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Valvoline: Ready to Stand Alone –
Start Your Engines!
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All
statements, other than statements of historical facts, contained in the presentation, including statements regarding our industry, position, goals, strategy, operations, financial position, revenues, estimated
costs, prospects, margins, profitability, capital expenditures, liquidity, capital resources, dividends, plans and objectives of management are forward-looking statements. Valvoline has identified some of these
forward-looking statements with words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “estimates,” “is likely,” “predicts,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “may,” “will,” “should” and “intends” and the negative of these words
or other comparable terminology. In addition, Valvoline™ may, from time to time, make forward-looking statements in its annual report, quarterly reports and other filings with the Securities and Exchange
Commission (“SEC”), news releases and other written and oral communications. These forward-looking statements are based on Valvoline’s current expectations and assumptions regarding, as of the date
such statements are made, Valvoline’s future operating performance and financial condition, including Valvoline’s separation from Ashland (the “Separation”), the expected timetable for Ashland’s potential
distribution of its remaining Valvoline common stock to Ashland shareholders (the “Stock Distribution”) and Valvoline’s future financial and operating performance, strategic and competitive advantages,
leadership and future opportunities, as well as the economy and other future events or circumstances. Valvoline’s expectations and assumptions include, without limitation, internal forecasts and analyses of
current and future market conditions and trends, management plans and strategies, operating efficiencies and economic conditions (such as prices, supply and demand, cost of raw materials, and the ability
to recover raw-material cost increases through price increases), and risks and uncertainties associated with the following: demand for Valvoline’s products and services; sales growth in emerging markets; the
prices and margins of Valvoline’s products and services; the strength of Valvoline’s reputation and brand; Valvoline’s ability to develop and successfully market new products and implement its digital
platforms; Valvoline’s ability to retain its largest customers; potential product liability claims; achievement of the expected benefits of the Separation; Valvoline’s substantial indebtedness (including the
possibility that such indebtedness and related restrictive covenants may adversely affect Valvoline’s future cash flows, results of operations, financial condition and Valvoline’s ability to repay debt) and other
liabilities; operating as a stand-alone public company; Valvoline’s ongoing relationship with Ashland; failure, caused by Valvoline, of the Stock Distribution to Ashland shareholders to qualify for tax-free
treatment, which may result in significant tax liabilities to Ashland for which Valvoline may be required to indemnify Ashland; and the impact of acquisitions and/or divestitures Valvoline has made or may make
(including the possibility that Valvoline may not realize the anticipated benefits from such transactions or difficulties with integration). These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of known and
unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, without limitation, risks and uncertainties affecting Valvoline that are described in its most recent Form 10-K (including in Item 1A Risk Factors and
“Use of estimates, risks and uncertainties” in Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements) filed with the SEC, which is available on Valvoline’s website at http://investors.valvoline.com/sec-filings. In
light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation may not occur, and actual results could differ materially and adversely from
those anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements.
You should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Although Valvoline believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, Valvoline
cannot guarantee that the expectations reflected herein will be achieved. In light of the significant uncertainties in these forward-looking statements, you should not regard these statements as a
representation or warranty by Valvoline or any other person that Valvoline will achieve its objectives and plans in any specified time frame, or at all. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date
of this presentation. Except as required by law, Valvoline assumes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements for any reason, even if new information becomes available in the future.
All forward-looking statements attributable to Valvoline are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements as well as others made in this presentation and hereafter in Valvoline’s other SEC
filings and public communications. You should evaluate all forward-looking statements made by Valvoline in the context of these risks and uncertainties.
Regulation G: Non-GAAP Financial Information
The information presented herein regarding certain financial measures that do not conform to generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (U.S. GAAP), including EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA
and Free Cash Flow, should not be construed as an alternative to the reported results determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Valvoline has included this non-GAAP information to assist in understanding
the operating performance of Valvoline and its reportable segments. The non-GAAP information provided may not be consistent with the methodologies used by other companies. Information regarding
Valvoline’s definition and calculations of non-GAAP measures is included in Valvoline’s most recent Form 10-K filed with the SEC, which is available on Valvoline’s website at
http://investors.valvoline.com/sec-filings. Additionally, a reconciliation of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA is included in the Appendix herein.
Name Title
Industry
Experience
Selected Experience
Sam Mitchell
Chief
Executive
Officer
20
• Joined Ashland in 1997 as Director of Marketing for Valvoline’s brand
management group; became President of Valvoline in 2002
• Held brand and category management leadership positions at The Clorox
Company
• Graduate of the Harvard Business School’s Advanced Management
Program; M.B.A. from the University of Chicago; B.S. from Miami
University, Oxford, Ohio
Mary
Meixelsperger
Chief
Financial
Officer
17
• Joined Valvoline as CFO in 2016, assuming responsibility for global
financial organization
• Over 25 years of CFO experience, including DSW Inc., Shopko Stores,
two non-profit organizations and a private equity firm
• Began career in public accounting at Arthur Young and Co.
• B.B.A. with distinction from the University of Wisconsin-Madison
Jason
Thompson
Head of
Treasury &
Investor
Relations
7
• Joined Ashland in 2010; held multiple positions before becoming Director
of Finance in 2015
• M.B.A. from Indiana University; B.S. from Oklahoma State University
Today’s Presenters
1
Who We Are and How We Win
Our Goal
150
YEARS
INDEPENDENT NEVER IDLE
HANDS-ON
EXPERTISE
BUILDING
THE WORLD’S
LEADING ENGINE
AND AUTOMOTIVE
MAINTENANCE
BUSINESS
Focused
Connected to our customers
Every moment of time we have is an investment. At Valvoline, we choose to invest our time in creating greater value for our customers, our
organization and our shareholders. That means supplying best-in-class automotive and engine maintenance products and services to our
customers and doing it with an unyielding pursuit of excellence. For more than 150 years, it has meant being relentlessly focused on
innovating through our hands-on approach. Our approach makes engine and vehicle maintenance easy for consumers and lowers the total
cost of ownership for heavy duty engine customers. It‘s what drives competitive advantage, profitability and growth for Valvoline and
for our trade customers, franchisees and channel partners.
