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WHY VITAL DATA UNDER-COUNT
MATERNAL DEATHS IN DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES -- CASE STUDY, JAMAICA: 2008

       AFFETTE MCCAW-BINNS
       Reproductive Health Epidemiologist
       University of the West Indies, Mona, Jamaica
       YVETTE HOLDER
       International Biostatistics and Information Services, St Lucia
       JASNETH MULLINGS
       University of the West Indies, Mona, Jamaica
MATERNAL MORTALITY SURVEILLANCE:
JAMAICA - HISTORY

   1981-83: First confidential enquiry
     Only   31% of maternal deaths reflected in vital
      data
        Registrar   General‟s Department (RGD)
 1986-95: Voluntary MM reporting failed
 1998: Maternal mortality surveillance initiated
     Maternal deaths classified as a Class I event
     Active surveillance by public health team
        Investigatereported deaths (community, hospital)
        Review deaths in women 10-50 years to identify
         maternal and late maternal deaths
DEATH CERTIFICATION: MATERNAL DEATHS
43RD WORLD HEALTH ASSEMBLY (1990): RESOLUTION WHA 43.24

  ICD-10 recommends countries include on death certificates:
   Questions about pregnancy within one year preceding death
   Shown to reduce under-reporting of maternal deaths
   Reminds the certifier to consider whether the death was due to a
     complication of pregnancy.

  Suggested questions for inclusion on MCCD.
     If female, was the woman:
     [ ] pregnant at the time of death
     [ ] not pregnant at the time of death, but pregnant within 42 days
     [ ] pregnant within the past year

  2006: pregnancy check box added to Jamaican MCCD
    “pregnancy ended within 42 days of death [ ] yes [ ] no”
      ??    exclusion of women who died undelivered
MILLENNIUM PROJECT: MDGs
   Contract between developed and developing
    countries to work to improve quality of life in
    developing world
    8   goals; 3 health related (MDG4, 5, 6)
        MDG   5: reduce maternal mortality ratio by 75%
     Indicators   and monitoring framework
 Created measurement ethos
 No data? Estimate it!
GLOBAL MATERNAL MORTALITY ESTIMATES
(WHO ET AL, 2005 & 08; IHME, 2008 & 11)

   Modeled estimates used proxy measures of risk:
       Total fertility rate
       GDP
       HIV seroprevalence
       Neonatal mortality
       Female literacy
   Produce maternal mortality estimates for Jamaica
    inconsistent with our surveillance data, e.g.
       IHME (2008) – 34 vs 89/100,000
       WHO (2005) – 170 vs 94/100,000
   Where vital data available:
       Information used without regard for its validity or reliability.
JUSTIFICATION & AIM
Change in Approach:
Estimating Maternal Mortality: vital data vs. RAMOS
data
    WHO/UNICEF, World Bank, 2005 and 2008

    Hogan, et al; 2008 and 2011

 Jamaica‟s efforts to modernize vital registration
  system


Aim
 Understand why only one in five maternal
  deaths show up in vital data
OBJECTIVES:
PREGNANCY RELATED DEATHS 2008…

 Identify the universe of maternal, coincidental
  and late maternal deaths for 2008
 Determine whether they are accurately
  certified, registered and correctly coded
 Examine factors associated with delays in
  registration of maternal deaths
METHODOLOGY
CASE IDENTIFICATION AND DATA COLLECTION
   Deaths in women 10-49 years reviewed from:
     Registered   deaths – RGD
     MVAs, violence, suicide – police

     Maternal mortality surveillance – MOH

   Preliminary list given to data collectors who visited –
       Hospitals (public and private)
       Forensic pathologists (community deaths)
   Existing cases updated with any new information
   Missed cases added to the database
CERTIFICATION:
JAMAICAN MEDICAL CERTIFICATE (MCCD)
DEATH
     REGISTRATION
     FORM (DRF)
1.    Cause of death
                                  4
      transcribed from        1
                          2
      MCCD by
      registrar                   3

2.    Include
      demographic
      data
3.    Code
4.    Select underlying
      cause
5.    Data entry
Form D:
Replaces MCCD
      Same demographic
       and clinical
       information as
       MCCD but….


