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Focus on…

23 October 2013
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

© Nuffield Trust
Focus on: a series of in-depth reports
Each year the programme will produce a number of indepth analyses into specific topics in health and social
care using a range of methods.
• Accessibility of acute services
• Trends in preventable emergency admissions
• Analysis of patterns of antidepressant prescribing
during the recession
• Access to social care for older people
• Changes in quality for people with hip fractures
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Focus on preventable admissions
Ian Blunt

23 October 2013
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

© Nuffield Trust
A way of categorising “preventable” admissions?
• For certain conditions, the risk of a crisis leading to
emergency hospital admission can be reduced by
timely and effective self-care, primary or community
care
• A subset of these conditions has been identified as
potential indicators of how well health services are
managing care to avoid the problems that require
emergency admissions.
• This technique for quality measurement was developed
in the USA in the early 1990s – now in many countries,
including NHS Outcomes Framework
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Analytical approach
•

Hospital Episode Statistics data
from 2001 to 2013

•

Valid age, sex and English LSOA

•

Victoria State Health Department
list of ACS conditions +
tuberculosis

•

Age/sex–specific admission rates
using ONS population estimates

•

Deprivation measured by Indices of
Multiple Deprivation 2010

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
700
600
500
400
300
200
100

QualityWatch

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation

NHS OF 2.3i

2012/13

2011/12

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

2007/08

2006/07

2005/06

2004/05

2003/04

0
2002/03

Which conditions are
included can make a big
difference -chronic ACS
admissions in Chichester,
for example…

800

2001/02

“ACS” often used as an
aggregate term, but no
standard definition (Purdy
2009)

Indirectly standardised rate (ISR) per
100,000 population

The conditions matter
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
The influence of deprivation

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Variation in 2012/13

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Variation by condition in 2012/13

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Large but uneven increases since 2001

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Increases swamp reductions…

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Change relative to financial constraints

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
Conclusion
• Importance of understanding rate and trend for each
condition at local level
• Deprivation an important factor to consider – but leave
much variation unexplained
• Rates of admission for some conditions have reduced,
but many more have increased (including some where
substantial policy effort has been applied)
• General trends are being maintained, so far…

© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
www.qualitywatch.org.uk

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Twitter.com/Quality_Watch

23 October 2013
© Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
www.qualitywatch.org.uk

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Ian Blunt: Focus on preventable admissions

  • 1. Focus on… 23 October 2013 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation © Nuffield Trust
  • 2. Focus on: a series of in-depth reports Each year the programme will produce a number of indepth analyses into specific topics in health and social care using a range of methods. • Accessibility of acute services • Trends in preventable emergency admissions • Analysis of patterns of antidepressant prescribing during the recession • Access to social care for older people • Changes in quality for people with hip fractures © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 3. Focus on preventable admissions Ian Blunt 23 October 2013 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation © Nuffield Trust
  • 4. A way of categorising “preventable” admissions? • For certain conditions, the risk of a crisis leading to emergency hospital admission can be reduced by timely and effective self-care, primary or community care • A subset of these conditions has been identified as potential indicators of how well health services are managing care to avoid the problems that require emergency admissions. • This technique for quality measurement was developed in the USA in the early 1990s – now in many countries, including NHS Outcomes Framework © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 5. Analytical approach • Hospital Episode Statistics data from 2001 to 2013 • Valid age, sex and English LSOA • Victoria State Health Department list of ACS conditions + tuberculosis • Age/sex–specific admission rates using ONS population estimates • Deprivation measured by Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2010 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 6. 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 QualityWatch © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation NHS OF 2.3i 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 2009/10 2008/09 2007/08 2006/07 2005/06 2004/05 2003/04 0 2002/03 Which conditions are included can make a big difference -chronic ACS admissions in Chichester, for example… 800 2001/02 “ACS” often used as an aggregate term, but no standard definition (Purdy 2009) Indirectly standardised rate (ISR) per 100,000 population The conditions matter
  • 7. © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 8. The influence of deprivation © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 9. Variation in 2012/13 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 10. Variation by condition in 2012/13 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 11. Large but uneven increases since 2001 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 12. Increases swamp reductions… © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 13. Change relative to financial constraints © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 14. Conclusion • Importance of understanding rate and trend for each condition at local level • Deprivation an important factor to consider – but leave much variation unexplained • Rates of admission for some conditions have reduced, but many more have increased (including some where substantial policy effort has been applied) • General trends are being maintained, so far… © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation
  • 15. www.qualitywatch.org.uk Sign-up for our newsletter www.qualitywatch.org.uk/newsletter Follow us on Twitter: Twitter.com/Quality_Watch 23 October 2013 © Nuffield Trust and Health Foundation