TO MAKE EVERYTHING WE TOUCH RUN BETTER
A team of experts that gets
the job done
Relentlessly improving
For more than 150 years,
Valvoline stands for quality
and innovation
2
Our Strategy
LEVERAGING THE VALVOLINE BRAND AND CAPABILITIES ACROSS CHANNELS &
AROUND THE WORLD
DIY RETAILERS
RAP / MASS
QUICK LUBES
VALVOLINE INSTANT
OIL CHANGE /
EXPRESS CARE
It starts with great products, and no matter the
application, everything we produce is specifically
designed to keep engines running at peak
performance.
Our commitment to providing great service continually
sets Valvoline apart. That focus on customer experience
has led to 10-straight years of same-store sales growth
in our quick lube business. (1)
Valvoline has been able to create multiple industry-changing
firsts and continues to develop groundbreaking innovation.
Everything we do is built upon a forward-facing adoption of
technology, designed to help better serve our customers and
create profitability for the company and our partners.
DIGITAL MARKETING | PACKAGING SOLUTIONS | ENGINE DIAGNOSTICS |
DATA ANALYTICS
CATEGORY MANAGEMENT | TRAINING | RECRUITING SERVICES |
BUSINESS ADVISORY | CUSTOM FORMULATIONS | SUPPLY CHAIN
SOLUTIONS
MOTOR OILS | COOLANTS | AUTO FLUIDS | COMMERCIAL
LUBRICANTS | CHEMICALS | FILTERS | WIPERS
Core North America
HEAVY DUTY
ON-ROAD /
OFF-ROAD
Core North America / International
OEM
PASSENGER CAR /
HEAVY DUTY
Core North America / International
INSTALLERS
TIRE & REPAIR /
CAR DEALERS
Core North America / International
____________________
1. System-wide (i.e., company-owned and franchised) SSS growth. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation.3
Our Brand Is Driving a Growing Global Platform
25%
Quick Lubes
49%
Core North America
26%
International
Our Sales Are Diversified Across 3 Distinct Channels (4)
____________________
Note: All data shown are as of fiscal 2017 quarter ended 3/31 unless otherwise noted.
1. By Volume in the United States DIY market in 2016.
2. As of fiscal 2016 year-end 9/30. For a reconciliation of Adj. EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation.
3. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation.
4. Figures are for six months ended 3/31/17.
~$2.0Bn
In Annual Sales
23.7%
Adj. EBITDA Margin (2)
Over 140
Countries With Valvoline Sales
~5,500
Employees
Top 3
Premium Motor Oil Brand (1)
3
Winning Segments
10
Consecutive Years of
System-Wide SSS Growth (3)
1,108
Valvoline Instant Oil Change Units
Best-in-class
Retail Model
4
A Proven Track Record of Earnings Growth
Our Strong Cash Flow Affords Investment in All Our Growth Segments
Mix shift towards premium products: ~45% in 2016 from ~31% in 2011 (1)
10 consecutive years of system-wide SSS growth in VIOC stores (2)
Consistent volume and profit growth in international markets
Proactive product pricing and raw material cost management
Growth in Adj. EBITDA and Adj. EBITDA Margins (3)(4)
$MM; %
$252
$275
$342
$369
$421
$457
12.8% 13.5%
17.1% 18.1%
21.4% 23.7%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA Margin
____________________
1. U.S. branded lubricants.
2. Systemwide (i.e., company-owned and franchised) SSS growth. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation.
3. For a reconciliation of Adj. EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation.
4. All full-year data as of fiscal year-end 9/30 unless otherwise noted.5
Our Roadmap for Success:
Valvoline’s Investment Highlights
Iconic Brand With
Premium Products
Strong and
Growing Quick Lube
Channel
History of
Innovation
International
Growth
Solid Market
Fundamentals
Unique Multi-
Channel Route to
Market
Significant Free Cash
Flow Generation
Disciplined Margin
Management
6
Margin Management and Pricing Power
Quick Lubes Growth Opportunity
International Growth Opportunity
The Future of Core North America
The Critical Aspects to Understanding Valvoline
7
Margin Management and Pricing Power
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Long Base Oil Market Expected to Continue Through 2020
and Provide Base Oil Pricing Stability
Fundamentals of Base Oil Market & Our Pricing Strategy
____________________
Source: Polk and Experian data, IHS Chemical Report and internal estimates.
1. Based on raw material pricing for six months ended 3/31/17.
● Group II and Group III base oils are key
components of higher quality lubricants
● From 2011 – 2016 Group II and Group III global
capacity has increased 66% and 129%
● At the same time Group I capacity has dropped
by 21%
● Base oil inflation since Summer 2016
● Rising crude
● Temporary supply tightness
Channels Price Change Drivers Average Lag
Market Based DIY / Installer
Major base oil changes,
competitive changes, retail pricing,
Valvoline brand strength
60 - 120 days
Index Based
Installer (national /
regional accounts),
VIOC Franchisees
Posted base oil indices 45 days
Private Label /
Other
DIY / Warehouse
Distributor, OEM,
Other
Major base oil changes 30 - 60 days
Pricing
50%50%
U.S. Finished Lubricant
Cost Components (1)
Base
Oil
Additives,
Packaging &
Operations
Billions of Gallons
Supply
Demand
8
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Total Company GP/Gal Base Oil Group II $/Gal
Valvoline Unit Margins Improving Despite Changes in Base Oil Pricing
Prices in USD
A Strong Track Record of Managing Unit Margin
Improved Unit Margins
Through Business and
Product Mix
Long Base Oil Market Has
Enabled Us to Improve Our
Purchasing Terms
Protected Unit Margins in
Rising Cost Environment
____________________
Note: Historical gross profit / gallon based on Valvoline financials as a subsidiary of Ashland. All full-year data as of fiscal year-end 9/30 unless otherwise noted.