Not updated to
include:
a. Duration of illness

b. Pregnancy check
   box
FORM D –
CORONER’S CASES
QUALITY REVIEW: CERTIFICATION AND CODING

   Inspected MCCDs/Form Ds at RGD to determine
    if:
     Pregnancy check box was utilized (MCCD only)
     MCCD /Form D accurately reflected cause of death
      information in maternal mortality surveillance reports
          Inadequate/incomplete   certification
          Logical sequence of events
          Duration of illness noted
       ICD10 codes accurately reflect UCOD on MCCD
          Coding/misclassification   errors
       RGD database consistent with the MCCD
          Transcription/data
                       entry errors (MCCD/Form
          D DRF database)
DATA ANALYSIS
   Deaths classified as:
       Direct obstetric
       Indirect obstetric
       Coincidental
       Late maternal

   Data analysed (SPSS 16.0) to:
       Determine factors associated with non-registration and
        misclassification
          Demographic: Age, region of residence, place of death
          Clinical: Duration from delivery to death, cause of death

       Measure impact of delayed registration and
        misclassification on the maternal mortality ratio (MMR).
FINDINGS
FLOW CHART – SHORT LISTED CASES
                                                                    100
                                                          Possible maternal deaths


                                             81                                                 19
                                      pregnancy-related                                non-pregnancy related



                      65                                                 16                       19
                  registered                                       not registered             registered



            44            16 late maternal                  10             4 late maternal
       WHO-defined                &                    WHO-defined         & 2 coincidental
      maternal deaths      5 other deaths             maternal deaths           deaths




     13             31                 2               19                0                1               18
coded O00-95 incorrectly coded    coded O00-95   correctly coded      coded ‘O’     ‘C’ coded ‘O’   correctly coded
TIMELINESS OF MATERNAL DEATH REGISTRATION,
BY REGION OF DEATH: 2008

      <3 months       3-11 months    1-2 years    Not registered (>2 years)

100                   92.6
 90
 80     71.7                        75.0          72.7
 70
 60
 50
 40
                                           25.0          27.3            27.3
 30            24.5
                                                                18.2
 20
                              6.4
 10
  0
       JAMAICA        South east    North east      South         West
QUALITY OF CERTIFICATION BY PHYSICIANS

44 registered deaths
 32 MCCD, 5 Form D, 7 not located

Pregnancy Check Box (MCCD only)
 7/32(22%) pregnancy check box used correctly

 8th case: check box inappropriately used
       Doctor checked “no” to the question “pregnancy ended within 42
        days of death” for a woman who had died undelivered.

Duration of Illness (MCCD only)
   Reported on 8/32 certificates (25%)
       Less often completed for indirect (9%) than direct (32%)
        deaths (Fisher‟s p=.158)
QUALITY OF CERTIFICATION BY PHYSICIANS,
continued…
Logical sequence of events (MCCD/Form D)
 64% of cases (28/44) sequence of events logical
 One: totally backwards,(UCOD before immediate)
 Seven: out of sequence (16%)


Omission of important information
 Eight (18%): Omission   misclassification
     Information available on MM surveillance reports
          e.g. Eclampsia (O15) and stroke (I61.9); MCCD-stroke listed
     More often for indirect (43%) than direct deaths (7%)
EVIDENCE OF PREGNANCY ON MCCD, BY
CATEGORY OF MATERNAL DEATH: JAMAICA, 2008

60
                                       No mention of
                                       pregnancy/birth
50                                     Pregnancy check
                        42.9
                                       box only used
40                                     Explicit* reference to
                                       pregnancy
30                                     Implicit** reference

     18.2                          *EXPLICIT – use of terms
20
                                   such as pregnancy, abortion,
              6.7                  childbirth on MCCD
10
                                   ** IMPLICIT -- implied in
 0                                 COD such as eclampsia, PPH,
       ALL     Direct   Indirect    puerperal cardiomyopathy
     DEATHS
ACME/SUPERMICAR: RGD, JAMAICA!




                   RGD code: A41.9 (sepsis)
                   UWI/MMS code: O13
                   ACME (Ja): I51.9 (heart dis)
SOURCES OF INFORMATION LOSS,
MATERNAL MORTALITY RATIO: JAMAICA - 2008
                                                ALL DEATHS
140   127.5
                                                Registered‡
120           103.9
                                                Maternal mortality
                      89.7                      surveillance‡
100
                                                Registered <3 months
                              75.5
 80                                             Pregnancy mentioned

