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The future of productivity
An eight-step game plan for Canada




Greater Halifax Partnership
State of the Economy Conference
May 24, 2012
Canada now faces a significant and growing productivity gap relative to the U.S.,
which will threaten our long-term prosperity

       Over the past 30 years, productivity growth        The period from 2001 to present has been most
       has taken divergent trajectories in Canada and     challenging, as Canadian productivity growth has
       the United States                                  trailed most OECD nations


        GDP per worker, indexed to 1981 baseline          Labour productivity CAGR, 2001-2009




Sources: Centre for the Study of Living Standards, OECD

1      The future of productivity                                                        © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Within Canada, Nova Scotia helps drive productivity growth but lags in its overall
    level of labour productivity

      Provincial Productivity Level, Productivity Growth, and GDP

                                               55
                                                                     Canadian Productivity Growth =                  US Productivity Growth = 2.0%
                                                                     0.8%
      Labour Productivity Level, 2010 ($/hr)




                                               50
                                                        AB

                                                                                                                                                NL
                                               45
                                                                ON
                                                                                                                         Average Canadian Productivity Level = $42/hr
                                                                                     SK
                                               40                                  BC


                                                               QC                                     MB
                                               35
                                                                                NS                           NB
                                                                                                                                           Legend
                                                                                                       PEI                        % contribution to national GDP
                                               30
                                                 0.0%   0.5%             1.0%                1.5%                 2.0%                   2.5%                         3.0%
                                                                            Labour Productivity Growth, 2000 - 2010




Observations
•                Atlantic Canada has the strongest productivity growth, led by Newfoundland, despite representing a small shares of Canadian GDP




                                                                                                                                © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
    Sources: Statistics Canada
Deloitte believes that low productivity is, and will continue to be, the most
significant threat to Canada’s standard of living




                                                   Is this a problem for Canada?


                 No                             No                               Yes                                         Yes
     Canada’s unemployment rate       While the average number         Canada’s productivity growth              GDP per capita is
     has not surpassed 12% in the     of hours Canadians work has      has been declining in recent              increasing at a slower rate
     past 40 years, and has hovered   decreased slightly over the      years on both an absolute                 than many of our peers
     between 6% and 9% in the         past 30 years, declines are in   basis and relative to its peers
     past 10 years                    line with the OECD average




Sources: OECD, Statistics Canada

3      The future of productivity                                                                        © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
We have identified six issues that Canada should focus on addressing in order to
close the productivity gap




4   The future of productivity                               © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Although some differences exist, Canadian and American executives identify
themselves as having very similar levels of risk tolerance

      How firms characterize their risk tolerance levels

                                                  46%
                                          43%



                                                                     31%

                                                                             25%


                                                                                                                                    Canada
                        13%                                                                  13%     13%                            United States
               11%


                                                                                                                             2%        3%


         Very low risk tolerance        Low risk tolerance      Moderate risk tolerance   High risk tolerance        Very high risk tolerance


                                     “Risk Avoiders”                                                       “Risk Takers”

                               Percentage of total firms                                             Percentage of total firms
                            Canada                       U.S.                                    Canada                             U.S.


                              54%                       59%                                        46%                             41%



Source: Deloitte Research

5      The future of productivity                                                                          © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
However, when measured against Deloitte’s Executive Risk Behavior Index, we see
that, in practice, Canadians are much less willing to take risks


         The Deloitte Executive Risk Behaviour Index


                                                                                                            57.7


                                             47.4




                                           Canada                                                      United States



     Observations
     •    Based on a survey of 900 Canadian and American business leaders, Canada scored a 47.4 on the index vs. the American score of 57.7
          (maximum score of 100)
     •    The Deloitte risk behaviour index was constructed based on a wide array of factors representing a firm’s actions, including a firm’s risk
          evaluation practices, involvement in research, development and innovation, and dependence on government support
     •    The index has been adjusted to account for national differences in the current/future state views on macro-economic conditions