1. Figures are for six months ended 3/31/17.
1 2 3
1H’2017
(1)
9
Quick Lubes Growth Opportunity
10%
7%
8%
7%
4% 4%
2%
5%
8%
6%
4%
3%
6%
3%
2% 2%
2%
6%
8%
8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Company-Owned SSS Franchised SSS
$550
$579
$613
$649
$672
$713
$738
$774
$824
$882
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Our VIOC Business Model
...Driving 10 Years of Same-Store Sales Growth (2)
System-Wide Average Sales per Store
(dollars in thousands)
____________________
1. Data represented on a fiscal year basis.
2. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation.
● Digital platforms driving growth in number of cars
● Core programs generate ~6 month payback
● Customer database enabled
Marketing Platforms
● Quick, Easy, Trusted
● Overall customer satisfaction 4.6 of 5 stars
● Customer retention over 70%
Customer Experience
● Improved Safety Total Recordable Rate over 50%
● Reduced turnover by over 50%, store growth creates
career path
● Entry level technicians go through 270+ hours of training
Talent
Operating Stores Strengthens Business Model Performance
Our Sales Per Store Has Grown Steadily... (1)
● Point of Sale System
● SuperPro Management System
● Labor and Inventory Management
Proprietary Tools
YTD Q2’17
System-Wide SSS
6.4%
10 Year Average of
System-Wide SSS
4.9%
10
Significant Opportunities for Growth
____________________
1. Includes 374 company-owned stores and 734 franchised locations as of fiscal 2017 quarter ended 3/31. Does not include Express Care operators.
Broad VIOC Geographic Footprint (1)
Significant
Whitespace for
New Stores
Franchised
Company-Owned
New Construction is an ~18 Month Process
Substantial Opportunity For
Organic Expansion
Consolidation Opportunity in
Fragmented Market
Identifying Acquisition Targets
● High quality regional acquisitions
● Multiple small acquisitions
1–3 Months
Market Planning1
6 Months
Site Selection2
6 Months
Permitting3
4 Months
Construction4
Mapped to Local Market Level for New Stores
● Data driven, highly analytical approach
● Company-Owned and Franchised
11
1. Introduce Valvoline branded products to realize
benefits of vertical integration
2. Install proprietary POS technology
3. Implement and train store team on SuperPro
management system
4. Launch Valvoline’s digital & direct marketing programs
5. Rebrand to Valvoline Instant Oil Change and leverage
operational synergies
5 Step Process...
Valvoline’s Playbook for Acquisition Integration
…With Proven Ability to Drive Value
More Oil
Changes Per
Day
Greater
Sales and
Profitability
Increased Customer
Acquisition Rates
Increased Customer
Retention Rates
12
International Growth Opportunity
We Target Some of the Largest International Growth
Markets, including China, India & Latin America
Latin America
• Recent rapid growth
• Aggressive new
channel development
• Expanding beyond
passenger car
products
India
• Strong C&I market
• Very strong channels
• Cummins JV
• Changing emission rules
• Good C&I OEM
penetration
China
• Second largest passenger car market
• Rapidly changing emission rules
• Growing, consolidating DIFM channel
• Good OEM penetration
____________________
1. Includes unconsolidated JVs.
2. Emerging Markets consist of all countries outside of the U.S., Canada, Australia and Europe.
Europe
• Stable cash flow
generator
• Moderate growth
from channel
extensions
Australia / Pacific
• Leading market share
• Strong cash flow generator
67% Emerging
Markets (2)
FY 2016 Sales Breakdown (1)
16%
18%
16%
23%
7%
18%
3%
Europe
Australia /
Pacific
China
India
Latin America
Valvoline Emerging Markets Sales Volume (1) (2)
(MM Gal)
20
40
60
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
CAGR of 10%
Rest of
Asia
MEA
13
Leveraging the Cummins Relationship… …To Provide Ongoing Value
Model For Leveraging OEM Relationship
● Global marketing partnership
● Fragmented markets provide significant opportunities to
expand share
● Joint ventures in India & China
● Technology partnership to develop products tailored to
today’s modern engines
● Leveraging co-branded products
● Strong growth rates in China and India
● Use of Cummins’ channels to market accelerates growth
● Further potential as Cummins grows its services business
● Opportunistic expansion into other markets
― Mining
― Power generation
● Leverage Cummins’ link to other OEMs
14
The Future of Core North America
Core North America Strategic Pillars
• Leading brand in a key category that
drives traffic for retailers
• Continuous innovation around next-
generation, fast growing, higher
margin synthetics
• Packaging innovation that delivers
both consumer and customer value
• Targeted digital marketing to high
potential consumers and influencers
• Team Valvoline loyalty platform
delivering relevant content and
building brand engagement
• Customized programs for key
accounts, driving stronger
partnerships
• Online to offline linkage increases
effectiveness and reach
• Best in class retail category
management capabilities to grow
customers’ businesses
• Service representative training to
help drive profitable consumer
engagement at the store level
• Customer portal and e-commerce
improve customers’ overall
experience, drive incremental sales
Innovative Products &
Packaging
Targeted Marketing Enhanced Services
Strategic Pillars are Sources of Differentiation for Valvoline, Driving Competitive Advantage
15
Packaging Innovation Drives Value for Installer Customers
Bay Box Rack
Benefits to Customers
● Improves working capital & inventory
control
● Eases space constraints
● Reduces product waste & increases
speed of service
Benefits to Valvoline
● Increases volume & premium
penetration
● Solidifies current customer
relationships
● Drives new customer acquisition
5 Gallon Box
16
Marketing Relationships Create Excitement with Consumers
and Retail Associates
Then return to submit receipt
to redeem action figure offer
 Retail promotions are critical in the category
