SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 25
State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System Presented to Northeast Higher Education District November 12, 2009
Fiscal year 2010 budget gaps
Spending cuts as percentage of actions
Use of ARRA funds as percentage of actions
Fiscal year 2011 budget gaps
Fiscal year 2012 budget gaps
State of Minnesota revenues below forecast: fiscal years 2010-2011 Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009. $ millions Estimate Actual Variance % Individual $1,728 $1,635 $(93) (5.4) Sales 874 854 (20) (2.3) Corporate 129 182 52 41.1 Motor Vehicle 16 20 4 25.0 Other 372 376 4 1.1 Total $3,119 $3,067 $(52) (1.7)
State of Minnesota fiscal year 2010 Q1 revenues below fiscal year 2009 Q1 Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009. $ millions Estimate Variance  % Yr Chg % Withholding $1,398 $(27) (2.0) $(112) (7.6) Indiv. Est. 290 (55) (18.9) (99) (29.6) Gross Sales 924 (13) (1.4) (143) (13.6) Corp. Est. 127 37 29.1 (15) (8.4) Total $3,119 $(52) (1.7) $(359) (10.5)
Minnesota Is Facing Significant Long-Term Bud g et Problems
Problems Remain for 2012-13 Biennium ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009. $ millions FY2012 FY2013 FY2012-13 Revenues $16,576 $17,729 $34,305 Expenditures 19,728 19,008 38,736 Difference ($3,152) $(1,279) $(4,431)
Economic/Demographic Environment Has Changed ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009.
Minnesota Faces a Fiscal Trap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009.
2007-09 Recession Permanently Reduced the Base for Future Revenues Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009.
Next 25 Years--State Revenue Growth Rate Projected To Slow Budget Trends Commission, 2009
From 2010 to 2020, Minnesota will  see large increases age 50s and 60s   Source: Minnesota State Demographic Center, rev 2007 Numbers are rounded
Budget pressures will change -- more 65+ than school age by 2020 Census counts & State Demographer projection, revised 2007
If state health care costs continue their current trend, state spending on other services can’t grow General Fund Spending Outlook, presentation to the Budget Trends Commission, August 2008, Dybdal, Reitan and Broat
How do we get out of this fiscal trap? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009.
Impact to the Minnesota State Colleges and Universities
Higher education share of state’s budget Fiscal year 2011 estimate includes unallotment. Higher education includes the Minnesota State Colleges and Universities, the University of Minnesota, and the Minnesota Office of Higher Education.
State appropriation per FYE student During past decade, appropriation per FYE student has decreased $765 (16 percent); adjusted for inflation decrease is $1,759 (36.5 percent)
Minnesota state colleges and universities share of state budget ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Northeast Higher Education District share of allocation framework ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Minnesota state colleges and universities strategy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
System’s strategic focus 2010 Action Plan  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

More Related Content

What's hot

Elmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updated
Elmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updatedElmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updated
Elmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updated
Storer Rowley
 
Distribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household Earnings
Distribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household EarningsDistribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household Earnings
Distribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household Earnings
Congressional Budget Office
 
Government spending
Government spendingGovernment spending
Government spending
sruehle817
 
Fiscal cliff & its impact on india
Fiscal cliff & its impact on indiaFiscal cliff & its impact on india
Fiscal cliff & its impact on india
Suresh Malluswamy
 

What's hot (14)

Infographic: The Federal Budget in 2013
Infographic: The Federal Budget in 2013Infographic: The Federal Budget in 2013
Infographic: The Federal Budget in 2013
 
Overview of the Federal Budget
Overview of the Federal BudgetOverview of the Federal Budget
Overview of the Federal Budget
 
Infographic: Revenues in 2013
Infographic: Revenues in 2013Infographic: Revenues in 2013
Infographic: Revenues in 2013
 
The Uncertainty of Long-Term Budget Projections
The Uncertainty of Long-Term Budget ProjectionsThe Uncertainty of Long-Term Budget Projections
The Uncertainty of Long-Term Budget Projections
 
Elmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updated
Elmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updatedElmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updated
Elmhurst college thomasjohnson-taxpresentation 1 26 11 updated
 
Achieving-prudent-debt-targets-using-fiscal-rules-Rencontres-economiques-d-Ai...
Achieving-prudent-debt-targets-using-fiscal-rules-Rencontres-economiques-d-Ai...Achieving-prudent-debt-targets-using-fiscal-rules-Rencontres-economiques-d-Ai...
Achieving-prudent-debt-targets-using-fiscal-rules-Rencontres-economiques-d-Ai...
 
Distribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household Earnings
Distribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household EarningsDistribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household Earnings
Distribution of Medicare Taxes and Spending by Lifetime Household Earnings
 
The Distribution of Household Income, Federal Taxes, and Government Spending
The Distribution of Household Income, Federal Taxes, and Government SpendingThe Distribution of Household Income, Federal Taxes, and Government Spending
The Distribution of Household Income, Federal Taxes, and Government Spending
 
Growing Healthcare Costsandthe Federal Debt
Growing Healthcare Costsandthe Federal DebtGrowing Healthcare Costsandthe Federal Debt
Growing Healthcare Costsandthe Federal Debt
 
Fiscal Policy and Automatic Stabilizers
Fiscal Policy and Automatic StabilizersFiscal Policy and Automatic Stabilizers
Fiscal Policy and Automatic Stabilizers
 
Government spending
Government spendingGovernment spending
Government spending
 
Fred Dickson SOBC 2011
Fred Dickson SOBC 2011Fred Dickson SOBC 2011
Fred Dickson SOBC 2011
 
CRFB webinar - Where Does the Next Phase of COVID Relief Stand - July 31, 2020
CRFB webinar - Where Does the Next Phase of COVID Relief Stand - July 31, 2020CRFB webinar - Where Does the Next Phase of COVID Relief Stand - July 31, 2020
CRFB webinar - Where Does the Next Phase of COVID Relief Stand - July 31, 2020
 
Fiscal cliff & its impact on india
Fiscal cliff & its impact on indiaFiscal cliff & its impact on india
Fiscal cliff & its impact on india
 

Viewers also liked

State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System
State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the SystemState of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System
State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System
guest962eab
 
Minnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M Econonmist
Minnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M EcononmistMinnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M Econonmist
Minnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M Econonmist
smalltofeds
 

Viewers also liked (7)

Stinson gillaspy
Stinson gillaspyStinson gillaspy
Stinson gillaspy
 
State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System
State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the SystemState of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System
State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System
 
Minnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M Econonmist
Minnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M EcononmistMinnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M Econonmist
Minnesota And The New Normal By Tom Stinson U Of M Econonmist
 
Stay Up To Date on the Latest Happenings in the Boardroom: Recommended Summer...
Stay Up To Date on the Latest Happenings in the Boardroom: Recommended Summer...Stay Up To Date on the Latest Happenings in the Boardroom: Recommended Summer...
Stay Up To Date on the Latest Happenings in the Boardroom: Recommended Summer...
 
10 Tips for WeChat
10 Tips for WeChat10 Tips for WeChat
10 Tips for WeChat
 
Benefits of drinking water
Benefits of drinking waterBenefits of drinking water
Benefits of drinking water
 
20 Ideas for your Website Homepage Content
20 Ideas for your Website Homepage Content20 Ideas for your Website Homepage Content
20 Ideas for your Website Homepage Content
 

Similar to State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System

Fairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget Presentation
Fairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget PresentationFairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget Presentation
Fairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget Presentation
Juan Rengel
 
Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011
Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011
Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011
wcsd_01
 
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
campusfacultyassoc
 

Similar to State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System (20)

Averting a Fiscal Crisis
Averting a Fiscal CrisisAverting a Fiscal Crisis
Averting a Fiscal Crisis
 
Strengthening Resources For Missouri Budget Presentation Updated Feb 2010
Strengthening Resources For Missouri Budget Presentation Updated Feb 2010Strengthening Resources For Missouri Budget Presentation Updated Feb 2010
Strengthening Resources For Missouri Budget Presentation Updated Feb 2010
 
Growing Healthcare Costs and the Federal Debt
Growing Healthcare Costs and the Federal DebtGrowing Healthcare Costs and the Federal Debt
Growing Healthcare Costs and the Federal Debt
 
Fairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget Presentation
Fairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget PresentationFairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget Presentation
Fairfax County Government FY 2017 Advertised Budget Presentation
 
Joint Meeting of Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY2016-FY2017 Budget ...
Joint Meeting of Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY2016-FY2017 Budget ...Joint Meeting of Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY2016-FY2017 Budget ...
Joint Meeting of Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY2016-FY2017 Budget ...
 
