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The failure of the
creative capital.
              By Carlos Polo
              @carlospologil
Georges Doriot.


              Born: 1899, Paris

              Died: June 1987, Boston

              Education: Harvard
              Business School
1 st   Venture Capital Firm.

A merican   R    esearch   &          Founded at 1946


D   evelopment   C   orporation   .   To encourage private sector
                                      investments in businesses
                                      run by soldiers who were
                                      returning from World War II
The first home run.

             ARDC invested $70.000 in
             1957

             Valued $335 million when IPO
             in 1968

             Return >500 times
Was it really the
first home run?
Isabel I de Castilla.

             Born: 1451, Madrigal de las altas
             torres

             Died: 1504, Medina del campo

             Education: Queen at 18 and
             during 30 years
Cristobal Colón.
            Born: 1451, Genova

            Died: 1506, Valladolid

            Sailor, mapmaker, marine
            admiral
A real game changer.

            The world is no longer flat

            There’s a brand new world

            The world is now dramatically
            different
What this two
huge successes
    have in
   common?
Done after war periods?
To improve what existed?
Smart capital?

 $70.000    1.140.000
            Maravedís

   ARDC        Luis
             Santangel
Pfffff… Meh.
The real reason
   why they
  succeeded.
1942 market research.
How many          Is the
expeditions
returned?
              0   world
                  flat?
                           90% y
What would
you find if         90%
sailing to the
west?             dragons
1942 fallacy of security.

  As   0          The
  expeditions
  returned        world
  after sailing
  to the west…    is flat
Late 50’s computers.


              Big, expensive, difficult-to-use
              systems

              Glass-encased mainframes in
              labs

              Only IBM making money on them
Computer market fallacy
of security.

$25.000             There’s no
                     room for
is the price of a
mini-computer
                    consumer
during early 60’s     market
Why they succeeded?

   Investments
  weren’t placed
 over predictions
Entrepreneurial fallacy.



 Your Idea      Your         Your success
 Resources   expectations   in an expected
  Network                        future
   Money
     …
Failure of creative capital.


                Not having a
                “reshaping”
                  mindset
VC firms failure rate.



    99,4%
VC firms failure facts.
Failure of creative capital.
            To look for India
            could make you find
How can a
            America
    BP
 manage     It’s not worth being
  that…     the first but better
            taking advantage of
            resources
MINDSET
Avoiding security fallacy.
 1.   Go outside
 2.   Try something
 3.   Learn
 4.   Reshape
 5.   Go back to point 1 until
      you discover the secret
      sauce
THANK x
    @carlospologil
The failure of Venture Capital

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The failure of Venture Capital