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ROI Demystified
WOMMA Summit 2010
Scott Cuppari

Walter Carl

Stuart Sheldon

Dan Hunter
What Is ROI?

Why Is It So Hard To Do?

     Case Studies
WHAT IS ROI?
Gain - Cost
   Cost
Principles of Measuring ROI
  1) Isolate Program             2) Use Consistent        3) Compare to
    Versus Control                   Measures            Objective Database


Category      Target Exposed
Mass Target    to Activation           Reach

                                                        Top 10%     Top 25%
                                      Impact



                               Cost Effectiveness/ROI
                                                        Top 50%   Bottom 50%
4) Include WOM Impact: Generation 0 to G1+…
                        Reach
                        Target Reached

Impact                  Comprehend/
                          Interest

                          Purchasers            WOM
                                          Amplification
                             Repeat                              WOM-Impacted
                                                                  Purchasers
                                                                      Repeat



                        5) Include Short Term & Long Term
               $4

               $3                               Test Spend
 Brand Spend




                                                =$3.12/mth
               $2

               $1                             Control Spend
                                           Average =$2.48/mth
               $0
                    1    2     3      4     5    6    7
                                                 Months      8    9     10     11   12
CASE STUDY #1
COKE ZERO IT’S POSSIBLE
                       OBJECTIVES
                • Trial
                • Real Coca-Cola Taste
                  and Zero Calories


                        SOLUTION
                •   Brand Advocates
                •   Social Currency
                •   Tools & Triggers
                •   Real World & Digital
COKE ZERO IT’S POSSIBLE

 PROGRAM                       BRAND                     BUSINESS                WOM


Events: 2,500+           Likelihood To               G0 New Triers:          4 Week Relay
                         Recommend:                   65%                    Rate: 11+
Views: 300M+             +48 pts.
                                                     G1+G2 New               NPS: +20
Trial: +7% vs.           Purchase Intent:             Trial: Conf.           points
goal                     +38pts.
                                                     Volume: Up              G0+G1+G2
Budget: On               Key Message                                         Reach: 10X+
                         Recall: Exceed              Velocity: Up            Trial
                                                     Share: Up




               COST                                     % ROI : Exceeded

   Note: Some results generalized, masked or withheld for confidentiality.
Experiential Trial Drives WOM
18.0%

16.0%                                                                                                           15.8%

14.0%                                                                               14.2%

12.0%                   11.9%
                                   11.4%
10.0%
                                                                      8.8%
 8.0%                                                       8.1%                                      8.4%

            6.9%
 6.0%                                          5.8%
                                                                                             5.3%
                                                                                                                               4.9%
 4.0%
                                                                                                                        3.7%

 2.0%

 0.0%

        January    February   March        April      May          June      July       August September October November December

                        Coke Zero Activated Markets                                         Number of Trials/month
How To Value That WOM?

     Direct
                   - Number of program participants in target consumer audience
     Reach

                   - How long customer continues to recommend
     WOM
                   - Generational relay rates (# of people reached), adjusted for
     Reach
                   social network overlap to determine unique reach

  Incremental
                   - Generational conversion rates (% new purchasers)
   Purchase
                   - Determine incremental purchases compared to control group
     Impact
                   - Repeat rate
Long-term (1 YR)   - Additional units purchased
   Purchases       - Profitability per unit
                   - Discount rate

     Cost          - Program, coupon, and sample cost
Net Conversation Value® =

Incremental Revenue Generated – Program Cost /
         Unique Conversational Reach


                      $0.04*
  To get ROI, replace Program Cost for Unique
              Conversational Reach


 * Approx. 2X CPG & Food & Beverage benchmarks.
CASE STUDY #2
Mass vs. Experiential
     Cost Effectiveness/ROI
  Mass Loyalty      Experiential Activation
Reward Campaign        Trial Campaign
Mass vs Experiential
    Cost Effectiveness/ROI


Mass Media Campaign                Experiential Activation

      Reach
       20 x         Reach (#)             1x
        $1        Cost per Reach          $3




                                                Impact
                 Cost per Impact
       $1                                  $2
                     (Direct)

                 Cost per Impact
       $1                                  $1
                 (Direct & WOM)

                                                1
                                                6
Principles of Measuring ROI
      Program vs. Control
      Consistent Measures
       Benchmark Results
         Include WOM
       Short & Long Term
Conversation
Thank You

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ROI Demystified WOMMA Summit 2010

  • 2. Scott Cuppari Walter Carl Stuart Sheldon Dan Hunter
  • 3. What Is ROI? Why Is It So Hard To Do? Case Studies
  • 5. Gain - Cost Cost
  • 6. Principles of Measuring ROI 1) Isolate Program 2) Use Consistent 3) Compare to Versus Control Measures Objective Database Category Target Exposed Mass Target to Activation Reach Top 10% Top 25% Impact Cost Effectiveness/ROI Top 50% Bottom 50%
  • 7. 4) Include WOM Impact: Generation 0 to G1+… Reach Target Reached Impact Comprehend/ Interest Purchasers WOM Amplification Repeat WOM-Impacted Purchasers Repeat 5) Include Short Term & Long Term $4 $3 Test Spend Brand Spend =$3.12/mth $2 $1 Control Spend Average =$2.48/mth $0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Months 8 9 10 11 12
  • 9. COKE ZERO IT’S POSSIBLE OBJECTIVES • Trial • Real Coca-Cola Taste and Zero Calories SOLUTION • Brand Advocates • Social Currency • Tools & Triggers • Real World & Digital
  • 10. COKE ZERO IT’S POSSIBLE PROGRAM BRAND BUSINESS WOM Events: 2,500+ Likelihood To G0 New Triers: 4 Week Relay Recommend: 65% Rate: 11+ Views: 300M+ +48 pts. G1+G2 New NPS: +20 Trial: +7% vs. Purchase Intent: Trial: Conf. points goal +38pts. Volume: Up G0+G1+G2 Budget: On Key Message Reach: 10X+ Recall: Exceed Velocity: Up Trial Share: Up COST % ROI : Exceeded Note: Some results generalized, masked or withheld for confidentiality.
  • 11. Experiential Trial Drives WOM 18.0% 16.0% 15.8% 14.0% 14.2% 12.0% 11.9% 11.4% 10.0% 8.8% 8.0% 8.1% 8.4% 6.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 4.0% 3.7% 2.0% 0.0% January February March April May June July August September October November December Coke Zero Activated Markets Number of Trials/month
  • 12. How To Value That WOM? Direct - Number of program participants in target consumer audience Reach - How long customer continues to recommend WOM - Generational relay rates (# of people reached), adjusted for Reach social network overlap to determine unique reach Incremental - Generational conversion rates (% new purchasers) Purchase - Determine incremental purchases compared to control group Impact - Repeat rate Long-term (1 YR) - Additional units purchased Purchases - Profitability per unit - Discount rate Cost - Program, coupon, and sample cost
  • 13. Net Conversation Value® = Incremental Revenue Generated – Program Cost / Unique Conversational Reach $0.04* To get ROI, replace Program Cost for Unique Conversational Reach * Approx. 2X CPG & Food & Beverage benchmarks.
  • 15. Mass vs. Experiential Cost Effectiveness/ROI Mass Loyalty Experiential Activation Reward Campaign Trial Campaign
  • 16. Mass vs Experiential Cost Effectiveness/ROI Mass Media Campaign Experiential Activation Reach 20 x Reach (#) 1x $1 Cost per Reach $3 Impact Cost per Impact $1 $2 (Direct) Cost per Impact $1 $1 (Direct & WOM) 1 6
  • 17. Principles of Measuring ROI Program vs. Control Consistent Measures Benchmark Results Include WOM Short & Long Term