1. North Carolina’s REPS and
Clean Energy Economy
Presentation to the Joint Legislative Commission on Energy Policy
January 7, 2014
Ivan Urlaub, Executive Director, North Carolina Sustainable Energy Association
ivan@energync.org, w: 919-832-7601
1
2. NC’s Energy Market Evolution
Utility Monopoly Allowing Incremental, Limited Market Competition
2012-13
National &
2007-12
Incubate & international
grow cost economic
2003-7
expansion &
effective
Analyze,
net ratepayer
authorize & market
Pre-2003
savings
define
No competition limited
allowed
competition
2
2014+
Continue
limited market
competition?
Increase?
Eliminate all
competition?
3. Renewable Portfolio Standard Policies
www.dsireusa.org.
29 states,+
Washington DC and 2
territories,have
Renewable Portfolio
Standards
3
(8 states and 2 territories have
renewable portfolio goals).
5. NC’s 2013 Clean Energy Firms
(Figures for responding firms only)
Respondents
570 firms
Employment
18,404 FTE
Revenues
$3.6 Billion
Geography
All Economic Regions
Exports
International Impacts
Source: 2013 NC Clean
Energy Industry Census
5
6. NC’s Clean Energy Manufacturers and
Research & Development Companies
Source: 2013 NC Clean Energy Industry Census
6
7. NC Serving Local Market Demand
Clean Energy Infrastructure
Sources: US Dept. of Energy; NC Utilities Commission;
USGBC & Energy Star
7
8. NC Serving Global Market Demand
Distribution of Market Participation
International
Markets, 8%
National
Markets 16%
Regional
Markets 27%
Source: 2013 NC Clean Energy Industry Census
8
Local
Markets 49%
9. Clean Energy = More Affordable Energy Mix
Total Cost of the North Carolina REPS (2008-2014)
$160
Source: NC Utilities Commission REPS Compliance Dockets
$140
REPS Cost (Millions)
$120
REPS Cost Cap
$100
$80
$60
$43.8M
49% of Cost Cap
$40
$20.9M
$27.4M
$39.6M
38% of Cost Cap
$45.3M
$35.8M
$36.5M
27% of Cost Cap
27% of Cost Cap
2012
2013**
33% of Cost Cap
40% of Cost Cap
30% of Cost Cap
$20
$2008
2009
2010
2011
**Projected cost using Utilities REPS Compliance Plans Chart depicts Duke Energy
Carolinas, Duke Energy Progress, and coops and munis.
9
2014**
10. Clean Energy = More Affordable Energy Mix
(February 2013 Study)
The difference
between the
two “energy
mix” scenarios
found a net
$173 million
NPV savings
associated
with the Clean
Energy
Portfolio.
10
11. NC’s Energy Market Evolution
REPS: Allowing Incremental, Limited Market Competition
2012-13
National &
2007-12
Incubate & international
grow cost economic
2003-7
expansion &
effective
Analyze,
net ratepayer
authorize & market
Pre-2003
savings
define
No competition limited
allowed
competition
11
2014+
Continue
limited market
competition?
Increase?
Eliminate all
competition?