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Stock market special report by epic research 13th august 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Bulls took charge of Dalal Street posting a stellar rally.
Asian shares struggled on Wednesday after Wall Street
snapped a two-day rally with crisis in Ukraine sapping in-
vestor confidence as it threatens a fragile economic recov-
ery in Europe. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan was off 0.04 % while Nikkei share average
gave up 0.1 %.
German shares led declines in European stocks on Tuesday
as weak sentiment data and a gloomy outlook from con-
sumer goods group Henkel provided more evidence the
region's largest economy is being hurt by the conflict in
Ukraine. Frankfurt's DAX index fell 1.2 percent. As Europe's
earnings season draws to a close, STOXX Europe 600 com-
panies have posted a 9.7 percent rise in second-quarter
profits on average. But revenues have slipped 1.1%
Wall Street
U.S. stocks ended lower on Tuesday, snapping a two-day
rally as energy shares tumbled on sliding oil prices. The
pullback occurred on light volume typical of mid-August.
The Dow Jones industrial average . DJI fell 9.44 points, or
0.06 percent, to close at 16,560.54. The S&P 500 .SPX
ended down 3.17 points, or 0.16 percent, at 1,933.75. The
Nasdaq Composite .IXIC lost 12.08 points, or 0.27 percent,
to finish at 4,389.25.
Indian Markts’ Previous day Roundup
The Sensex ended up 361.53 points or 1.4 % at 25880.77.
The Nifty closed above 7700, up 101.10 points or 1.3 % at
7727.05. About 1529 shares have advanced, 1381 shares
declined, and 125 shares are unchanged. Both GAIL and
Tata Motors were up 6 % each. HDFC, ONGC and NTPC
were other major gainers in the Sensex. Among the losers
were Bharti Airtel, Tata Power, Hero Motocorp, ITC and
Maruti.
Index stats
The Market was up in last session. The sartorial indices per-
formed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 119.48 pts], Capi-
tal Goods [up 180.18 pts], PSU [up 134.66 pts], FMCG [up
8.31 pts], Auto [up 285.99 pts], Healthcare [up 156.74 pts],
IT [up 12.06 Pts], Metals [up 114.16 pts], TECK [down-2.66
pts], Oil& Gas [up 175.70 pts], Power [up 26.63 pts], Realty
[up 19.07 pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16560.54 -0.06
S&P 500 1933.75 -0.16
NASDAQ 4389.25 -0.27
EURO STO 3023.77 -0.78
FTSE 100 6632.42 -0.01
Nikkei 225 15189.63 +0.19
Hong Kong 24794.59 +0.43
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
TATAMOTORS 473.30 26.75 5.99
GAIL 412 21.65 5.55
HDFC 1119.60 56.40 5.30
ONGC 591.50 13.30 3.15
BPCL 591.50 18.05 3.15
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
BHARTI AIRTEL 370.95 -5.50 -1.46
TATAPOWER 89.80 -1.16 -1.16
MARUTI SUZUKI 2656.05 -8.50 -0.32
HINDALCO 185.20 -0.45 -0.24
HEROMOTOCO -2599 -5.95 -0.23
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
8K MILES 198.75 22.60 11.37
ARTI INDUSTRIES 247.85 5.70 2.30
AMARAJABAT 522.80 5.20 0.99
GATI 137.10 1.70 1.24
JB CHEMICALS 206.75 22.45 12.18
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 7727.05 101.10 +1.33
SENSEX 25880.77 361.53 +1.42
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
BHUSANSTL 305.00 76.20 -19.99
2. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. GLENMARK FUTURE
GLENMARK FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 690 levels. We advise buying around 685-690 levels
with strict stop loss of 660 for the targets of 710-730 levels.
2.APOLLO HOSP FUTURE
APOLLO HOSP FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sus-
tains above 1060 levels. We advise buying around 1060-
1080 levels with strict stop loss of 1020 for the targets of
1100-1120.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. AMTEAK AUTO
AMTEAK AUTO strong on daily chart. We advise buying
around 249 level with strict stop oss 244 for the targets of
254-259
MACRO NEWS
The June IIP data has come in at 3.4 % against 5 % MoM.