 Valvoline leverages partnership brands such as Hendrick Motorsports to:
— Provide video content to retailers
— Drive Valvoline purchases
— Obtain valuable consumer information from redemptions
 Assets are also used to create momentum with retail associates
— Worked with Dale Earnhardt Jr. to update an El Camino
— Awards for store managers based on performance
Multi-Faceted Approach to Generating Excitement
17
a
● Valvoline leverages digital marketing to help both DIY and
Installer customers market more effectively
● Provides custom content to retailers in the DIY and Installer
spaces for use in their own loyalty programs
● Launches Valvoline Drives in 2017 in order to drive both
customer acquisition and retention for installer customers
● Making a significant, multi-year investment in technology
infrastructure to enable enhanced capabilities
● CRM tool and customer portal launching in second half of
fiscal 2017 will offer more efficient management and
customer communication
● eCommerce site launching 2018 will improve efficiency of
ordering and increase purchase value
Expertise Allows Customers to
Build Their Own Businesses
Technology Facilitates Business With Valvoline
Investing in Digital Capabilities to Improve the
Customer Experience & Grow Sales
By Providing a Better Customer Experience, Technology Drives Growth
Through Customer Acquisition & Retention
18
Long Term Priorities
We Have a Disciplined Approach to Value Creation
● Opportunistic acquisitions focused on Quick Lube
● Grow dividend over time
● Recently announced $150mm share repurchase program
Strong Gross Profit
CAGR &
Adj. EBITDA
● Active management of gross margin
● Value enhancing quick lube expansion
● Disciplined approach to managing costs
Attractive Free
Cash Flow Profile
● Disciplined working capital management
● Systematic approach to capital expenditures
● Deploy capital to high-return projects
Disciplined Capital
Allocation
Strong Volume
Growth
● Market share gains driven by innovation
● Expansion of quick lube platforms as well as mid single digit SSS growth (1)
● Continue growth in premium synthetics and high mileage oil
● Expand and grow international presence, especially in Emerging Markets (2)
____________________
1. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation.
2. Emerging Markets includes unconsolidated JVs and consist of all countries outside of the U.S., Canada, Australia and Europe.
Core Priorities Strategic Initiatives
19
2017 YTD Financial Results
Consolidated Adjusted Results (1)
____________________
1. For a reconciliation of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation.
($ in millions) Six Months
Preliminary Ended March 31,
Results from Operating Segments 2017 2016 Change
Lubricant gallons (in millions) 88.1 84.2 5%
Sales $1,003 $936 7%
Gross Profit 383 368 4%
SG&A 192 180 7%
Equity and Other Income 15 11 36%
Operating Income $206 $197 5%
Depreciation and Amoritization 18 19 (5%)
EBITDA From Operating Segements (1)
$224 $216 4%
EBITDA Margin 22.3% 23.1% (80) bp
Total Adjusted Results (1)
Adj. EBITDA in Unallocated & Other (1)
$35 $8 338%
Total Adj. EBITDA (1) $259 $224 16%
Total Adj. EBITDA Margin 25.8% 23.9% 190 bp
$224
($7)
($10)
$216
$18
$4
$3
1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A Acq. Other 1H'17
Factors Affecting Y-o-Y EBITDA
From Operating Segments (1)
20
____________________
1. For a reconciliation of EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation.
($ in millions) Six Months
Preliminary Ended March 31,
2017 2016 Change
Lubricant gallons (in millions) 48.7 49.4 (1%)
Sales $490 $489 - %
Operating Income $108 $112 (4%)
Depreciation and Amoritization 6 8 (25%)
EBITDA (1)
$114 $120 (5%)
EBITDA Margin 23.3% 24.5% (120) bp
Segment Adjusted Results (1)
Core North America
Quick Lubes
International
Lubricant gallons (in millions) 10.8 9.4 15%
Sales $255 $213 20%
Operating Income $60 $52 15%
Depreciation and Amoritization 10 8 25%
EBITDA
(1)
$70 $60 17%
EBITDA Margin 27.5% 28.2% (70) bp
Lubricant gallons (in millions) 28.6 25.4 13%
Sales $258 $234 10%
Operating Income $38 $33 15%
Depreciation and Amoritization 2 3 (33%)
EBITDA (1)
$40 $36 11%
EBITDA Margin 15.5% 15.4% 10 bp
$114
($10)
($1)
$120
$4
$0 $1
1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A Acq. Other 1H'17
$70
($5)
$60
$5
$4 $4
$2
1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A Acq. Other 1H'17
$40
($1)
($4)
$36
$9 ($1) $1
1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A FX Other 1H'17
Factors Affecting Y-o-Y EBITDA
21
Appendix
Historical EBITDA and Adj. EBITDA Bridges
($ in millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H’17
Net income $110 $114 $246 $173 $196 $273 $143
Income tax expense 52 58 135 91 101 148 76
Net Interest and other financing expense - - - - - 9 18
Depreciation and amortization 38 36 36 37 38 38 18
EBITDA $200 $207 $416 $302 $335 $468 $255
Adjustments
Losses (gains) on pension and other
postretirement plan re-measurements
52 68 (74) 61 46 (18) (8)
Net Loss on Divestiture / Acquisition Costs - - - - 26 1 -
Impairment on Equity Investment - - - - 14 - -
Restructuring / Separation Costs - - - 6 - 6 12
Adjusted EBITDA $252 $275 $342 $369 $421 $457 $259
22
Fiscal 2017 Outlook
Current Expectations
2017 Outlook
Operating Segments
• Lubricant gallons 3-5%
• Sales 4-7%
• New stores
• VIOC company-owned 31-33
28 acquired, 3-5 new builds
• VIOC franchised 15 – 25
• VIOC same-store sales 5-7%
• EBITDA from operating segments $440 - $455 mm
Corporate Items
• Pension income $70 mm
• One-time separation-related expenses $25 - $30 mm
• Diluted adjusted earnings per share $1.36-$1.43
• Capital expenditures $70 - $80 mm
• Free cash flow $130 - $150 mm(1)
____________________
1. Free cash flow is defined as cash flows provided by operating activities less capital expenditures.23

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Vvv roadshow presentation v ff

  • 1. Valvoline: Ready to Stand Alone – Start Your Engines!