Source: Deloitte Research

6        The future of productivity                                                                                 © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
This is illustrated by behaviours like Canada’s lower R&D participation rates, a
phenomenon that is largely driven by Canadian “risk avoiders”
                                    The overall rate of R&D participation of surveyed firms                                                 Risk avoiding Canadian firms are less likely to conduct
                                    in Canada is lower than in the United States                                                            R&D than their American counterparts

                                           R&D participation rate                                                                                  R&D participation rate                 “Risk takers”
                                                                                                                                                                                          “Risk avoiders”
                                    100%                                                                                                    100%

                                    90%                                                                                                      90%                                      86%
                                                                                 84%                                                                                                              83%
                                                                                                                                                         81%
                                    80%                74%                                                                                   80%




                                                                                                            Percent of Survey Respondents
    Percent of Survey Respondents




                                                                                                                                                                  69%
                                    70%                                                                                                      70%

                                    60%                                                                                                      60%

                                    50%                                                                                                      50%

                                    40%                                                                                                      40%

                                    30%                                                                                                      30%

                                    20%                                                                                                      20%

                                    10%                                                                                                      10%

                                     0%                                                                                                       0%
                                                     Canada                 United States                                                                   Canada                    United States

                                     Observations
                                     • While overall participation in R&D is lower in Canada than in the United States, the difference is most pronounced among firms with “risk
                                       avoiding” business models

Source: Deloitte Research

7                                   The future of productivity                                                                                                       © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Canadian firms also exhibited a far greater reliance on government incentives
than on market factors to induce productivity-boosting behaviours like R&D

    Government factors                                              Market factors

    Firms “Somewhat Likely” or “Very Likely” to increase            Firms “Somewhat Likely” or “Very Likely” to increase R&D
    expenditure on R&D if offered tax credits to do so              expenditure due to improved intellectual property protections

                        74%
                                              68%                                                                 64%
                                                                                       60%




                      Canada              United States                              Canada                 United States

           • Canadian firms are less averse to tax credit-induced         • U.S. firms are more likely to expand R&D investment
             R&D expenditure than U.S. firms                                as a result of better IP protection

    Firms “Very Likely” to increase R&D expenditure if offered      Firms “Somewhat Likely” or “Very Likely” to increase R&D
    increased government grants                                     expenditure if there were increased availability of risk capital


                                                                                                                  68%
                                                                                       61%

                        33%
                                              23%



                      Canada              United States                              Canada                 United States

           • Canadian firms are more likely to boost R&D spending         • U.S. firms are more likely to increase R&D spending
             if incentivized with increased government grants               as a result of increased access to risk capital
Source: Deloitte Research

8       The future of productivity                                                                © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
We believe that to address the issue of productivity businesses, academia and
government must act in a deliberate and collaborative fashion




9   The future of productivity                               © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Deloitte has put forward eight recommendations we believe are necessary
to improve Canada’s productivity in the near-term, and to foster ongoing
productivity growth

     In order to achieve meaningful impacts on Canadian productivity, businesses, academia and
     government will need to act in a deliberate and collaborative manner across eight key recommendations:




     Each recommendation enables the success of others creating a self-reinforcing system for driving
     improvement in Canada’s productivity




10   The future of productivity                                                           © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Co-locate: Create a national clustering strategy

Deloitte believes that a national clustering strategy is required in order to increase productivity and drive
innovation in key fields.

 A national strategy will enable Canada            Cluster development must be led by local             … their strategies must be supported
 to realize the benefits of clustering             businesses, governments and academia…                by Federal and Provincial governments




 • Clustering supports the growth of high           • Local stakeholders must collaborate to            • Federal and provincial governments must
   productivity, high innovation areas where          develop strategies to support the                   provide the necessary resources and
   related firms can actively collaborate             emergence or growth of clusters                     infrastructure to support local cluster
                                                                                                          strategies



 Key Considerations
 • Cluster development requires a long term vision, with the growth of world class clusters measured in decades, not years
 • There must be a strong rationale for each cluster that builds on existing talents, industries and or natural advantages (e.g. geography)




11    The future of productivity                                                                                © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Deloitte has worked with the leading hubs in Canada to determine their economic
impact and the complexities of their clusters
                                      Communitech is a leading incubator in the Waterloo region

