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ETF Fund Flows are good indicator of investor sentiment. We take a look at theSeptember ETF fund flows and other sentiment indicators to gauge market sentiment.
$VWO $EEM $XLV $XLK
#ETFFundFlows
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3. Hi, My name is Corey and I‘m with ETF
Trading Research, today were reviewing
our recently published article…
5. September continued the previous
month’s turbulent market conditions.
Global market woes and domestic
concerns on raising interest rates had
investors weary.
6. Despite the market turbulence September
ETF Fund Flows held steady. Total
assets invested in US listed ETFs ticked
up $2.7 billion during the month.
7. Don’t get me wrong, that’s a fraction of
the inflows we have seen in previous
months. And that’s a good indication
of…
9. Once again we see fear as the emotion
driving the market.
There are a variety of indicators we use
to track the emotional state of the
market.
10. We can look at put and call options,
stocks and bond performance, and the
strength of stock price are just a few. All
of these indicators are pointing to one
thing… investors are scared of where the
market is heading.
11. Let’s take a look at stock price strength.
The number of stocks hitting 52-week
lows exceeds the number hitting highs
and is at the lower end of its range,
indicating fear.
12.
13. As you can see there are a far more
stocks on the New York stock exchange
hitting new 52-week lows than we had
been earlier this year. This is a clear
visual representation of fear in the
markets.
15. Despite the fear in the markets ETFs like
Vanguard S&P 500 $VOO and SPDR S&P
500 $SPY still logged net inflows of
around $1.5 billion in August.
This tells me a few things…
16. Even with the fearful tone of the market,
investors continue to have faith in large
cap US stocks. Investors are still willing
to put money into large US companies
with market capitalizations greater than
$10 billion.
17. These companies do business globally,
have solid balance sheets, and often pay
dividends. Although they are perceived
to be slow growing, this tends to make
the stocks more stable in a volatile
market.
18. These ETF’s are a good option for the
investor that wants to see a steady return
and ride out the turbulent market.
20. The outflows also gave us some relevant
market indications. Investors are
dumping their investments in biotech and
gold miners industries.
21. This isn’t surprising due to the negative
news about biotech companies and gold
prices. Two ETFs hit hardest by
redemptions were the Health Care Select
SPDR $XLV and Direxion Daily Gold
Miners Bull 3X $NUGT.
23. Stocks have been caught up in a negative
feedback loop. Bad news drives down
prices. Then price declines themselves
become part of the bad news hurting
stocks.
24. Don’t forget, high levels of fear don’t
typically last long outside of bear
markets. Keep an eye on investor
sentiment for signs of improvement.
25. If the negative feedback loop is broken it
could catapult stocks higher in the 4th
quarter.