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Sustainable engineering

      Hans Lyklema
   Wageningen University
      Wageningen, Nov. 10th 2011




                                   1
KLV 125 years: congratulations! What
     about another 125 years?
• Over the past 125 years society has changed drastically

• It will continue to change drastically over the coming 125
  years

• →Beyond predictions made on the basis of extrapolations of
  present trends

• →Beyond present opinions such as
   economic growth is a must
   money must be invested to protect the environment
   the BNP reflects the quality of a society
   values of goods can be expressed in euros
   democracy is the best political system

                                                               2
Engineering Sustainable?
• Sustainable: maintaining the earth in a
  condition allowing decent human life for a
  long period
   • Brundtland report
   • Long time →125 years or longer

• Engineering: completing things optimally
  within external constraints
   • Quantification, even if not all information is
     available
   • Common sense


                                                      3
The p.p.p. mantra
• In alphabetic order: people, planet, profit

• The three p’s are not equally important

• Tell us your sequence and we shall tell you
  what you are




                                                4
The p.p.p. mantra -2

• The three p’s are not equal

• For sustainability the only valid response is:
  Planet >> people >> profit

  No profit without people and no people
  without planet



                                                   5
Anchoring of sustainability
• How to proceed if we cannot trust extrapolation
  from recent trends?

• The basic laws of nature did not change over the
  past 125 years and will not change over the
  coming 125 years

• → a hold for achieving sustainability of our
  planet
  And, hence, of mankind


                                                     6
Basic laws of nature
• All people are mortal

• The First Law of Thermodynamics

• Matter is indestructible

• The Second Law of Thermodynamics

• You cannot eat your cake and have it

                                         7
Basic laws of nature
          Relevance for sustainability
• All people are mortal. Basic law of biology.
  Uncontested

• The First Law of Thermodynamics. No perpetual
  motion. Energy is indestructible. Uncontested

• Matter is indestructible, except for nuclear
  reactions

• The Second Law of Thermodynamics. No perpetual
  motion of the second kind. Understood??

• You cannot eat your cake and have it.
  Unless you can recycle it. Is that always possible?


                                                        8
Essence of the Second Law
• In physical parlance, it describes the increase
  of entropy

• In mundane language, it states that it is
  impossible to upgrade matter and/or energy
  without external energy source
    • Upgrading: waste water purification, changing heat into
      work, recovering waste phosphate from surface water,
      reclaiming lithium from batteries, etc.

• → An ecological price has to be paid for
  recycling

                                                                9
Ecological pressure
• Some natural resources are abundant, in
  particular solar energy. Many bioproducts can
  be recycled with impunity (“crade to cradle”)

• Others are not (area, potable water, minerals,
  fossil fuels,……)

• → if we heed Brundtland we must measure our
  ecological stock and adjust our economic
  metabolism to it

• → Need for one or more indicator(s)
                                                   10
Two kinds of indicators
• Integrated ones
  One number to quantify the quality of the
  environment

• Individual indicators for each contribution
  – Clean air, potable water, energy, dust, greenhouse
    gases, CO2, etc.

• Individual indicators appear more specific, and
  hence transparent, but the problem is that the
  are interconnected

                                                         11
The ecological footprint (EF).
It is the best integrated indicator we have so far:
    1. It is relatively simple to compute

    2. The notion is easily understood by a broad audience

    3. Its unit (hectare) is readily conceivable

    4. It shows similar trends as other integrated indicators,
            like LCA analyses, entropy computations,…

    5. It is insensitive to financial arguments




                                                                 12
The basic formula
• For a country:
  EF = B x <EFpp>
      • B = population
      • <EFpp> = average footprint per person

• For each country (or city or groups of countries,….) EF
  can be computed and compared with that for mondial
  sustainability
      • Technology does not occur in the equation!

• For The Netherlands the present EF is already too high
  by AT LEAST A FACTOR OF TWO.
      • Living Planet report 2010, based on data of 2007…..



                                                              13
Basic task
• For sustainability, the product

• EF = B x <EFpp> must be reduced by at least a
  factor of two. Which one of the two or
  something of both?

• The choice is the product of two taboos and
  beyond engineering



                                                14
Action proposals for engineers
Action proposals can be sorted according to
their time scales

1. Very short term (today)
   Celebrate the better achievements of KLV
   over the past 125 years




                                              15
Action proposal-2
2. Short term (~ several years)
   Continue present activities but try to
   become more conscious about the
   ecological price tags

   Few things are really sustainable, notwithstanding
   slogans, like: sustainable development, economy,
   residential areas, engineering ???
   Often projects are called “sustainable” on the basis
       of only one indicator
   Be aware of the Al Gore farce

   Do this for yourself and for your competitor
                                                          16
Action proposal-3
3.   Longer term ( ~ one generation)

     Are the new projects really needed?

     –   Government buildings in The Hague. Over the past
         decennia their volume has tripled. Are the
         Netherlands now three times better governed?

     –   Fast railway from The Hague to Groningen saves
         ~20 minutes over present rail and 35 minutes with
         1938. How will the saved time be spent?