Against poll estimates of 5.8%. The electricity sector grew
at 15.7% against 6.3%, whereas the capital goods sector
has shown a tremendous growth at 23 % against 4.5 % M-
o-M. The mining sector growth came in at 4.3% against
2.7%, whereas the consumer goods contracted 10% ver-
sus 3.7%. Even the consumer durables contracted 23.4%
against 3.2%. Manufacturing grew at 1.8% against 4.8% M
-o-M. Data for basic goods came in at 9% against 6%,
while the consumer non-durables stood at 0.1% vs 3.9%
M-o-M. Intermediate goods remained unchanged at 2.7%.
The July CPI inflation came in at 7.96% against 7.46%
MoM against poll estimate of 7.6%. The food inflation
came in at 9.36 % against 7.97 %, whereas the data for
clothing, footwear and bedding stood at 8.73 % against
8.65% M-o-M. Vegetable prices grew to 16.88% Vs 8.73%.
The urban inflation stood at 7.42% against 6.82%, while
the rural inflation came in at 8.45 % against 7.87% MoM.
The combined fuel, light inflation came in at 4.47 %
against 4.58 %.
3. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts
)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 7,600 31 4,12,648 74,43,000
NIFTY PE 7,500 15.95 2,99,748 54,62,650
BANKNIFTY PE 14,500 47.65 26,234 3,92,700
BANKNIFTY PE 15,000 172.2 15,203 2,54,575
SBIN PE 2,400 29.4 3,075 3,18,625
TATAMOTORS PE 450 2.6 2,698 8,67,000
TATAMOTORS PE 470 8 2,591 8,84,000
HDFC PE 1,100 17.5 1,365 1,39,000
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 7,700 107.25 3,93,826 33,97,350
NIFTY CE 7,800 55.15 3,83,553 53,46,150
BANKNIFTY CE 15,500 81 33,058 3,37,900
BANKNIFTY CE 15,000 291.85 22,078 2,65,625
SBIN CE 2,500 33.75 6,454 8,93,625
TATAMOTORS CE 480 8.9 5,169 11,64,000
TATAMOTORS CE 500 3.6 3,856 15,30,000
SBIN CE 2,450 53 3,514 3,01,125
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 72804 2794.36 36590 1403.59 235422 9085.39 1390.78
INDEX OPTIONS 292535 11205.69 266943 10175.08 1432404 55278.50 1030.62
STOCK FUTURES 56231 2070.98 39335 1431.69 1387173 49580.08 639.29
STOCK OPTIONS 47625 1847.90 48773 1899.02 70334 2566.94 -51.12
TOTAL 3009.56
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 7,760.53 7,681.57 7,637.73 7,558.77 7,514.93
BANK NIFTY 15,534.87 15,331.33 15,213.72 15,010.18 14,892.57
STOCKS IN NEWS
Results Today: Tata Steel, ONGC , Siemens, Unitech,
GVKPower, GMRInfra, Voltas, MCX, FinTech, Max In-
dia , Shree Renuka, BGR Energy, Dishman Pharma, RCF,
MMTC, Lovable, HindCopper, Kaveri Seed, Gammon
India, Jyothy Lab, Alembic, ABG Shipyard.
SBI , PNB and IDBI Bank may soon begin process to de-
clare Kingfisher Airlines willful defaulter.
GMR Infra Board will consider, raising of funds through
issue of equity shares.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed upside in the last trading session. We
advise buying around 7760 level with strict stop loss of
7610 for the targets of 7810-7860
4. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER SEP ABOVE 43780 TGTS 43980,44280 SL 43480
SELL SILVER SEP BELOW 43500 TGTS 43300,43100 SL 43800
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD OCT ABOVE 28760 TGTS 28840,28940 SL 28690
SELL GOLD OCT BELOW 28650 TGTS 28570,28470 SL 28720
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
COMEX Gold is holding just above $1310 per ounce mark
amid quite trades today. The commodity has recovered af-
ter easing slightly in Asian trades earlier. The strong dollar
and a rather positive array of news on geopolitical front are
likely to keep a tab on the commodity. Indian gold demand
is holding steady but is likely to get affected if prices ap-
proach near Rs 30000 per 10 grams in local spot markets- a
very likely possibility if the Indian Rupee extends its current
rout. India’s gold jewellery imports surged 10% toRs.696.44
cr in the first quarter of this fiscal as high premium on the
yellow metal following tough import norms forced traders
to get finished jewellery from abroad.
