Slides for the 103rd Meetup for the Vancouver Disciplined Trading Hub.

1. Educating Since Jan 2017

2. 1. Who are we?
2. What is Disciplined Trading?
3. A Practice Disciplined Trade
4. Videos for the week
Meetup Agenda

3. This is a presentation prepared for Education purposes only.
Neither Vancouver Disciplined Trading Hub (VDTH) or Prosperis Passive Income
Strategies (PPIS) nor any of its personnel are registered broker-dealers or investment
advisors.
We may mention that we consider certain securities or positions to be good candidates
for the types of strategies we are discussing or illustrating. This does not mean that we
are telling you to trade these exact strategies or securities.
Keep in mind that we are not providing you with any specific recommendations or
personalized advice about your own trading activities. The information we are providing
is not tailored to any particular individual. Any mention of a particular security is not a
recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or a suggestion that it is
suitable for any specific person. Trading ALWAYS involves a risk of loss, even if we are
discussing strategies that are intended to limit risk.
VDTH and PPIS are not subject to trading restrictions. We could have a position in a
security or initiate a position in a security we mention at any time.
Disclaimer

4. Who are We?
SUNDAY 6:00PM CEDAR COTTAGE PUB, VANCOUVER
www.meetup.com/vdthub
www.slideshare.net/vdth
Educating Since Jan 2017

5. Who are We?
Karim Adatia, CPA
Tax Auditor (2008 – 2016)
Full-time Stock Options Trader (2016 - Present)
Financial Educator (2016 - Present)
www.ppis.ca
TRADING INC.
Canada Revenue Agency

6. What is Disciplined Trading?
Trade based on:
1) CONVICTION (based on what is PERCEIVED in any given moment.)
2) CATALYST (A fundamental or technical reason/opinion)
3) COMPLACENCY (Eg. Wait for a bull market to return
Convert a trade to an investing position)
What a Disciplined Retail Trader will Do …
1) PREDEFINE their risk BEFORE taking a trade
2) CUT THEIR LOSSES without hesitation (when the catalyst fails)
3) MANAGE using a SYSTEMATIC and CONSISTENT money management plan
What Most Retail Traders Do…

7. 1. Who are we?
2. What is Disciplined Trading?
3. A Practice Disciplined Trade
4. Videos for the week
Meetup Agenda

8. What are Equity Options?
An option is a contract that to buy or sell
a certain amount of stock.
allows you
RIGHT or OBLIGATION
BUY
SELL
When you buy, you have a RIGHT.
When you sell, you have an OBLIGATION.
What can we do with Option Contracts?

9. Why trade Equity Options?
Leverage = 1 to 100
1 option contract controls 100 shares
Bullish Stock Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
100 shares would cost = $10,000.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
Stock Trader makes $500 or 5% profit.
Bullish Options Trader
Apple Inc. (AAPL) costs $100.00/share
1 contract costs $5.00, so trader pays $500.
Apple Inc. share goes to $105.00/share
The Option contract goes to $6.80.
Options Trader makes $180 or 36% profit.

10. A Call Option is an option contract that gives the buyer (holder) the right to buy, and gives
the seller (writer) the obligation to sell a 100 shares of a stock at the given strike price on or
before the expiration date of the contract.
A Put Option is an option contract that gives the buyer (holder) the right to sell, and gives the
seller (writer) the obligation to purchase 100 shares of a stock at the given strike price on or
before the expiration date of the contract.
Types of Option contracts
CALL
PUT
(You Choose)
(You Choose) (Market decides)
(You Choose) (You Choose) (You Choose) (Market decides)

11. SELLBUY
(SHORT/WRITE)(LONG)
THE RIGHT TO: THE RIGHT TO:
THE OBLIGATION TO: THE OBLIGATION TO:
Buy Stock Sell Stock
Sell Stock Buy Stock
PUTCALL
WHEN WE DO ALL FOUR – WE ARE NON-DIRECTIONAL!

12. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg8IyTPoaQY
Trading
Range
Put
Spread
Call
Spread
The Iron Condor Options Strategy on a Stock

13. Non-Directional Trade
No opinion on whether market goes up or down.

14. 3115 3240 3365
Write a Put at
this Strike
Price
Write a Call at
this Strike
Price
The Iron Condor Options Strategy on an Index

15. Iron Condor Trade Characteristics
1. Option Writing Write: To Sell an Option
2. Range-bound Confidence Interval: 95%
3. Index-linked Ticker: SPX
4. Out-The-Money No Intrinsic Value, Only Time Value
5. Average Return Goal of 8% in 3 weeks
6. 25-day Timeframe Guaranteed Time Decay

16. The Guarantee with Options – Time will Decay
$$$
Time Remaining Until Expiration Date (Days)
Option
Time
Value
($)
SELL
BUY
BACK
90 60 30 0

