As the market for traditional home loans
made by banks and other customary
lenders remains constrained, despite the
growth of housing sales generally, the
market for non-traditional mortgage lending
may be positioned to expand significantly,
says Edwards.
Is Multi-family Worth a Look for your Portfolio?Dean Graziosi
More reports, studies and surveys are telling us that demand for rental properties is rising. It’s to be expected when:
• Millennials are beginning to move out of their parents homes, but most can’t buy due to credit or down payment situations.
• Though jobs reports are showing improvement, much of it is due to people dropping out and no longer looking, so renting is still more available to many than buying.
• College graduates aren’t finding the high paying jobs they were expecting in many industries, though some are doing well, such as technology.
• The Boomer generation isn’t always downsizing into another purchased home. Many are choosing to rent and stay more mobile in their retirement.
• There is overall a lack of confidence in home prices and near term appreciation.
This special supplement includes insight from leading economists and market observers about the future of home sales, what higher rates mean for affordability and what regulatory changes at the U.S. housing agencies will do to long-term fixed rate mortgages. Inside you will also find unique data on commercial mortgage issuance, CMBS loan leverage, mortgage delinquencies and commercial property cap rates, as well as insight into real estate development in Manhattan.
Please also find attached our Real Estate Supplement. In it you will read about how issuance of bonds backed by commercial properties is on track to beat last year's supply and yield premiums for bonds backed by commercial property loans have narrowed. Also, Jefferies CMBS veteran Lisa Pendergast says she expects CMBS spreads to narrow by year end, while Fannie Mae economists Douglas Duncan and Patrick Simmons argue that a slowdown in the growth of the labor force suggests more modest prospects for the demand for new housing and construction. Emile J. Brinkmann, the chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association of America, probes how state regulations will affect the pace of foreclosures and delinquencies. Nicolas Retsinas of Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing has some advice for lawmakers on GSE reform and Donald Trump offers a characteristically confident view that the recovery in real estate. If you have any comments or feedback for future real estate issues please contact arozens@bloomberg.net.
Is Multi-family Worth a Look for your Portfolio?Dean Graziosi
More reports, studies and surveys are telling us that demand for rental properties is rising. It’s to be expected when:
• Millennials are beginning to move out of their parents homes, but most can’t buy due to credit or down payment situations.
• Though jobs reports are showing improvement, much of it is due to people dropping out and no longer looking, so renting is still more available to many than buying.
• College graduates aren’t finding the high paying jobs they were expecting in many industries, though some are doing well, such as technology.
• The Boomer generation isn’t always downsizing into another purchased home. Many are choosing to rent and stay more mobile in their retirement.
• There is overall a lack of confidence in home prices and near term appreciation.
This special supplement includes insight from leading economists and market observers about the future of home sales, what higher rates mean for affordability and what regulatory changes at the U.S. housing agencies will do to long-term fixed rate mortgages. Inside you will also find unique data on commercial mortgage issuance, CMBS loan leverage, mortgage delinquencies and commercial property cap rates, as well as insight into real estate development in Manhattan.
Please also find attached our Real Estate Supplement. In it you will read about how issuance of bonds backed by commercial properties is on track to beat last year's supply and yield premiums for bonds backed by commercial property loans have narrowed. Also, Jefferies CMBS veteran Lisa Pendergast says she expects CMBS spreads to narrow by year end, while Fannie Mae economists Douglas Duncan and Patrick Simmons argue that a slowdown in the growth of the labor force suggests more modest prospects for the demand for new housing and construction. Emile J. Brinkmann, the chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association of America, probes how state regulations will affect the pace of foreclosures and delinquencies. Nicolas Retsinas of Harvard’s Joint Center for Housing has some advice for lawmakers on GSE reform and Donald Trump offers a characteristically confident view that the recovery in real estate. If you have any comments or feedback for future real estate issues please contact arozens@bloomberg.net.
A burden of foreclosures forced many people to move out of their homes and into apartment leases. On the other side, construction of apartments was uphold until the last few years because many builders couldn't get loans during the credit crisis.In certain places, this led to lease and a rise in rents.
Shawn Kormondy of Reis Group is a top producing real estate agent at a prestigious Beverly Hills real estate firm, Keller Williams Realty. He specializes in Hollywood Hills, West Hollywood, and Miracle Mile real estate. Shawn can be contacted by visiting one of his web sites, www.reisgroup.org or www.developweho.com
How The Coronavirus Took Down the Mortgage Industry In Less Than 3-WeeksDan Keller
In this 20 page simple slide deck, I explain How The Coronavirus Took Down the Mortgage Industry In Less Than 3-Weeks. This information is for real estate agents, mortgage loan officers, home buyers and sellers wishing to refinance.