 60                                             Pregnancy mentioned
                                                & registered <3 months
 40                                             Pregnancy check box
                                        23.7    used
                                 18.9
                                                ICD10 O code
 20                                             assigned
                                                ICD10 O code &
  0                                             registered <3 months
                      Total                    ‡Not the same cases
CAUSE OF WHO MATERNAL DEATHS,
BY SOURCE OF INFORMATION
Cause of death           All sources Maternal mortality Fact of pregnancy on   Registered <3 mo. &
                                       surveillance        MCCD/Form D          coded as maternal
                          Number Number % missed Number % missed               Number % missed
TOTAL                       54        44           17.0    36          33.3      10          81.1
DIRECT DEATHS
Hypertension                16        15            6.3    13          18.8       5          68.8
Haemorrhage                  8         7           12.5     7          12.5       2          75.0
First trimester events       7         2           71.4     4          37.5       0          100
Other direct deaths          6         5           16.7     4             0       2          66.7
Subtotal – direct           37        29           21.6    28          24.3       9          75.0
INDIRECT DEATHS
Cardiovascular               6         6              0     4          33.3       1          83.3
Neoplasm                     4         3           25.0     1          75.0       0          100
Sickle cell disease          3         3              0     3             0       0          100
Other indirect               4         4              0     0          100        0          100
Subtotal – indirect         17        16            5.9     8          52.9       1          94.1
MMR /100 000               127.2           106.0                84.9                  23.6
DISCUSSION
DELAYED REGISTRATION
   Coroner‟s cases
     Possible unintended consequence of policy requiring
      autopsy (post mortem or PM) for all maternal deaths
     Distinguish between „routine‟ PMs & Coroners cases
         Routine     PM – hospital pathologist
              Hospital death within 24 hours of admission
              Death within 72 hours of surgery
              Uncertain cause of death during admission
              Maternal deaths (in hospital)
         Coroner‟s     case – forensic pathologist
              Accidental deaths
              Violence, including suicide
              Sudden unexpected death in previously healthy person
                    Including maternal deaths in the community
              Death where no medical certificate forthcoming
MCCD: JAMAICA – NOT GOOD FOR
IDENTIFYING MATERNAL DEATHS
   Check box not being used:
     1 in 8 certificates only
     Font size too small, ignored
   Duration of illness often missing
         Late deaths being misclassified

   Revised MCCD should ask “if female 10-50
    years”
     1.     At the time of death was she pregnant (y/n)
     2.     Did she have a pregnancy which ended in past year (y/n)
     3.     If yes, date pregnancy ended: ___________
     4.     Gestation:      < 22 weeks
                             ≥ 22 weeks or unknown
TRANSCRIPTION ERRORS
         Poor penmanship
           Inadequate understanding of medical terms

Registrars and coders should be required to:
    i.      Have basic course in human biology/anatomy
    ii.     Understand medical terminology
    iii.    Understand common pathways from underlying to
            immediate cause of death

         Electronic certification
           Now being field tested for births
           Medium term plan for deaths
CODING MATERNAL DEATHS
   RGD coders
       Lack of training to manually code maternal deaths
       Limited experience coding difficult cases
       Over-reliance on ACME/MICAR coding software to perform functions
        not intended to perform
   1 in 3 pregnancy related deaths=late deaths
       096=late deaths
       O97=deaths from sequelae of pregnancy related conditions >1 year
       Deaths of clinical significance for programme planners despite lack of
        statistical importance



 WHO guidelines
  forthcoming
  (October 2012)
TRENDS: MISCLASSIFICATION OF MATERNAL
DEATHS, 1981-83; 1998; 2008

   70         64
                   49 54
   60
   50                                     44
                                 36 36                        36
   40
                                                     25
   30                                                                   19
   20                                                                        13 13
   10
    0
             Maternal          Registered          Pregnancy           Coded as
              deaths                               mentioned           maternal
                             Avg/yr 1981-83        1998      2008
References:
1981-83: Walker et al. Identifying maternal deaths in developing countries, IJE 1990 19: 599.
1998:    McCaw-Binns et al. Multi-source method for determining mortality in Jamaica:
         1996 and 1998. Report to PAHO, 2002.
MATERNAL MORTALITY TRENDS: JAMAICA
      1981-2009 (RATIO/100 000 LIVE BIRTHS)
      1981-3          1986-7       1993-5        1998-0       2001-3         2004-6   2007-9
      118.6
120

                          98.7
100
                      86.3

 80


 60
                                          46.9
                                                             36.4
 40
                                                                                             20.8
 20                                         16.7
                                                                               5.2
                                                                1.6
  0
              Total              Direct           Indirect          Coincidental      Late
SUMMARY OF CERTIFICATION & REGISTRATION
EFFECTS ON MMR – 2008, JAMAICA
                     Maternal Mortality Ratio
                       /100 000 live births
                                                     Missed cases




     RGD                                                   Poorly
misclassified, 6                                         certified, 16
       4             Other, 40
                                                     Not
                                                registered, 24

           RGD O
          code, 24
CRUDE BIRTH RATE AND MARITAL STATUS:
1948 – PRESENT: JAMAICA
  90
                                     83.6
                                                             1948
  80
                                                             1953
        Rate/ 1000
  70
        population                                           1958
  60                                                         1963
                                                      52.4
                                                             1968
  50
                                                             1973
  40                                                         1978
  30                                                         1983
                                                             1988
  20                 16.5
                                                             1993
  10                                                         1998
   0                                                         2003
       Crude birth rate       Out of           Father        2005
                            wedlock(%)      registered(%)
            Source: Demographic Statistics
TREND – NUMBER OF BIRTHS, BY MATERNAL
 AGE: JAMAICA: 1999-2007
14000

