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Who Creates and Captures Value
in Global Supply Chains?


Timo Seppälä
ETLA, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy

OECD, Paris, France
Thursday, 26th April, 2012

* This research is a part of the ongoing research project
SUGAR – Finnish Firms in Global Value Networks (2010-2012)
funded by the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and
Innovation
Global supply chains operate at ever-finer
resolutions in terms of where & when
individual tasks are carried out

 From the 1st to the 2nd unbundling
 (Richard Baldwin, 2006)

 From trading goods to trading tasks
 (Grossman & Rossi-Hansberg, 2008)


Empirics:
What does the new geography
of global value creation and capture
look like?
2nd Unbundling

DRIVERS                 RESULTS

 • Communications        • ‘Coordination glue’ that
   costs have dropped      kept job tasks in close
                           proximity began to loosen.
 • Real-time
   communications        • Competition has moved
                           from industry level to the
 • Multinationals as       level of tasks.
   major actors to
   diffuse know-how      • From trade of goods to
   internationally         trade in tasks.
Why Value Added?

MACRO                 FIRM           PRODUCT
LEVEL                 LEVEL           LEVEL


GDP                 VALUE            VALUE
                    ADDED            ADDED
(Gross Domestic
Product)            (Sales of all    (Product’s sales
GDP is the sum of   products - all   price - all
values added by     purchases)       purchased
all organizations                    inputs)
in a national
economy


                                               Jyrki Ali-Yrkkö
Breakdown                                          Processors, €34, 6%

of the phone’s
                                                   Memories, €15, 3%
                                                   Integr.circuits, €32, 6%
€546 (+tax) retail                                 Display, €22, 4%
price circa 2007                                   Camera (5 mp), €17, 3%

                                                   Other parts, €59, 11%
Refers to unbundled & unsubsidized official
retail price w/o taxes. Excluding discounts &
other possibly purchased products/services.        Licenses, €21, 4%
Licenses include protocols, the operating
system, pre-installed software etc. Nokia is a
major IPR holder in this domain & it does not
                                                   Value added
pay fees to itself; thus value of its own IP is    in Nokia’s
not included here. Furthermore, non-monetary       internal
payments (e.g., cross-licensing) is not
included here. For a firm without own its IP,
                                                   support
licensing fees could have be manifold.             fns, €169, 31%
As compared to some other studies, the cost
of final assembly may seem high. Some              (Excl. Operating profit &
other estimates, however, only include direct       assembly listed below)
labor costs and refer to simpler goods.
Nokia’s value added covers its innovation,
advertising, design, marketing, financial, legal   Nokia’s
& management costs and depreciation &              operating
investment. It also includes some aspects of       profit, €89, 16%
outsourcing, which we are unable to
separate from Nokia’s internal functions:          Final assembly, €11, 2%
purchases of “billable hours”, some R&D and
software sub-contracting, outbound logistics,
                                                   Distribution, €19, 4%
and certain external warranty & other services.
Nokia’s profit is assigned to Finland.             Retailing, €60, 11%
Based on publicly available information.
Who Captures Value in Global
Supply Chains? The Case of 3 Entry
Level Handsets *

Ali-Yrkkö, J. & Seppälä, T. (2012). Changing Geographies of
Value Creation in Global Supply Chains: The Case of 3 Entry
Level Handsets; Forthcoming




* This research is a part of the ongoing research project
SUGAR – Finnish Firms in Global Value Networks (2010-2012)
funded by the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and
Innovation
Global supply chains operate at ever-finer
resolutions in terms of where & when
individual tasks are carried out


Empirics:
How has the distribution of value add changed over time?

How has the task level globalization enhanced changed over time?

How has the geography of global value added tasks changed over time?
Task
Value added by actors (firms/individuals), functions (R&D…)
& geographies (locations/countries) in a case of one good
Mapping out the whole global supply chain from
raw materials / idea generation to a consumer’s
final purchase of a 3310, 1100 and 1200 at a retail store
– All direct & indirect hard & soft inputs
– 1–8 stages before the final assembly & 2–4 after it
– For each, the loc. of innovation, direct labor & support (cap.)