Tracking a weak global trend, silver prices moved down by
0.38% to Rs 43,682 per kg in futures trade yesterday as
speculators partially trimmed positions. At the Multi Com-
modity Exchange, silver for delivery in September moved
down by Rs 165, or 0.38%, to Rs 43,682 per kg in a business
turnover of 434 lots. Similarly, the white metal for delivery
in far-month December declined by Rs 141, or 0.32%, to Rs
44,500 per kg in three lots. Speculators trimmed positions
in tandem with a weak global trend as ebbing tensions in
the Middle East and Ukraine boosted global equities, damp-
ing demand for the metal as an alternative investment,
weighed on silver futures here. Meanwhile, silver traded
lower at $19.99 an ounce from yesterday's $20.01 in Singa-
pore yesterday.
Zinc prices fell by 0.39% to 140.50 per kg after speculators
trimmed positions, tracking a weak global trend. At the
MCX zinc for delivery in current month, August declined by
55 paise, or 0.39%, to Rs 140.50 per kg in business turnover
of 467 lots. The weakness in zinc at futures trade was
mostly attributed to a weak trend in copper and other base
metals in the global markets before July industrial produc-
tion and retail sales data tomorrow from China, the world's
biggest consumer of industrial metals.
The Govt of India filed an appeal at the Dispute Settlement
Body of the WTO against a panel report in the case
of countervailing measures by the US against certain hot-
rolled carbon steel products from India. The appeal will be
heard by a three-member body and its report is likely
within three months. European benchmark Brent crude oil
fell to a 13-month low of $102.65 per barrel. It was last
traded at $103.75.
5. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA SEP ABOVE 12225 TGTS 12255,12295 SL
12175
SELL DHANIYA SEP BELOW 12150 TGTS 12120,12070 SL
12200
GUARGUM
BUY GUARGUM SEP ABOVE 15520 TGTS 15570,15670 SL
15430
SELL GUARGUM SEP BELOW 15420 TGTS 15370,15270 SL
15510
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
Castor Seed 4273 0.92
Chana 2858 0.18
Coriander 11656 0.20
Cotton Seed Oilcake 1721 0.29
Guarseed 5444 3.03
Jeera 11085 0.41
Mustard seed 3504 0.60
Soy Bean 3579 0.34
Sugar M Grade 3077 -0.16
Turmeric 6380 0.22
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Turmeric futures ended the day with nominal gains on Fri-
day lead by fresh buying at low levels. The NCDEX turmeric
September delivery ended the day at Rs 6610, up Rs 16 or
0.24% on Tuesday. Weak offtakes by the domestic and
overseas buyers due to poor quality arrivals kept prices un-
der pressure. However, long -term outlook is seen bullish as
delayed monsoon rainfall and poor price realization might
keep turmeric acreage lower in the current year. Turmeric
September delivery rebounded from the two weeks low of
Rs 6544 and ended the session a tad up at Rs 6610, up Rs 16
or 0.24% on Tuesday. The open interest added 255 tonnes
to 15,980 tonnes, indicating fresh buying.
Wheat and rice export from India are likely to fall about 15
per cent this year due to lower prices in global markets, ex-
perts say. It is expected the export will also be affected by a
steep rise in import duty by Iran, which accounts for the
highest grain export from India. The Food and Agricultural
Organization, the United Nations’ agriculture body, has said
global food grain prices slumped to a six-month low in July.
Cardamom futures surged further on strong buying amid
weak arrivals due to the expected fall in the crop in the cur-
rent year. MCX Cardamom September delivery ended the
day at Rs 942.50, up Rs 9 or 0.96%. Cardamom made one
month high as buying pushed prices higher amid fear of
lower crop. The MCX Cardamom September delivery
touched high of Rs 947.90 and ended the day at Rs 942.50,
up Rs 9 or 0.96%. The open interest added 217 tonnes to
1,807 tonnes, indicating fresh buying.
6. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
EUR/INR
BUY EUR-INR ABOVE 82.17 TG 82.37,82.67 SL 81.87
SELL EUR-INR BELOW 81.62 TG 81.42,81.12 SL 81.92
GBP/INR
SELL GBP-INR BELOW 102.66 TG 102.46,102.16 SL 102.96
BUY GBP-INR ABOVE 103.02 TG 103.22,103.52 SL 102.70
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
The Indian rupee rose slightly on Tuesday as gains in local
shares improved sentiment even as global currency markets
continued to see-saw because of conflicting signs coming
from geo-political flashpoints such as eastern Ukraine. The
partially convertible rupee closed at 61.08/09 per dollar,
compared with Monday's close of 61.19/120. The unit has
been rebounding after dropping to 61.74 last week, its low-
est since March 5. Still, broader gains were capped after the
euro fell towards nine-month lows against the dollar after a
weak German sentiment survey raised concerns over the
impact on euro zone economies of Western sanctions im-
posed on Russia.
