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MULTIPLE -STRATEGY
                                                           TREND RATED
                                              AUTOMATIC TRADING SYSTEM
     Portfolio Management Services (PMS)
               Performance Update
               15 September 2010

Vivek Mavani – Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager
BRICS Growth Synopsis

   BRICS Growth is a Long only Diversified Equity Product aimed at generating Absolute Returns

   The Objective is:

        Generate Steady & Consistent returns over medium to long term

        Low Volatility

        Cautious on Margin of Safety

   The Focus is therefore on Stock Picking with a Buy and Hold philosophy

        Invest in high quality and high growth companies at reasonable valuations and hold them
         over a period of time. (Not trade in & out frequently)

   Our conservative approach to managing investments, (especially during periods of volatility) is
    reflected in our superior performance.
Portfolio Update

Since the last update, (August, 2010) the portfolio has been realigned keeping in mind the changed
view from being defensive to being slightly aggressive

    Increased the weightage of large caps by increasing the exposure to Reliance Industries and
     Large Cap Banks (Axis Bank and ICICI Bank)

    During a market correction, mid-caps generally, witness a sharper correction. Therefore, we
     reduced our exposure to mid-caps by booking profits in some our holdings which had very sharp
     rallies. It is to reduce the portfolio volatility, (at least partly).

    Cash levels this month are lower than last month

          As we opportunistically deployed the surplus cash to ride on the momentum, and,

          as the invested portfolio value has increased, (cash had obviously not)

    Credo of sticking to Quality remains and will never be compromised
         Can stick to this credo as we see no serious compulsion to deploy funds at higher levels.
          Wouldn’t mind sitting it out for a while than take undue risks

    Global macroeconomic risks remain and we are cautious of the same as highlighted repeatedly
     in the previous updates. However, capitalizing on the opportunity to play the momentum for at
     least part (<15%) of the portfolio
Absolute Performance – 15 September 2010

                                                                           YTD       Since
                       Weekly     Monthly    Quarterly Half Yearly
                                                                        (Calendar) Inception


BRICS Growth            2.33%     5.29%       21.68%        31.43%        37.60%       49.30%


NIFTY                   4.51%     7.50%       12.23%        14.27%        12.69%       15.30%


SENSEX                  4.48%     7.35%       12.00%        13.62%        11.67%       13.81%


S&P CNX 500             2.98%     6.23%       12.67%        14.83%        12.29%       18.02%


S&P CNX MIDCAP          1.16%     4.87%       14.66%        22.27%        22.90%       36.38%


Inception Date: 1 October, 2009           Portfolio returns are audited and net of fees & expenses
Consistency in our Month-on-Month Performance

Performance ahead of benchmark indices month after month
 Month    BRICS Growth   Nifty    Sensex   S&P CNX 500   CNX Mid Cap

