While social and economic ties between the U.S. and most Latin American economies will remain strong, the risk of tension and a deterioration in relations under the Trump government will remain high. Trump’s potential policies in areas such as trade and immigration will have an important bearing, particularly in Mexico. However, current developments suggest that he is likely to not follow through on some of his more radical campaign pledges and the renegotiation of NAFTA that he announced after being sworn in is likely to lead to adjustments rather than a total termination of the agreement. See our latest forecasts in the Latam Regional Snapshot: http://bit.ly/1zIo8ZP

1. LATIN AMERICA IN 2017 : REGION TO EMERGE FROM
RECESSION BUT GROWTH WILL DISAPPOINT
Mexico
1.6%
Chile
1.8%
Bolivia
3.7%
Peru
3.6%
Guatemala
3.6%
Argentina
2.8%
Uruguay
1.8%
Paraguay
3.6%
Brazil
0.5%
Venezuela
-4.4%Ecuador
0%
Colombia
2.3%
Panama
5.4%
Dominican Rep.
5.0%
The perception of a coordinated
global growth pickup seems to
have gained momentum
2017 growth forecasts for 8 of the 11 economies
in Latam were cut including Argentina and Brazil
are decreased
Mexico and Uruguay were the only countries
for which the economic outlook improved
from last month’s projection
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast for Latin America, April 2017
Highlights