  • 2. Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, contained in the presentation, including statements regarding our industry, position, goals, strategy, operations, financial position, revenues, estimated costs, prospects, margins, profitability, capital expenditures, liquidity, capital resources, dividends, plans and objectives of management are forward-looking statements. Valvoline has identified some of these forward-looking statements with words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “estimates,” “is likely,” “predicts,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “may,” “will,” “should” and “intends” and the negative of these words or other comparable terminology. In addition, Valvoline™ may, from time to time, make forward-looking statements in its annual report, quarterly reports and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), news releases and other written and oral communications. These forward-looking statements are based on Valvoline’s current expectations and assumptions regarding, as of the date such statements are made, Valvoline’s future operating performance and financial condition, including Valvoline’s separation from Ashland (the “Separation”), the expected timetable for Ashland’s potential distribution of its remaining Valvoline common stock to Ashland shareholders (the “Stock Distribution”) and Valvoline’s future financial and operating performance, strategic and competitive advantages, leadership and future opportunities, as well as the economy and other future events or circumstances. Valvoline’s expectations and assumptions include, without limitation, internal forecasts and analyses of current and future market conditions and trends, management plans and strategies, operating efficiencies and economic conditions (such as prices, supply and demand, cost of raw materials, and the ability to recover raw-material cost increases through price increases), and risks and uncertainties associated with the following: demand for Valvoline’s products and services; sales growth in emerging markets; the prices and margins of Valvoline’s products and services; the strength of Valvoline’s reputation and brand; Valvoline’s ability to develop and successfully market new products and implement its digital platforms; Valvoline’s ability to retain its largest customers; potential product liability claims; achievement of the expected benefits of the Separation; Valvoline’s substantial indebtedness (including the possibility that such indebtedness and related restrictive covenants may adversely affect Valvoline’s future cash flows, results of operations, financial condition and Valvoline’s ability to repay debt) and other liabilities; operating as a stand-alone public company; Valvoline’s ongoing relationship with Ashland; failure, caused by Valvoline, of the Stock Distribution to Ashland shareholders to qualify for tax-free treatment, which may result in significant tax liabilities to Ashland for which Valvoline may be required to indemnify Ashland; and the impact of acquisitions and/or divestitures Valvoline has made or may make (including the possibility that Valvoline may not realize the anticipated benefits from such transactions or difficulties with integration). These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, without limitation, risks and uncertainties affecting Valvoline that are described in its most recent Form 10-K (including in Item 1A Risk Factors and “Use of estimates, risks and uncertainties” in Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements) filed with the SEC, which is available on Valvoline’s website at http://investors.valvoline.com/sec-filings. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation may not occur, and actual results could differ materially and adversely from those anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements. You should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Although Valvoline believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, Valvoline cannot guarantee that the expectations reflected herein will be achieved. In light of the significant uncertainties in these forward-looking statements, you should not regard these statements as a representation or warranty by Valvoline or any other person that Valvoline will achieve its objectives and plans in any specified time frame, or at all. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Except as required by law, Valvoline assumes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements for any reason, even if new information becomes available in the future. All forward-looking statements attributable to Valvoline are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements as well as others made in this presentation and hereafter in Valvoline’s other SEC filings and public communications. You should evaluate all forward-looking statements made by Valvoline in the context of these risks and uncertainties. Regulation G: Non-GAAP Financial Information The information presented herein regarding certain financial measures that do not conform to generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (U.S. GAAP), including EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow, should not be construed as an alternative to the reported results determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Valvoline has included this non-GAAP information to assist in understanding the operating performance of Valvoline and its reportable segments. The non-GAAP information provided may not be consistent with the methodologies used by other companies. Information regarding Valvoline’s definition and calculations of non-GAAP measures is included in Valvoline’s most recent Form 10-K filed with the SEC, which is available on Valvoline’s website at http://investors.valvoline.com/sec-filings. Additionally, a reconciliation of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA is included in the Appendix herein.