12000
                                                    1999
10000
                                                    2000
                                                    2001
 8000
                                                    2002
                                                    2003
 6000
                                                    2004
                                                    2005
 4000
                                                    2006
                                                    2007
 2000

    0
        <20   20-24   25-29   30-34   35-39   40+
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS




                          REGISTRAR GENERAL‟S DEPARTMENT
  INTER-AMERICAN
                          MINISTRY OF HEALTH/REGIONAL HEALTH AUTHORITIES
  DEVELOPMENT BANK
                          MINISTRY OF NATIONAL SECURITY/JAMAICA
  PLANNING INSTITUTE OF
  JAMAICA
                          CONSTABULARY
  DELAWARE GRUPO (ESP)    MINISTRY OF JUSTICE/CORONER‟S COURTS
                          DATA COLLECTION TEAM

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Vital registration maternal mortality. Case of Jamaica

  • 1. WHY VITAL DATA UNDER-COUNT MATERNAL DEATHS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES -- CASE STUDY, JAMAICA: 2008 AFFETTE MCCAW-BINNS Reproductive Health Epidemiologist University of the West Indies, Mona, Jamaica YVETTE HOLDER International Biostatistics and Information Services, St Lucia JASNETH MULLINGS University of the West Indies, Mona, Jamaica
  • 2. MATERNAL MORTALITY SURVEILLANCE: JAMAICA - HISTORY  1981-83: First confidential enquiry  Only 31% of maternal deaths reflected in vital data  Registrar General‟s Department (RGD)  1986-95: Voluntary MM reporting failed  1998: Maternal mortality surveillance initiated  Maternal deaths classified as a Class I event  Active surveillance by public health team  Investigatereported deaths (community, hospital)  Review deaths in women 10-50 years to identify maternal and late maternal deaths
  • 3. DEATH CERTIFICATION: MATERNAL DEATHS 43RD WORLD HEALTH ASSEMBLY (1990): RESOLUTION WHA 43.24 ICD-10 recommends countries include on death certificates:  Questions about pregnancy within one year preceding death  Shown to reduce under-reporting of maternal deaths  Reminds the certifier to consider whether the death was due to a complication of pregnancy. Suggested questions for inclusion on MCCD. If female, was the woman: [ ] pregnant at the time of death [ ] not pregnant at the time of death, but pregnant within 42 days [ ] pregnant within the past year 2006: pregnancy check box added to Jamaican MCCD “pregnancy ended within 42 days of death [ ] yes [ ] no” ?? exclusion of women who died undelivered
  • 4. MILLENNIUM PROJECT: MDGs  Contract between developed and developing countries to work to improve quality of life in developing world 8 goals; 3 health related (MDG4, 5, 6)  MDG 5: reduce maternal mortality ratio by 75%  Indicators and monitoring framework  Created measurement ethos  No data? Estimate it!
  • 5. GLOBAL MATERNAL MORTALITY ESTIMATES (WHO ET AL, 2005 & 08; IHME, 2008 & 11)  Modeled estimates used proxy measures of risk:  Total fertility rate  GDP  HIV seroprevalence  Neonatal mortality  Female literacy  Produce maternal mortality estimates for Jamaica inconsistent with our surveillance data, e.g.  IHME (2008) – 34 vs 89/100,000  WHO (2005) – 170 vs 94/100,000  Where vital data available:  Information used without regard for its validity or reliability.
  • 6. JUSTIFICATION & AIM Change in Approach: Estimating Maternal Mortality: vital data vs. RAMOS data  WHO/UNICEF, World Bank, 2005 and 2008  Hogan, et al; 2008 and 2011  Jamaica‟s efforts to modernize vital registration system Aim  Understand why only one in five maternal deaths show up in vital data
  • 7. OBJECTIVES: PREGNANCY RELATED DEATHS 2008…  Identify the universe of maternal, coincidental and late maternal deaths for 2008  Determine whether they are accurately certified, registered and correctly coded  Examine factors associated with delays in registration of maternal deaths
