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TECH M&A

                                          Prepared for Bloomberg, L.P.


                                                                                  MARCH 2012




         Disclaimer:	
  Informa0on	
  is	
  furnished	
  on	
  as	
  is	
  basis.	
  No	
  warranty,	
  wri;en	
  or	
  implied	
  as	
  to	
  the	
  accuracy	
  of	
  the	
  data.	
  Not	
  responsible	
  for	
  
      typographical	
  or	
  reproduc0on	
  errors.	
  Not	
  an	
  offering	
  to	
  buy	
  or	
  sell	
  securi0es	
  of	
  any	
  kind.	
  Does	
  not	
  represent	
  investment	
  advice	
  in	
  any	
  form.	
  

contact                           +1 (888) 801-3644                                        info@mgiresearch.com                              www.mgiresearch.com                            © 2011 MGI Research, LLC
Historical Valuation and Growth in Tech




3/9/12               © 2012 MGI Research, LLC      2
Tech Valuations on a Relative Basis

                                                                                                                                                                                  EPS	
            EPS	
          Sales	
  
                                                                                                                                                                              growth	
         growth	
         growth	
                        Performance	
  
                                                                                                                                                   P/Free	
   Dividend	
       past	
  5	
      next	
  5	
      past	
  5	
   Performance	
        (Year	
  To	
     Analyst	
  
Name	
                           Market	
  Cap	
                                      P/E	
               PEG	
           P/S	
       P/Cash	
  Cash	
  Flow	
    Yield	
       years	
          years	
          years	
            (Year)	
          Date)	
        Recom	
       Stocks	
  

                                         	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
                           	
             	
            	
            	
                                                                                                                                 	
  
     Basic	
  Materials	
        5,745,395	
  	
   11.33	
  	
                                          1.00	
  	
     1.00	
  	
   15.79	
  	
   49.26	
  	
   2.61%	
   6.85%	
   11.34%	
   13.53%	
                            -­‐6.60%	
           9.73%	
          2.25	
        597	
  	
  
                                           	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
         	
             	
               	
            	
                                                                                                                                	
  
     Conglomerates	
                 227,323	
  	
   14.04	
  	
                                        0.82	
  	
     1.29	
  	
       7.76	
  	
   20.18	
  	
   1.73%	
   5.38%	
   17.15%	
                 5.56%	
            -­‐1.14%	
         11.06%	
           1.92	
           20	
  	
  
                                         	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
                           	
             	
            	
            	
                                                                                                                                 	
  
  Consumer	
  Goods	
            3,001,555	
  	
   18.09	
  	
                                          1.51	
  	
     1.08	
  	
   10.06	
  	
   44.44	
  	
   2.38%	
   10.64%	
   12.01%	
                   7.64%	
             9.44%	
             8.46%	
          2.22	
        413	
  	
  
                                         	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
                           	
             	
               	
             	
                                                                                                                            	
  
               Financial	
       4,233,702	
  	
   12.16	
  	
                                          1.11	
  	
     1.49	
  	
       1.67	
  	
     7.28	
  	
   2.57%	
   -­‐3.46%	
   10.91%	
             5.18%	
          -­‐11.69%	
          13.86%	
           2.31	
     1,044	
  	
  
                                         	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
                           	
             	
               	
            	
                                                                                                                              	
  
            Healthcare	
         2,245,531	
  	
   16.64	
  	
                                          1.80	
  	
     1.80	
  	
       8.11	
  	
   20.25	
  	
   2.49%	
   12.58%	
   9.26%	
   13.36%	
                          9.44%	
             5.68%	
          2.19	
        556	
  	
  
                                         	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
                           	
             	
               	
            	
                                                                                                                              	
  
   Industrial	
  Goods	
         1,303,965	
  	
   16.46	
  	
                                          1.16	
  	
     1.02	
  	
       6.30	
  	
   25.23	
  	
   2.12%	
   4.13%	
   14.20%	
                 4.56%	
            -­‐1.59%	
         11.19%	
           2.19	
        351	
  	
  
                                         	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
                           	
             	
            	
            	
                                                                                                                                 	
  
               Services	
        3,263,588	
  	
   18.17	
  	
                                          1.25	
  	
     0.82	
  	
   12.17	
  	
   22.92	
  	
   1.51%	
   13.21%	
   14.52%	
   10.53%	
                            9.79%	
           10.13%	
           2.21	
        906	
  	
