-) Description of the current oil and gas industry drivers and barriers
-) Industry CAPEX trends by 2016
-) 2014-2016 CAPEX breakdown by country
-) 2013 CAPEX breakdown by value chain
-) Market growth features
-) Upstream offshore opportunities
-) Industry structure map with the top 10 operators and contractors listed
2. Disclaimer
The author, Amir H. Azadehnia, does hereby certify that, to the best of his
knowledge, the views and opinions in this research report reflect his personal
views about the companies named. He has not nor will not receive direct or
indirect compensation in return for expressing specific viewpoints in this report.
Copyright 2013, Amir H. Azadehnia. All rights reserved.
This presentation is based on information which the author believes is reliable,
but the author does not represent or warrant its accuracy. The opinions and
estimates expressed here represent the views of the author as of the date of
this report. These opinions and estimates may be subject to change without
notice. The author will not be responsible for any consequences associated
with reliance on any statement or opinion contained here.
3. Oil & Gas Industry Sounds Upbeat …
Driver Underlying Facts
Demand Growth in
Emerging Markets
Population Growth
GDP Growth
Supply Security Supply Diversification from
Middle East, Africa and
Russia
Little Spare Production
Capacity
High Prices Crude Oil > $100/bbl
EU and Asia Natural Gas
Prices > $12/mBtu
Technology Access to Unconventional
Resources
Barrier Underlying Facts
Impaired Business
Confidence
Slow Economic Growth
Limited Access to Capital
Rising Costs Difficult to Access
Resources
Large and Complex Projects
Skills Shortage
Poor Infrastructure in Some
Resource Rich Regions, e.g.
West Africa
Increased Regulation e.g. SEMS I & II, Local
Content, Higher Tax, etc.
Environmental Concerns Over Hydraulic Fracturing,
Offshore, etc.
Safety and Reliability e.g. Deep Water Production
4. 7%
27%
3%
4%
9%
50%
CAPEX Country Breakdown
2014 – 2016 E
Middle East*
US
Nigeria
UK
Brazil
Other
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013 E
2014-2016 E
US$ in billion
Capital Expenditure Projection
… And It’s Mostly About E&P
4%
58%
2%
7%
5%
6%
15%
CAPEX Value Chain Breakdown
2013 E
Pipeline
E&P
Subsea
FLNG
LNG
Gas processing
Refinery
Petrochem
Unclassified
Growth Features by 2020
Upstream capacity increase
by 5 - 7% p.a. and led by offshore
developments
Natural gas demand growth at 2%
p.a. driven by power generation and
industry
Gas supply growth in the US, Middle
East, FSU, Africa and probably, China
Crude oil demand growth at 0.8%
p.a. driven by transport
Crude oil supply growth in North
America and Middle East
Midstream supply and demand
growth in emerging markets and
Middle East