This document presents a new engineering approach for designing, analyzing, and synthesizing complex decisions under uncertainty, especially for senior defense department officials. It was prepared for the Chief of Naval Operations' Strategic Studies Group under a contract and contains confidential information in the remainder. The approach allows for systematically exploring, constructing, and analyzing creative alternatives for multidisciplinary strategic situations that require decision making under uncertainty.

1. Design, Analysis, and Synthesis of
Complex Decisions
Under Uncertainty:
An Engineering Approach
An exposition of a new approach to the design, analysis, and synthesis of complex and multidisciplinary strategic organizational situations requiring systematic exploration, construction, and analysis of creative decision alternatives by senior officers in the DoD.
Prepared for:
The Chief of Naval Operations
Strategic Studies Group
Performed under
Contract No. N00124-10-P-0394
11 November 2010
Victor Tang PhD John Q. Dickmann PhD
victang@alum.mit.edu jqd@alum.mit.edu

2. Remainder of document contains
Confidential Information