                                                             17
Action proposal-4

4. Long term (125 years and over)

   Consider a situation with fewer people but
   continuing demand for facilities: right up the
   street of engineers




                                                18
Final wish

Hope that over another 125 years there is
    enough reason for my successor to
          congratulate you again




                                            19

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Presentation Main Conference Hans Lyklema

  • 1. Sustainable engineering Hans Lyklema Wageningen University Wageningen, Nov. 10th 2011 1
  • 2. KLV 125 years: congratulations! What about another 125 years? • Over the past 125 years society has changed drastically • It will continue to change drastically over the coming 125 years • →Beyond predictions made on the basis of extrapolations of present trends • →Beyond present opinions such as  economic growth is a must  money must be invested to protect the environment  the BNP reflects the quality of a society  values of goods can be expressed in euros  democracy is the best political system 2
  • 3. Engineering Sustainable? • Sustainable: maintaining the earth in a condition allowing decent human life for a long period • Brundtland report • Long time →125 years or longer • Engineering: completing things optimally within external constraints • Quantification, even if not all information is available • Common sense 3
  • 4. The p.p.p. mantra • In alphabetic order: people, planet, profit • The three p’s are not equally important • Tell us your sequence and we shall tell you what you are 4
  • 5. The p.p.p. mantra -2 • The three p’s are not equal • For sustainability the only valid response is: Planet >> people >> profit No profit without people and no people without planet 5
  • 6. Anchoring of sustainability • How to proceed if we cannot trust extrapolation from recent trends? • The basic laws of nature did not change over the past 125 years and will not change over the coming 125 years • → a hold for achieving sustainability of our planet And, hence, of mankind 6
  • 7. Basic laws of nature • All people are mortal • The First Law of Thermodynamics • Matter is indestructible • The Second Law of Thermodynamics • You cannot eat your cake and have it 7
  • 8. Basic laws of nature Relevance for sustainability • All people are mortal. Basic law of biology. Uncontested • The First Law of Thermodynamics. No perpetual motion. Energy is indestructible. Uncontested • Matter is indestructible, except for nuclear reactions • The Second Law of Thermodynamics. No perpetual motion of the second kind. Understood?? • You cannot eat your cake and have it. Unless you can recycle it. Is that always possible? 8
  • 9. Essence of the Second Law • In physical parlance, it describes the increase of entropy • In mundane language, it states that it is impossible to upgrade matter and/or energy without external energy source • Upgrading: waste water purification, changing heat into work, recovering waste phosphate from surface water, reclaiming lithium from batteries, etc. • → An ecological price has to be paid for recycling 9
  • 10. Ecological pressure • Some natural resources are abundant, in particular solar energy. Many bioproducts can be recycled with impunity (“crade to cradle”) • Others are not (area, potable water, minerals, fossil fuels,……) • → if we heed Brundtland we must measure our ecological stock and adjust our economic metabolism to it • → Need for one or more indicator(s) 10
  • 11. Two kinds of indicators • Integrated ones One number to quantify the quality of the environment • Individual indicators for each contribution – Clean air, potable water, energy, dust, greenhouse gases, CO2, etc. • Individual indicators appear more specific, and hence transparent, but the problem is that the are interconnected 11
  • 12. The ecological footprint (EF). It is the best integrated indicator we have so far: 1. It is relatively simple to compute 2. The notion is easily understood by a broad audience 3. Its unit (hectare) is readily conceivable 4. It shows similar trends as other integrated indicators, like LCA analyses, entropy computations,… 5. It is insensitive to financial arguments 12
  • 13. The basic formula • For a country: EF = B x <EFpp> • B = population • <EFpp> = average footprint per person • For each country (or city or groups of countries,….) EF can be computed and compared with that for mondial sustainability • Technology does not occur in the equation! • For The Netherlands the present EF is already too high by AT LEAST A FACTOR OF TWO. • Living Planet report 2010, based on data of 2007….. 13
  • 14. Basic task • For sustainability, the product • EF = B x <EFpp> must be reduced by at least a factor of two. Which one of the two or something of both? • The choice is the product of two taboos and beyond engineering 14
  • 15. Action proposals for engineers Action proposals can be sorted according to their time scales 1. Very short term (today) Celebrate the better achievements of KLV over the past 125 years 15
  • 16. Action proposal-2 2. Short term (~ several years) Continue present activities but try to become more conscious about the ecological price tags Few things are really sustainable, notwithstanding slogans, like: sustainable development, economy, residential areas, engineering ??? Often projects are called “sustainable” on the basis of only one indicator Be aware of the Al Gore farce Do this for yourself and for your competitor 16
  • 17. Action proposal-3 3. Longer term ( ~ one generation) Are the new projects really needed? – Government buildings in The Hague. Over the past decennia their volume has tripled. Are the Netherlands now three times better governed? – Fast railway from The Hague to Groningen saves ~20 minutes over present rail and 35 minutes with 1938. How will the saved time be spent? 17
  • 18. Action proposal-4 4. Long term (125 years and over) Consider a situation with fewer people but continuing demand for facilities: right up the street of engineers 18
  • 19. Final wish Hope that over another 125 years there is enough reason for my successor to congratulate you again 19