                            Description                                                                     Impact


                                                         $84M                    $154M                           $530M                        25
                                                         Client capital raised   Client revenue                  Client deal flow             New research and industry
                                                                                                                                              collaborations
     • Communitech is a not-for-profit organization
       that supports technology startups in Waterloo
       Region
                                                         573                     366                             $7.1K                        8,000
     • Communitech plays a material role in              New jobs created by     Startup client companies
                                                                                                                 Cost for Communitech to      Visitors to the Hub
                                                                                                                 create a new direct job
       championing innovation on a provincial and        Communitech clients

       national level
     • The ecosystem creates a network of
       resources that benefit both entrepreneurs and
       the members of the network


                            MaRS is a premiere incubator in Toronto with strong ties to the health sciences

                            Description                                                                     Impact

                                                         $277M                   $130M                           $71M                         1,771
                                                         Client capital raised   Client revenue                  Total grants received        New products to market


     • MaRS has a prominent location in the heart of
       Toronto with 700,000 square feet available for
       research labs, offices and event facilities                                                               2,530                        70%
                                                         1,203                   1,054                           Total Jobs                   New jobs created by ICE
                                                         New jobs created by     Startup client companies                                     sector
     • MaRS accommodates companies across                Communitech clients
       Information and Communication Technology,
       Clean Tech, Life Science and Social
       Innovation

Source: Deloitte analysis

                                                                                                                                   © 2010 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu
                                                                                                                       © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Successful hubs leverage available resources and the existing local environment to
address specific market demands


EXTERNAL
                                                         Market Demand
ENVIRONMENT
                                   Collaborative       • Hubs must have
                                    Networks             client / tenant        Risk Capital
                                                         demand for
                              • Formal and informal                         • Investment is
                                                         services
                                collaboration                                 required for high
             Talent             between                                                                           Policy
                                                                              risk / uncertain
                                stakeholders to
    • Pool of talent is                                                       activities of              • Stakeholders
                                effectively leverage
      necessary for                                                           entrepreneurs and            consider market
                                networks for scale,
      ideation and              best practices                                researchers                  regulation and
      implementation of                                                                                    financial incentives
      innovation                                                                                           (e.g. tax rate and
                                                                                                           credits, subsidies)
                                                           Innovation
                                                              Hub
    Dedicated Anchor                                                                                          Hub Financing

   • Anchors bring                                                                                        • Typically hubs use
     significant resources                                                                                  a mix of
     and network                                                                                            public/private
     influence to the hub                                                        Infrastructure             support and
                                    Mentors
                                                                                                            revenues
                                                                              • Co-location
                             • Experienced
                                                         Experienced Hub        requires the right
                               entrepreneurs help
                                                           Management           mix of space and
                               new ventures
                                                                                equipment (e.g.
                               navigate operational
                                                       • Hub management         offices, meeting
                               challenges and
                                                         needs the              rooms, common
INTERNAL                       secure funding
                                                         capabilities for       areas, and labs)
HUB RESOURCES                                            operations


                                                                                               © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
There is a significant opportunity for Halifax to develop a clustering strategy;
the initiative must stem from the business community


          Businesses                   Academia                       Government




                                                                 © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Discussion Questions

1. Would a clustering strategy make Halifax a more productive city?

2. Around which industries should a Halifax cluster be built? Is the
   shipbuilding contract a natural catalyst?

3. As a business leader, what is your role in building a cluster and
   increasing productivity?




15   The future of productivity                         © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
Deloitte: The Future of Productivity

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Deloitte: The Future of Productivity

