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Smartphone and Tablet Gaming 2011 –
SWOT-Analysis of the “Smart”
Mobile Gaming Platforms
Michael Schade, CEO & Co-Founder
FISHLABS Entertainment GmbH

Casual Connect 2011, Hamburg, February 8, 2010
J2ME 3D GAMES PORTFOLIO SONY ERICSSON
40 MIO iPHONE GAME DOWNLOADS
EVOLUTION IN MOBILE GAMING



             CPU Clocking
      4500
MHz




      4000
      3500
      3000
      2500
      2000
                                    Console
      1500                          Mobile
      1000
      500
        0

                             Year
INSTALL BASE 2010

           180
                                                                                        PS2
           160
                                                                                        Xbox
           140
                                                                                        Xbox 360
           120                                                                          PS3
                                                                                        Wii
Millions




           100
                                                                                        PSP
            80
                                                                                        iOS
            60                                                                          Android 2.x
            40                                                                          Symbian^3
                                                                                        Bada*
            20
                                                                                        WebOS*
             0                                                                          WP7
                                   Sold Units Estimate
*Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better



Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
INSTALL BASE 2011

           350
                                                                                        PS2
           300                                                                          Xbox
                                                                                        Xbox 360
           250
                                                                                        PS3
           200                                                                          Wii
Millions




                                                                                        PSP
           150                                                                          iOS
                                                                                        Android 2.x
           100
                                                                                        Symbian^3
            50                                                                          Bada*
                                                                                        WebOS*
             0                                                                          WP7
                                   Sold Units Estimate
*Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better



Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
COMPETITION TOTAL

  90000
                                                                                           PS2
  80000
                                                                                           Xbox
  70000
                                                                                           Xbox 360
  60000                                                                                    PS3
  50000                                                                                    Wii
                                                                                           PSP
  40000
                                                                                           iOS
  30000                                                                                    Android 2.x
  20000                                                                                    Symbian^3
                                                                                           Bada*
  10000
                                                                                           WebOS*
         0                                                                                 WP7
                        Games** released until end of 2010
*Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better
**Estimate: Games make 20% of apps across all mobile platforms

Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
COMPETITION WEIGHTED

                        1200
                                                                                            PS2
                        1000                                                                Xbox
                                                                                            Xbox 360
    Competition Index




                        800                                                                 PS3
                                                                                            Wii
                        600                                                                 PSP
                                                                                            iOS
                        400                                                                 Android 2.x
                                                                                            Symbian^3
                        200                                                                 Bada*
                                                                                            WebOS*
                          0                                                                 WP7
                               Games** competing weighted by install base

*Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better
**Estimate: Games make 20% of apps across all mobile platforms

Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
INDIES DOMINATE ON THE APP STORE




Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
INDIES DOMINATE ON ANDROID MARKET




Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
INDIES POPULAR ON OVI




Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
BRANDS DOMINATE ON WINDOWS PHONE 7




Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
SWOT ANALYSIS

   Apple iOS                                         Nokia Symbian^3
       Large install base                                Small install base
       Very solid app store but no MNO billing           Improved app store with MNO billing
       Some fragmentation                                Very little fragmentation
       Some piracy                                       Heavy piracy
       Huge competition                                  Some competition
       Casual heavy on freemium                          Casual heavy on freemium
       Hardcore and brands heavy on premium              Hardcore and brands heavy on premium
       Heavy price pressure                              Nokia committed to drive DLs


   Google Android                                    Windows Phone 7
       Large install base                                Small install base
       Improved app store with MNO billing               Solid app store
       Heavy fragmentation                               Little fragmentation
       Heavy piracy                                      Little piracy
       A lot competition but mostly low quality          Some competition
       OEM and MNO app stores coming                     Premium category
       Heavy price pressure                              Cross platform
TABLET VS. SMARTPHONE

                       Barclaycard Rollercoaster Extreme

                                                14%

                                                             0%   iPad
                            31%                                   iPhone
   Free casual game
                                                       4%
                                                                  iPhone 3G
   12.5m DLs total
   Top 5 worldwide
                                                                  iPhone 3GS
                                                         14%      iPhone 4
                                                                  iPod 1
                                                                  iPod 2
                       3%                                         iPod 3
                              11%                                 iPod 4
                                               23%

                                    1%

                            Split by device since 24.12.10
TABLET VS. SMARTPHONE

                                 Galaxy on Fire 2


                                      12%
                                                      25%          iPad
                                4%                                 iPhone
   Hardcore sci-fi
                           7%                                      iPhone 3G
   Paid at $9.99
                      1%                                           iPhone 3GS
   Top10 Grossing
    in US, UK, DE
                                                              1%   iPhone 4
                                                         5%        iPod 1
                                                                   iPod 2
                                30%                                iPod 3
                                                  16%              iPod 4




                            Split by device since 24.12.10
KEY CONSIDERATIONS

   What business?           What engine?
       Premium                  Develop in-house if flexibility, control and
       Try&buy                   performance are essential
       Freemium
       Ad-funded


   What platform?
       iOS                      License if time to market is key or dev
       Android                   team is relatively small or deep engine
       Symbian^3                 knowledge is absent
       Windows Phone 7
       MeeGo
       Bada
       WebOS
Thank you!

      michael@fishlabs.net

          Follow us on:
 http://www.twitter.com/fishlabs
http://www.facebook.com/fishlabs

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Smartphone & Tablet Gaming 2011 – SWOT-Analysis of Mobile Gaming Platforms

  • 1. Smartphone and Tablet Gaming 2011 – SWOT-Analysis of the “Smart” Mobile Gaming Platforms Michael Schade, CEO & Co-Founder FISHLABS Entertainment GmbH Casual Connect 2011, Hamburg, February 8, 2010
  • 2. J2ME 3D GAMES PORTFOLIO SONY ERICSSON
  • 3. 40 MIO iPHONE GAME DOWNLOADS
  • 4. EVOLUTION IN MOBILE GAMING CPU Clocking 4500 MHz 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 Console 1500 Mobile 1000 500 0 Year
  • 5.
  • 6. INSTALL BASE 2010 180 PS2 160 Xbox 140 Xbox 360 120 PS3 Wii Millions 100 PSP 80 iOS 60 Android 2.x 40 Symbian^3 Bada* 20 WebOS* 0 WP7 Sold Units Estimate *Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
  • 7. INSTALL BASE 2011 350 PS2 300 Xbox Xbox 360 250 PS3 200 Wii Millions PSP 150 iOS Android 2.x 100 Symbian^3 50 Bada* WebOS* 0 WP7 Sold Units Estimate *Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
  • 8. COMPETITION TOTAL 90000 PS2 80000 Xbox 70000 Xbox 360 60000 PS3 50000 Wii PSP 40000 iOS 30000 Android 2.x 20000 Symbian^3 Bada* 10000 WebOS* 0 WP7 Games** released until end of 2010 *Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better **Estimate: Games make 20% of apps across all mobile platforms Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
  • 9. COMPETITION WEIGHTED 1200 PS2 1000 Xbox Xbox 360 Competition Index 800 PS3 Wii 600 PSP iOS 400 Android 2.x Symbian^3 200 Bada* WebOS* 0 WP7 Games** competing weighted by install base *Definition: Smartphone considered to feature the original iPhone specs or better **Estimate: Games make 20% of apps across all mobile platforms Source: Wikipedia, ComScore, DFC, Gartner, Nokia, Samsung, Microsoft, Screen Digest, Fishlabs
  • 10. INDIES DOMINATE ON THE APP STORE Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
  • 11. INDIES DOMINATE ON ANDROID MARKET Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
  • 12. INDIES POPULAR ON OVI Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
  • 13. BRANDS DOMINATE ON WINDOWS PHONE 7 Source: Distimo Report, Full Year 2010
  • 14. SWOT ANALYSIS  Apple iOS  Nokia Symbian^3  Large install base  Small install base  Very solid app store but no MNO billing  Improved app store with MNO billing  Some fragmentation  Very little fragmentation  Some piracy  Heavy piracy  Huge competition  Some competition  Casual heavy on freemium  Casual heavy on freemium  Hardcore and brands heavy on premium  Hardcore and brands heavy on premium  Heavy price pressure  Nokia committed to drive DLs  Google Android  Windows Phone 7  Large install base  Small install base  Improved app store with MNO billing  Solid app store  Heavy fragmentation  Little fragmentation  Heavy piracy  Little piracy  A lot competition but mostly low quality  Some competition  OEM and MNO app stores coming  Premium category  Heavy price pressure  Cross platform
  • 15. TABLET VS. SMARTPHONE Barclaycard Rollercoaster Extreme 14% 0% iPad 31% iPhone  Free casual game 4% iPhone 3G  12.5m DLs total  Top 5 worldwide iPhone 3GS 14% iPhone 4 iPod 1 iPod 2 3% iPod 3 11% iPod 4 23% 1% Split by device since 24.12.10
  • 16. TABLET VS. SMARTPHONE Galaxy on Fire 2 12% 25% iPad 4% iPhone  Hardcore sci-fi 7% iPhone 3G  Paid at $9.99 1% iPhone 3GS  Top10 Grossing in US, UK, DE 1% iPhone 4 5% iPod 1 iPod 2 30% iPod 3 16% iPod 4 Split by device since 24.12.10
  • 17. KEY CONSIDERATIONS  What business?  What engine?  Premium  Develop in-house if flexibility, control and  Try&buy performance are essential  Freemium  Ad-funded  What platform?  iOS  License if time to market is key or dev  Android team is relatively small or deep engine  Symbian^3 knowledge is absent  Windows Phone 7  MeeGo  Bada  WebOS
  • 18. Thank you! michael@fishlabs.net Follow us on: http://www.twitter.com/fishlabs http://www.facebook.com/fishlabs