Please find attached our annual review with our compliments. This is a sample of the high quality content our subscribers receive each week. Take your free trial at bloombergbriefs.com
A burden of foreclosures forced many people to move out of their homes and into apartment leases. On the other side, construction of apartments was uphold until the last few years because many builders couldn't get loans during the credit crisis.In certain places, this led to lease and a rise in rents.
Shawn Kormondy of Reis Group is a top producing real estate agent at a prestigious Beverly Hills real estate firm, Keller Williams Realty. He specializes in Hollywood Hills, West Hollywood, and Miracle Mile real estate. Shawn can be contacted by visiting one of his web sites, www.reisgroup.org or www.developweho.com
How The Coronavirus Took Down the Mortgage Industry In Less Than 3-WeeksDan Keller
In this 20 page simple slide deck, I explain How The Coronavirus Took Down the Mortgage Industry In Less Than 3-Weeks. This information is for real estate agents, mortgage loan officers, home buyers and sellers wishing to refinance.
Please find attached our annual review with our compliments. This is a sample of the high quality content our subscribers receive each week. Take your free trial at bloombergbriefs.com
List all the advantages of purchasing foreclosed homes as an inves.docxsmile790243
List all the advantages of purchasing foreclosed homes as an investment and fully explain why each is an advantage? Then, list all the disadvantages of purchasing foreclosed homes as an investment and fully explain why each is a disadvantage?
Do you feel that the reward will outweigh the risk? Explain why or why not.
In order to score points you need to complete the assigned reading and answer the question from the reading assignment. Please feel free to do additional research on the topic. But, in all circumstances, make certain you document your source(s) of information.
You may certainly disagree with what is in the assigned reading/video, but you must reference where you obtained your information, your opinion on the topic, and why you disagree. Just writing your opinion on a topic without doing the reading assignment will score you zero (0) points.
REAL ESTATE
Findin
SOLI
Spotting
investment
opportunities
n a tough real
estate market
IT HAPPENED \/yiTHOUT A SOUND. IF
only it were possible to hear the real es-
tate bubble burst, then maybe the down-
turn in the housing market wouldn't have
caught quite so many people off guard.
And the outlook remains rather grim. At the current rate, it
would take nearly a year to sell all of the unsold homes that dot
the nation's landscape. It's a real worry for homeowners thinking
about the basic economics of the situation: The giut of supply wiíl
only continue to depress home prices. Indeed, the residential
real estate market is on shaky ground.
All of this has made it challenging for real estate investors look-
ing for stability. Many homeowners who were unable to sell their
homes have unexpectedly become landlords. At the same time,
owners of investment properties have been rejiggering their
approach to evaluating investment options. With a slew of former
homeowners entering the rental market, many landlords are able
to demand higher rents.
Take Patrice andjohn Hopkins who have owned investment
properties since March of 2005 and done quite well. A year ago,
the couple pocketed a $45.000 profit from the sale of a 2.3-acre
By Kemhaj. Dunham
80 AUGUST 2008 : BLACK ENTERPRISE : V Í̂V Í̂Vki.BLACKENTERPRISE.COM
THE HOPKINS FAMILY
WANTS TO EXPAND THEIR
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS.
piece of land in Fredericksburg, Virginia, that they'd purchased
a year earlier. The parents of two daughters—Amari. 8, and
Alexandra, 2—they are ready to reinvest. But now that the housing
market has taken a hit, the couple is moving with caution.
Actually the couple would like to undertake a rather big
project. They're looking to purchase as many as 10 townhomes
that they will rent out. Patrice and Joh n, who reside in Triangle,
Virginia, and have an annual household income of $225,000,
want to spend no more than $130.000 per property. They're
also weighing participation in the federal governments Hous-
ing Choice Voucher Program (often referred to as Section 8),
which allows low-income families to lease affo ...
This Month in Real Estate explores recent market trends in the housing industry. Brought to you by Shawn Kormondy, Reis Group, Inc. at Keller Williams Realty.
20 THE NEW” HOUSING AND MORTGAGE MARKET SPRING 2016The .docxlorainedeserre
20 THE “NEW” HOUSING AND MORTGAGE MARKET SPRING 2016
The New Housing
and Mortgage Market
DOUGLAS DUNCAN
DOUGLAS DUNCAN
is chief economist and
a senior vice president
at Fannie Mae in
Washington, DC.
[email protected]
com
O
ne hears various individuals
ask whether the housing and
mortgage markets are back to
“normal,” or perhaps they con-
jecture that the markets are, in fact, back to
“normal.” Of course, that question implies an
understanding of what constitutes “normal.”
Others suggest there is a “new normal,”
which indicates a view that what was, is no
longer, and that the market has somehow
permanently changed. We will explore that
dichotomy of views in this brief article.