 Oct-09      -0.67%      -7.31%   -7.23%     -6.46%        -1.77%

 Nov-09      2.79%       6.81%    6.48%       7.59%        8.65%

 Dec-09      6.27%       3.35%    3.18%       4.43%        3.97%

 Jan-10      -1.84%      -6.13%   -6.34%     -4.00%        -3.11%

 Feb-10      0.75%       0.82%    0.44%      -0.69%        -0.48%

 Mar-10      6.24%       6.64%    6.68%       4.50%        7.50%

 Apr-10      3.77%       0.55%    0.18%       1.27%        4.62%

 May-10      1.86%       -3.63%   -3.50%     -3.24%        -3.79%

 Jun-10      5.81%       4.45%    3.83%       4.59%        4.83%

 Jul-10      3.84%       1.04%    1.56%       1.23%        3.50%

 Aug-10      7.25%       0.65%    0.58%       1.39%        3.14%
Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
                                                                      Ranked on 3 month returns
                                                                            Performance
Rank                             Scheme Name
                                                                    1 Mth %  3 Mths % 6 Mths %
  1    IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth                     6.03     21.86    29.58
  2    Brics Growth                                                   5.29     21.68    31.43
  3    Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth                    8.49     20.07    29.58
  4    HDFC Equity Fund - Growth                                      7.10     18.31    26.22
  5    Franklin India High Growth Companies Fund - Growth             8.09     17.50    16.35
  6    HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth                            7.50     17.44    25.26
  7    HDFC Growth Fund - Growth                                      8.15     17.41    26.00
  8    Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth                       4.22     17.39    27.93
  9    Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth                         7.61     17.31    24.14
 10    SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth                             6.54     17.08    24.27
 11    DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth                      8.08     17.07    25.10
 12    DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth                             6.91     16.98    22.42
 13    Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth                          5.85     16.62    24.57
 14    Morgan Stanley A.C.E Fund - Growth                             6.71     16.26    19.77
 15    Templeton India Growth Fund - Growth                           9.49     16.12    17.83
 16    Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth                            6.28     16.10    28.64
 17    Tata Select Equity Fund - Appr                                 7.65     15.82    17.62
 18    JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth                            7.42     15.63    21.33
 19    Franklin India Opportunity Fund - Growth                       5.97     15.23    16.80
 20    Morgan Stanley Growth Fund - Growth                            6.18     15.09    16.85
            The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
                                                                      Ranked on 6 month returns
                                                                              Performance
Rank                             Scheme Name
                                                                    1 Mth %    3 Mths % 6 Mths %
  1    Brics Growth                                                   5.29       21.68    31.43
  2    IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth                     6.03       21.86    29.58
  3    Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth                    8.49       20.07    29.58
  4    Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth                            6.28       16.10    28.64
  5    Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth                       4.22       17.39    27.93
  6    HDFC Equity Fund - Growth                                      7.10       18.31    26.22
  7    HDFC Growth Fund - Growth                                      8.15       17.41    26.00
  8    HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth                            7.50       17.44    25.26
  9    DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth                      8.08       17.07    25.10
 10    Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth                          5.85       16.62    24.57
 11    SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth                             6.54       17.08    24.27
 12    Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth                         7.61       17.31    24.14
 13    Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth                                  6.87       14.87    23.46
 14    DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth                             6.91       16.98    22.42
 15    ICICI Prudential Fusion Fund - IP - Growth                     5.73       14.00    22.31
 16    Fidelity India Growth Fund - Growth                            7.02       14.65    22.27
 17    Escorts Growth Plan - Growth                                   2.75       12.20    22.10
 18    JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth                            7.42       15.63    21.33
 19    Birla Sun Life Long Term Advantage Fund - Growth               6.96       14.79    20.74
 20    Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth                             5.83       15.06    19.97
            The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
BRICS Growth NAV Trend

     BRICS Growth has delivered absolute &                       BRICS Growth NAV v/s Indices (normalised)
      consistent returns during both periods:           155
                                                        150
     Performance has been a result of our :
           Stock Picking                               145

           Low churn in the portfolio, and             140
           Conservative attitude (not taking           135
            excessive risks)                            130
                                                        125
                   Between 1 Oct.   Between 25 May
                                                        120
    Performance    2009 – 25 May       2010 – 15
                       2010 *          Sept.2010        115

                    Range bound                         110
                                        Sharp rally
                    markets with                        105
                                     across the board
                      volatility                        100
BRICS Growth          15.70%             29.04%          95

Nifty                  -5.44%            21.93%          90
                                                         85
Sensex                 -6.50%            21.72%




                                                                                                                                             1-May-10
                                                                                                                                  1-Apr-10




                                                                                                                                                                              1-Aug-10
                                                                         1-Nov-09




                                                                                                            1-Feb-10




                                                                                                                                                                   1-Jul-10



                                                                                                                                                                                         1-Sep-10
                                                                                      1-Dec-09
                                                              1-Oct-09




                                                                                                 1-Jan-10



                                                                                                                       1-Mar-10




                                                                                                                                                        1-Jun-10
S&P 500                -2.84%            21.47%
CNX Mid-Cap           10.32%             23.62%
                                                                                    BRICS Growth                       Nifty                                  Sensex

* 25 May 2010, Indices bottomed out, when the                                       S&P 500                            CNX Midcap
current rally started.
BRICS Growth Outperformance

   Our out-performance has been increasing             BRICS Growth NAV Outperformance vis-a-vis Indices
    over a period of time                                40%

   Our Strategy has been to :                           35%

                                                         30%
         Buy during panics/declines
                                                         25%
         Use sharp rallies to partially book profits
                                                         20%
         Opportunistically ride the momentum
                                                         15%
          for only a small part of the portfolio
                                                         10%
         Remain adequately liquid at all times
                                                          5%
   Adequate liquidity helps :
                                                          0%
         Protect against volatility
                                                         -5%

         Provides enough courage and                   -10%
          conviction to buy into panics




                                                                                                                                               1-Apr-2010

                                                                                                                                                            1-May-2010
                                                                             1-Nov-2009