Economy Demographics 072508
Economy Demographics 072508Economy Demographics 072508
Economy Demographics 072508
 
CBC's NYC and NYS Budget Briefings
CBC's NYC and NYS Budget BriefingsCBC's NYC and NYS Budget Briefings
CBC's NYC and NYS Budget Briefings
 
Fall 2009 Budget Forum
Fall 2009 Budget ForumFall 2009 Budget Forum
Fall 2009 Budget Forum
 
Mo Budget Forum 2010 Budget 2 5 10
Mo Budget Forum 2010 Budget 2 5 10Mo Budget Forum 2010 Budget 2 5 10
Mo Budget Forum 2010 Budget 2 5 10
 
Joint Meeting of the Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY 2017-FY 2018 B...
Joint Meeting of the Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY 2017-FY 2018 B...Joint Meeting of the Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY 2017-FY 2018 B...
Joint Meeting of the Board of Supervisors and School Board: FY 2017-FY 2018 B...
 
Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011
Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011
Budget Presentation Feb. 16, 2011
 
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
 
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
Ralph martire slide show 4 14-11
 
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
Tax Cuts and Jobs ActTax Cuts and Jobs Act
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
 
Federal budget slide show civic club version
Federal budget slide show civic club versionFederal budget slide show civic club version
Federal budget slide show civic club version
 
Test Today
Test TodayTest Today
Test Today
 
Test Today
Test TodayTest Today
Test Today
 
The Great Recession Is Over: What’s Next, and What Does It Mean for Learning?
The Great Recession Is Over: What’s Next, and What Does It Mean for Learning?The Great Recession Is Over: What’s Next, and What Does It Mean for Learning?
The Great Recession Is Over: What’s Next, and What Does It Mean for Learning?
 
Fairfax County FY2012-FY2014 Budget Forecast
Fairfax County FY2012-FY2014 Budget ForecastFairfax County FY2012-FY2014 Budget Forecast
Fairfax County FY2012-FY2014 Budget Forecast
 
Childrens Hospices And The Recession 100129
Childrens Hospices And The Recession 100129Childrens Hospices And The Recession 100129
Childrens Hospices And The Recession 100129
 

Recently uploaded

Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please PractiseSpellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
AnaAcapella
 
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functionsSalient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
KarakKing
 
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
ZurliaSoop
 

Recently uploaded (20)

How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
 
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptxTowards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
Towards a code of practice for AI in AT.pptx
 
Google Gemini An AI Revolution in Education.pptx
Google Gemini An AI Revolution in Education.pptxGoogle Gemini An AI Revolution in Education.pptx
Google Gemini An AI Revolution in Education.pptx
 
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
How to Create and Manage Wizard in Odoo 17
 
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
Sensory_Experience_and_Emotional_Resonance_in_Gabriel_Okaras_The_Piano_and_Th...
 
Python Notes for mca i year students osmania university.docx
Python Notes for mca i year students osmania university.docxPython Notes for mca i year students osmania university.docx
Python Notes for mca i year students osmania university.docx
 
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdfUGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
UGC NET Paper 1 Mathematical Reasoning & Aptitude.pdf
 
Key note speaker Neum_Admir Softic_ENG.pdf
Key note speaker Neum_Admir Softic_ENG.pdfKey note speaker Neum_Admir Softic_ENG.pdf
Key note speaker Neum_Admir Softic_ENG.pdf
 
Spatium Project Simulation student brief
Spatium Project Simulation student briefSpatium Project Simulation student brief
Spatium Project Simulation student brief
 
REMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptx
REMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptxREMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptx
REMIFENTANIL: An Ultra short acting opioid.pptx
 
