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© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved.
Solvency Regulation in Mexico for Non Life
In Focus
By Eduardo Esteva Affiliate of the CAS, MAAA
Towers Watson
Octubre 4, 2010
Government In Insurance Seminar
2towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Solvency Regulation for Non Life: México Context
 Mexican Regulators:
 Treasury – Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público (SHCP)
 National Commission of Insurance and Surety – Comisión Nacional de Seguros y
Fianzas (CNSF)
 There are companies that can only operate in one line of business (LOB) as:
 Health
 Credit
 Mortgage Insurance
 Financial Guarantee
 Old multi line companies where allowed to operate Property Casualty, Accidents and
Illness and Life. Current structure can only be Property Casualty and Accidents and
Illness or Life and Accidents and Illness
3towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Regulation Context
 Regulations established
 Required Capital is based on factors which apply to Premium or Losses except for
Earthquake and Hurricane
 Reinsurance ceded is only considered for proportional reinsurance
 Movement to have more principles in place
 The position of Normative Controller needs to be established
 There is a proposal for a new law based on Solvency II; which should be reviewed and
voted on by the congress soon
4towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Products and Reserves
 Products
 Need to file new products with the CNSF before selling and
need to have a formula to define the price; can not be a
range
 The CNSF can suspend the product in cases where not
actuarially supported or legal conditions are against the
insured
 Reserves
 Unearned Premium Reserve
— Need to estimate a Premium Deficiency Reserve
— The administration expenses need to be reserved on
gross basis
— Have different rules for Earthquake and Hurricane
 Loss Reserves
— Models are mechanical and pre-approved by the
CNSF (no judgment allowed)
— Need to estimate IBNER and IBNYR separately
— Only ALAE is estimated, not ULAE
5towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Catastrophic Reserves
 Earthquake - Hurricane
 The Limit of the reserve is 90% of the average net PML (net of ceded proportional
reinsurance) updated with inflation of the last five years
— The direct values of the PML come from the system used for the unearned
premium reserve
— For reinsurance assumed or risks that can not be assessed the PML is
created as 9% of the net sum insured at the end of the year. Earthquake can
use the same PML factor to Sum Insured coming from the ERN model
 Other Catastrophic Reserves
 Crop-hail and Livestock Insurance
 Mortgage Insurance
 Financial Guarantee
 Travel Third Party Liability
6towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Responsibility of the Actuary
 Products
 Certifying Actuary in Products for the Operation needs to sign the technical
note plus the congruency analysis with the general conditions, which also
needs to be signed by a registered lawyer
 Reserves
 Certifying Actuary in Reserves for the Operation needs to sign off on
reports presented every quarter to the CNSF
— Unearned Premium Reserve
— Loss Reserves
— Catastrophic Reserves
 Limit of Retention by Risk
 Certifying Actuary in Products needs to create a technical note and study to
estimate the Limit of Retention by risk and LOB at least once a year
 Appointed Actuary
 Independent from the company
 Provide a sufficiency opinion on the Reserves
7towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Solvency Regulations
 Required Capital
 Estimated as the higher of a percentage of premium or losses, adjusted by the
reinsurance ceded to a non registered reinsurer, plus an amount due to the ceded
reinsurance and cost of reinsurance adjusted by concentration of reinsurance and
quality of reinsurance. This applies to:
— Automobile
— Liability
— Crop-hail and Livestock
— Credit
— Rest of P/C
 For Earthquake and Hurricane
— The PML estimated
 For Mortgage Insurance
— Formula related to the credits covered
 Investment
8towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Solvency Regulations (cont’d)
 Assets
 Define which assets can cover Reserves and which cover Capital
 First cover Reserves
 Second cover the Capital
 Deductible
 The required capital for Earthquake and Hurricane can deduct the
Catastrophic Reserve plus the XL adjusted by credit for reinsurance
 In case the Catastrophic Reserve is over 50% of the total value, an
additional deduction to Required Capital can be applied
 Solvency Margin
 Assets that cover the Capital minus the Required Capital net of the
deductible must be positive
9towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Dynamic Adequacy Capital Test
 Dynamic Adequacy Capital Test (DCAT)
 Stress test of solvency of the company over the next 3 to 5 years
 Based on company business plan and actual performance
 Embedded in ERM concepts of managing future risk, i.e. identification of solvency risks
and mitigation actions
 Stress tests regulatory (Provided by the CNSF)
 Premium risk
 Claims Liabilities risk
 Interest risk
 Worst case of the above
 In addition
 At least 3 feasible adverse risk tests
10towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
New Law
11towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Solvency II Mexico
 Not only emphasis on quantitative regulations, also on corporate governance and market
discipline.
 Responsibility of Company Management (Board)
 Reserves
 Better estimator plus a risk margin
 Catastrophic Reserve continues
 Following international regulation
 Requirement Capital
 Better estimation of the risks in order to calculate the SRC
 Have internal models following rules and principles, have stochastic models, measured
by Tail Var or Var
 Stress Tests
12towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
Solvency II Mexico (cont’d)
 Corporate governance - Precision of the functions and responsibilities related to:
 Risk Management
— Policies and procedures in order to watch over, management, measure, control and
mitigate the risks
— Acceptable limits of risk
— Global needs and future impacts over solvency
 Control and Internal Auditing
— Functions and responsibilities in this area
— Responsibilities of the person external to the company and independent actuary
 Actuarial Function
 Subcontract with vendors
 Strengthening of information presented and transparency
 Responsibility of the Board and their function
13towerswatson.com
© 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only.