  • 8. METHODOLOGY CASE IDENTIFICATION AND DATA COLLECTION  Deaths in women 10-49 years reviewed from:  Registered deaths – RGD  MVAs, violence, suicide – police  Maternal mortality surveillance – MOH  Preliminary list given to data collectors who visited –  Hospitals (public and private)  Forensic pathologists (community deaths)  Existing cases updated with any new information  Missed cases added to the database
  • 10. DEATH REGISTRATION FORM (DRF) 1. Cause of death 4 transcribed from 1 2 MCCD by registrar 3 2. Include demographic data 3. Code 4. Select underlying cause 5. Data entry
  • 11. Form D: Replaces MCCD  Same demographic and clinical information as MCCD but…. Not updated to include: a. Duration of illness b. Pregnancy check box FORM D – CORONER’S CASES
  • 12. QUALITY REVIEW: CERTIFICATION AND CODING  Inspected MCCDs/Form Ds at RGD to determine if:  Pregnancy check box was utilized (MCCD only)  MCCD /Form D accurately reflected cause of death information in maternal mortality surveillance reports  Inadequate/incomplete certification  Logical sequence of events  Duration of illness noted  ICD10 codes accurately reflect UCOD on MCCD  Coding/misclassification errors  RGD database consistent with the MCCD  Transcription/data entry errors (MCCD/Form D DRF database)
  • 13. DATA ANALYSIS  Deaths classified as:  Direct obstetric  Indirect obstetric  Coincidental  Late maternal  Data analysed (SPSS 16.0) to:  Determine factors associated with non-registration and misclassification  Demographic: Age, region of residence, place of death  Clinical: Duration from delivery to death, cause of death  Measure impact of delayed registration and misclassification on the maternal mortality ratio (MMR).
  • 15. FLOW CHART – SHORT LISTED CASES 100 Possible maternal deaths 81 19 pregnancy-related non-pregnancy related 65 16 19 registered not registered registered 44 16 late maternal 10 4 late maternal WHO-defined & WHO-defined & 2 coincidental maternal deaths 5 other deaths maternal deaths deaths 13 31 2 19 0 1 18 coded O00-95 incorrectly coded coded O00-95 correctly coded coded ‘O’ ‘C’ coded ‘O’ correctly coded
  • 16. TIMELINESS OF MATERNAL DEATH REGISTRATION, BY REGION OF DEATH: 2008 <3 months 3-11 months 1-2 years Not registered (>2 years) 100 92.6 90 80 71.7 75.0 72.7 70 60 50 40 25.0 27.3 27.3 30 24.5 18.2 20 6.4 10 0 JAMAICA South east North east South West
  • 17. QUALITY OF CERTIFICATION BY PHYSICIANS 44 registered deaths  32 MCCD, 5 Form D, 7 not located Pregnancy Check Box (MCCD only)  7/32(22%) pregnancy check box used correctly  8th case: check box inappropriately used  Doctor checked “no” to the question “pregnancy ended within 42 days of death” for a woman who had died undelivered. Duration of Illness (MCCD only)  Reported on 8/32 certificates (25%)  Less often completed for indirect (9%) than direct (32%) deaths (Fisher‟s p=.158)
  • 18. QUALITY OF CERTIFICATION BY PHYSICIANS, continued… Logical sequence of events (MCCD/Form D)  64% of cases (28/44) sequence of events logical  One: totally backwards,(UCOD before immediate)  Seven: out of sequence (16%) Omission of important information  Eight (18%): Omission misclassification  Information available on MM surveillance reports  e.g. Eclampsia (O15) and stroke (I61.9); MCCD-stroke listed  More often for indirect (43%) than direct deaths (7%)
  • 19. EVIDENCE OF PREGNANCY ON MCCD, BY CATEGORY OF MATERNAL DEATH: JAMAICA, 2008 60 No mention of pregnancy/birth 50 Pregnancy check 42.9 box only used 40 Explicit* reference to pregnancy 30 Implicit** reference 18.2 *EXPLICIT – use of terms 20 such as pregnancy, abortion, 6.7 childbirth on MCCD 10 ** IMPLICIT -- implied in 0 COD such as eclampsia, PPH, ALL Direct Indirect puerperal cardiomyopathy DEATHS
  • 20. ACME/SUPERMICAR: RGD, JAMAICA! RGD code: A41.9 (sepsis) UWI/MMS code: O13 ACME (Ja): I51.9 (heart dis)
  • 21. SOURCES OF INFORMATION LOSS, MATERNAL MORTALITY RATIO: JAMAICA - 2008 ALL DEATHS 140 127.5 Registered‡ 120 103.9 Maternal mortality 89.7 surveillance‡ 100 Registered <3 months 75.5 80 Pregnancy mentioned 60 Pregnancy mentioned & registered <3 months 40 Pregnancy check box 23.7 used 18.9 ICD10 O code 20 assigned ICD10 O code & 0 registered <3 months Total ‡Not the same cases