  
                                       	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
                             	
             	
              	
            	
                                                                                                                              	
  
           Technology	
        5,278,141	
  	
   15.98	
  	
                                            1.27	
  	
     1.73	
  	
      6.68	
  	
   17.98	
  	
   2.14%	
  17.61%	
  12.58%	
   15.91%	
                           1.08%	
          10.62%	
            2.22	
        907	
  	
  
                                           	
  $	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
   	
         	
             	
            	
            	
                                                                                                                                 	
  
                UJliJes	
            753,724	
  	
   15.68	
  	
                                        2.89	
  	
     1.23	
  	
   17.23	
  	
   83.99	
  	
   4.03%	
   4.99%	
   5.42%	
                     3.91%	
             8.94%	
             0.57%	
          2.51	
        125	
  	
  




            3/9/12                                                                                                                    © 2012 MGI Research, LLC                                                                                                                  3
Valuation (EV/Sales) vs. Growth (Avg.PYQ)




                                                   Filter Settings
                                                   - Normalized Quarter: (201112)
3/9/12                  © 2012 MGI Research, LLC                                    4
TECH M&A OUTLOOK
•  BUYERS	
  
         –  High	
  Cash,	
  Low-­‐Med	
  Debt,	
  High	
  ValuaJon.	
  Low-­‐Med	
  Growth	
  
         –  Looking	
  for	
  topline	
  growth,	
  regardless	
  of	
  profitability	
  or	
  valuaJon	
  
         –  Filling	
  Out	
  a	
  FuncJonal	
  or	
  Geographic	
  “Hole”	
  in	
  Cloud	
  CompuJng,	
  Cloud	
  
            Management/Security,	
  SaaS,	
  Storage,	
  Big	
  Data,	
  Mobile	
  App	
  Tools	
  
         –  E.G.	
  IBM,	
  Oracle,	
  SAP,	
  DELL,	
  EMC,	
  GOOG,	
  Infor,	
  CA	
  
         –  HP	
  likely	
  	
  to	
  stay	
  away	
  from	
  large	
  deals,	
  needs	
  to	
  absorb	
  EDS	
  and	
  AUTN	
  
         –  CRM	
  to	
  target	
  companies	
  within	
  its	
  ecosystem	
  	
  
•  POTENTIAL	
  SELLERS	
  
         –    Small-­‐Med	
  SaaS	
  firms,	
  e.g.	
  CNQR,	
  KNXA,	
  CTCT,	
  CSOD,	
  ULTI,	
  SPSC,	
  SQI,	
  TRAK	
  
         –    Prior	
  generaJon	
  sobware/Internet	
  firms:	
  ARBA,	
  MANH,	
  JDAS,	
  BMC	
  
         –    Cloud	
  Tech:	
  CTXS,	
  RHT,	
  FFIV,	
  RVBD,	
  AKAM	
  
         –    Healthcare	
  IT,	
  Government/EducaJon	
  Sobware	
  and	
  Services,	
  Big	
  Data,	
  Mobile	
  
              Apps	
  Tools	
  Cos.	
  
•  FALLEN	
  HEROS	
  &	
  UNLIKELY	
  DEALS	
  
         –  NOK,	
  RIMM,	
  YHOO,	
  SYMC,	
  N	
  	
  
3/9/12                                                   © 2011 MGI Research, LLC                                                  5
MGI RESEARCH - CONTACT
•    New	
  York,	
  San	
  Francisco,	
  London	
  
•    +1	
  888	
  801-­‐3644	
  
•    info@mgiresearch.com	
  
•    www.mgiresearch.com	
  
•    Tw:	
  @mgiresearch	
  




 3/9/12                                © 2011 MGI Research, LLC   6

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Outlook for Tech M&A - presented by MGI Research

