Epic research weekly agri report 23rd to 27 feb 2015
1. WEEKLYAGRI COMMODITY REPORT
23 Feb 2015
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2. Weekly Wrap Up
2
MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL MONTH OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE % CHG VOL
DHANIYA
APR 7250 7250 6391 9424 -11.8 88120
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP.1
6127
SUPP. 2
5829
PIVOT
6688
Dhaniya short term
trend is down, further
more downside is
expected in comimg
days.
RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
6986
RES. 2
7547
CASTORSEED
MAR 3920 3920 3742 3764 -3.1 185520
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
3697
SUPP. 2
3631
PIVOT
3809
Castorseed short term
trend is down, Prices
expected to go down in
coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
3875
RES. 2
3987
TURMERIC
APR 8070 9196 8070 9088 +13.6 97700
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8373
SUPP. 2
7659
PIVOT
8785
Turmeric short term
trend is up and may
continue in coming
days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9499
RES. 2
9911
GUARGUM
MAR 9010 9500 8660 8850 -1.7 26912
INTRADAY
LEVELS
SUPPORT SUPP. 1
8507
SUPP. 2
8163
PIVOT
9003
Guargum Short term
trend is Down,
Expecting price may go
Down in coming days.RESISTAN
CE
RES. 1
9347
RES. 2
9843
4. Commodities In News
4
ECONOMIC NEWS
The Cabinet on Thursday approved a higher subsidy of Rs 4,000 a
tonne for exports of raw sugar, a decision that could support local prices
by reducing excess supplies as India stares at a glut in production. The
export incentive will be given for 1.4 million tonnes of raw sugar in the
2014-15 season, which began on October 1. The subsidy is given for
specific periods and it was most recently Rs 3,371. India, the biggest
sugar producer after Brazil, has an annual domestic requirement of 24.8
million tonnes. But this season's production is pegged at 25 million
tonnes and the country also has a carryover stock of 7.2 million
tonnes."Even if we keep 6 million tonnes for three months' requirement,
we have enough stock and hence can export,“ Indian Sugar Mills
Association welcomed the move. "Sugar mills will need to gear up to
produce the 1.4 million tonnes of raw sugar in the balance 1-1.5 months
of crushing period remaining. At the current global and domestic prices,
raw sugar exports from India is just about viable with the
incentives,"there is a surplus of around 2.5 MT and therefore the industry
will require incentives for another 1-1.5 MT. otherwise the cane price
arrears which are at Rs 12,300 crore will very soon cross Rs 13,000 crore
recorded in last season," the long-term solution for sugar mills is
upgrading their units and using more of their by-products such as ethanol
and bagasse. The export subsidy was introduced in February last year at
Rs 3,300 per tonne.
At least one-quarter of the world's wheat production will be lost to
extreme weather from climate change in the coming decades if no
adaptation measures are taken, researchers, including one of Indian-
origin, Researchers have found that wheat yields are projected to
decrease by 6 per cent for each degree Celsius the temperature rises if no
measures to adapt to extreme weather fluctuations are taken. based on the
2012-2013 wheat harvest of 701 million tonnes worldwide, the resulting
temperature increase would result in 42 million tonnes less produced
wheat - or a loss of nearly one-quarter of the current wheat production.
Agriculture and Processed Food Products Export Authority developed
between April and December, according to data released by the total
exports of 541 130 tonnes is guar. Total 418 782 tonnes in the same
period last year, exports were guar gum.Exporters and Suppliers in
Jodhpur all sitting around 20 tonnes, according to information from the
risk of default on payment of 1,300 containers.It also is expected to
reduce the demand for guar gum. Since August, prices of guar gum has
fallen nearly 9,500 per quintal. Guar gum prices in August were at
18,500 rupees per quintal to Rs 9,000 level last week.Indian guar gum
manufacturer association in the current quarter is expected to decrease in
the export of guar gum. In which the whole year is likely to see a decline
in export figures. In fiscal 2014, total exports were 601 945 tonnes of
guar gum.
Turmeric prices in the futures market climbed 11 percent this week
due crop damage from the Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh. Demand for
the commodity has been increasing rapidly from North India and from
the medicinal and cosmetic industry. Sowing of Turmeric in AP for the
2014-15 season is reported at 0.13 lakh ha, as against 0.1 lakh ha last
year. The area in Telangana stood at 0.446 lakh ha against 0.431 lakh ha
last year. Exports in turmeric have increased by 10% to 43,000 tonnes
during Apr-Sep 2014 as compared to last year. The export target for the
2014-15 is 80,000 tonnes according to Spice Board. Tamil Nadu and
Karnataka recorded lower acreage in turmeric last year, down 6-10 per
cent year-on-year due to delayed monsoon and poor price realisation last
year.
The fundamentals on Jeera is positive due to less production estimate
amid less sowing area in the Gujarat, the main Jeera producing state. The
supplies of Jeera expected to rise in the next month due to arrival of new
season crop. Export orders are diverted to India due to Geo-political
tensions in Syria and Turkey. .Jeera (cumin) exports have been 87,500
tonnes in the first six months (Apr-Sep) of 2014-15, a rise of 25%.
5. 5
NEWS RECAP
COMMODITY HEADLINES
India's Foodgrain Production Estimated At 257.07 Million For 2014-15, Down 3% From Previous
Year's Record.
Pulses' import set for new high on less output.
Pulses lead fall in acreage of rabi crop.
India Sugar production soar by 15 per cent.
India Leading Economic Index rises 0.5% in Jan.
Government approves subsidy of Rs 4,000 a tonne for exports of raw sugar.
Foodgrains output may drop by 3 per cent to 257 MT this year.
Rabi Rice Acreage Down 14%.
Sowing of rabi crops declined 6 percent.
India must not have 'irrational fears' for GM crops .
Spice exports up 12%.
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