  • 1. The future of productivity An eight-step game plan for Canada Greater Halifax Partnership State of the Economy Conference May 24, 2012
  • 2. Canada now faces a significant and growing productivity gap relative to the U.S., which will threaten our long-term prosperity Over the past 30 years, productivity growth The period from 2001 to present has been most has taken divergent trajectories in Canada and challenging, as Canadian productivity growth has the United States trailed most OECD nations GDP per worker, indexed to 1981 baseline Labour productivity CAGR, 2001-2009 Sources: Centre for the Study of Living Standards, OECD 1 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 3. Within Canada, Nova Scotia helps drive productivity growth but lags in its overall level of labour productivity Provincial Productivity Level, Productivity Growth, and GDP 55 Canadian Productivity Growth = US Productivity Growth = 2.0% 0.8% Labour Productivity Level, 2010 ($/hr) 50 AB NL 45 ON Average Canadian Productivity Level = $42/hr SK 40 BC QC MB 35 NS NB Legend PEI % contribution to national GDP 30 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% Labour Productivity Growth, 2000 - 2010 Observations • Atlantic Canada has the strongest productivity growth, led by Newfoundland, despite representing a small shares of Canadian GDP © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities. Sources: Statistics Canada
  • 4. Deloitte believes that low productivity is, and will continue to be, the most significant threat to Canada’s standard of living Is this a problem for Canada? No No Yes Yes Canada’s unemployment rate While the average number Canada’s productivity growth GDP per capita is has not surpassed 12% in the of hours Canadians work has has been declining in recent increasing at a slower rate past 40 years, and has hovered decreased slightly over the years on both an absolute than many of our peers between 6% and 9% in the past 30 years, declines are in basis and relative to its peers past 10 years line with the OECD average Sources: OECD, Statistics Canada 3 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 5. We have identified six issues that Canada should focus on addressing in order to close the productivity gap 4 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 6. Although some differences exist, Canadian and American executives identify themselves as having very similar levels of risk tolerance How firms characterize their risk tolerance levels 46% 43% 31% 25% Canada 13% 13% 13% United States 11% 2% 3% Very low risk tolerance Low risk tolerance Moderate risk tolerance High risk tolerance Very high risk tolerance “Risk Avoiders” “Risk Takers” Percentage of total firms Percentage of total firms Canada U.S. Canada U.S. 54% 59% 46% 41% Source: Deloitte Research 5 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 7. However, when measured against Deloitte’s Executive Risk Behavior Index, we see that, in practice, Canadians are much less willing to take risks The Deloitte Executive Risk Behaviour Index 57.7 47.4 Canada United States Observations • Based on a survey of 900 Canadian and American business leaders, Canada scored a 47.4 on the index vs. the American score of 57.7 (maximum score of 100) • The Deloitte risk behaviour index was constructed based on a wide array of factors representing a firm’s actions, including a firm’s risk evaluation practices, involvement in research, development and innovation, and dependence on government support • The index has been adjusted to account for national differences in the current/future state views on macro-economic conditions Source: Deloitte Research 6 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 8. This is illustrated by behaviours like Canada’s lower R&D participation rates, a phenomenon that is largely driven by Canadian “risk avoiders” The overall rate of R&D participation of surveyed firms Risk avoiding Canadian firms are less likely to conduct in Canada is lower than in the United States R&D than their American counterparts R&D participation rate R&D participation rate “Risk takers” “Risk avoiders” 100% 100% 90% 90% 86% 84% 83% 81% 80% 74% 80% Percent of Survey Respondents Percent of Survey Respondents 69% 70% 70% 60% 60% 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% Canada United States Canada United States Observations • While overall participation in R&D is lower in Canada than in the United States, the difference is most pronounced among firms with “risk avoiding” business models Source: Deloitte Research 7 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 9. Canadian firms also exhibited a far greater reliance on government incentives than on market factors to induce productivity-boosting behaviours like R&D Government factors Market factors Firms “Somewhat Likely” or “Very Likely” to increase Firms “Somewhat Likely” or “Very Likely” to increase R&D expenditure on R&D if offered tax credits to do so expenditure due to improved intellectual property protections 74% 68% 64% 60% Canada United States Canada United States • Canadian firms are less averse to tax credit-induced • U.S. firms are more likely to expand R&D investment R&D expenditure than U.S. firms as a result of better IP protection Firms “Very Likely” to increase R&D expenditure if offered Firms “Somewhat Likely” or “Very Likely” to increase R&D increased government grants expenditure if there were increased availability of risk capital 68% 61% 33% 