  • 3. Name Title Industry Experience Selected Experience Sam Mitchell Chief Executive Officer 20 • Joined Ashland in 1997 as Director of Marketing for Valvoline’s brand management group; became President of Valvoline in 2002 • Held brand and category management leadership positions at The Clorox Company • Graduate of the Harvard Business School’s Advanced Management Program; M.B.A. from the University of Chicago; B.S. from Miami University, Oxford, Ohio Mary Meixelsperger Chief Financial Officer 17 • Joined Valvoline as CFO in 2016, assuming responsibility for global financial organization • Over 25 years of CFO experience, including DSW Inc., Shopko Stores, two non-profit organizations and a private equity firm • Began career in public accounting at Arthur Young and Co. • B.B.A. with distinction from the University of Wisconsin-Madison Jason Thompson Head of Treasury & Investor Relations 7 • Joined Ashland in 2010; held multiple positions before becoming Director of Finance in 2015 • M.B.A. from Indiana University; B.S. from Oklahoma State University Today’s Presenters 1
  • 4. Who We Are and How We Win
  • 5. Our Goal 150 YEARS INDEPENDENT NEVER IDLE HANDS-ON EXPERTISE BUILDING THE WORLD’S LEADING ENGINE AND AUTOMOTIVE MAINTENANCE BUSINESS Focused Connected to our customers Every moment of time we have is an investment. At Valvoline, we choose to invest our time in creating greater value for our customers, our organization and our shareholders. That means supplying best-in-class automotive and engine maintenance products and services to our customers and doing it with an unyielding pursuit of excellence. For more than 150 years, it has meant being relentlessly focused on innovating through our hands-on approach. Our approach makes engine and vehicle maintenance easy for consumers and lowers the total cost of ownership for heavy duty engine customers. It‘s what drives competitive advantage, profitability and growth for Valvoline and for our trade customers, franchisees and channel partners. TO MAKE EVERYTHING WE TOUCH RUN BETTER A team of experts that gets the job done Relentlessly improving For more than 150 years, Valvoline stands for quality and innovation 2
  • 6. Our Strategy LEVERAGING THE VALVOLINE BRAND AND CAPABILITIES ACROSS CHANNELS & AROUND THE WORLD DIY RETAILERS RAP / MASS QUICK LUBES VALVOLINE INSTANT OIL CHANGE / EXPRESS CARE It starts with great products, and no matter the application, everything we produce is specifically designed to keep engines running at peak performance. Our commitment to providing great service continually sets Valvoline apart. That focus on customer experience has led to 10-straight years of same-store sales growth in our quick lube business. (1) Valvoline has been able to create multiple industry-changing firsts and continues to develop groundbreaking innovation. Everything we do is built upon a forward-facing adoption of technology, designed to help better serve our customers and create profitability for the company and our partners. DIGITAL MARKETING | PACKAGING SOLUTIONS | ENGINE DIAGNOSTICS | DATA ANALYTICS CATEGORY MANAGEMENT | TRAINING | RECRUITING SERVICES | BUSINESS ADVISORY | CUSTOM FORMULATIONS | SUPPLY CHAIN SOLUTIONS MOTOR OILS | COOLANTS | AUTO FLUIDS | COMMERCIAL LUBRICANTS | CHEMICALS | FILTERS | WIPERS Core North America HEAVY DUTY ON-ROAD / OFF-ROAD Core North America / International OEM PASSENGER CAR / HEAVY DUTY Core North America / International INSTALLERS TIRE & REPAIR / CAR DEALERS Core North America / International ____________________ 1. System-wide (i.e., company-owned and franchised) SSS growth. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation.3
  • 7. Our Brand Is Driving a Growing Global Platform 25% Quick Lubes 49% Core North America 26% International Our Sales Are Diversified Across 3 Distinct Channels (4) ____________________ Note: All data shown are as of fiscal 2017 quarter ended 3/31 unless otherwise noted. 1. By Volume in the United States DIY market in 2016. 2. As of fiscal 2016 year-end 9/30. For a reconciliation of Adj. EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation. 3. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation. 4. Figures are for six months ended 3/31/17. ~$2.0Bn In Annual Sales 23.7% Adj. EBITDA Margin (2) Over 140 Countries With Valvoline Sales ~5,500 Employees Top 3 Premium Motor Oil Brand (1) 3 Winning Segments 10 Consecutive Years of System-Wide SSS Growth (3) 1,108 Valvoline Instant Oil Change Units Best-in-class Retail Model 4
  • 8. A Proven Track Record of Earnings Growth Our Strong Cash Flow Affords Investment in All Our Growth Segments Mix shift towards premium products: ~45% in 2016 from ~31% in 2011 (1) 10 consecutive years of system-wide SSS growth in VIOC stores (2) Consistent volume and profit growth in international markets Proactive product pricing and raw material cost management Growth in Adj. EBITDA and Adj. EBITDA Margins (3)(4) $MM; % $252 $275 $342 $369 $421 $457 12.8% 13.5% 17.1% 18.1% 21.4% 23.7% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Adj. EBITDA Adj. EBITDA Margin ____________________ 1. U.S. branded lubricants. 2. Systemwide (i.e., company-owned and franchised) SSS growth. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation. 3. For a reconciliation of Adj. EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation. 4. All full-year data as of fiscal year-end 9/30 unless otherwise noted.5
  • 9. Our Roadmap for Success: Valvoline’s Investment Highlights Iconic Brand With Premium Products Strong and Growing Quick Lube Channel History of Innovation International Growth Solid Market Fundamentals Unique Multi- Channel Route to Market Significant Free Cash Flow Generation Disciplined Margin Management 6
  • 10. Margin Management and Pricing Power Quick Lubes Growth Opportunity International Growth Opportunity The Future of Core North America The Critical Aspects to Understanding Valvoline 7
  • 11. Margin Management and Pricing Power