                                                                                                                    1-Feb-2010




                                                                                                                                                                                       1-Jul-2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                    1-Aug-2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1-Sep-2010
                                                                                          1-Dec-2009

                                                                                                       1-Jan-2010



                                                                                                                                 1-Mar-2010




                                                                                                                                                                         1-Jun-2010
                                                               1-Oct-2009
   Current cash/liquid balances ~ at 15% of the
    Portfolio

                                                                            Nifty                      Sensex                                 S&P 500                                 CNX MidCap
Portfolio Breakup

                  Sectoral Allocation                                     Market Cap Breakup
                                                                             Cash
                                     Banking &                               15%
        Oil & Gas
         23.59%                       Finance
                                      23.27%



                                                              Small Cap
                                                                17%
    Media                                                                                      Large Cap
    5.93%                                   Branded                                               53%
                                           Garments &
Infrastructure                               Retail
    4.31%                                   12.81%


                 FMCG                                                     Mid Cap
                 14.74%          Cash                                      15%
                                15.35%




                              Large Cap.         More than Rs 5,000 crores
                              Mid-Cap.           Rs 1,000 - 5,000 crores
                              Small Cap.         Less than Rs 1,000 crores
Low Portfolio Turnover (Buy & Hold at work)

                                        Portfolio Turnover
  1.00



  0.80



  0.60



  0.40



  0.20



  0.00
         Oct-09   Nov-09   Dec-09   Jan-10   Feb-10       Mar-10     Apr-10    May-10   Jun-10   Jul-10   Aug-10

                                     Portfolio Turnover            Average turnover
How did we do during periods of Volatility - 10 Biggest falls since October 2009

     How much a portfolio falls during a                     Points               Points               % Fall -
                                                                        % Fall -             % Fall -
      correction / sharp downturn is as             Date       Fall -               Fall -              BRICS
                                                                         Nifty               Sensex
      important as how much it gains in a                      Nifty               Sensex               Growth
      bull market
                                                  27-Jan-10   -159.65   -3.19%     -490.64   -2.92%     -2.29%
     Protecting capital is often more
      important during periods of volatility      03-Nov-09   -147.80   -3.14%     -491.34   -3.09%     -0.36%

     Downside        protection     equally      19-May-10   -146.55   -2.89%     -467.27   -2.77%     -0.84%
      contributes to superior returns over a
      period of time                              25-May-10   -137.20   -2.78%     -447.07   -2.71%     -1.62%

     We have managed to fall less than           05-Feb-10   -126.70   -2.61%     -434.02   -2.68%     -0.47%
      the indices during each of the sharp
      falls / panics since our inception          27-Oct-09   -124.20   -2.50%     -387.10   -2.31%     -0.65%

     Large liquidity during periods of           21-Jan-10   -127.55   -2.44%     -423.35   -2.42%     -1.32%
      volatility & a low beta portfolio helped.
                                                  01-Jun-10   -116.10   -2.28%     -372.60   -2.20%     -1.24%

   Against --        Nifty          Sensex        26-Nov-09   -102.60   -2.01%     -344.02   -2.00%     -0.95%

   Beta *           0.4156          0.4133        07-Jun-10   -101.50   -1.98%     -336.62   -1.97%     -0.99%

      *Beta measures the volatility of the        04-Feb-10   -86.50    -1.75%     -271.10   -1.64%     -0.28%
         portfolio relative to the index
Market Outlook
   Global macro economic risks will continue to weigh on the markets. Will definitely have
    repercussions on India over a period of time, if not in the short term

   Global liquidity flooding Indian markets has been the primary reason for the current rally. Some
    sectors (like banking, Auto’s) have seen a huge rerating

   Overall Valuations are definitely not cheap. If the current sharp momentum continues Valuations
    could become a concern as they approach a bubble territory
         In some sectors/stocks valuations already factor in fairly aggressive growth rates for FY11
          and FY12. Corporate performances could potentially disappoint given high expectations
         Price corrections from current high levels could be very sharp, if earnings disappoint

   However, markets have also been very discriminative against corporates under-performing
    expectations. This is very evident in the current rally since May-end 2010 where broad based
    participation is lacking, (the type we have seen in the past, 2006, 2008)

   Serious concerns will start when the liquidity driven rally takes even the stocks with bad/doubtful
    fundamentals to new high’s

   Pockets of opportunities still available in those stocks/sectors    where growth is steady and
    valuations still leave room for upside.