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
 
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
Accessible Digital Futures project (20/03/2024)
 
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please PractiseSpellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
Spellings Wk 3 English CAPS CARES Please Practise
 
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functionsSalient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
Salient Features of India constitution especially power and functions
 
Beyond_Borders_Understanding_Anime_and_Manga_Fandom_A_Comprehensive_Audience_...
Beyond_Borders_Understanding_Anime_and_Manga_Fandom_A_Comprehensive_Audience_...Beyond_Borders_Understanding_Anime_and_Manga_Fandom_A_Comprehensive_Audience_...
Beyond_Borders_Understanding_Anime_and_Manga_Fandom_A_Comprehensive_Audience_...
 
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
Making communications land - Are they received and understood as intended? we...
 
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
Jual Obat Aborsi Hongkong ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan...
 
Wellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptx
Wellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptxWellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptx
Wellbeing inclusion and digital dystopias.pptx
 
Kodo Millet PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...
Kodo Millet  PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...Kodo Millet  PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...
Kodo Millet PPT made by Ghanshyam bairwa college of Agriculture kumher bhara...
 
Unit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptx
Unit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptxUnit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptx
Unit-V; Pricing (Pharma Marketing Management).pptx
 

State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System

  • 1. State of Minnesota Economic Outlook: Implications for the System Presented to Northeast Higher Education District November 12, 2009
  • 2. Fiscal year 2010 budget gaps
  • 3. Spending cuts as percentage of actions
  • 4. Use of ARRA funds as percentage of actions
  • 5. Fiscal year 2011 budget gaps
  • 6. Fiscal year 2012 budget gaps
  • 7. State of Minnesota revenues below forecast: fiscal years 2010-2011 Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009. $ millions Estimate Actual Variance % Individual $1,728 $1,635 $(93) (5.4) Sales 874 854 (20) (2.3) Corporate 129 182 52 41.1 Motor Vehicle 16 20 4 25.0 Other 372 376 4 1.1 Total $3,119 $3,067 $(52) (1.7)
  • 8. State of Minnesota fiscal year 2010 Q1 revenues below fiscal year 2009 Q1 Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009. $ millions Estimate Variance % Yr Chg % Withholding $1,398 $(27) (2.0) $(112) (7.6) Indiv. Est. 290 (55) (18.9) (99) (29.6) Gross Sales 924 (13) (1.4) (143) (13.6) Corp. Est. 127 37 29.1 (15) (8.4) Total $3,119 $(52) (1.7) $(359) (10.5)
  • 9. Minnesota Is Facing Significant Long-Term Bud g et Problems
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. 2007-09 Recession Permanently Reduced the Base for Future Revenues Source: “But…What About Tomorrow?”, presentation to LCPFP Balanced Budget Subcommittee, October 2009.
  • 14. Next 25 Years--State Revenue Growth Rate Projected To Slow Budget Trends Commission, 2009
  • 15. From 2010 to 2020, Minnesota will see large increases age 50s and 60s Source: Minnesota State Demographic Center, rev 2007 Numbers are rounded
  • 16. Budget pressures will change -- more 65+ than school age by 2020 Census counts & State Demographer projection, revised 2007
  • 17. If state health care costs continue their current trend, state spending on other services can’t grow General Fund Spending Outlook, presentation to the Budget Trends Commission, August 2008, Dybdal, Reitan and Broat
  • 18.
  • 19. Impact to the Minnesota State Colleges and Universities
  • 20. Higher education share of state’s budget Fiscal year 2011 estimate includes unallotment. Higher education includes the Minnesota State Colleges and Universities, the University of Minnesota, and the Minnesota Office of Higher Education.
  • 21. State appropriation per FYE student During past decade, appropriation per FYE student has decreased $765 (16 percent); adjusted for inflation decrease is $1,759 (36.5 percent)
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.

Editor's Notes

  1. Data that was reported to the National Conference of State Legislators: Minnesota: FY2012 budget gap $3.15 billion; 18.9% of general fund budget
  2. FY2010: END OF FIRST QUARTER $52 million less than projected (1.7% decrease) Largest variance in individual income tax category