Ekurhuleni 2055         Growth and Development StrategyPresentation to Economic Stakeholders for Initial Input &          ...
2. What is a Growth &Development Strategy?
Key Aspects of a Growth and DevelopmentStrategyGROWTH:More people, from 3 million today to 6million by 2055Bigger Econom...
Key Aspects of a Growth and DevelopmentStrategySTRATEGY:What            Goals, objectives, targets for growth & developm...
What is the difference between the Growthand Development Strategy and the IDP?The IDP is a detailed 5 year plan which isl...
Key Aspects of a Growth and DevelopmentStrategy: A FRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy ...
Today’s Focus: what are economicimplications of the GDS ?Other Work Streams:     Urban Planning & Built Environment 8 May...
2. Ekurhuleni’s Development          Journey
Four time framesFour time frames:         Natures Gift         Towns, Mines & Factories 1905 – 1955         City Region...
Natures Gift     KEY CHARACTERISTICS                           DRIVERS     • Gentle slopes of grassy                     •...
Towns, Mines & Factories 1905 –  1955POSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy                        ...
Towns, Mines & Factories 1905 –  1955CHARACTERISTICS Main Reef Road Nine Towns Mines & Industries      Hostels      T...
City Region, Freeways & Malls 1955 – 2012+ 100 Years Since Modern SettlementPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Devel...
City Region, Freeways & Malls 1955 – 2012+ 100 Years Since Modern Settlement  CHARACTERISTICS   International airport,  ...
3. Gazing into the future
MEGATRENDS:GLOBALISATIONMore than 50% of world GDP generatedby trade in 2030The world’s economic centre of gravitywill s...
MEGATRENDS:GLOBALISATIONPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy                                     ...
MEGATRENDS:GLOBAL WARMING     Global warming to a maximum of 2 degrees, ever stricter control of      carbon emissions wi...
MEGATRENDS:MORE EXPENSIVE ENERGY     Pressure on oil supply - shift from a fossil fuel based economy to one      based on...
MEGATRENDS:MORE EXPENSIVE ENERGY     Energy expensive as a huge investment is made in an alternative energy      regimePO...
MEGATRENDS:TECHNOLOGY TRANSFORMATION     Dematerialisation     Imbedded Chips in everything     3D Printing     Hydrog...
MEGATRENDS:TECHNOLOGY TRANSFORMATIONConvergence of Biology (the last fronteir) Nanoscience &Information ScienceArtificia...
MEGATRENDS:TOURISM STAYS WORLDS BIGGEST &FASTEST GROWING INDUSTRYPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Stra...
MEGATRENDS:AFRICA RISES     The African continent will grow      by at least a billion people and      this will involve ...
MEGATRENDS: AFRICA RISESThe future of the Gauteng City Region will be strongly influenced by itscapacity to attract Afric...
CONTEXT DRIVER:GAUTENG CITY REGION     The Gauteng City Region is      expected to double in size from      some 12 milli...
CONTEXT DRIVER:GAUTENG CITY REGION     Climate change impacts and falling      rural employment may accelerate the      f...
3. Ekurhuleni 2055
Transitioning to People City 2012-2055+ 150 Years Since Modern SettlementPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Developm...
Transitioning to a People City (2012-2055)INDUSTRIAL CITY               POST INDUSTRIAL       PEOPLE CITY 2012-20551905-19...
POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL FRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy                                ...
POSSIBLE INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICSFRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy                     ...
POSSIBLE GREEN FRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy                                     ...
THANK YOU
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Ekurhuleni 2055 vision may 2012

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Initial Thinking on City of 3 million Transition to 2055

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Ekurhuleni 2055 vision may 2012