  • 22. CAUSE OF WHO MATERNAL DEATHS, BY SOURCE OF INFORMATION Cause of death All sources Maternal mortality Fact of pregnancy on Registered <3 mo. & surveillance MCCD/Form D coded as maternal Number Number % missed Number % missed Number % missed TOTAL 54 44 17.0 36 33.3 10 81.1 DIRECT DEATHS Hypertension 16 15 6.3 13 18.8 5 68.8 Haemorrhage 8 7 12.5 7 12.5 2 75.0 First trimester events 7 2 71.4 4 37.5 0 100 Other direct deaths 6 5 16.7 4 0 2 66.7 Subtotal – direct 37 29 21.6 28 24.3 9 75.0 INDIRECT DEATHS Cardiovascular 6 6 0 4 33.3 1 83.3 Neoplasm 4 3 25.0 1 75.0 0 100 Sickle cell disease 3 3 0 3 0 0 100 Other indirect 4 4 0 0 100 0 100 Subtotal – indirect 17 16 5.9 8 52.9 1 94.1 MMR /100 000 127.2 106.0 84.9 23.6
  • 24. DELAYED REGISTRATION  Coroner‟s cases  Possible unintended consequence of policy requiring autopsy (post mortem or PM) for all maternal deaths  Distinguish between „routine‟ PMs & Coroners cases  Routine PM – hospital pathologist  Hospital death within 24 hours of admission  Death within 72 hours of surgery  Uncertain cause of death during admission  Maternal deaths (in hospital)  Coroner‟s case – forensic pathologist  Accidental deaths  Violence, including suicide  Sudden unexpected death in previously healthy person  Including maternal deaths in the community  Death where no medical certificate forthcoming
  • 25. MCCD: JAMAICA – NOT GOOD FOR IDENTIFYING MATERNAL DEATHS  Check box not being used:  1 in 8 certificates only  Font size too small, ignored  Duration of illness often missing  Late deaths being misclassified  Revised MCCD should ask “if female 10-50 years” 1. At the time of death was she pregnant (y/n) 2. Did she have a pregnancy which ended in past year (y/n) 3. If yes, date pregnancy ended: ___________ 4. Gestation: < 22 weeks ≥ 22 weeks or unknown
  • 26. TRANSCRIPTION ERRORS  Poor penmanship  Inadequate understanding of medical terms Registrars and coders should be required to: i. Have basic course in human biology/anatomy ii. Understand medical terminology iii. Understand common pathways from underlying to immediate cause of death  Electronic certification  Now being field tested for births  Medium term plan for deaths
  • 27. CODING MATERNAL DEATHS  RGD coders  Lack of training to manually code maternal deaths  Limited experience coding difficult cases  Over-reliance on ACME/MICAR coding software to perform functions not intended to perform  1 in 3 pregnancy related deaths=late deaths  096=late deaths  O97=deaths from sequelae of pregnancy related conditions >1 year  Deaths of clinical significance for programme planners despite lack of statistical importance  WHO guidelines forthcoming (October 2012)
  • 28. TRENDS: MISCLASSIFICATION OF MATERNAL DEATHS, 1981-83; 1998; 2008 70 64 49 54 60 50 44 36 36 36 40 25 30 19 20 13 13 10 0 Maternal Registered Pregnancy Coded as deaths mentioned maternal Avg/yr 1981-83 1998 2008 References: 1981-83: Walker et al. Identifying maternal deaths in developing countries, IJE 1990 19: 599. 1998: McCaw-Binns et al. Multi-source method for determining mortality in Jamaica: 1996 and 1998. Report to PAHO, 2002.
  • 29. MATERNAL MORTALITY TRENDS: JAMAICA 1981-2009 (RATIO/100 000 LIVE BIRTHS) 1981-3 1986-7 1993-5 1998-0 2001-3 2004-6 2007-9 118.6 120 98.7 100 86.3 80 60 46.9 36.4 40 20.8 20 16.7 5.2 1.6 0 Total Direct Indirect Coincidental Late
  • 30. SUMMARY OF CERTIFICATION & REGISTRATION EFFECTS ON MMR – 2008, JAMAICA Maternal Mortality Ratio /100 000 live births Missed cases RGD Poorly misclassified, 6 certified, 16 4 Other, 40 Not registered, 24 RGD O code, 24
  • 31. CRUDE BIRTH RATE AND MARITAL STATUS: 1948 – PRESENT: JAMAICA 90 83.6 1948 80 1953 Rate/ 1000 70 population 1958 60 1963 52.4 1968 50 1973 40 1978 30 1983 1988 20 16.5 1993 10 1998 0 2003 Crude birth rate Out of Father 2005 wedlock(%) registered(%) Source: Demographic Statistics
  • 32. TREND – NUMBER OF BIRTHS, BY MATERNAL AGE: JAMAICA: 1999-2007 14000 12000 1999 10000 2000 2001 8000 2002 2003 6000 2004 2005 4000 2006 2007 2000 0 <20 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40+
  • 33. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS REGISTRAR GENERAL‟S DEPARTMENT INTER-AMERICAN MINISTRY OF HEALTH/REGIONAL HEALTH AUTHORITIES DEVELOPMENT BANK MINISTRY OF NATIONAL SECURITY/JAMAICA PLANNING INSTITUTE OF JAMAICA CONSTABULARY DELAWARE GRUPO (ESP) MINISTRY OF JUSTICE/CORONER‟S COURTS DATA COLLECTION TEAM

