                                                  us.
                                                     or
                                                                                                  TWO: We don't need to be afraid of, or oppose,
                                                                                                  higher-density development. Done well, it can
                                                                                                  provide great economic and environmental benefits.

                                                                                                  THREE: If we want this new vision of an even better
                                                                                                  community to happen, we have to work together.

                                                                                                  CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE




                                                                                                                                                    13
Slide                                                  Thank You. If you want to learn more about this
32      Take Action                                    issue, I encourage you to visit the web sites of the
        For more information, contact:
                                                       groups who put this presentation together.
                       –   (202) 974-2300
                       –   www.nmhc.org

                                                       Questions
                       –   (202) 547-1141
                       –   www.sierraclub.org/sprawl


                       –   (202) 624-7000
                       –   (800) 321-5011
                       –   www.uli.org




                                                                                                          14

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Density Suburban Slide Script

  • 1. Higher-Density PowerPoint Suburban Version Slide 1 Good morning (afternoon). Thank you for allowing me to speak to you today. A Plan for Tomorrow: Creating Stronger & Healthier Communities Today My topic is growth, or specifically how we can grow in ways that preserve the health and strength of our community and even improve it. This presentation was actually produced by a unique collaboration between three leading real estate and environmental organizations and it designed to challenge the way many of us think about growth and density. CLICK TO NEW SLIDE Slide 2 Before we talk about how we want to grow, we A Plan for Tomorrow should look at the scope of population growth we’ll be absorbing in the coming years. It’s actually much » The U.S. population is expected to increase 33% by 2030 to 376 million. greater than many people realize. » That’s 94 million more people than there were in 2000. » About half of the homes, office CLICK buildings, stores and factories needed by 2030 don’t exist today. – Source: Brookings Institution By 2030, there will be 94 million more people in the U.S. than there were in 2000. And all of these people need somewhere to live, somewhere to work and somewhere to shop. CLICK Analysts say that America will experience a construction boom unlike anything we’ve seen in the past over the next 25 years. CLICK TO NEW SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Source: Arthur C. Nelson, Toward a New Metropolis: The Opportunity to Rebuild America, Brookings Institution, Washington, DC., 2004. Found at www.brookings.edu/dybdocroot/metro/pubs/20041213_Rebuil dAmerica.pdf 1
  • 2. Slide 3 The fact that we will be constructing nearly half of A Plan for Tomorrow our future buildings in 25 years means we have an unprecedented opportunity to re-think the way we » Growth = Choices and Opportunity. develop. » Sprawling, low density growth: – Creates long commutes – Creates bedroom towns with no sense of community – Consumes natural areas CLICK – Damages the environment with air and water pollution We can grow the way we have for the past 50 years with sprawling, low-density growth. But anyone who suffers the long commute to work or lives in a bedroom town with no sense of community knows how unsuccessful that has been. CLICK TO NEW SLIDE Slide 4 Or we can use this opportunity to create a new A Plan for Tomorrow model. » Build a new model. CLICK » Strong, healthy communities have: – Walkable, mixed-uses – When we look at America’s most popular A mix of homes for a wide range of residents – Green space – Strong economies – Balanced budgets communities, they share some basic characteristics. In general, they are: Are walkable and combine homes, work, entertainment and schools in the same neighborhoods They have several different housing options They have lots of parks and green space. CLICK TO NEW SLIDE Slide 5 The single element that makes all of that possible? A Plan for Tomorrow Higher-density, mixed use development » The critical ingredient… CLICK TO NEW SLIDE …well-planned, higher-density, mixed use development 2
  • 3. Slide 6 So what is well-designed density? CLICK Well Designed Density Slide 7 Well, we know what it isn’t. Well Designed Density A lot of people think of this when they think of » We are not talking about this: density. They think of ugly architecture, crime and poverty. But the problems typically associated with density aren’t caused by density but by poorly designed development. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Slide 8 These next few slides give us a visual example of Well Designed Density how we can use well-designed density to reclaim neighborhoods and create great places to live. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Urban-Advantage.com 3