   However we continue to remain cautious of the market levels/individual stocks prices and
    valuations and would use sharp rallies as profit booking opportunities
Our Strategy

   “Time” in the markets is more important than “Timing” the markets

   Superior long-term sustainable returns are not made by timing the markets in terms of selling at
    the peaks. They are a result of purchase prices that are attractive in terms of valuations with
    adequate margin of safety

   Our strategy going ahead would continue to be, bottom up stock picking and be extremely
    selective:
         Buy on declines
         Use sharp rallies to partially book profits
         Opportunistically ride the momentum for only a small part of the portfolio
         Remain adequately liquid at all time

   The sectors that we are bullish are and continue to be over weight:
        Banking & Financial Services,
        Gas Transportation & Distribution
        Domestic Consumption oriented sectors including Paints, Branded Garments, Media etc.
Happy Investing

              Thank You
Vivek Mavani – Vice President & Senior Portfolio Manager
          vivek.mavani@bricssecurities.com

           BRICS SECURITIES LIMITED
           1st Floor, Sadhana House,
           570, P. B. Marg,
           Behind Mahindra Towers,
           Worli, Mumbai – 400 018.
           Tel: 91-22-6636 0000.

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Brics Pms Performance Update 15 Sept. 2010

  • 1. MULTIPLE -STRATEGY TREND RATED AUTOMATIC TRADING SYSTEM Portfolio Management Services (PMS) Performance Update 15 September 2010 Vivek Mavani – Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager
  • 2. BRICS Growth Synopsis  BRICS Growth is a Long only Diversified Equity Product aimed at generating Absolute Returns  The Objective is:  Generate Steady & Consistent returns over medium to long term  Low Volatility  Cautious on Margin of Safety  The Focus is therefore on Stock Picking with a Buy and Hold philosophy  Invest in high quality and high growth companies at reasonable valuations and hold them over a period of time. (Not trade in & out frequently)  Our conservative approach to managing investments, (especially during periods of volatility) is reflected in our superior performance.
  • 3. Portfolio Update Since the last update, (August, 2010) the portfolio has been realigned keeping in mind the changed view from being defensive to being slightly aggressive  Increased the weightage of large caps by increasing the exposure to Reliance Industries and Large Cap Banks (Axis Bank and ICICI Bank)  During a market correction, mid-caps generally, witness a sharper correction. Therefore, we reduced our exposure to mid-caps by booking profits in some our holdings which had very sharp rallies. It is to reduce the portfolio volatility, (at least partly).  Cash levels this month are lower than last month  As we opportunistically deployed the surplus cash to ride on the momentum, and,  as the invested portfolio value has increased, (cash had obviously not)  Credo of sticking to Quality remains and will never be compromised  Can stick to this credo as we see no serious compulsion to deploy funds at higher levels. Wouldn’t mind sitting it out for a while than take undue risks  Global macroeconomic risks remain and we are cautious of the same as highlighted repeatedly in the previous updates. However, capitalizing on the opportunity to play the momentum for at least part (<15%) of the portfolio
  • 4. Absolute Performance – 15 September 2010 YTD Since Weekly Monthly Quarterly Half Yearly (Calendar) Inception BRICS Growth 2.33% 5.29% 21.68% 31.43% 37.60% 49.30% NIFTY 4.51% 7.50% 12.23% 14.27% 12.69% 15.30% SENSEX 4.48% 7.35% 12.00% 13.62% 11.67% 13.81% S&P CNX 500 2.98% 6.23% 12.67% 14.83% 12.29% 18.02% S&P CNX MIDCAP 1.16% 4.87% 14.66% 22.27% 22.90% 36.38% Inception Date: 1 October, 2009 Portfolio returns are audited and net of fees & expenses
  • 5. Consistency in our Month-on-Month Performance Performance ahead of benchmark indices month after month Month BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex S&P CNX 500 CNX Mid Cap Oct-09 -0.67% -7.31% -7.23% -6.46% -1.77% Nov-09 2.79% 6.81% 6.48% 7.59% 8.65% Dec-09 6.27% 3.35% 3.18% 4.43% 3.97% Jan-10 -1.84% -6.13% -6.34% -4.00% -3.11% Feb-10 0.75% 0.82% 0.44% -0.69% -0.48% Mar-10 6.24% 6.64% 6.68% 4.50% 7.50% Apr-10 3.77% 0.55% 0.18% 1.27% 4.62% May-10 1.86% -3.63% -3.50% -3.24% -3.79% Jun-10 5.81% 4.45% 3.83% 4.59% 4.83% Jul-10 3.84% 1.04% 1.56% 1.23% 3.50% Aug-10 7.25% 0.65% 0.58% 1.39% 3.14%