  • 1. TECH M&A
 Prepared for Bloomberg, L.P. MARCH 2012 Disclaimer:  Informa0on  is  furnished  on  as  is  basis.  No  warranty,  wri;en  or  implied  as  to  the  accuracy  of  the  data.  Not  responsible  for   typographical  or  reproduc0on  errors.  Not  an  offering  to  buy  or  sell  securi0es  of  any  kind.  Does  not  represent  investment  advice  in  any  form.   contact +1 (888) 801-3644 info@mgiresearch.com www.mgiresearch.com © 2011 MGI Research, LLC
  • 2. Historical Valuation and Growth in Tech 3/9/12 © 2012 MGI Research, LLC 2
  • 3. Tech Valuations on a Relative Basis EPS   EPS   Sales   growth   growth   growth   Performance   P/Free   Dividend   past  5   next  5   past  5   Performance   (Year  To   Analyst   Name   Market  Cap   P/E   PEG   P/S   P/Cash  Cash  Flow   Yield   years   years   years   (Year)   Date)   Recom   Stocks    $                             Basic  Materials   5,745,395     11.33     1.00     1.00     15.79     49.26     2.61%   6.85%   11.34%   13.53%   -­‐6.60%   9.73%   2.25   597      $                                     Conglomerates   227,323     14.04     0.82     1.29     7.76     20.18     1.73%   5.38%   17.15%   5.56%   -­‐1.14%   11.06%   1.92   20      $                             Consumer  Goods   3,001,555     18.09     1.51     1.08     10.06     44.44     2.38%   10.64%   12.01%   7.64%   9.44%   8.46%   2.22   413      $                             Financial   4,233,702     12.16     1.11     1.49     1.67     7.28     2.57%   -­‐3.46%   10.91%   5.18%   -­‐11.69%   13.86%   2.31   1,044      $                             Healthcare   2,245,531     16.64     1.80     1.80     8.11     20.25     2.49%   12.58%   9.26%   13.36%   9.44%   5.68%   2.19   556      $                             Industrial  Goods   1,303,965     16.46     1.16     1.02     6.30     25.23     2.12%   4.13%   14.20%   4.56%   -­‐1.59%   11.19%   2.19   351      $                             Services   3,263,588     18.17     1.25     0.82     12.17     22.92     1.51%   13.21%   14.52%   10.53%   9.79%   10.13%   2.21   906      $                             Technology   5,278,141     15.98     1.27     1.73     6.68     17.98     2.14%  17.61%  12.58%   15.91%   1.08%   10.62%   2.22   907      $                                     UJliJes   753,724     15.68     2.89     1.23     17.23     83.99     4.03%   4.99%   5.42%   3.91%   8.94%   0.57%   2.51   125     3/9/12 © 2012 MGI Research, LLC 3
  • 4. Valuation (EV/Sales) vs. Growth (Avg.PYQ) Filter Settings - Normalized Quarter: (201112) 3/9/12 © 2012 MGI Research, LLC 4
  • 5. TECH M&A OUTLOOK •  BUYERS   –  High  Cash,  Low-­‐Med  Debt,  High  ValuaJon.  Low-­‐Med  Growth   –  Looking  for  topline  growth,  regardless  of  profitability  or  valuaJon   –  Filling  Out  a  FuncJonal  or  Geographic  “Hole”  in  Cloud  CompuJng,  Cloud   Management/Security,  SaaS,  Storage,  Big  Data,  Mobile  App  Tools   –  E.G.  IBM,  Oracle,  SAP,  DELL,  EMC,  GOOG,  Infor,  CA   –  HP  likely    to  stay  away  from  large  deals,  needs  to  absorb  EDS  and  AUTN   –  CRM  to  target  companies  within  its  ecosystem     •  POTENTIAL  SELLERS   –  Small-­‐Med  SaaS  firms,  e.g.  CNQR,  KNXA,  CTCT,  CSOD,  ULTI,  SPSC,  SQI,  TRAK   –  Prior  generaJon  sobware/Internet  firms:  ARBA,  MANH,  JDAS,  BMC   –  Cloud  Tech:  CTXS,  RHT,  FFIV,  RVBD,  AKAM   –  Healthcare  IT,  Government/EducaJon  Sobware  and  Services,  Big  Data,  Mobile   Apps  Tools  Cos.   •  FALLEN  HEROS  &  UNLIKELY  DEALS   –  NOK,  RIMM,  YHOO,  SYMC,  N     3/9/12 © 2011 MGI Research, LLC 5
  • 6. MGI RESEARCH - CONTACT •  New  York,  San  Francisco,  London   •  +1  888  801-­‐3644   •  info@mgiresearch.com   •  www.mgiresearch.com   •  Tw:  @mgiresearch   3/9/12 © 2011 MGI Research, LLC 6