  • 4. Slide 9 Here’s another example. Well Designed Density CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Urban-Advantage.com Slide Beyond its visual appeal, higher-density 10 development offers us valuable lifestyle and financial benefits. Benefits of Density CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Slide It can 11 Benefits of Density CLICK » Good density can: Strengthen our economy by offering enough – Enhance our economic competitiveness by attracting a diverse resident base – Reduce pressure on local budgets housing for the workers our businesses need – Reduce commuting time – Protect the environment CLICK Reduce the cost of providing public services (water, sewer, roads). CLICK Reduce commuting time and traffic CLICK Help us preserve space for parks and outdoor recreation. 4
  • 5. Slide The good news is that density is not only needed, 12 it’s also desirable. More than we realize, a lot of Americans actually Attracting the Best want higher-density neighborhoods. If we want to attract the “best of the best” to our town, we need to understand how American’s housing preferences are changing. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Slide For generations, married couples with children 13 Attracting the Best dominated our housing markets and caused the suburbs to explode. » For 50 years, families with children drove America’s housing industry. CLICK » But now, married couples with children make up less than 25 percent of American households. But today those families are less than 25 percent of – Source: U.S. Census Bureau American households. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Source: U.S. Census Bureau. U.S. Census Bureau, "America’s Families and Living Arrangements: 2003" (November 2004). www.census.gov/prod/2004pubs/p20- 553.pdf Slide In their place are young professionals, childless 14 Attracting the Best couples, empty nesters and single parents. » Today’s fastest growing households are: – Young professionals CLICK – Empty nesters – Single parents – Couples without children – Senior citizens More than we realize, many of them prefer condos, » They create demand for: – the Live/Work/Walk experience – Apartments, condos and townhouses apartments and townhouses to traditional suburban living. Remember, businesses follow workers now, so if we want to retain our existing businesses and recruit new ones, we have to first attract the workers they need. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE 5
  • 6. Slide Here’s just one piece of evidence. 15 Attracting the Best A Realtors’ survey asked prospective homebuyers if » In a national survey, 6 out of 10 prospective homebuyers chose a they would rather live in a large-lot neighborhood higher-density, mixed use community. where they would depend entirely on cars to get around or in a more compact neighborhood with – Source: Smart Growth America and National Association schools, shops, and restaurants nearby. Sixty of Realtors percent chose the compact neighborhood. In other words, we aren’t protecting our community by opposing higher-density development. We are actually limiting its future potential by pushing desirable households out of our town. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Source: Smart Growth America and National Association of Realtors. 2004 American Community Survey: National Survey on Communities, Washington, DC., October 2004. Slide We also need to re-think our attitudes about rental 16 Attracting the Best housing. » 40% of apartment residents choose to rent for lifestyle reasons — not because A lot of people assume that no one would rent if they have to. » From 1999 to 2003, the fastest growing they could afford to buy, but that’s no longer true as segment of renters was those earning $50K or more. we see here. – Sources: Fannie Mae Foundation; U.S. Census Bureau © Steve Hinds Photography CLICK A lot of higher-income households are happy to trade long commutes and weekend chores for the convenience of apartment living. And if we don’t offer it to them, they’ll simply look elsewhere. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Sources: National Multi Housing Council tabulations of microdata for the U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey, March Supplement 1997-2001. National Housing Survey, 2001. Washington, DC: Fannie Mae. 6
  • 7. Slide In addition to attracting higher-income households, 17 Attracting the Best we can also use higher-density housing to recruit vital service workers such as fire fighters, teachers » Higher-density development offers homes that are within reach of vital and police officers. community members such as: – Teachers – Nurses – – – Fire fighters Police officers Retail salespeople Increasingly, these people can’t afford to live where » And our own children! they work. If we offer them homes within their reach -- through less expensive higher-density building -- we can attract them to our town and raise the quality of life for all of our citizens. CLICK Apartments, condos and townhouses are also important if we want our children to be able to afford to live here once they leave our homes. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Slide We should also understand that this is not a short 18 Attracting the Best term change. The demand for higher density homes – by renters and owners -- is expected to » Demand for higher density homes will hit new highs by 2015 due to an influx of: increase significantly in the future thanks to – 78 million downsizing Baby Boomers – 78 million children of the Baby Boomers changing demographics. graduating from college – 9 million new immigrants – Service and municipal employees priced out of the neighborhoods where they work – Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Homeland CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Security Office of Immigration Statistics _________________________________________ _____________ Sources: Population estimates: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. Table 1: Annual Estimates of the Population by Sex and Five-Year Age Groups for the United States: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2003 (NC-EST2003-01). June 14, 2004 Immigration statistics: Source: Population Projections Program, Population Division, US Census Bureau, Washington, DC. Found at www.census.gov/population/projections/ nation/summary/np-t6-a.txt 7
  • 8. Slide Higher-density development can also help us 19 manage our local budget. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Balancing Our Budget Slide Sprawl is expensive! 20 Balancing Our Budget It costs us a lot to extend water, sewer, electric, » Sprawl is expensive! highway, police and fire protection farther and farther out. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Slide But compact development can save a lot of money. 21 Balancing Our Budget CLICK » Compact development reduces infrastructure costs and saves money. – Average annual cost to service a new family of four (police, fire, highway, schools and sewer): Compare these two Kentucky counties. In one, it • Compact suburban Shelby County, KY = $88.27 • Sprawling Pendleton County, KY = $1,222.39 costs one less than $90 for every new family of four to provide policy, fire, highway, schools and sewer. – Sources: Brookings Institution The other pays more than $1200 simply because it is more spread out. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Source: Bollinger, Berger and Thompson (2001) as cited by the Brookings Institution in “Is Washington Ready for Smart Growth” presentation. October 2004 8
  • 9. Slide The possible savings are significant. Nationally, 22 Balancing Our Budget they could total over $100 billion. » Nationally, the U.S. can save over $100 billion in infrastructure costs over 25 years by growing compactly. CLICK » Chicago can save $3.7 billion over 20 years by growing compactly. » Charlottesville, VA can save $500 For Chicago, compact development can save $3.7 million in transportation costs with compact development. billion. Charlottesville can save $500 million. – Sources: Urban Land Institute, Chicago Metropolis 2020; Thomas Jefferson Planning District Commission The point is that all of those savings translate into lower taxes for us. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Source: The Metropolis Plan: Choices for the Chicago Region, Chicago Metropolis 2020. Chicago, IL, 2002. p. 24. Source: Building Livable Communities: Jefferson Area Eastern Planning Initiative. Thomas Jefferson Planning District Commission. Page 5. Source: Sam Newberg and Tom O’Neil, “Making the Case,” Multifamily Trends, vol. 6, no. 3, Summer 2003, p. 47. Slide Higher density housing can boost our economic 23 development efforts too. CLICK TO NEW SLIDE Jumpstarting Our Economy 9
  • 10. Slide Let's look at the connection between jobs and 24 Jumpstarting Our Economy housing. When towns don’t have enough housing for the workforce the business needs, the business » Attract new employers and retain existing ones. – Employers need workers. – Workers need housing leaves. – Without housing, workers and jobs leave a community – Towns lose out on consumer spending and tax revenue. One of the main reasons firms relocate isn’t high » Minneapolis-St. Paul region loses out on an estimated $265 million per year in consumer spending and business income because it lacks taxes or strict regulations, but the shortage of sufficient housing. – Source: GVA Marquette Advisors and Maxfield Research housing for their workers. CLICK One study estimates that the Twin Cities lose out on $265 million a year in consumer spending and business-related taxes because they don’t have enough housing. In the past, workers followed the jobs. But these days, jobs follow workers. If we want to recruit a strong workforce, we need to create walkable, lively neighborhoods. Once the workers are here, companies will take notice. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Source: GVA Marquette Advisors and Maxfield Research. Workforce Housing: The Key to Ongoing Regional Prosperity Found at www.fhfund.org/_dnld/reports/Workforce%20Housing_Full%2 0Report.pdf. Slide Encouraging higher density housing will also help 25 Jumpstarting Our Economy us attract more high quality retailers to our town since retailers look at the concentration of people » Attract new retail development. when deciding on new locations. – Densities of 8 to 12 homes per acre can create compact low-rise centers that can support a lively business district, mixed uses, and public transit nodes. – 1,000 to 2,000 new houses and apartments within a 10-15 minute walk can support new CLICK retail areas. – Sources: Massachusetts Citizens Housing and Planning Association; Byrne McKinney & Associates and Goody Clancy Architecture, Planning and Preservation And as we see here, we aren’t necessarily talking about city-like density to attract retailer attention. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE _________________________________________ _____________ Source: Regional Responses: Smart Growth and Affordable Housing presentation by Carol Burns and Kimberly Vermeer for the Massachusetts Citizen Housing and Planning Association. Source: Density Myth & Reality presentation, Byrne 10
