GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010
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GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010

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Mobile Broadband Status Report:...

Mobile Broadband Status Report:

Contents:

* About the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA)
* The mass market mobile broadband reality
* Network commitments, deployments, launches, subscriptions
* Availability of devices and segmentation
* HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) status worldwide
* LTE network commitments, deployments, prospects
* Spectrum for mobile broadband services
- New: 2.6 GHz, and Digital Dividend
- Re-farmed bands: e.g. 1800 MHz (LTE1800)

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GSA Mobile Broadband Status Report August 2010 Presentation Transcript

  • 1. Mobile Broadband Status Report Update from GSA Global mobile Suppliers Association www.gsacom.com September 2, 2010 www.gsacom.com/rss/gsanews.php4 GSA Secretariat Tel +44 1279 439 667 info@gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 1/30
  • 2. Contents About the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) The mass market mobile broadband reality Network commitments, deployments, launches, subscriptions Availability of devices and segmentation HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) status worldwide LTE network commitments, deployments, prospects: FDD, TDD Spectrum for mobile broadband services  New: 2.6 GHz, and Digital Dividend  Re-farmed bands: e.g. 900 MHz (UMTS900), 1800 MHz www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 2/30
  • 3. Global mobile Suppliers Association  Representing leading GSM/EDGE, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE suppliers globally  Promoting GSM/EDGE/WCDMA and evolved systems for successful delivery of mobile broadband, enhanced multimedia, voice services  3GPP Market Representation Partner Mobile Broadband Growth reports Facts-based research by GSA Leveraging strong links in the industry UMTS 900 Global Status Objective analysis Evolution to LTE GSA surveys, reports, regular updates Evolution of Network Speeds LTE Operator Commitments Mobile Broadband Spectrum HSPA network deployments/launches EDGE Evolution WCDMA Network Launches HSPA Evolution (HSPA+) HSPA Devices availability Digital Dividend spectrum 3G Services and Applications 60+ charts, maps Mobile broadband success stories EDGE Operators Worldwide www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 3/30
  • 4. Slide no. 4/30 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010
  • 5. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 5/30
  • 6. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 6/30
  • 7. Mobile broadband is mainstream GLOBAL economies of scale today with HSPA-enabled mobile broadband  353 HSPA networks commercially launched in 147 countries 98.8% of commercial WCDMA networks are HSPA-enabled 550+ million WCDMA subscriptions (including HSPA) HSPA supports all main cellular bands 18 UMTS900 networks commercially launched HSPA Operator Commitments Survey: GSA – June 30, 2010 ALSO SEE – Global HSPA Update – slide deck – www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 7/30
  • 8. Well-established mobile broadband eco-system  2,579 HSPA devices launched by 235 suppliers  840 HSPA devices launched in past 9 months (48% growth)  press release www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_305.php4 55% of devices support peak d/link data speed at least 7.2 Mps 724 HSUPA devices 50 HSPA+ devices Smartphone (i.e. HSPA with WiFi) is the main growth device segment 401 UMTS900 devices supporting HSPA (111% increase since October 2009) Excluding notebooks and e-book readers, 19% of HSPA devices operate in the 900 MHz band GSA HSPA Devices Survey: July 12, 2010 Key Findings: www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/wcdma_databank.php4 Use GAMBoD for further analysis www.gsacom.com/gambod www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 8/30
  • 9. Mobile broadband success stories globally Reports from operators globally consistently confirm traffic and revenue growth GSA report - Mobile Broadband Growth www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com/gsm_3g/info_papers.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 9/30