23% Canada United States Canada United States • Canadian firms are more likely to boost R&D spending • U.S. firms are more likely to increase R&D spending if incentivized with increased government grants as a result of increased access to risk capital Source: Deloitte Research 8 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 10. We believe that to address the issue of productivity businesses, academia and government must act in a deliberate and collaborative fashion 9 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 11. Deloitte has put forward eight recommendations we believe are necessary to improve Canada’s productivity in the near-term, and to foster ongoing productivity growth In order to achieve meaningful impacts on Canadian productivity, businesses, academia and government will need to act in a deliberate and collaborative manner across eight key recommendations: Each recommendation enables the success of others creating a self-reinforcing system for driving improvement in Canada’s productivity 10 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 12. Co-locate: Create a national clustering strategy Deloitte believes that a national clustering strategy is required in order to increase productivity and drive innovation in key fields. A national strategy will enable Canada Cluster development must be led by local … their strategies must be supported to realize the benefits of clustering businesses, governments and academia… by Federal and Provincial governments • Clustering supports the growth of high • Local stakeholders must collaborate to • Federal and provincial governments must productivity, high innovation areas where develop strategies to support the provide the necessary resources and related firms can actively collaborate emergence or growth of clusters infrastructure to support local cluster strategies Key Considerations • Cluster development requires a long term vision, with the growth of world class clusters measured in decades, not years • There must be a strong rationale for each cluster that builds on existing talents, industries and or natural advantages (e.g. geography) 11 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 13. Deloitte has worked with the leading hubs in Canada to determine their economic impact and the complexities of their clusters Communitech is a leading incubator in the Waterloo region Description Impact $84M $154M $530M 25 Client capital raised Client revenue Client deal flow New research and industry collaborations • Communitech is a not-for-profit organization that supports technology startups in Waterloo Region 573 366 $7.1K 8,000 • Communitech plays a material role in New jobs created by Startup client companies Cost for Communitech to Visitors to the Hub create a new direct job championing innovation on a provincial and Communitech clients national level • The ecosystem creates a network of resources that benefit both entrepreneurs and the members of the network MaRS is a premiere incubator in Toronto with strong ties to the health sciences Description Impact $277M $130M $71M 1,771 Client capital raised Client revenue Total grants received New products to market • MaRS has a prominent location in the heart of Toronto with 700,000 square feet available for research labs, offices and event facilities 2,530 70% 1,203 1,054 Total Jobs New jobs created by ICE New jobs created by Startup client companies sector • MaRS accommodates companies across Communitech clients Information and Communication Technology, Clean Tech, Life Science and Social Innovation Source: Deloitte analysis © 2010 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 14. Successful hubs leverage available resources and the existing local environment to address specific market demands EXTERNAL Market Demand ENVIRONMENT Collaborative • Hubs must have Networks client / tenant Risk Capital demand for • Formal and informal • Investment is services collaboration required for high Talent between Policy risk / uncertain stakeholders to • Pool of talent is activities of • Stakeholders effectively leverage necessary for entrepreneurs and consider market networks for scale, ideation and best practices researchers regulation and implementation of financial incentives innovation (e.g. tax rate and credits, subsidies) Innovation Hub Dedicated Anchor Hub Financing • Anchors bring • Typically hubs use significant resources a mix of and network public/private influence to the hub Infrastructure support and Mentors revenues • Co-location • Experienced Experienced Hub requires the right entrepreneurs help Management mix of space and new ventures equipment (e.g. navigate operational • Hub management offices, meeting challenges and needs the rooms, common INTERNAL secure funding capabilities for areas, and labs) HUB RESOURCES operations © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 15. There is a significant opportunity for Halifax to develop a clustering strategy; the initiative must stem from the business community Businesses Academia Government © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.
  • 16. Discussion Questions 1. Would a clustering strategy make Halifax a more productive city? 2. Around which industries should a Halifax cluster be built? Is the shipbuilding contract a natural catalyst? 3. As a business leader, what is your role in building a cluster and increasing productivity? 15 The future of productivity © Deloitte & Touche LLP and affiliated entities.