  • 12. 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 Long Base Oil Market Expected to Continue Through 2020 and Provide Base Oil Pricing Stability Fundamentals of Base Oil Market & Our Pricing Strategy ____________________ Source: Polk and Experian data, IHS Chemical Report and internal estimates. 1. Based on raw material pricing for six months ended 3/31/17. ● Group II and Group III base oils are key components of higher quality lubricants ● From 2011 – 2016 Group II and Group III global capacity has increased 66% and 129% ● At the same time Group I capacity has dropped by 21% ● Base oil inflation since Summer 2016 ● Rising crude ● Temporary supply tightness Channels Price Change Drivers Average Lag Market Based DIY / Installer Major base oil changes, competitive changes, retail pricing, Valvoline brand strength 60 - 120 days Index Based Installer (national / regional accounts), VIOC Franchisees Posted base oil indices 45 days Private Label / Other DIY / Warehouse Distributor, OEM, Other Major base oil changes 30 - 60 days Pricing 50%50% U.S. Finished Lubricant Cost Components (1) Base Oil Additives, Packaging & Operations Billions of Gallons Supply Demand 8
  • 13. 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Company GP/Gal Base Oil Group II $/Gal Valvoline Unit Margins Improving Despite Changes in Base Oil Pricing Prices in USD A Strong Track Record of Managing Unit Margin Improved Unit Margins Through Business and Product Mix Long Base Oil Market Has Enabled Us to Improve Our Purchasing Terms Protected Unit Margins in Rising Cost Environment ____________________ Note: Historical gross profit / gallon based on Valvoline financials as a subsidiary of Ashland. All full-year data as of fiscal year-end 9/30 unless otherwise noted. 1. Figures are for six months ended 3/31/17. 1 2 3 1H’2017 (1) 9
  • 14. Quick Lubes Growth Opportunity
  • 15. 10% 7% 8% 7% 4% 4% 2% 5% 8% 6% 4% 3% 6% 3% 2% 2% 2% 6% 8% 8% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Company-Owned SSS Franchised SSS $550 $579 $613 $649 $672 $713 $738 $774 $824 $882 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Our VIOC Business Model ...Driving 10 Years of Same-Store Sales Growth (2) System-Wide Average Sales per Store (dollars in thousands) ____________________ 1. Data represented on a fiscal year basis. 2. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation. ● Digital platforms driving growth in number of cars ● Core programs generate ~6 month payback ● Customer database enabled Marketing Platforms ● Quick, Easy, Trusted ● Overall customer satisfaction 4.6 of 5 stars ● Customer retention over 70% Customer Experience ● Improved Safety Total Recordable Rate over 50% ● Reduced turnover by over 50%, store growth creates career path ● Entry level technicians go through 270+ hours of training Talent Operating Stores Strengthens Business Model Performance Our Sales Per Store Has Grown Steadily... (1) ● Point of Sale System ● SuperPro Management System ● Labor and Inventory Management Proprietary Tools YTD Q2’17 System-Wide SSS 6.4% 10 Year Average of System-Wide SSS 4.9% 10
  • 16. Significant Opportunities for Growth ____________________ 1. Includes 374 company-owned stores and 734 franchised locations as of fiscal 2017 quarter ended 3/31. Does not include Express Care operators. Broad VIOC Geographic Footprint (1) Significant Whitespace for New Stores Franchised Company-Owned New Construction is an ~18 Month Process Substantial Opportunity For Organic Expansion Consolidation Opportunity in Fragmented Market Identifying Acquisition Targets ● High quality regional acquisitions ● Multiple small acquisitions 1–3 Months Market Planning1 6 Months Site Selection2 6 Months Permitting3 4 Months Construction4 Mapped to Local Market Level for New Stores ● Data driven, highly analytical approach ● Company-Owned and Franchised 11
  • 17. 1. Introduce Valvoline branded products to realize benefits of vertical integration 2. Install proprietary POS technology 3. Implement and train store team on SuperPro management system 4. Launch Valvoline’s digital & direct marketing programs 5. Rebrand to Valvoline Instant Oil Change and leverage operational synergies 5 Step Process... Valvoline’s Playbook for Acquisition Integration …With Proven Ability to Drive Value More Oil Changes Per Day Greater Sales and Profitability Increased Customer Acquisition Rates Increased Customer Retention Rates 12
  • 19. We Target Some of the Largest International Growth Markets, including China, India & Latin America Latin America • Recent rapid growth • Aggressive new channel development • Expanding beyond passenger car products India • Strong C&I market • Very strong channels • Cummins JV • Changing emission rules • Good C&I OEM penetration China • Second largest passenger car market • Rapidly changing emission rules • Growing, consolidating DIFM channel • Good OEM penetration ____________________ 1. Includes unconsolidated JVs. 2. Emerging Markets consist of all countries outside of the U.S., Canada, Australia and Europe. Europe • Stable cash flow generator • Moderate growth from channel extensions Australia / Pacific • Leading market share • Strong cash flow generator 67% Emerging Markets (2) FY 2016 Sales Breakdown (1) 16% 18% 16% 23% 7% 18% 3% Europe Australia / Pacific China India Latin America Valvoline Emerging Markets Sales Volume (1) (2) (MM Gal) 20 40 60 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CAGR of 10% Rest of Asia MEA 13
  • 20. Leveraging the Cummins Relationship… …To Provide Ongoing Value Model For Leveraging OEM Relationship ● Global marketing partnership ● Fragmented markets provide significant opportunities to expand share ● Joint ventures in India & China ● Technology partnership to develop products tailored to today’s modern engines ● Leveraging co-branded products ● Strong growth rates in China and India ● Use of Cummins’ channels to market accelerates growth ● Further potential as Cummins grows its services business ● Opportunistic expansion into other markets ― Mining ― Power generation ● Leverage Cummins’ link to other OEMs 14
  • 21. The Future of Core North America
  • 22. Core North America Strategic Pillars • Leading brand in a key category that drives traffic for retailers • Continuous innovation around next- generation, fast growing, higher margin synthetics • Packaging innovation that delivers both consumer and customer value • Targeted digital marketing to high potential consumers and influencers • Team Valvoline loyalty platform delivering relevant content and building brand engagement • Customized programs for key accounts, driving stronger partnerships • Online to offline linkage increases effectiveness and reach • Best in class retail category management capabilities to grow customers’ businesses • Service representative training to help drive profitable consumer engagement at the store level • Customer portal and e-commerce improve customers’ overall experience, drive incremental sales Innovative Products & Packaging Targeted Marketing Enhanced Services Strategic Pillars are Sources of Differentiation for Valvoline, Driving Competitive Advantage 15