Mapping out the geographical location of value
added tasks
– All direct & indirect work inputs
Approach

Our own examination of 3310, 1100 and 1200 with electrical engineers

Public (Internet etc.) & private (industry contacts) sources
to study value added of 600+ parts & software

Teardown report by Portelligent (and iSuppli)

In-depth interviews with industry actors/experts

Company reporting, industry press/services

Previous literature (by Linden & others)


A few researcher-years of work …
Value Added Distribution by
  Participants

  Nokia 3310                                Components                                                        Nokia                                     Distribution
   Consumer                                                                                                                                             channel 17%
   price 78e
                                               40%                                                             43%
    (in 2003)                                                                                       Engine mfg 4.8%
                                                                                                           ATO 4.6%
                                                                                                 Production OH 2.8%
                                                                                                  Others+profit 30.9%
                                                                                                                 43%
  Nokia 1200
   Consumer                                         Components                                                                                    Distribution
                                                                                                              Nokia 21%
    price 27e                                          54%                                                                                        channel 25%
  (in q4/2007)
                                                                                                    Engine mfg 1.9%
                                                                                                           ATO 1.9%
                                                                                                 Production OH 2.7%
                                                                                                  Others+profit 14.6%
                                                                                                                 21%

Notes:   The share of distribution channel includes warranty, outbound logistics, distributor and retailer. Consumer prices are global average prices without sales taxes.
Task level globalization: 3310
Task level globalization: 1200
Value Added Distribution by
Geographies
Preliminary observations #1/2

Knowledge transfer from arvanced economies to
emerging economies…


The relocation of different types of tasks has required
competence transfer from advanced economies to
emerging economies and particularly to China.


Instead of sudden change, this process has spread over
several years.
Preliminary Observations #2/2

Trade statistics…Imports and exports of goods are
measured in gross-value terms.
Our case study data show that if we take services flows
into account and use value added based information we
come up with strikingly different conclusions on global
trade flows than by using gross values of flows of goods.
This implicates that the estimates based on trade in
goods statistics and national accounts tend to give a
somewhat biased and inadequate picture of how value
added spreads geographically.
Who Captures Value in Global
Supply Chains? Case Alpha, Beta and
Gamma – 3 different Metals Products *


Seppälä, T., Kenney, M. & Ali-Yrkkö, J. (2012). Value Creation
versus Value Capture: Evidence from Global Production
Networks, Forthcoming




* This research is a part of the ongoing research project
SUGAR – Finnish Firms in Global Value Networks (2010-2012)
funded by the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and
Innovation
Global supply chains operate at ever-finer
resolutions in terms of where & when
individual tasks are carried out


Empirics:
How does the distribution of value added look like by participant and by
region?

How does the distribution of value capture look like by participant by
region?

How does the geography of value added look like
by region?
Task
Value added by actors (firms/individuals), functions (R&D…)
& geographies (locations/countries) in a case of one industrial
product
Mapping out the whole global supply chain from
raw materials / idea generation to a customer’s
final purchase of a Final Product at a MNE’s sales office
– All direct & indirect hard & soft inputs
– 3-4 stages before the final assembly & 1- 2 after it
– For each, the loc. of innovation, direct labor & support (cap.)
Approach

Our own examination with MNE’s Team (Alpha, Beta, and
Gamma)

Public (Internet etc.) & private (industry contacts) sources
to study value added of 1000+ parts & software

In-depth interviews with industry actors/experts

Company reporting, industry press/services

Previous literature (by Ali-Yrkkö et. al.)


A few researcher-months of work …
Why Value Capture?

MACRO              FIRM               PRODUCT
LEVEL              LEVEL               LEVEL


VALUE            OPERATING            OPERATING
CAPTURE          PROFIT               PROFIT
(Operating       (Total sales - all   (Product’s sales
surplus +        variable and         price – all cost
Consumption of   fixed costs -        allocated to the
fixed capital)   depreciations)       product )




                                              Jyrki Ali-Yrkkö
Value Added Distribution by
Participants by Region: Case Alpha
Value Capture Distribution by
Participants by Region: Case Alpha
Value Added Distribution by
Geographies by Region: Case Alpha
Value Added Distribution by
Participants by Region: Case Beta
Value Capture Distribution by
Participants by Region: Case Beta
Value Added Distribution by
Geographies by Region: Case Beta
Value Added Distribution by
Participants by Region: Case Gamma
Value Capture Distribution by
Participants by Region: Case Gamma
Value Added Distribution by
Geographies by Region: Case Gamma
Preliminary observations #1/2

Manufacturing still matters!

Each participant’s value capture in depended on MNE’s
transfer price mechanism between different locations

Each region’s value capture in depended on MNE’s global
transfer price mechanism


Value Capture Distribution by Geographies by Region to be
calculated
Preliminary Observations #2/2

Trade statistics…Imports and exports of goods are
measured in gross-value terms.
Our case study data show that if we take services and
profits flows into account and use value added and
operating profit based information we come up with
strikingly different conclusions on global trade flows
than by using gross values of flows of goods.
This implicates that the estimates based on trade in
goods statistics and national accounts tend to give a
somewhat biased and inadequate picture of how value
added and value capture spreads geographically.
Thank You!