  • 10. Explosion in mobile data growth predicted Leading the Mobile Broadband Revolution Ralph de la Vega, Chairman of the Board, CTIA  Mobile broadband growth outpaces every other platform**  Pew estimates that by 2020, mobile devices will be the primary Internet devices for most people in the world***  The average smartphone user generates 10 times the amount of traffic generated by the average non-smartphone user* *Source: Cisco, VNI Mobile, 2010 ** Source: CTIA, Written Ex Parte to FCC, Sept. 29, 2009 *** Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project, Dec. 2008  Worldwide Machine-to-Machine devices rise to 412 million by 2014* * Source: Juniper Research, Embedded Mobile and M2M Strategies 2009-2014, Jan. 2010 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 10/30
  • 11. More industry forecasts  By 2015, there will be 3.5 billion mobile broadband users around the world, compared to the 500+ million that use it at present (Ericsson)  The total data traffic volume in 2015 will be more than 30 times that of 2010. Operators will need to make capital investments to increase capacity in order to meet this demand (Analysys Mason)  Shipments of mobile broadband-enabled consumer products, which includes e-book readers, mobile digital cameras, camcorders, personal media players, personal navigation devices and mobile gaming devices will increase 55-fold between 2008 and 2014 with total shipments reaching 58 million units per year in 2014 (ABI Research) www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 11/30
  • 12. HSPA+ is the main trend in 2010  Approaching I in 5 HSPA operators commercially launched HSPA+ 63 commercial HSPA+ networks launched in 35 countries • 53 networks support 21 Mbps peak • 7 networks support 28 Mbps • 3 networks support 42 Mbps By end 2010 GSA anticipates up to 100 HSPA+ networks will be in commercial in service Updates on network commitments, launches, ecosystem Global HSPA+ Network Commitments and Deployments – www.gsacom.com AND HSPA+ Overview Slide Deck – www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 12/30
  • 13. HSPA+ entering the mainstream in 2010 HSPA has a strong evolution path HSPA+ eco-system today 50 HSPA+ devices launched in the market HSPA and HSPA+ devices analysis tool on www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 13/30
  • 14. The industry direction is to LTE - LTE is needed to accommodate huge traffic growth Year 2010: LTE performance Peak downlink: > 150 Mbps Mobile broadband is gaining momentum from Typical user speed: 10-30 Mbps widespread 3.5G deployments, flat rate data Typical user UL rate: 5-50 Mbps tariffs, and availability of internet friendly mobiles Spectrum flexibility Traffic rising/revenue falling Can use new or re-farmed spectrum, FDD and TDD Variable channel bandwidth 40x – 100x traffic increase May need to be supported Improved performance across several frequency bands Higher capacity, peak and user data rates Higher bandwidth Much lower latency “always on”; enhanced user experience LTE is essential to take mobile Lower cost IP-based flat network architecture; Low OPEX broadband to the mass market High degree of self configuration/optimization High re-use of assets including sites Complements 3G/HSPA Addresses high capacity requirements Seamless service continuity/multimode devices Next generation solution for 3GPP and 3GPP2 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 14/30
  • 15. Global LTE commitments PRESS RELEASE: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4 3 LTE systems in commercial service: in Norway, Sweden and Uzbekistan Charts and maps are available at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 Up to 22 commercial LTE network launches anticipated by end 2010 - GSA Source of data: GSA Information Paper “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 15/30
  • 16. Spectrum for LTE deployments  An operator may introduce LTE in ‘new’ bands where it is easier to deploy 10 MHz or 20 MHz carriers for maximum benefits of using LTE  2.6 GHz band (IMT Extension band)  Digital Dividend spectrum 700, 800 MHz  or in re-farmed existing mobile bands e.g. 850, 900, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2100 MHz  Eventually LTE may be deployed in all of these bands – and others later  2.6 GHz (for capacity) and DD 700/800 MHz (wider coverage, improved in-building) is a good combination  LTE offers a choice of carrier bandwidths: 1.4 MHz to 20 MHz; the widest bandwidth will be needed for the highest speeds www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 16/30