  1. 1. Ekurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development StrategyPresentation to Economic Stakeholders for Initial Input & Comment Shahid Solomon Strategy Department 7 may 2012
  2. 2. 2. What is a Growth &Development Strategy?
  3. 3. Key Aspects of a Growth and DevelopmentStrategyGROWTH:More people, from 3 million today to 6million by 2055Bigger Economy, more wealth &investmentExpanding the City & making itmore denseDEVELOPMENT:Change to deal with new risks &opportunitiesTransformation to a more inclusivesocietyPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 3
  4. 4. Key Aspects of a Growth and DevelopmentStrategySTRATEGY:What  Goals, objectives, targets for growth & developmentHow  Leadership  Delivering services & infrastructure  RegulatingWho  Alone or in partnershipWhen: by 2020? By 2030? By 2055?POSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 4
  5. 5. What is the difference between the Growthand Development Strategy and the IDP?The IDP is a detailed 5 year plan which islinked to the municipal budget andservice delivery plansThe GDS is a broad brush long term 10 –50 year plan that embraces all ofgovernment and stakeholdersThe GDS guides the IDPPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 5
  6. 6. Key Aspects of a Growth and DevelopmentStrategy: A FRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 6
  7. 7. Today’s Focus: what are economicimplications of the GDS ?Other Work Streams:  Urban Planning & Built Environment 8 May 2012 (Morning)  Transport (Taxi Industry) 9 May 2012 (Afternoon)  Transport & Logistics 9 May 2012 (Evening)  City Governance & Financial Sustainability 10 May 2012POSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 7
  8. 8. 2. Ekurhuleni’s Development Journey
  9. 9. Four time framesFour time frames:  Natures Gift  Towns, Mines & Factories 1905 – 1955  City Region, Freeways & Malls 1955 – 2012  Place of People Prosperity 2012-2055POSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 9
  10. 10. Natures Gift KEY CHARACTERISTICS DRIVERS • Gentle slopes of grassy • Expression of Indigenous highvelds Cultures • Streams and wetlands • Seasonal Migration • Reserves of coal and gold below • Rural Life Experiences the ground POSITION PAPER Ekurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 10
  11. 11. Towns, Mines & Factories 1905 – 1955POSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 11
  12. 12. Towns, Mines & Factories 1905 – 1955CHARACTERISTICS Main Reef Road Nine Towns Mines & Industries  Hostels  TownshipsPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 12
  13. 13. City Region, Freeways & Malls 1955 – 2012+ 100 Years Since Modern SettlementPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 13
  14. 14. City Region, Freeways & Malls 1955 – 2012+ 100 Years Since Modern Settlement CHARACTERISTICS  International airport,  Regional Freeway system  Mega Malls,  Super SuburbsPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 14
  15. 15. 3. Gazing into the future
  16. 16. MEGATRENDS:GLOBALISATIONMore than 50% of world GDP generatedby trade in 2030The world’s economic centre of gravitywill shift from the West to AsiaChinese economy overtaking that ofthe US by 2025 and India following closebehindAfrica catching up well by 2050POSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 16
  17. 17. MEGATRENDS:GLOBALISATIONPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 17
  18. 18. MEGATRENDS:GLOBAL WARMING Global warming to a maximum of 2 degrees, ever stricter control of carbon emissions will take placePOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 18
  19. 19. MEGATRENDS:MORE EXPENSIVE ENERGY Pressure on oil supply - shift from a fossil fuel based economy to one based on renewable energyPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 19
  20. 20. MEGATRENDS:MORE EXPENSIVE ENERGY Energy expensive as a huge investment is made in an alternative energy regimePOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 20
  21. 21. MEGATRENDS:TECHNOLOGY TRANSFORMATION Dematerialisation Imbedded Chips in everything 3D Printing Hydrogen Fuel Cells Bio feedstock & fuels Membrane Technology Biotechnology Nanotechnology. Mass Customisation Localisation of ProductionPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 21
  22. 22. MEGATRENDS:TECHNOLOGY TRANSFORMATIONConvergence of Biology (the last fronteir) Nanoscience &Information ScienceArtificial Intelligence: The SingularityPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 22
  23. 23. MEGATRENDS:TOURISM STAYS WORLDS BIGGEST &FASTEST GROWING INDUSTRYPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 23
  24. 24. MEGATRENDS:AFRICA RISES The African continent will grow by at least a billion people and this will involve both the creation of massive new markets for the GCR as well as ever more competition from better located and more efficient production complexes SA will compete with other African countries, especially in West AfricaPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 24
  25. 25. MEGATRENDS: AFRICA RISESThe future of the Gauteng City Region will be strongly influenced by itscapacity to attract African skills, trade and tourism and to export itsskills and knowledge.POSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 25
  26. 26. CONTEXT DRIVER:GAUTENG CITY REGION The Gauteng City Region is expected to double in size from some 12 million to 25 million people by 2055 Ekurhuleni will either capture the skills, energy and ideas of an emerging skilled and globally connected middle class Or be a choice of least resistance for a growing under class who seek any means of shelter and survival close to the urban corePOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 26
  27. 27. CONTEXT DRIVER:GAUTENG CITY REGION Climate change impacts and falling rural employment may accelerate the flow of unskilled migrants from South Africa and other African countries, placing additional pressure on Ekurhuleni’s capacity to cope with settlement demands Within the GCR the spatial patterns of investment and opportunity will shift as the land market shifts and the space economy links up new centres of productionPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 27
  28. 28. 3. Ekurhuleni 2055
  29. 29. Transitioning to People City 2012-2055+ 150 Years Since Modern SettlementPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 29
  30. 30. Transitioning to a People City (2012-2055)INDUSTRIAL CITY POST INDUSTRIAL PEOPLE CITY 2012-20551905-1955 CITY 1955-2012 (LIVEABLE)(AMARTURE) (OCTOPUS) POSITION PAPER Ekurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 30
  31. 31. POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL FRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 31
  32. 32. POSSIBLE INDUSTRIAL & LOGISTICSFRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 32
  33. 33. POSSIBLE GREEN FRAMEWORKPOSITION PAPEREkurhuleni 2055 Growth and Development Strategy 33
  34. 34. THANK YOU
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