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CONSEQUENCES OF
CORRUPTION IN THE
NIGERIAN OIL SUBSIDY
              By

  Abdulrazaq Kayode. A.
OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION
   Introduction
       What is corruption
       Background on the country case study
   What is fuel subsidy?
   Facts about fuel subsidy in Nigeria
   Who benefits from fuel subsidy?
   How Corruption works
   Consequences of corruption
What is corruption
   WHAT IS CORRUPTION:

   “the abuse of entrusted power for private gain”- transparency
    international
   “the abuse of public office for private gain”- World Bank
   “when institutions, organisations, companies or individuals
    profit inappropriately from their position in the operations and
    thereby cause damage or loss. This includes giving and
    receiving bribes, extortion, favouritism and nepotism,
    embezzlement, fraud, conflict of interest, and illegal monetary
    contributions to political parties.” SIDA
   Corruption is a broad term covering a wide range of misuse of
    entrusted funds and power for private gain: Theft, fraud,
    nepotism, abuse of power etc.
Background
 Nigeria is a country in the Sub-
Saharan Africa with an estimated
population of 160 million population
 The main stay of the Nigerian economy is oil,

 The largest producer of Oil in Africa, 13th in
  the world and the 8th largest among the
  OPEC countries.
 The country has 38.2 billion barrels of oil
  reserve
Background Contd.

   A daily production of 249,000 b/day
   An estimated revenue of US$62.2 billion/year
   68% of Nigeria’s GDP comes from Oil
   48% of the population still live below poverty
    line
   Nigeria has been heavily subsidizing oil to the
    entire population since the 1970s.
   Despite the revenue from oil and huge
    subsidy, almost half of the population still live in
    poverty.
Nigeria’s Corruption Index

   Nigeria is ranked 143th of 183 most corrupt
    public sectors in the world having scored as
    low as 2.4 of 10 in the corruption perception
    index by Transparency International.
The Corruption Perceptions Index ranks countries/territories based on how corrupt their public sector is perceived
to be. A country/territory’s score indicates the perceived level of public sector corruption on a scale of 0 - 10, where
0 means that a country is perceived as highly corrupt and 10 means that a country is perceived as very clean. A
country's rank indicates its position relative to the other countries/territories included in the index




 Source: Transparency International 2012
Case Study: What is Fuel Subsidy

          1.                          2.                           3.
     Paid, by              Causes distortions that      Amount of Subsidy =
 government, to           result in huge economic       difference between the
                             costs such as rent-       consumer pump price of
keep prices below          seeking behavior and        fuel vs. the total cost of
   free market.                smuggling etc           producing or importing




           4.                          5.
 The price of petrol =          This means that
  $0.40 per litre but      currently for every one       Where does the
actual cost of supply =   litre of petrol purchased      subsidy goes?
   $0.85 per litre;         at the official price of
                              0.40 Government
                              contributes $0.45
Case Study: Facts about fuel subsidy in Nigeria
 It is a major fiscal and financial burden on the nation:
     (i) From 2006 to 2011, about US$23,462,255 was spent on subsidy.
     (ii) In 2011, US$ 8.2m was spent on subsidy.
     (iii) This represents 30% of total FGN Expenditure, 118% of the capital budget; 4.18%
         of GDP.



                Average
               Crude Oil     TOTAL      Year on year
  Year
               Price (US$   Subsidy     Growth Rate
                   pb)
       2006      67.03         261.11             -
       2007      74.68         278.86       7%
       2008     101.78         630.57      126%
       2009      63.02         463.59      -26%
       2010      81.25         672.84      45%
 2011 (Jan -
        Oct)     113.98      1,348.20      100%
    TOTAL                    3,655.17             -

Source: Fed. Min. of Finance, Nigeria. (2012)
                                                                                             9
Case Study: Who benefits from the subsidy




                              Corrupt
 The Rich &     Neighboring               Independent
 Middle Class    Countries     Public                   Smugglers
                                           Marketers
                              Officials
Case study: How It Works
                           GOVT GIVES LICENSE TO
                       INDEPENDENT MARKETERS TO
  HOARDING TO            IMPORT FUEL AT FULL PRICE           DIVERSION OF
    CREATE
                                                                FUEL TO
   ARTIFICIAL
                                                             SMUGGLERS
   SCARCITY


                                                            Inflation of number
                       PAYMENT FOR SUBSIDY BY GOVT            of barrels lifted
                                OFFICIALS
  Payment for                                                  Payment to
 unsupplied fuel                                            Quantum of “ghost”
                                                              & unregistered
                                                                companies
Vandalization of oil
    pipelines
                         3. Masses get little fuel to use      Long queues at fuel
Fight at the fuel                                                   stations
    stations
Consequences:
   The rise of the informal sector e.g.
       Black marketers
Consequences

   Operation of illegal refineries.
   Smuggling of oil to neighbouring countries like
    Niger, Benin Republic and Togo;




             How oil is been smuggled into
             Neighbouring Benin Republic
Consequences:
   Fuel scarcity which causes Long queues at
    fuel dispensing stations




     Cars queuing to get fuel in   Motorcycles queuing to get
     Lagos                         fuel
Consequences