  • 6. Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds Ranked on 3 month returns Performance Rank Scheme Name 1 Mth % 3 Mths % 6 Mths % 1 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 6.03 21.86 29.58 2 Brics Growth 5.29 21.68 31.43 3 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 8.49 20.07 29.58 4 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 7.10 18.31 26.22 5 Franklin India High Growth Companies Fund - Growth 8.09 17.50 16.35 6 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 7.50 17.44 25.26 7 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 8.15 17.41 26.00 8 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 4.22 17.39 27.93 9 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 7.61 17.31 24.14 10 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 6.54 17.08 24.27 11 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 8.08 17.07 25.10 12 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 6.91 16.98 22.42 13 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 5.85 16.62 24.57 14 Morgan Stanley A.C.E Fund - Growth 6.71 16.26 19.77 15 Templeton India Growth Fund - Growth 9.49 16.12 17.83 16 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 6.28 16.10 28.64 17 Tata Select Equity Fund - Appr 7.65 15.82 17.62 18 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth 7.42 15.63 21.33 19 Franklin India Opportunity Fund - Growth 5.97 15.23 16.80 20 Morgan Stanley Growth Fund - Growth 6.18 15.09 16.85 The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
  • 7. Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds Ranked on 6 month returns Performance Rank Scheme Name 1 Mth % 3 Mths % 6 Mths % 1 Brics Growth 5.29 21.68 31.43 2 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 6.03 21.86 29.58 3 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 8.49 20.07 29.58 4 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 6.28 16.10 28.64 5 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 4.22 17.39 27.93 6 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 7.10 18.31 26.22 7 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 8.15 17.41 26.00 8 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 7.50 17.44 25.26 9 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 8.08 17.07 25.10 10 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 5.85 16.62 24.57 11 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 6.54 17.08 24.27 12 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 7.61 17.31 24.14 13 Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth 6.87 14.87 23.46 14 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 6.91 16.98 22.42 15 ICICI Prudential Fusion Fund - IP - Growth 5.73 14.00 22.31 16 Fidelity India Growth Fund - Growth 7.02 14.65 22.27 17 Escorts Growth Plan - Growth 2.75 12.20 22.10 18 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth 7.42 15.63 21.33 19 Birla Sun Life Long Term Advantage Fund - Growth 6.96 14.79 20.74 20 Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth 5.83 15.06 19.97 The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
  • 8. BRICS Growth NAV Trend  BRICS Growth has delivered absolute & BRICS Growth NAV v/s Indices (normalised) consistent returns during both periods: 155 150  Performance has been a result of our :  Stock Picking 145  Low churn in the portfolio, and 140  Conservative attitude (not taking 135 excessive risks) 130 125 Between 1 Oct. Between 25 May 120 Performance 2009 – 25 May 2010 – 15 2010 * Sept.2010 115 Range bound 110 Sharp rally markets with 105 across the board volatility 100 BRICS Growth 15.70% 29.04% 95 Nifty -5.44% 21.93% 90 85 Sensex -6.50% 21.72% 1-May-10 1-Apr-10 1-Aug-10 1-Nov-09 1-Feb-10 1-Jul-10 1-Sep-10 1-Dec-09 1-Oct-09 1-Jan-10 1-Mar-10 1-Jun-10 S&P 500 -2.84% 21.47% CNX Mid-Cap 10.32% 23.62% BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex * 25 May 2010, Indices bottomed out, when the S&P 500 CNX Midcap current rally started.
  • 9. BRICS Growth Outperformance  Our out-performance has been increasing BRICS Growth NAV Outperformance vis-a-vis Indices over a period of time 40%  Our Strategy has been to : 35% 30%  Buy during panics/declines 25%  Use sharp rallies to partially book profits 20%  Opportunistically ride the momentum 15% for only a small part of the portfolio 10%  Remain adequately liquid at all times 5%  Adequate liquidity helps : 0%  Protect against volatility -5%  Provides enough courage and -10% conviction to buy into panics 1-Apr-2010 1-May-2010 1-Nov-2009 1-Feb-2010 1-Jul-2010 1-Aug-2010 1-Sep-2010 1-Dec-2009 1-Jan-2010 1-Mar-2010 1-Jun-2010 1-Oct-2009  Current cash/liquid balances ~ at 15% of the Portfolio Nifty Sensex S&P 500 CNX MidCap