17. SPX (S&P 500)
SHORT CALL:
= 3365
3240 33653115
95% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL : Under NORMAL Volatility Conditions
TRADING RANGE: 3115 – 3365
SHORT PUT:
= 3115
LONG PUT as
protection 5
points away
LONG CALL as
protection 5
points away
33703110

18. THE VOLATILITY INDEX – TICKER: VIX
18

19. Practice Trade
Get spreadsheet from www.ppis.ca/Meetup

20. Our Track Record (> Apr 2018)
www.meetup.com/VDTHub Message Boards
SPX Iron Condor
Track Record

21. Determining Expectancy
Steps for calculation expectancy:
1. Calculate your win and loss ratio
2. Calculate your reward to risk ratio
3. Combine those two ratios into an expectancy ratio
SPX Trade Expectancy
1. Win and loss ratio:
Win ratio = Wins/Total Trades
Loss ratio = Losses/Total Trades
2. Reward to risk ratio:
Avg. Winner / Avg. Loser
3. Expectancy ratio:
(Reward to Risk ratio x Win ratio) – Loss ratio
Apr 2018 - Current
64/74 = 86.49%
10/70 = 13.51%
$600/$200.00 = 300%
(300% x 86.49%) – 13.51%
= +245.95%
Win Ratio:
Loss Ratio:
R2R Ratio:
Exp Ratio:

22. Apply with caution
Disciplined Traders …
1) Predefine their risk before taking a trade
2) Cut their losses without hesitation
3) Use a systematic money management plan
to make consistent profits.
This Strategy…
1) Predefines your risk
2) Has an adjustment plan
3) Can be systematic / automatic with trade alerts
Has positive expectancy (is therefore consistent)

23. Takeaways!!
1) Be Disciplined!
Whether you are trading stocks, options, currency
or futures.
2) You Can Make Money by being Non-Directional!
3) Equity Options give you leverage that stocks can’t!
4) If you are interested in this particular strategy,
(1) Come to VDTH Meetups each week or
(2) Follow the Practice Trades on Discussion Board.
and only then…

24. Full Workshop
Wednesday January 22 @ 6PM
SFU HARBOUR CENTRE (DOWNTOWN)
515, W. Georgia Street, Vancouver, BC V6B 5K3
Register at : WWW.PPIS.CA
Workshop (3 hours)
+ Workbook
+ 1-1 Coaching (1 hour)
+ Weekly support via VDTHub Meetup &
Methodology in Detail
Adjustment / Stops
Entry Criteria & Risk management
Taking Advantage of Volatility

25. US ON FACEBOOK
www.facebook.com/ppistrategies
If you Liked the Presentation,
Write us a review!
www.ppis.ca

26. 1. Who are we?
2. What is Disciplined Trading?
3. A Practice Disciplined Trade
4. Videos for the week
Meetup Agenda

27. Videos

28. YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzhJBdGNwyo

29. karim@ppis.ca

30. Backup Slides

31. WORST DAY FOR THE S&P 500 IN 2017
2400 24652335
2.6% away
(Put Alert) Index Value (Call Alert)
2.6% away

32. WORST DAY FOR THE S&P 500 IN 2018
2740 28052675
2.4% away
(Put Alert) Index Value (Call Alert)
2.4% away

33. Our Track Record (Jan 2017- Mar 2018)
www.meetup.com/VDTHub
*Average Invested
= $5,000/week
Message Board
SPX Iron Condor
Track Record

34. Our Inspiration
Mark
Douglas
Norman
Hallet

35. NON-
DIRECTIONAL
TRADES
Stocks and Equity Options
3-month Program
US$799
DIRECTIONAL
TRADES
FOR VIDEO ABOUT MMT PROGRAM: www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzhJBdGNwyo
$200 off for VDTH Meetup Members (Contact us for details)
FB PAGE: www.facebook.com/MasterMindTraders.official/
www.mastermindtraders.com/freevideos

36. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
BUY A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP
• The person you sell the call to is betting the price will go DOWN or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE
3
YOU LOSE

37. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go UP:
SELL A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go UP or STAY THE SAME
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go DOWN
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WIN
3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe

38. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
BUY A PUT
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP or
STAY THE SAME
When you buy a put, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
When you sell a put, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
YOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
NEUTRAL
2
YOU LOSE

39. OUTCOMES WHEN TRADING OPTIONS
If you believe a stock will go DOWN:
SELL A CALL
• You are betting the price of the stock will go DOWN or STAY THE SAME
• The person you sell the put to is betting the price will go UP
When you sell a call, you can win 2 out of 3 ways
When you buy a call, you can win 1 out of 3 ways
NEUTRAL
2
YOU WINYOU WIN
1 3
YOU LOSE
… Maybe

40. VIX During the 2008 Financial Crisis
Takeaway: When VIX is > 18, Don’t Trade This Strategy!