       Comments, remarks & discussion
            are more than welcomed:
                 timo.seppala@etla.fi
                 +358–9–60990261

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Who Creates and Captures Value in Global Supply Chains?

  • 1. Who Creates and Captures Value in Global Supply Chains? Timo Seppälä ETLA, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy OECD, Paris, France Thursday, 26th April, 2012 * This research is a part of the ongoing research project SUGAR – Finnish Firms in Global Value Networks (2010-2012) funded by the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and Innovation
  • 2. Global supply chains operate at ever-finer resolutions in terms of where & when individual tasks are carried out From the 1st to the 2nd unbundling (Richard Baldwin, 2006) From trading goods to trading tasks (Grossman & Rossi-Hansberg, 2008) Empirics: What does the new geography of global value creation and capture look like?
  • 3. 2nd Unbundling DRIVERS RESULTS • Communications • ‘Coordination glue’ that costs have dropped kept job tasks in close proximity began to loosen. • Real-time communications • Competition has moved from industry level to the • Multinationals as level of tasks. major actors to diffuse know-how • From trade of goods to internationally trade in tasks.
  • 4. Why Value Added? MACRO FIRM PRODUCT LEVEL LEVEL LEVEL GDP VALUE VALUE ADDED ADDED (Gross Domestic Product) (Sales of all (Product’s sales GDP is the sum of products - all price - all values added by purchases) purchased all organizations inputs) in a national economy Jyrki Ali-Yrkkö
  • 5. Breakdown Processors, €34, 6% of the phone’s Memories, €15, 3% Integr.circuits, €32, 6% €546 (+tax) retail Display, €22, 4% price circa 2007 Camera (5 mp), €17, 3% Other parts, €59, 11% Refers to unbundled & unsubsidized official retail price w/o taxes. Excluding discounts & other possibly purchased products/services. Licenses, €21, 4% Licenses include protocols, the operating system, pre-installed software etc. Nokia is a major IPR holder in this domain & it does not Value added pay fees to itself; thus value of its own IP is in Nokia’s not included here. Furthermore, non-monetary internal payments (e.g., cross-licensing) is not included here. For a firm without own its IP, support licensing fees could have be manifold. fns, €169, 31% As compared to some other studies, the cost of final assembly may seem high. Some (Excl. Operating profit & other estimates, however, only include direct assembly listed below) labor costs and refer to simpler goods. Nokia’s value added covers its innovation, advertising, design, marketing, financial, legal Nokia’s & management costs and depreciation & operating investment. It also includes some aspects of profit, €89, 16% outsourcing, which we are unable to separate from Nokia’s internal functions: Final assembly, €11, 2% purchases of “billable hours”, some R&D and software sub-contracting, outbound logistics, Distribution, €19, 4% and certain external warranty & other services. Nokia’s profit is assigned to Finland. Retailing, €60, 11% Based on publicly available information.
  • 6. Who Captures Value in Global Supply Chains? The Case of 3 Entry Level Handsets * Ali-Yrkkö, J. & Seppälä, T. (2012). Changing Geographies of Value Creation in Global Supply Chains: The Case of 3 Entry Level Handsets; Forthcoming * This research is a part of the ongoing research project SUGAR – Finnish Firms in Global Value Networks (2010-2012) funded by the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and Innovation
  • 7. Global supply chains operate at ever-finer resolutions in terms of where & when individual tasks are carried out Empirics: How has the distribution of value add changed over time? How has the task level globalization enhanced changed over time? How has the geography of global value added tasks changed over time?
  • 8. Task Value added by actors (firms/individuals), functions (R&D…) & geographies (locations/countries) in a case of one good Mapping out the whole global supply chain from raw materials / idea generation to a consumer’s final purchase of a 3310, 1100 and 1200 at a retail store – All direct & indirect hard & soft inputs – 1–8 stages before the final assembly & 2–4 after it – For each, the loc. of innovation, direct labor & support (cap.) Mapping out the geographical location of value added tasks – All direct & indirect work inputs
  • 9. Approach Our own examination of 3310, 1100 and 1200 with electrical engineers Public (Internet etc.) & private (industry contacts) sources to study value added of 600+ parts & software Teardown report by Portelligent (and iSuppli) In-depth interviews with industry actors/experts Company reporting, industry press/services Previous literature (by Linden & others) A few researcher-years of work …