  • 17. Other spectrum candidates for LTE LTE FDD LTE FDD will most likely in future be deployed in LTE TDD existing cellular bands too, including: Early TDD Spectrum for LTE (LTE TDD)  850 MHz  900 MHz  IMT Extension Center Gap 2570–2620 MHz  AWS (1700/2100 MHz)  2.3 TDD i.e. 2300–2400 MHz Future TDD possibility  1800 MHz = 3.6 GHz  1900 MHz  2100 MHz Future possibilities:  450 – 470 MHz  3.6 GHz www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 17/30
  • 18. 2.6 GHz: a key band for LTE in Asia, Europe, MEA  Telenor and Netcom have been granted licences and 2.6 GHz spectrum  TeliaSonera announced LTE commercial service launch in Oslo on December 15, 2009  Teliasonera, Elisa and DNA have been granted licences for 2.6 GHz spectrum and are building LTE networks in Finland. DNA obtained 40 MHz of 2.6 GHz spectrum  TeliaSonera Sweden is deploying LTE using nationwide 2x20 MHz 2.6 GHz spectrum and announced commercial service launch in Stockholm on December 15, 2009  MVNO and cable operator Telenet is trialing LTE in Mechelen, ahead of the 2.6 GHz auction expected in September 2010. Mobistar is also testing LTE.  In Hong Kong, 2x15 MHz blocks of 2.6 GHz FDD spectrum have been auctioned, and won by China Mobile, Genius Brand and CSL Limited  The Malaysian regulator MCMC plans to auction 3 blocks of 2.6 GHz spectrum for LTE in 2011, and is also consulting on re-farming 850/900/1800 spectrum for 3G services Several auctions of 2.6 GHz spectrum are scheduled or planned throughout European markets during 2010 - 2011 Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 18/30
  • 19. Digital Dividend bands New UHF Digital Dividend spectrum is becoming available in all regions  Region 1 (Europe, Middle East and Africa) identified 790-862 MHz for mobile services  Region 2 (Americas) identified 698-806 MHz  Region 3 (Asia) some countries (China, India, Japan) identified 698-862 MHz; others identified 790-862 MHz Digital Dividend Update Published by GSA – July 2010 www.gsacom.com www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 19/30
  • 20. Europe’s first Digital Dividend spectrum auctioned  German auction covered 360 MHz across four bands: 800 MHz (DD), 1800 MHz, 2100 MHz and 2600 MHz  Bidders were Deutsche Telecom, KPN/E-Plus, Telefonica O2 and Vodafone. Auction commenced April 12, 2010  800 MHz (DD) allocations were the most expensive; 6 x 5 MHz paired blocks (791-821 MHz and 832-862 MHz)  Coverage obligations and restrictions including spectrum caps apply After 224 Rounds the auction closed on May 20, 2010 and generated €4.384 billion www2.bundesnetzagentur.de/frequenzversteigerung2010 The 800 MHz spectrum auction raised €3.576 billion i.e. over 81.5% of the auction’s value www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 20/30
  • 21. LTE1800 – promising option LTE1800 operator trials activity e.g.: Elisa (FI) Bouygues Telecom (FR) Cosmote (GR) + several others Used with permission from Elisa www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 21/30
  • 22. The LTE market includes TDD as well as FDD “While the majority of LTE deployments today are using the FDD mode, the report confirms significant operator interest in the TDD mode. LTE FDD and LTE TDD are complementary technologies and standardized by 3GPP. A number of key technology milestones have been demonstrated in recent weeks which confirm how the LTE TDD system is maturing towards commercialization. The recently concluded BWA spectrum auction in India has paved the way for early and large scale introduction of TDD LTE into the world’s fastest developing market” GSA press release: www.gsacom.com/news/gsa_309.php4 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 22/30
  • 23. LTE TDD opportunities identified LTE TDD is positioned as the next evolution of theTD-SCDMA family and a natural progression  From 3GPP standards perspective: commonality with FDD  From vendor perspective: increasing use of software defined radio techniques  From operator perspective: spectrum availability, flexible base stations LTE TDD trials now Timescales established for prototype, dual-mode and multimode devices  In-service estimated as 2010-2011  LTE TDD Is being showcased by many leading players at the World Expo, Shanghai from May 2010  Clearwire (USA) has requested 3GPP to standardize LTE TDD for operation in 2496 – 2690 MHz and on August 4, 2010 announced plans for technology trials to test both LTE TDD and LTE FDD  Softbank Mobile (Japan) is reported to be considering LTE TDD in 2.5 GHz spectrum it owns www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 23/30