Our primary interests in this article
are in the production and delivery of and
investment in mortgage-related assets as well
as exploring what has changed and what the
future looks like in this market. Because the
number and volume of those assets are deriv-
ative of the underlying real estate, we will
also brief ly describe the U.S. demographic
profile that will drive demand for places to
live. People live in residences that they own
or rent and both are f inanced, so we will
comment on both types of property and what
brings people to live in one or the other.
Finally, we will offer a perspective on what
this means for mortgage asset volumes.
The next subject we will comment
upon is the organization of firms that make
mortgage loans to consumers in the primary
market. A number of post-crisis economic
and policy forces have been acting on these
f irms and changing the opportunities and
constraints they face. The environment has
altered the product set they offer. We offer
a view of how the demographic factors and
the implied potential mortgage-related asset
volumes might look going forward and how
they are likely to impact the number and type
of firms operating in the primary market.
The number and nature of firms oper-
ating in the secondary market have changed
significantly, as well. From a policy perspec-
tive, however, this is the area of least progress.
Irrespective of the lack of legislated change,
there are changes taking place in the sec-
ondary market under the direction of the
conservator.1 The primary market has seen
a shift of volume between traditional f irm
types, but the secondary market awaits poten-
tially greater structural change. This change
includes the mix of investors who ultimately
hold the mortgage assets as well as the types
of assets available to be held.
Much of the change to be discussed is
a result of the policy reaction to the housing
recession. The policy changes were both
monetary and fiscal. The drivers of change
also include what might be called the evo-
lutionary aspects of any market, perhaps
enabled in this case by technologic advance-
ment. We will not discuss the causes of the
recession but rather focus on the changes
wrought by the policy response to it. Not
all ...
20 THE NEW” HOUSING AND MORTGAGE MARKET SPRING 2016The .docxnovabroom
20 THE “NEW” HOUSING AND MORTGAGE MARKET SPRING 2016
The New Housing
and Mortgage Market
DOUGLAS DUNCAN
DOUGLAS DUNCAN
is chief economist and
a senior vice president
at Fannie Mae in
Washington, DC.
[email protected]
com
O
ne hears various individuals
ask whether the housing and
mortgage markets are back to
“normal,” or perhaps they con-
jecture that the markets are, in fact, back to
“normal.” Of course, that question implies an
understanding of what constitutes “normal.”
Others suggest there is a “new normal,”
which indicates a view that what was, is no
longer, and that the market has somehow
permanently changed. We will explore that
dichotomy of views in this brief article.
Our primary interests in this article
are in the production and delivery of and
investment in mortgage-related assets as well
as exploring what has changed and what the
future looks like in this market. Because the
number and volume of those assets are deriv-
ative of the underlying real estate, we will
also brief ly describe the U.S. demographic
profile that will drive demand for places to
live. People live in residences that they own
or rent and both are f inanced, so we will
comment on both types of property and what
brings people to live in one or the other.
Finally, we will offer a perspective on what
this means for mortgage asset volumes.
The next subject we will comment
upon is the organization of firms that make
mortgage loans to consumers in the primary
market. A number of post-crisis economic
and policy forces have been acting on these
f irms and changing the opportunities and
constraints they face. The environment has
altered the product set they offer. We offer
a view of how the demographic factors and
the implied potential mortgage-related asset
volumes might look going forward and how
they are likely to impact the number and type
of firms operating in the primary market.
The number and nature of firms oper-
ating in the secondary market have changed
significantly, as well. From a policy perspec-
tive, however, this is the area of least progress.
Irrespective of the lack of legislated change,
there are changes taking place in the sec-
ondary market under the direction of the
conservator.1 The primary market has seen
a shift of volume between traditional f irm
types, but the secondary market awaits poten-
tially greater structural change. This change
includes the mix of investors who ultimately
hold the mortgage assets as well as the types
of assets available to be held.
Much of the change to be discussed is
a result of the policy reaction to the housing
recession. The policy changes were both
monetary and fiscal. The drivers of change
also include what might be called the evo-
lutionary aspects of any market, perhaps
enabled in this case by technologic advance-
ment. We will not discuss the causes of the
recession but rather focus on the changes
wrought by the policy response to it. Not
all.
Challenging Times in a Market Full of Contradictions
There is little doubt the luxury real estate market is facing some interesting challenges that even
have experts contradicting each other in their predictions and assumptions.
Statistics in many luxury markets still show that they are favorable to sellers – so why are homeowners
remaining hesitant to list their homes? For the fourth straight month, the number of new listings
entering the market has fallen, with increases in inventory levels mainly attributable to stale listings
lingering on.
Both sellers and buyers are sitting on the fence, with neither side wanting to jump into this
unconventional market unless presented with the right opportunity. The average days on market
have increased compared to last year, but relative to pre-pandemic averages, homes that have sold
recently are still selling twice as fast.
