Sub-Saharan Africa's Economic Giants - Nigeria & South Africa

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Africa's Economic Giants - Growth Plunges in 2016 Things have not been going so well for Africa's two largest economies so far in 2016. Nigeria and South Africa have both felt the brunt of the global commodities price plunge over the last year and now they have the impact of the Brexit to contend with. The question is, when will they recover? Have a look at the infographic below to find out how we forecast growth going for Sub-Saharan Africa's two big guns through 2017. Read more about Sub-Saharan Africa's economic outlook here: http://www.focus-economics.com/regions/sub-saharan-africa

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Sub-Saharan Africa's Economic Giants - Nigeria & South Africa

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While social and economic ties between the U.S. and most Latin American economies will remain strong, the risk of tension and a deterioration in relations under the Trump government will remain high. Trump’s potential policies in areas such as trade and immigration will have an important bearing, particularly in Mexico. However, current developments suggest that he is likely to not follow through on some of his more radical campaign pledges and the renegotiation of NAFTA that he announced after being sworn in is likely to lead to adjustments rather than a total termination of the agreement. See our latest forecasts in the Latam Regional Snapshot: http://bit.ly/1zIo8ZP

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Although the OPEC deal is pushing up oil prices, the reduction in crude output required to comply with the agreement will plague growth in some oil-producing countries this year. Moreover, higher energy costs will likely weigh on growth among oil-importing nations. Geopolitical risks in the region remain high and Trump’s decision to take a tougher political stance against Iran has the potential to exacerbate the situation. Against this backdrop, our panel of analysts decided to cut MENA’s 2017 growth outlook this month by 0.1 percentage points to 2.5%. If this proves correct, it will represent the weakest expansion since the trough of the financial crisis in 2009. Next year, the panel sees growth picking up to 3.2%. Read more: http://www.focus-economics.com/regions/middle-east-and-north-africa

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