  • 24. LTE TDD is maturing towards commercialization LTE TDD is being showcased by China Mobile and leading industry partners at the World Expo 2010, Shanghai. The large-scale trial network covers the whole 5.28 square-km site, outdoors and in 9 pavilions and 2 demonstration centers. Several products supporting the trial network are launched or planned including WWAN cards, routers and dongles. Key milestones achieved in the trial include:  Demonstration of LTE TDD HD video telephone in single 20 MHz spectrum with peak DL speeds of up to 80 Mbps  Demonstration of VOD, video communication, and other high-speed mobile broadband apps  Demonstration of 24-channel video streaming  Mobile HD video conferencing between the trial network and another location  Inter-Operability Test of multiple LTE TDD USB dongles in a single mobile network cell China Mobile will establish 3 further trial LTE TDD networks in Qingdao, Xiamen and Zhuhai - beginning Q3 2010. China Mobile is also partnering with foreign operators to establish trial LTE TDD networks overseas, including Taiwan. India is a key market for LTE TDD following the BWA spectrum auction. Qualcomm through its JV with local partners is committed to LTE TDD and anticipates commercial service from 2011. Some other BWA spectrum winners are finalizing their technology choice, so more winners may also choose LTE TDD. www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 24/30
  • 25. LTE eco-system is developing Mobile phones, computer and consumer electronic devices including notebooks, netbooks, ultra-mobile PC’s, gaming devices, cameras, and PMPs will incorporate embedded LTE connectivity. Source of data: GSA report “Evolution to LTE” – August 26, 2010 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 25/30
  • 26. The roadmap for LTE Excellent Mobile Broadband Today Enhanced User Experience Voice and full Range of IP Services Improved voice and data capability Rel-99 Rel-5 Rel-6 Rel-7 Rel-8 Rel-9 & beyond WCDMA HSPA HSPA+ (HSPA Evolved) Rel-8 Rel-9 Rel-10 LTE leverages new, wider and TDD spectrum LTE LTE - A 2009 - 2010 2011+ - - - - - - - - - > www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 26/30
  • 27. LTE: the single global standard  LTE is on track, attracting global industry support.  The first LTE systems launched in 2009  LTE is the natural migration choice for GSM/HSPA operators. LTE is also the next generation mobile broadband system of choice of leading CDMA operators, who will be in the forefront of service introduction  As a result of collaboration between 3GPP, 3GPP2 and IEEE there is a roadmap for CDMA operators to evolve to LTE  The key spectrum bands for new LTE spectrum are 2.6 GHz and digital dividend bands (700, 800 MHz)  Re-farmed 1800 MHz spectrum enables LTE1800 to provide 2 times coverage compared to LTE2600  The LTE TDD mode is a real complement to LTE FDD and the perfect choice for providing high speed mobile broadband access through unpaired radio spectrum.  LTE TDD provides a future-proof evolutionary path for TD-SCDMA  With LTE we have one single global standard, securing and driving even higher economies of scale and importantly, simplifying roaming www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 27/30
  • 28. Mobile broadband seminar: Hong Kong Hong Kong - September 6, 2010 Co-organized by GSA, HKSTPC and HKWDC Free to attend Registration required: www.hkstp.org/HKSTPC/onlineRegistration.jsp?lan=en&formId=OF_0000117 www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 28/30
  • 29. Mobile broadband seminar: London GSA Mobile Broadband Forum: September 27, 2010 (afternoon) More information, objectives, program, registration details www.gsacom.com/programs/mobilebroadband.php4 Organized by GSA in association with IIR Mobile Broadband World as part of the Mobile Broadband Strategy Day Top industry speakers Delegates need to register (a fee is payable to IIR) using the "Register Now" link on page www.iir-telecoms.com/I2GS2GSA GSA members attending Mobile Broadband World conference (Sept 28-29) also qualify for discount www.iir-telecoms.com/event/mobilebroadband www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 29/30
  • 30. Visit the website to download key GSA reports – free of charge including EDGE, HSPA, HSPA+, LTE: Networks and devices 60+ maps, charts at www.gsacom.com/news/statistics.php4 GSA Website www.gsacom.com  33,700 registered site users  downloading 15,000 + reports, papers each month  RSS newsfeed for immediate update alerts  GSA is also on Twitter and Facebook  GSA LinkedIN Group www.gsacom.com Global mobile Suppliers Association © 2010 Slide no. 30/30