  • 23. Packaging Innovation Drives Value for Installer Customers Bay Box Rack Benefits to Customers ● Improves working capital & inventory control ● Eases space constraints ● Reduces product waste & increases speed of service Benefits to Valvoline ● Increases volume & premium penetration ● Solidifies current customer relationships ● Drives new customer acquisition 5 Gallon Box 16
  • 24. Marketing Relationships Create Excitement with Consumers and Retail Associates Then return to submit receipt to redeem action figure offer  Retail promotions are critical in the category  Valvoline leverages partnership brands such as Hendrick Motorsports to: — Provide video content to retailers — Drive Valvoline purchases — Obtain valuable consumer information from redemptions  Assets are also used to create momentum with retail associates — Worked with Dale Earnhardt Jr. to update an El Camino — Awards for store managers based on performance Multi-Faceted Approach to Generating Excitement 17
  • 25. a ● Valvoline leverages digital marketing to help both DIY and Installer customers market more effectively ● Provides custom content to retailers in the DIY and Installer spaces for use in their own loyalty programs ● Launches Valvoline Drives in 2017 in order to drive both customer acquisition and retention for installer customers ● Making a significant, multi-year investment in technology infrastructure to enable enhanced capabilities ● CRM tool and customer portal launching in second half of fiscal 2017 will offer more efficient management and customer communication ● eCommerce site launching 2018 will improve efficiency of ordering and increase purchase value Expertise Allows Customers to Build Their Own Businesses Technology Facilitates Business With Valvoline Investing in Digital Capabilities to Improve the Customer Experience & Grow Sales By Providing a Better Customer Experience, Technology Drives Growth Through Customer Acquisition & Retention 18
  • 27. We Have a Disciplined Approach to Value Creation ● Opportunistic acquisitions focused on Quick Lube ● Grow dividend over time ● Recently announced $150mm share repurchase program Strong Gross Profit CAGR & Adj. EBITDA ● Active management of gross margin ● Value enhancing quick lube expansion ● Disciplined approach to managing costs Attractive Free Cash Flow Profile ● Disciplined working capital management ● Systematic approach to capital expenditures ● Deploy capital to high-return projects Disciplined Capital Allocation Strong Volume Growth ● Market share gains driven by innovation ● Expansion of quick lube platforms as well as mid single digit SSS growth (1) ● Continue growth in premium synthetics and high mileage oil ● Expand and grow international presence, especially in Emerging Markets (2) ____________________ 1. SSS growth determined on a fiscal year basis with new stores included after first full fiscal year of operation. 2. Emerging Markets includes unconsolidated JVs and consist of all countries outside of the U.S., Canada, Australia and Europe. Core Priorities Strategic Initiatives 19
  • 29. Consolidated Adjusted Results (1) ____________________ 1. For a reconciliation of EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation. ($ in millions) Six Months Preliminary Ended March 31, Results from Operating Segments 2017 2016 Change Lubricant gallons (in millions) 88.1 84.2 5% Sales $1,003 $936 7% Gross Profit 383 368 4% SG&A 192 180 7% Equity and Other Income 15 11 36% Operating Income $206 $197 5% Depreciation and Amoritization 18 19 (5%) EBITDA From Operating Segements (1) $224 $216 4% EBITDA Margin 22.3% 23.1% (80) bp Total Adjusted Results (1) Adj. EBITDA in Unallocated & Other (1) $35 $8 338% Total Adj. EBITDA (1) $259 $224 16% Total Adj. EBITDA Margin 25.8% 23.9% 190 bp $224 ($7) ($10) $216 $18 $4 $3 1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A Acq. Other 1H'17 Factors Affecting Y-o-Y EBITDA From Operating Segments (1) 20
  • 30. ____________________ 1. For a reconciliation of EBITDA to Net Income, see the Appendix to this presentation. ($ in millions) Six Months Preliminary Ended March 31, 2017 2016 Change Lubricant gallons (in millions) 48.7 49.4 (1%) Sales $490 $489 - % Operating Income $108 $112 (4%) Depreciation and Amoritization 6 8 (25%) EBITDA (1) $114 $120 (5%) EBITDA Margin 23.3% 24.5% (120) bp Segment Adjusted Results (1) Core North America Quick Lubes International Lubricant gallons (in millions) 10.8 9.4 15% Sales $255 $213 20% Operating Income $60 $52 15% Depreciation and Amoritization 10 8 25% EBITDA (1) $70 $60 17% EBITDA Margin 27.5% 28.2% (70) bp Lubricant gallons (in millions) 28.6 25.4 13% Sales $258 $234 10% Operating Income $38 $33 15% Depreciation and Amoritization 2 3 (33%) EBITDA (1) $40 $36 11% EBITDA Margin 15.5% 15.4% 10 bp $114 ($10) ($1) $120 $4 $0 $1 1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A Acq. Other 1H'17 $70 ($5) $60 $5 $4 $4 $2 1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A Acq. Other 1H'17 $40 ($1) ($4) $36 $9 ($1) $1 1H'16 Vol / Mix Margin SG&A FX Other 1H'17 Factors Affecting Y-o-Y EBITDA 21
  • 32. Historical EBITDA and Adj. EBITDA Bridges ($ in millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H’17 Net income $110 $114 $246 $173 $196 $273 $143 Income tax expense 52 58 135 91 101 148 76 Net Interest and other financing expense - - - - - 9 18 Depreciation and amortization 38 36 36 37 38 38 18 EBITDA $200 $207 $416 $302 $335 $468 $255 Adjustments Losses (gains) on pension and other postretirement plan re-measurements 52 68 (74) 61 46 (18) (8) Net Loss on Divestiture / Acquisition Costs - - - - 26 1 - Impairment on Equity Investment - - - - 14 - - Restructuring / Separation Costs - - - 6 - 6 12 Adjusted EBITDA $252 $275 $342 $369 $421 $457 $259 22
  • 33. Fiscal 2017 Outlook Current Expectations 2017 Outlook Operating Segments • Lubricant gallons 3-5% • Sales 4-7% • New stores • VIOC company-owned 31-33 28 acquired, 3-5 new builds • VIOC franchised 15 – 25 • VIOC same-store sales 5-7% • EBITDA from operating segments $440 - $455 mm Corporate Items • Pension income $70 mm • One-time separation-related expenses $25 - $30 mm • Diluted adjusted earnings per share $1.36-$1.43 • Capital expenditures $70 - $80 mm • Free cash flow $130 - $150 mm(1) ____________________ 1. Free cash flow is defined as cash flows provided by operating activities less capital expenditures.23