In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month
contract was at 61.44/49, while the three-month contract
was at 62.02/12.
The euro wallowed at $1.3368, sticking near nine-month
low of $1.3333 hit last week. The euro nursed only modest
losses early on Wednesday, having regained quite a bit of
ground as markets got over a closely watched report that
showed a slump in German economic sentiment.
U.S. bonds slipped slightly on Tuesday, however, as traders
sold some bond holdings in advance of a combined $40 bil-
lion in longer-dated supply, sending the 10-year yield to
2.456 %, compared to a 14-month low of 2.349 % hit last
week. U.S. Treasury debt yields rose on Tuesday as traders
sold some bond holdings in advance of a combined $40 bil-
lion in longer-dated supply, which some traders worry
might not lure strong demand due to their low yields.
The Japanese yen, which also tends to rise at times of de-
pressed sentiment because of its wide use as a funding cur-
rency, was off last week's high of 101.51 yen to trade at
102.28 yen. The yen hardly budged after data showed Ja-
pan's economy shrank an annualized 6.8 % from the previ-
ous quarter - the biggest contraction in three years, but bet-
ter than market forecast.
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 61.1847 Yen-100 59.8100
Euro 81.7762 GBP 102.5578
7. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/08/14 MCX GOLD AUG. BUY 28660 28740-28840 28560
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
12/08/14 MCX GOLD AUG. SELL 28550 28470-28370 28650 NOT EXECUTED
12/08/14 MCX SILVER SEP. BUY 43940 44140-44440 43640
NO PROFIT NO
LOSS
12/08/14 MCX SILVER SEP. SELL 43700 43500-43200 44000 SL TRIGGERED
12/08/14
NCDEX CAS-
TORSEED
OCT. SELL 4260 4230-4180 4310 SL TRIGGERED
12/08/14
NCDEX CAS-
TORSEED
OCT. BUY 4300 4330-4380 4250 BOOKED PROFIT
12/08/14 NCDEX DHANIYA SEP. SELL 12140 12110-12070 12190 SL TRIGGERED
12/08/14 NCDEX DHANIYA SEP. BUY 12250 12280-12330 12200 NOT EXECUTED
12/08/14 USD/INR AUG BUY 61.53 61.73-62.03 61.22 NOT EXECUTED
12/08/14 USD/INR AUG SELL 61.18 60.98-60.68 61.50 NOT EXECUTED
12/08/14 JPY/INR AUG SELL 59.88 59.68-59.48 60.18 CLOSED AT 59.90
12/08/14 JPY/INR AUG BUY 60.23 60.43-60.73 59.93 NOT EXECUTED
Date Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark
12/08/14 NIFTY FUTURE BUY 7660 7710-7760 7590
BOOKED FULL
PROFIT
12/08/14 AUROPHARMA FUTURE BUY 760 780-790 750 NEAR 1ST TARGET
12/08/14 GAIL FUTURE SELL 385 375-365 400 SL TRIGGERED
12/08/14 DISMAN PHARMA CASH BUY 148 151-154 145 CALL OPEN
08/08/14 TCS FUTURE SELL 2490-2500 2450-2410 2540 BOOKED PROFIT
05/08/14 CESC FUTURE SELL 680 700715 665 CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
13th
AUGUST 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL
CONSENSUS
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, AUG. 11
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, AUG. 12
7:30 am NFIB small business survey July
10 am Job openings June 4.6 mln
2 pm Federal budget July -$98 bln
WEDNESDAY, AUG. 13
8:30 am Retail sales July 0.2%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos July 0.4%
10 am Business inventories June 0.5%
THURSDAY, AUG. 14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims Aug. 9 N/A
8:30 am Import price index July 0.1%
FRIDAY, AUG. 15
8:30 am Producer price index July 0.4%
8:30 am Empire state index Aug. 25.6
9:15 am Industrial production July 0.2%
9:15 am Capacity utilization July 79.1%
9:55 am Consumer sentiment Aug. 81.8