Editor's Notes

  1. In the late 1970s clinicians were reporting maternal deaths incidences which were not consistent with the official statistics. This lead to Jamaica’s first confidential enquiry into maternal deaths which confirmed that less than a third of maternal deaths were being reported in vital data. As efforts to institute voluntary reporting failed, in 1998 Jamaica began maternal mortality surveillance classifying maternal deaths a class 1 notifiable event. This meant that all maternal deaths were to be reported to the Ministry of Health. Reported deaths were investigated by surveillance officers who also actively reviewed deaths in women of reproductive age to identify maternal and late maternal deaths.
  2. In 1990 the 43rd World Health recommended the addition of a pregnancy check box to medical certificates to remind certifiers to consider whether the death was due to complication of pregnancy with suggested questions. The Jamaican registrar was advised of these recommendations but condensed the three questions to one which said “pregnancy ended within 42 days of death” and added it to the certificate in 2006. The maternal mortality surveillance committee was concerned that the wording might exclude women who died undelivered, and describes 25-33% of deaths each year. The check box has not been evaluated since its introduction.
  3. After the Nairobi conference the millennium project created an environment where developed and developing countries agreed to work toward improving the quality of life for citizens in the developing world, with one of the outcomes being reducing maternal mortality. The millennium goals included indicators to monitor progress and created a measurement ethos around which measurement experts converged. Where data didn’t exist, then a great deal of time and money was invested in developing methodologies aimed at developing estimates of the outcome of the interest from whatever available data existed.
  4. These models use proxy measures of risk including TFR, GDP, HIV prevalence, neonatal mortality and female literacy. The problem however is that the estimates that these models produced for Jamaica were not consistent with our research data.
  5. With this move toward use of vital data as the basis for estimating maternal mortality Jamaica’s efforts to modernize our vital registration system, we aimed to understand why only one in five maternal deaths were consistently showing up in vital data
  6. Pregnancy related deathswere identified from registered deaths, police cases and cases identified by the maternal mortality surveillance process. Short listed cases were selected from women 10-49 years regardless of whether coded to an obstetric code if the reported condition had a high likelihood of being associated with pregnancy.
  7. This is a typically completed Jamaican Medical certificate. ►The check box, in a very small font and is often ignored. ►Also frequently ignored is the section on the duration of illness.
  8. The information on the MCCD is transcribed to a death registration form or DRF by the registrar along with demographic information provided by the informant. ►It is on this form the coders record the ICD10 codes for the listed conditions and then ►select the underlying cause of death. Then it goes to data entry. For this young lady, while they appropriately select O99.4 to represent the heart disease complicating pregnancy, the I05 (mitral stenosis) is selected as the underlying cause.
  9. Cases passing through the Coroner’s courts are registered using a Form D. For the most part it carries the same demographic and clinical information as the medical certificate however it has not been updated to include information on duration of illness or include the pregnancy check box.
  10. Cases were classified as direct, indirect, coincidental or late maternal and analysed using SPSS. We looked at demographic and clinical factors associated with non-registration and misclassification of deaths and measured the impact of data quality issues on the maternal mortality ratio.
  11. Three of four deaths were registered within 3 months of death, the time period necessary to ensure that a death gets counted for statistical purposes. Timeliness of registration however varied by health region from 93% in the south east to only 18% in the western region.
  12. Of the 44 registered deaths, we were able to inspect 32 medical certificates and 5 Form Ds, used to register Coroners cases. 7 supporting documents were not located.► the pregnancy check box, which only appears on the medical certificate, was only used in 8 instances, correctly for 7 while for the 8th case the doctor checked no to the question ‘pregnancy ended within 42 days of death’ for a woman who died undelivered.►Likewise, duration of illness was also only reported on one in four certificates.
  13. Performance improves however, with the logical sequence appropriate for 64% of certificates, including the Form Ds. One however had the underlying cause on line A and in another 7, things were a bit jumbled.►When we compared the surveillance reports to the certificates, in 8 instances doctors omitted important information which would have contributed to the misclassification of the cause of death. For example, one woman had eclampsia and a stroke at one hospital and was transferred to a tertiary hospital where she died in the ICU. Only the stroke was listed on the medical certificate; the doctor inappropriately thought it was adequate to only note the condition for which she was being treated in the ICU. These omissions however more often occur for indirect than direct deaths.