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Solvency Regulations in Mexico V1

  • 1. © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Solvency Regulation in Mexico for Non Life In Focus By Eduardo Esteva Affiliate of the CAS, MAAA Towers Watson Octubre 4, 2010 Government In Insurance Seminar
  • 2. 2towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Solvency Regulation for Non Life: México Context  Mexican Regulators:  Treasury – Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público (SHCP)  National Commission of Insurance and Surety – Comisión Nacional de Seguros y Fianzas (CNSF)  There are companies that can only operate in one line of business (LOB) as:  Health  Credit  Mortgage Insurance  Financial Guarantee  Old multi line companies where allowed to operate Property Casualty, Accidents and Illness and Life. Current structure can only be Property Casualty and Accidents and Illness or Life and Accidents and Illness
  • 3. 3towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Regulation Context  Regulations established  Required Capital is based on factors which apply to Premium or Losses except for Earthquake and Hurricane  Reinsurance ceded is only considered for proportional reinsurance  Movement to have more principles in place  The position of Normative Controller needs to be established  There is a proposal for a new law based on Solvency II; which should be reviewed and voted on by the congress soon
  • 4. 4towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Products and Reserves  Products  Need to file new products with the CNSF before selling and need to have a formula to define the price; can not be a range  The CNSF can suspend the product in cases where not actuarially supported or legal conditions are against the insured  Reserves  Unearned Premium Reserve — Need to estimate a Premium Deficiency Reserve — The administration expenses need to be reserved on gross basis — Have different rules for Earthquake and Hurricane  Loss Reserves — Models are mechanical and pre-approved by the CNSF (no judgment allowed) — Need to estimate IBNER and IBNYR separately — Only ALAE is estimated, not ULAE
  • 5. 5towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Catastrophic Reserves  Earthquake - Hurricane  The Limit of the reserve is 90% of the average net PML (net of ceded proportional reinsurance) updated with inflation of the last five years — The direct values of the PML come from the system used for the unearned premium reserve — For reinsurance assumed or risks that can not be assessed the PML is created as 9% of the net sum insured at the end of the year. Earthquake can use the same PML factor to Sum Insured coming from the ERN model  Other Catastrophic Reserves  Crop-hail and Livestock Insurance  Mortgage Insurance  Financial Guarantee  Travel Third Party Liability
  • 6. 6towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Responsibility of the Actuary  Products  Certifying Actuary in Products for the Operation needs to sign the technical note plus the congruency analysis with the general conditions, which also needs to be signed by a registered lawyer  Reserves  Certifying Actuary in Reserves for the Operation needs to sign off on reports presented every quarter to the CNSF — Unearned Premium Reserve — Loss Reserves — Catastrophic Reserves  Limit of Retention by Risk  Certifying Actuary in Products needs to create a technical note and study to estimate the Limit of Retention by risk and LOB at least once a year  Appointed Actuary  Independent from the company  Provide a sufficiency opinion on the Reserves
  • 7. 7towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Solvency Regulations  Required Capital  Estimated as the higher of a percentage of premium or losses, adjusted by the reinsurance ceded to a non registered reinsurer, plus an amount due to the ceded reinsurance and cost of reinsurance adjusted by concentration of reinsurance and quality of reinsurance. This applies to: — Automobile — Liability — Crop-hail and Livestock — Credit — Rest of P/C  For Earthquake and Hurricane — The PML estimated  For Mortgage Insurance — Formula related to the credits covered  Investment
  • 8. 8towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Solvency Regulations (cont’d)  Assets  Define which assets can cover Reserves and which cover Capital  First cover Reserves  Second cover the Capital  Deductible  The required capital for Earthquake and Hurricane can deduct the Catastrophic Reserve plus the XL adjusted by credit for reinsurance  In case the Catastrophic Reserve is over 50% of the total value, an additional deduction to Required Capital can be applied  Solvency Margin  Assets that cover the Capital minus the Required Capital net of the deductible must be positive
  • 9. 9towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Dynamic Adequacy Capital Test  Dynamic Adequacy Capital Test (DCAT)  Stress test of solvency of the company over the next 3 to 5 years  Based on company business plan and actual performance  Embedded in ERM concepts of managing future risk, i.e. identification of solvency risks and mitigation actions  Stress tests regulatory (Provided by the CNSF)  Premium risk  Claims Liabilities risk  Interest risk  Worst case of the above  In addition  At least 3 feasible adverse risk tests
  • 10. 10towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. New Law
  • 11. 11towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Solvency II Mexico  Not only emphasis on quantitative regulations, also on corporate governance and market discipline.  Responsibility of Company Management (Board)  Reserves  Better estimator plus a risk margin  Catastrophic Reserve continues  Following international regulation  Requirement Capital  Better estimation of the risks in order to calculate the SRC  Have internal models following rules and principles, have stochastic models, measured by Tail Var or Var  Stress Tests
  • 12. 12towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Solvency II Mexico (cont’d)  Corporate governance - Precision of the functions and responsibilities related to:  Risk Management — Policies and procedures in order to watch over, management, measure, control and mitigate the risks — Acceptable limits of risk — Global needs and future impacts over solvency  Control and Internal Auditing — Functions and responsibilities in this area — Responsibilities of the person external to the company and independent actuary  Actuarial Function  Subcontract with vendors  Strengthening of information presented and transparency  Responsibility of the Board and their function
  • 13. 13towerswatson.com © 2010 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Towers Watson and Towers Watson client use only. Questions and Answers