Even if enough time has passed since a foreclosure, many lenders are loath to make loans to borrowers with any blemish on their credit history. The average credit score on purchase mortgage loans sold to Fannie Mae last year was close to 745. In a more typical housing market, like that prior to the housing bubble, the average score was closer to 715. This 30-point difference represents several
million potential homebuyers.
Osisko Development - Investor Presentation - June 24
The rise of private fund lenders
1. As the market for traditional home loans
made by banks and other customary
lenders remains constrained, despite the
growth of housing sales generally, the
market for non-traditional mortgage lending
may be positioned to expand significantly,
says Edwards.
Last Updated: July 28, 2014 11:19am ET
EXCLUSIVE
By Steve Edwards and Jubin Meraj at law firm Manatt, Phelps & Phillips | Commentary
ORANGE COUNTY—Many have attributed the financial crisis that started in late 2007 in significant part
to fallout from the home mortgage meltdown. Less well-known is the fact that the very industry that
arguably set the stage for the downturn has generated important economic opportunities for certain
investors and entrepreneurs. Today, as the market for traditional home loans made by banks and other
customary lenders remains constrained, despite the growth of housing sales generally, the market for
non-traditional mortgage lending may be positioned to expand significantly.
A simple comparison of the pre-recession housing market to the current market provides insight on the
changing mortgage industry. Prior to 2008 the landscape of housing looked something like what you
might expect in a “normal” economy: 85% of sales were of non-distressed homes with traditional
mortgages to individuals, 10% were all-cash sales of non-distressed homes, and approximately 3-5%
were distressed sales. The breakdown in 2013 seems radically disparate in comparison: only 40% of
sales were to individuals purchasing with mortgages, 40% were all-cash sales, 15% were distressed
sales and 5% were flips.[1]
Indeed, the end of 2013 marked a three-year high in distressed sales in the United States at 16.2% of all
residential sales.[2] Though it is true that the most recent numbers from RealtyTrac show a slight dip in
sales of distressed homes – only 14.3% of all U.S. residential sales in May 2014 – distressed sales are
still disproportional when compared to pre-meltdown rates. Rounding out the picture is the recent increase in the volume of home sales and rise in
median home prices, despite the high level of activity for distressed properties.
This all begs the question – what do buyers of these distressed assets intend to do with them? And, perhaps more importantly, who is financing (and
underwriting) all of these distressed home sales?
As to the first question, the answer of course varies by buyer. But there is a growing sector of buyers who are looking to recapture value in what they
believe to be significantly undervalued homes. The median price for distressed homes in May of this year ($120,000) was 37% below the median price
for non-distressed units nationwide.[3] Private investors are capitalizing on opportunities to purchase these homes at low values (relative to historic
prices), adding value by renovating them, and then holding them out for lease or resale at prices on par with or better than the non-distressed
inventory.
As to the second question of where the money is coming from, it is clear that traditional banks are not willing to finance the “fix-and-rent/flip” investors.
These loans – characterized by banks as high-risk but low-yield commercial loans – are not the types of credits traditional lenders want to put on their
books. Instead, much of the capital is coming from Wall Street equity. Perhaps the most illustrative example of this is the story of Blackstone Group
LP. Blackstone, one of the nation’s largest investment firms, has spent the last two years becoming the country’s largest residential landlord by buying
41,000 properties, most of them distressed. Industry wide, institutional funds like Blackstone’s have acquired 1 million homes in the past three
years.[4]
But the U.S. housing market is no small pie – based on the most recent numbers from May, sales of residential properties exceed 5 million units, or
close to $1 trillion, on an annualized basis.[5] So even taking into account the abundance of Wall Street money, the level of activity in the distressed
space indicates a large body of potential borrowers underserved by traditional lenders.
Stepping up to fill that void are entrepreneurial real estate veterans who are forming private funds that originate and acquire home mortgages
specifically for the “fix-and-rent/flip” sector. The private fund lenders are making short-term (6-12 months), relatively high yield loans for acquisitions of
both distressed and opportunistic residential properties. These lenders are also using warehouse lines of credit (somewhat paradoxically, often from
national banking institutions) to further improve returns to their investors by leveraging their lending activity. Perhaps even more ironic, the loans
acquired by the private fund lenders are sometimes securitized and resold to the investment arms of big banks – banks that would not have made the
underlying loans in the first instance.
One important question is whether the model developed in the changed home mortgage industry can and will be duplicated in other underserved credit
markets. Much of the same economics – high volumes of distressed properties selling for markedly discounted values and historically neglected by
traditional banking institutions – are at work in other industries as well. Distressed small apartment buildings and small shopping centers may next
capture the attention of Wall Street and the private fund entrepreneur.
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