  14. The fact of pregnancy should be noted on the medical certificate to prevent misclassification. This may include the explicit use of terms such as pregnancy, abortion or childbirth either in part 1 or 2 of the certificate. Pregnancy may also be implied from direct causes of death such as eclampsia, post partum haemorrhage or puerperal sepsis.Fact of pregnancy was omitted from 16% of certificates, particularly indirect deaths where more than 1 in 3 certificates failed to note this information. In a few indirect deaths, only the check box was used but this information was not transcribed to the death registration form which is coded.
  15. This case represents how ACME/SuperMICAR, the NCHS coding software, functions in a developing world setting. This doctor used the ►check box and attempted to note duration of illness. ►Septicaemia was noted only in part II as a contributing cause, however the case appeared in the database as A41.9, sepsis of undetermined origin. When we enquired why the case was coded this way, the coder ran it through the ►ACME/superMICAR software and we were surprised when it spat back I51.9 for the cardiac disease listed on line b,► instead of the superimposed pre-eclampsia listed on line c.
  16. This graph summarizes how Jamaican maternal deaths disappear. The universe of events consisted of 54 cases with a MMR of 128. 83% were registered, which is similar to the number picked up by the Ministry of Health’s maternal mortality surveillance system, they however were not the same cases. The 37 or 73% which had pregnancy explicitly mentioned or implied would have yielded an MMR of 87/100,000. The pregnancy check box was not very useful by itself. The greatest challenge however was that only 13 cases were coded by the RGD to an ICD-10 obstetric or O code, but only 10 were registered early enough to get counted for statistical purposes with the 2008. That rate was 23.7/100,000 compared to the 127.5 we started with.
  17. So how do these registration and misclassification problems affect cause specific mortality? ►The first column shows the universe of deaths, the second cases identified by surveillance, the third the registered deaths with fact of pregnancy noted on the relevant certificates and the final column, those registered on time and coded to maternal causes.►Surveillance was missing 3 of 4 first trimester events, mainly community deaths from ruptured ectopic pregnancies. ►Both the surveillance and certification process were missing one in 4 direct deaths. When coding deficiencies were added, 3 of 4 direct deaths were being missed. ► Surveillance was more effective in identifying most of the indirect deaths, however certifiers were failing to record fact of pregnancy of half of the certificates, with only one indirect death correctly coded. ► In the end, the actual ratio of 127 end up as 24 per 100,000 in the official statistics, with 4 of 5 maternal deaths missed.While surveillance was picking up most indirect deaths, doctors were failing to note the fact of pregnancy on the certificates leading to 1 in 2 indirect deaths being lost at this stage. Poor coding practices however mean that more than 9 of every 10 indirect deaths were being missed.
  18. Guidelines are need which distinguish between what are routine post mortems needed to clarify cause of death and Coroners cases. The former would be investigated by hospital pathologists who would advise the attending physician of their findings, who would then issue the medical certificate. Coroners cases would be referred to the forensic pathologist and restricted to cases of accidental deaths, violence and other sudden deaths outside of a medical facility.
  19. The check box was only used on one in 8 certificates. It is probably being ignored because the font is too small. The wording was also misinterpreted by at least one person regarding one woman who died during labour; many certifiers are not completing the duration of illness part of the certificate and even when they do it is ingnored. Because the duration between delivery and death is not clearly noted some late deaths were misclassified. The revised certificate should include specific questions which clearly identify maternal deaths.
  20. To get around the problems associated with deciphering poor penmanship, registrars and coders should have a basic understanding of human biology, anatomy and medical terminology. Coders in particular need to understand some of the common pathways from underlying to immediate cause so that they can qualitatively judge when certificates need to be returned for clarification. Electronic certification is now being field tested for births and should be included over the medium term for death registration.
  21. Was 2008 typical? Well yes and now. Under-reporting is clearly a long standing problem, however more maternal deaths are registered, with better certification, more certificates bear evidence of the fact of pregnancy, however the coding practices at the RGD is letting us down.
  22. As indirect deaths grow in increasing prevalence relative to all maternal deaths; misclassifications errors, if they persist, will increasingly under-estimate our maternal mortality ratio.
  23. In summary, the 10 deaths registered on time and coded correctly by the RGD, give a MMR of 24/100,000. Another 64 deaths/100,000 could be added if the existing MCCDs were coded correctly, however 40/100,000 however would still be missed due to non-registration and poor certification. So, now we know why only one in 5 are officially reported in Jamaica. Is this problem unique to Jamaica or can be repeated in other developing countries where health information systems have been neglected for decades as countries faced with economic challenges and repeated IMF interventions to cut non-essential services have ignored these systems. Will the millennium project lead to revitalization of these systems or investment in more estimation?