  • 11. McKinney & Associates Real Estate Appraisers and Consultants and Goody Clancy Architecture, Planning and Preservation. Slide Now the important part. How do we get there. 26 CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Next Steps: Take Action! Slide We have a great opportunity here, but if we want to 27 Take Action take advantage of it, we need to take action. Otherwise we’ll simply end up with more expensive, » If you like what you’ve seen, we need to take action. It won’t just happen. sprawling, low quality of life development. » Everyone has a role to play. The important thing to understand is that this is a job that requires action by everyone. We can’t assume that local policymakers will, or even can, do this on their own. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE 11
  • 12. Slide Although elected officials certainly do have an 28 Take Action important role. » The Role of Elected Officials: – Change the regulatory climate • Update our zoning/land use regulations CLICK – Change the economic climate • • Density bonuses Tax deferrals and reductions For instance, most zoning regulations are more Elected Officials • • Fee waivers Setting aside or buying down the cost of land – Change the dialogue than 50 years old and prohibit developments that • Educate citizens – density brings new amenities, new jobs, new tax revenues, new retail – Change the political climate mix residential and commercial uses. We need to • Sponsor sessions with local citizens, planners and other stakeholders to develop a common public vision of how to grow in the future. change that. • Assure citizens you will insist on quality CLICK: In addition to updating planning laws, elected officials can create economic incentives that encourage developers to build the kind of developments we want. We have lots of tools at our disposal to shape growth. CLICK You can also help change the dialogue and help reduce citizen opposition to density. You need to educate citizens that density can bring new jobs, new retail, new tax revenue and more. CLICK And you can reassure residents that they won’t approve density unless it’s done well. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE Slide There are also several things business leaders can 29 Take Action do to make this new future happen. » The Role of Business Leaders: – Attend planning meetings to support good CLICK projects – Lobby for zoning law changes that allow for higher density and mixed uses – Locate businesses near public transportation and existing infrastructure For instance, you can attend planning meetings to Business Leaders – Encourage employees to actively support proposals for higher-density housing near jobs support good projects. Too often, the only people at and transportation. these meetings are the ones who oppose new development. You can also -- lobby for zoning changes, and -- locate your business in already developed areas. And you can help your employees understand the connection between housing and jobs and that when they oppose new development they could be putting jeopardizing their own jobs down the road. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE 12
  • 13. Slide Finally, citizens themselves play a key role. 30 Take Action -- You can get educated about the importance of » The Role of Citizens & Environmentalists: – Get educated about the importance of compact, mixed compact development and help your neighbors Citizens / use development and spread the word. – Get involved early in comprehensive community planning. understand that it can be a positive thing. Environmentalists • Urge local leaders to create a community-based vision for future smart growth – Attend planning meetings and insist on: • Quality design that fits in with the community • Track record of success -- You can get involved early in comprehensive • Integrated with the transportation system planning efforts instead of opposing individual projects. -- You can urge policymakers to engage the residents and create a comprehensive smart growth plan for the town. -- and you can attend public hearings for new developments and ask the right questions: - Does it fit in? - Is it integrated with the transportation system? - Does the developer have a successful track record? Slide The future is our choice and it can be a great one if 31 Take Action we understand three things: » The future is our choice. ONE: We have tremendous opportunity ahead of us. or TWO: We don't need to be afraid of, or oppose, higher-density development. Done well, it can provide great economic and environmental benefits. THREE: If we want this new vision of an even better community to happen, we have to work together. CLICK TO NEXT SLIDE 13
  • 14. Slide Thank You. If you want to learn more about this 32 Take Action issue, I encourage you to visit the web sites of the For more information, contact: groups who put this presentation together. – (202) 974-2300 – www.nmhc.org Questions – (202) 547-1141 – www.sierraclub.org/sprawl – (202) 624-7000 – (800) 321-5011 – www.uli.org 14