   Fight at the fuel stations




   Unaccounted funds
Consequences: Breaking of law and order

   Vandalization of oil pipelines




                    Vandalized Pipeline
   Thank you

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The consequences of corruption in the Nigerian Oil Sector

  • 1. CONSEQUENCES OF CORRUPTION IN THE NIGERIAN OIL SUBSIDY By Abdulrazaq Kayode. A.
  • 2. OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION  Introduction  What is corruption  Background on the country case study  What is fuel subsidy?  Facts about fuel subsidy in Nigeria  Who benefits from fuel subsidy?  How Corruption works  Consequences of corruption
  • 3. What is corruption  WHAT IS CORRUPTION:  “the abuse of entrusted power for private gain”- transparency international  “the abuse of public office for private gain”- World Bank  “when institutions, organisations, companies or individuals profit inappropriately from their position in the operations and thereby cause damage or loss. This includes giving and receiving bribes, extortion, favouritism and nepotism, embezzlement, fraud, conflict of interest, and illegal monetary contributions to political parties.” SIDA  Corruption is a broad term covering a wide range of misuse of entrusted funds and power for private gain: Theft, fraud, nepotism, abuse of power etc.
  • 4. Background  Nigeria is a country in the Sub- Saharan Africa with an estimated population of 160 million population  The main stay of the Nigerian economy is oil,  The largest producer of Oil in Africa, 13th in the world and the 8th largest among the OPEC countries.  The country has 38.2 billion barrels of oil reserve
  • 5. Background Contd.  A daily production of 249,000 b/day  An estimated revenue of US$62.2 billion/year  68% of Nigeria’s GDP comes from Oil  48% of the population still live below poverty line  Nigeria has been heavily subsidizing oil to the entire population since the 1970s.  Despite the revenue from oil and huge subsidy, almost half of the population still live in poverty.
  • 6. Nigeria’s Corruption Index  Nigeria is ranked 143th of 183 most corrupt public sectors in the world having scored as low as 2.4 of 10 in the corruption perception index by Transparency International.
  • 7. The Corruption Perceptions Index ranks countries/territories based on how corrupt their public sector is perceived to be. A country/territory’s score indicates the perceived level of public sector corruption on a scale of 0 - 10, where 0 means that a country is perceived as highly corrupt and 10 means that a country is perceived as very clean. A country's rank indicates its position relative to the other countries/territories included in the index Source: Transparency International 2012
  • 8. Case Study: What is Fuel Subsidy 1. 2. 3. Paid, by Causes distortions that Amount of Subsidy = government, to result in huge economic difference between the costs such as rent- consumer pump price of keep prices below seeking behavior and fuel vs. the total cost of free market. smuggling etc producing or importing 4. 5. The price of petrol = This means that $0.40 per litre but currently for every one Where does the actual cost of supply = litre of petrol purchased subsidy goes? $0.85 per litre; at the official price of 0.40 Government contributes $0.45
  • 9. Case Study: Facts about fuel subsidy in Nigeria It is a major fiscal and financial burden on the nation: (i) From 2006 to 2011, about US$23,462,255 was spent on subsidy. (ii) In 2011, US$ 8.2m was spent on subsidy. (iii) This represents 30% of total FGN Expenditure, 118% of the capital budget; 4.18% of GDP. Average Crude Oil TOTAL Year on year Year Price (US$ Subsidy Growth Rate pb) 2006 67.03 261.11 - 2007 74.68 278.86 7% 2008 101.78 630.57 126% 2009 63.02 463.59 -26% 2010 81.25 672.84 45% 2011 (Jan - Oct) 113.98 1,348.20 100% TOTAL 3,655.17 - Source: Fed. Min. of Finance, Nigeria. (2012) 9
  • 10. Case Study: Who benefits from the subsidy Corrupt The Rich & Neighboring Independent Middle Class Countries Public Smugglers Marketers Officials
  • 11. Case study: How It Works GOVT GIVES LICENSE TO INDEPENDENT MARKETERS TO HOARDING TO IMPORT FUEL AT FULL PRICE DIVERSION OF CREATE FUEL TO ARTIFICIAL SMUGGLERS SCARCITY Inflation of number PAYMENT FOR SUBSIDY BY GOVT of barrels lifted OFFICIALS Payment for Payment to unsupplied fuel Quantum of “ghost” & unregistered companies Vandalization of oil pipelines 3. Masses get little fuel to use Long queues at fuel Fight at the fuel stations stations
  • 12. Consequences:  The rise of the informal sector e.g. Black marketers
  • 13. Consequences  Operation of illegal refineries.
  • 14. Smuggling of oil to neighbouring countries like Niger, Benin Republic and Togo; How oil is been smuggled into Neighbouring Benin Republic
  • 15. Consequences:  Fuel scarcity which causes Long queues at fuel dispensing stations Cars queuing to get fuel in Motorcycles queuing to get Lagos fuel
  • 16. Consequences  Fight at the fuel stations  Unaccounted funds
  • 17. Consequences: Breaking of law and order  Vandalization of oil pipelines Vandalized Pipeline
  • 18. Thank you