Please answer ASAP!!! Research Topic: Ransomware attack on k-12 schools (2013-present) BLUF Statement: The persistent surge in ransomware attacks targeting K-12 schools underscores the urgent need for enhanced cybersecurity measures, as a failure to address this issue will likely lead to disruptions of education and compromised student data, endangering the future of our education system. Scope Note: This research paper will provide a comprehensive overview of ransomware attacks on K-12 schools to address the alarming rise in ransomware attacks from 2013 to present. The paper will focus on the frequency, vulnerabilities, evolving tactics, consequences, and significance of these attacks, as well as the need for proactive cybersecurity measures. It will not address ransomware incidents in other sectors or provide an extensive historical overview of ransomware. This work will build on previous research on ransomware attacks on K-12 schools, but it takes a new approach by focusing on five key points. The information will be current as of September 30, 2023. Based on the information, answer the following: Treat something about your chosen term paper assignment as a High Impact Low Probability (black swan) event. Think of your event and then think of what black swan event could come next (but has not happened, yet). You must: Define 2 pathways Identify 3 trigger points/changes in momentum for each of the 2 pathways Identify 2 observables for each of the 6 trigger points Identify 2 factors to deflect each of the 6 trigger points. Briefly explain everything! Examples of what your High Impact Low Probability event could be: the malicious actors behind your event committing a radically different TTP, such as hacktivists using multiple 0days in one attack or a ransomware gang switching to stealing files for espionage purposes; the TTP changes in a radical way, such as the ransomware actors suddenly switching back to opportunistic targeting with low ransoms against many victims; a new leak of information for a clearly different purposes, such as journalists receiving a large dump of files that expose ransomware gangs instead of political/financial crimes; or information that indicates country 1 was using denial and deception techniques to make it look like country 2 was behind your incident but it was really country 1 all along. High Impact Low Probability Analysis Highlights a seemingly unlikely event that would have major policy consequences if it happened. Use when its unlikely but would have substantial impact if it happened Use when there are concerns that policymakers and decision makers are ignoring the consequences of a potential event they should be concerned about Help uncover hidden relationships and key factors Identify oversights in the mainstream analytic line Periodic review helps counter prevailing mind-set errors High Impact Low Probability Analysis 1. Define the outcome (consequences) 2. Define pathways to the event as precisely as poss.

1. Please answer ASAP!!!
Research Topic: Ransomware attack on k-12 schools (2013-present)
BLUF Statement: The persistent surge in ransomware attacks targeting K-12 schools underscores
the urgent need for enhanced cybersecurity measures, as a failure to address this issue will likely
lead to disruptions of education and compromised student data, endangering the future of our
education system.
Scope Note: This research paper will provide a comprehensive overview of ransomware attacks
on K-12 schools to address the alarming rise in ransomware attacks from 2013 to present. The
paper will focus on the frequency, vulnerabilities, evolving tactics, consequences, and
significance of these attacks, as well as the need for proactive cybersecurity measures. It will not
address ransomware incidents in other sectors or provide an extensive historical overview of
ransomware. This work will build on previous research on ransomware attacks on K-12 schools,
but it takes a new approach by focusing on five key points. The information will be current as of
September 30, 2023.
Based on the information, answer the following:
Treat something about your chosen term paper assignment as a High Impact Low Probability
(black swan) event. Think of
your event and then think of what black swan event could come next (but has not happened, yet).
You must:
Define 2 pathways
Identify 3 trigger points/changes in momentum for each of the 2 pathways
Identify 2 observables for each of the 6 trigger points
Identify 2 factors to deflect each of the 6 trigger points.
Briefly explain everything!
Examples of what your High Impact Low Probability event could be:
the malicious actors behind your event committing a radically different TTP, such as hacktivists
using multiple 0days
in one attack or a ransomware gang switching to stealing files for espionage purposes;
the TTP changes in a radical way, such as the ransomware actors suddenly switching back to
opportunistic targeting
with low ransoms against many victims;
a new leak of information for a clearly different purposes, such as journalists receiving a large
dump of files that

2. expose ransomware gangs instead of political/financial crimes; or
information that indicates country 1 was using denial and deception techniques to make it look
like country 2 was
behind your incident but it was really country 1 all along.
High Impact Low Probability Analysis
Highlights a seemingly unlikely event that would have major policy consequences if it
happened.
Use when its unlikely but would have substantial impact if it happened
Use when there are concerns that policymakers and decision makers are ignoring the
consequences of a potential event they should be concerned about
Help uncover hidden relationships and key factors
Identify oversights in the mainstream analytic line
Periodic review helps counter prevailing mind-set errors
High Impact Low Probability Analysis
1. Define the outcome (consequences)
2. Define pathways to the event as precisely as possible
3. Identify trigger points or changes in momentum
4. Identify key observables for each pathway
5. Identify factors to deflect the outcome/encourage a positive outcome
Please answer right and well enough to get the point across. Please no plagiarism. Thank you!