  • 10. Value Added Distribution by Participants Nokia 3310 Components Nokia Distribution Consumer channel 17% price 78e 40% 43% (in 2003) Engine mfg 4.8% ATO 4.6% Production OH 2.8% Others+profit 30.9% 43% Nokia 1200 Consumer Components Distribution Nokia 21% price 27e 54% channel 25% (in q4/2007) Engine mfg 1.9% ATO 1.9% Production OH 2.7% Others+profit 14.6% 21% Notes: The share of distribution channel includes warranty, outbound logistics, distributor and retailer. Consumer prices are global average prices without sales taxes.
  • 13. Value Added Distribution by Geographies
  • 14. Preliminary observations #1/2 Knowledge transfer from arvanced economies to emerging economies… The relocation of different types of tasks has required competence transfer from advanced economies to emerging economies and particularly to China. Instead of sudden change, this process has spread over several years.
  • 15. Preliminary Observations #2/2 Trade statistics…Imports and exports of goods are measured in gross-value terms. Our case study data show that if we take services flows into account and use value added based information we come up with strikingly different conclusions on global trade flows than by using gross values of flows of goods. This implicates that the estimates based on trade in goods statistics and national accounts tend to give a somewhat biased and inadequate picture of how value added spreads geographically.
  • 16. Who Captures Value in Global Supply Chains? Case Alpha, Beta and Gamma – 3 different Metals Products * Seppälä, T., Kenney, M. & Ali-Yrkkö, J. (2012). Value Creation versus Value Capture: Evidence from Global Production Networks, Forthcoming * This research is a part of the ongoing research project SUGAR – Finnish Firms in Global Value Networks (2010-2012) funded by the Finnish Funding Agency for Technology and Innovation
  • 17. Global supply chains operate at ever-finer resolutions in terms of where & when individual tasks are carried out Empirics: How does the distribution of value added look like by participant and by region? How does the distribution of value capture look like by participant by region? How does the geography of value added look like by region?
  • 18. Task Value added by actors (firms/individuals), functions (R&D…) & geographies (locations/countries) in a case of one industrial product Mapping out the whole global supply chain from raw materials / idea generation to a customer’s final purchase of a Final Product at a MNE’s sales office – All direct & indirect hard & soft inputs – 3-4 stages before the final assembly & 1- 2 after it – For each, the loc. of innovation, direct labor & support (cap.)
  • 19. Approach Our own examination with MNE’s Team (Alpha, Beta, and Gamma) Public (Internet etc.) & private (industry contacts) sources to study value added of 1000+ parts & software In-depth interviews with industry actors/experts Company reporting, industry press/services Previous literature (by Ali-Yrkkö et. al.) A few researcher-months of work …
  • 20. Why Value Capture? MACRO FIRM PRODUCT LEVEL LEVEL LEVEL VALUE OPERATING OPERATING CAPTURE PROFIT PROFIT (Operating (Total sales - all (Product’s sales surplus + variable and price – all cost Consumption of fixed costs - allocated to the fixed capital) depreciations) product ) Jyrki Ali-Yrkkö
  • 21. Value Added Distribution by Participants by Region: Case Alpha
  • 22. Value Capture Distribution by Participants by Region: Case Alpha
  • 23. Value Added Distribution by Geographies by Region: Case Alpha
  • 24. Value Added Distribution by Participants by Region: Case Beta
  • 25. Value Capture Distribution by Participants by Region: Case Beta
  • 26. Value Added Distribution by Geographies by Region: Case Beta
  • 27. Value Added Distribution by Participants by Region: Case Gamma
  • 28. Value Capture Distribution by Participants by Region: Case Gamma
  • 29. Value Added Distribution by Geographies by Region: Case Gamma
  • 30. Preliminary observations #1/2 Manufacturing still matters! Each participant’s value capture in depended on MNE’s transfer price mechanism between different locations Each region’s value capture in depended on MNE’s global transfer price mechanism Value Capture Distribution by Geographies by Region to be calculated
  • 31. Preliminary Observations #2/2 Trade statistics…Imports and exports of goods are measured in gross-value terms. Our case study data show that if we take services and profits flows into account and use value added and operating profit based information we come up with strikingly different conclusions on global trade flows than by using gross values of flows of goods. This implicates that the estimates based on trade in goods statistics and national accounts tend to give a somewhat biased and inadequate picture of how value added and value capture spreads geographically.
  • 32. Thank You! Comments, remarks & discussion are more than welcomed: timo.seppala@etla.fi  +358–9–60990261