  • 10. Portfolio Breakup Sectoral Allocation Market Cap Breakup Cash Banking & 15% Oil & Gas 23.59% Finance 23.27% Small Cap 17% Media Large Cap 5.93% Branded 53% Garments & Infrastructure Retail 4.31% 12.81% FMCG Mid Cap 14.74% Cash 15% 15.35% Large Cap. More than Rs 5,000 crores Mid-Cap. Rs 1,000 - 5,000 crores Small Cap. Less than Rs 1,000 crores
  • 11. Low Portfolio Turnover (Buy & Hold at work) Portfolio Turnover 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Portfolio Turnover Average turnover
  • 12. How did we do during periods of Volatility - 10 Biggest falls since October 2009  How much a portfolio falls during a Points Points % Fall - % Fall - % Fall - correction / sharp downturn is as Date Fall - Fall - BRICS Nifty Sensex important as how much it gains in a Nifty Sensex Growth bull market 27-Jan-10 -159.65 -3.19% -490.64 -2.92% -2.29%  Protecting capital is often more important during periods of volatility 03-Nov-09 -147.80 -3.14% -491.34 -3.09% -0.36%  Downside protection equally 19-May-10 -146.55 -2.89% -467.27 -2.77% -0.84% contributes to superior returns over a period of time 25-May-10 -137.20 -2.78% -447.07 -2.71% -1.62%  We have managed to fall less than 05-Feb-10 -126.70 -2.61% -434.02 -2.68% -0.47% the indices during each of the sharp falls / panics since our inception 27-Oct-09 -124.20 -2.50% -387.10 -2.31% -0.65%  Large liquidity during periods of 21-Jan-10 -127.55 -2.44% -423.35 -2.42% -1.32% volatility & a low beta portfolio helped. 01-Jun-10 -116.10 -2.28% -372.60 -2.20% -1.24% Against -- Nifty Sensex 26-Nov-09 -102.60 -2.01% -344.02 -2.00% -0.95% Beta * 0.4156 0.4133 07-Jun-10 -101.50 -1.98% -336.62 -1.97% -0.99% *Beta measures the volatility of the 04-Feb-10 -86.50 -1.75% -271.10 -1.64% -0.28% portfolio relative to the index
  • 13. Market Outlook  Global macro economic risks will continue to weigh on the markets. Will definitely have repercussions on India over a period of time, if not in the short term  Global liquidity flooding Indian markets has been the primary reason for the current rally. Some sectors (like banking, Auto’s) have seen a huge rerating  Overall Valuations are definitely not cheap. If the current sharp momentum continues Valuations could become a concern as they approach a bubble territory  In some sectors/stocks valuations already factor in fairly aggressive growth rates for FY11 and FY12. Corporate performances could potentially disappoint given high expectations  Price corrections from current high levels could be very sharp, if earnings disappoint  However, markets have also been very discriminative against corporates under-performing expectations. This is very evident in the current rally since May-end 2010 where broad based participation is lacking, (the type we have seen in the past, 2006, 2008)  Serious concerns will start when the liquidity driven rally takes even the stocks with bad/doubtful fundamentals to new high’s  Pockets of opportunities still available in those stocks/sectors where growth is steady and valuations still leave room for upside.  However we continue to remain cautious of the market levels/individual stocks prices and valuations and would use sharp rallies as profit booking opportunities
  • 14. Our Strategy  “Time” in the markets is more important than “Timing” the markets  Superior long-term sustainable returns are not made by timing the markets in terms of selling at the peaks. They are a result of purchase prices that are attractive in terms of valuations with adequate margin of safety  Our strategy going ahead would continue to be, bottom up stock picking and be extremely selective:  Buy on declines  Use sharp rallies to partially book profits  Opportunistically ride the momentum for only a small part of the portfolio  Remain adequately liquid at all time  The sectors that we are bullish are and continue to be over weight:  Banking & Financial Services,  Gas Transportation & Distribution  Domestic Consumption oriented sectors including Paints, Branded Garments, Media etc.
  • 15. Happy Investing Thank You Vivek Mavani – Vice President & Senior Portfolio Manager vivek.mavani@bricssecurities.com BRICS SECURITIES LIMITED 1st Floor, Sadhana House, 570, P. B. Marg, Behind Mahindra Towers, Worli, Mumbai – 400 018. Tel: 91-22-6636 0000.