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SMC Global Derivative report 25 09-2013
1. NIFTY SNAPSHOT
CURRENT PREVIOUS
Nifty Spot 5892.45 5889.75
Nifty Sep 5914.35 5914.40
Nifty Oct 5967.45 5961.55
Chg. OI (Sep) (%) -7.08 -1.42
Chg. OI (Oct) (%) 40.97 29.38
Implied Volatility (%) 25.40 25.59
Nifty Support 5820 5820
Nifty Resistance 5950 5950
50 Day EMA 5722 5723
100 Day EMA 5819 5820
200 Day EMA 5842 5842
Put-Call Ratio 1.49 1.45
Historical Volatility (%) 35.27 36.38
Volatility Index 26.72 27.02
NIFTY STRATEGY
NIFTY-TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Today the markets are likely open on flat note. All emerging markets
are trading mixed.
The coming session is likely to witness a range of 5820 on declines
and 5950 on advances.
WORLD MARKET COMMENTARY
In last session all leading American indices like Dow Jones Industrial
Average, NASDAQ index and the S&P 500 (SPX) ended in red. Dow
was down by 0.43% and closed at 15335; S&P 500 was shed by
0.26% at 1697. European indices ended in green. FTSE was up by
0.21%, DAX gained by 0.34% & CAC 40 was up by 0.56%.
Today major stock markets in Asia are trading mixed. Shanghai
Composite is up by 0.12% at 2210 and Hang Seng is up by 0.31% at
23252. Japan’s Nikkei is down by 0.39% at 14675 and Singapore’s
Straits Times down by 0.08% at 3212.
Singapore Nifty future is currently down by 10 point at 5909.
SECURITY IN BAN PERIOD
No Security is in ban period for trade date Sep 25, 2013 F&O
segment.
25.09.2013
We recommend the following trading strategy:
Buy 1 Lot Sep Month Nifty 5950 CE around 26.
Strategy Stop Loss: 13
Lot size: 50
Max Profit: Unlimited
Max Loss: 1300 (26*50)
2. FII’S ACTIVITY IN F&O IN LAST TEN SESSIONS
(DERIVATIVE SEGMENT)
BASIS GAP IN NIFTY
NIFTY CHANGE IN OPEN INTREST
FII’S ACTIVITY IN F&O IN LAST SESSION
(DERIVATIVE SEGMENT)
NIFTY TOTAL OPEN INTEREST
-839.70
-1412.34
503.83
-484.21
-255.43
-1619.41
3117.79
1655.27
-748.57
-583.74
-2000.00
-1000.00
0.00
1000.00
2000.00
3000.00
4000.00
11-Sep
12-Sep
13-Sep
16-Sep
17-Sep
18-Sep
19-Sep
20-Sep
23-Sep
24-Sep
26.5
9.75
25.3
21.7
30.3
32.0
30.2
25.4 24.65
21.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
11-Sep
12-Sep
13-Sep
16-Sep
17-Sep
18-Sep
19-Sep
20-Sep
23-Sep
24-Sep
-1000000
-500000
0
500000
1000000
5100
5300
5400
5500
5600
5700
5800
5900
6000
6100
Call Put
Buy
49.67%
Sell
50.33%
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
7000000
5200
5300
5400
5500
5600
5700
5800
5900
6000
6100
6200
Call Put
FII’s are net seller in (F&O segment) last
session by INR 583.74 crores.
Nifty Sep futures closed at a premium of
21.90 points.
Maximum Call for Sep month stands at the
levels of 6000.
Maximum Put for Sep month stands at the
levels of 5700.
Nifty is up by 0.05% and open interest shed
by 7.08%.
3. REC0MMENDATIONS:
TATAPOWER View: Bullish CMP: 81.25
On the daily chart, stock is trading above 20 days
moving average. Momentum oscillators are neutral to
positive.
We recommend to:
Buy Sep Fut Above 82.00
Stop Loss: 80.00
Target: 86.00
Lot size: 4000
BAJAJ-AUTO View: Bullish CMP: 2036.55
On the daily chart, there is a price rise with increase in
volume. Momentum oscillators are neutral to positive
We recommend to:
Buy Sep 2050 Call Above 21.00
Stop Loss: 16.00
Target: 30.00
Lot size: 125
BPCL View: Bearish CMP: 316.60
On the daily chart, after testing resistance stock fell
down. Momentum oscillators are neutral to negative.
We recommend to:
Buy Sep 310 Put Above 3.00
Stop Loss: 2.00
Target: 5.00
Lot size: 1000
4. For Any Query or Suggestions email at
researchfeedback@smcindiaonline.com
Analyst
Dhirender Singh Bisht
Boardline : 011-30111000 Extn.649
dhirenderbisht@smcindiaonline.com
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