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ICR02ShangwaZW1
                                                                                                                       ICR02NgazimbiZW2
                                      Selection of putative cultivars of Uapaca                                        ICR02BaynesHopeFarmZW3
                                                                                                                       ICR02GrinokFarmZW4
                              for fresh fruit and product market ideotypes: Zimbabwe                                   ICR02ChadengaZW6
                                                                                                                       ICR02ChimaniZW8
                                                                Fresh w eight (g)                                      ICR02ChimaniZW9
                                                                  60                                                   ICR02ChimaniZW10
                                                                                                                       ICR02ChikwatiZW11
                                                                                                                       ICR02M apangaZW12
                                                                                                                       ICR02ChadengaZW7
                                                                  50                                                   ICR02M ugwisiZW18
                                                                                                                       ICR02M ugwisiZW20
                                                                                                                       ICR02ChikumeZW23
                                                                  40                                                   ICR02ChikumeZW25
                                                                                                                       ICR02UrandaZW26
                                                                                                                       ICR02UrandaZW28
                                                                  30                                                   ICR02UrandaZW29
                                                                                                                       ICR02UrandaZW30
                                                                                                                       ICR02Uranda ZW31
                                                                  20                                                   ICR03NyavaZW32
                         Shell w eight (g)                                                               TSS(% brix)   ICR03NyavaZW35
                                                                                                                       ICR03NyavaZW36
                                                                                                                       ICR03NyavaZW37
                                                                  10                                                   ICR03NyavaZW38
                                                                                    6                                  ICR03NyavaZW39
                                                                                                                       ICR03NyavaZW41
                                                                    0                                                  ICR03M afaZW40
                                                                                                                       ICR03M afaZW42
                                                                                                                       ICR03M afaZW43
                                                                                                                       ICR03M afaZW44
                                                                                                                       ICR03M afaZW47
                                                                                                                       ICR03M afaZW51
                                                                                                                       ICR03M afaZW52
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW53
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW54
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW55
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW56
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW57
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW58
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW59
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW60
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW61
                                             Seed w eight (g)                           Pulp content %                 ICR03BingaguruZW62
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW63
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW64
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW65
                                                                                                                       ICR03BingaguruZW66



     T1       T2
          S



   The Science of Scaling Up: An Agroforestry Perspective




Tony Simons, Sileshi Weldesemayat, Zac Tchoundjeu, Jianchu Xu, Meine
   van Noordwijk, Beria Leimona, Anne Degrande and Steve Franzel

                   World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF)
                                                                                    October 2011
The Science of Scaling Up
  Science (noun) – to know, knowledge

Scaling up – to bring more benefits to more
people, more quickly and more lastingly

√ Multiplying and disseminating a new maize variety

?? Payment for environmental services

?? Agroecosystems improvement approach

?? Climate Smart Agriculture
Google Scholar

Extension               - 3,810,000 urls

Dissemination           - 992,000 urls

Technology transfer     - 522,000 urls

Scaling up              - 148,000 urls


Science of scaling up   - 15 urls
Impact Pathway Paradigm

               Development
               (application of knowledge)




Research
(building of knowledge)




             Time (years)
New Impact Pathway Paradigm

               Development
               (proof of application &
               application of knowledge)



Research
(building of knowledge)




             Time (years)
Scaling up defined

   ExpandNet defines scaling up as "deliberate efforts to
   increase the impact of health innovations tested in pilot
   or experimental projects so as to benefit more people
   and to foster policy and program development on a
   lasting basis." This definition ishealth professionalsthan when
   ExpandNet is a global network of public more specific and
   scientists seeking to advancegeneral sense to mean broadening
   the term is used in a the practice and science of scaling up
   successful health service innovations tested in experimental, pilot and
   the impact projects.
   demonstration of existing or new practices.
http://www.expandnet.net/PDFs/ExpandNet-WHO%20Nine%20Step%20Guide%20published.pdf
Extension, Scaling Up
                              Research Dimension
Why                                 ??????
What                                 ?????
Where                                ????
When                                  ???
HOW                                    X




        Best Bet, Good Practice, Guideline
Why not use Principles for Research in Scaling Up?
 1. Problem based (utility, not pure curiousity)
 2. Testing a hypothesis, construct, paradigm
 3. