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おかしなアンケート
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アンケート調査が正しいかどうかについて、初歩的な話. 20分程度
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おかしなアンケート
1.
[信用できる調査]とは? 1)調査人数が多い 2)得票率の差が大きい 5-10%程度の差なら[誤差] 賛成60%、反対40%、ぐらい差があると嬉しい 10人程度の調査は全くアテにならない せめて100人、出来れば1000人 1)2)の両方を満たしていると理想的
2.
本当に[上回った]のか? [真の結果] = [調査結果]
+ [誤差]
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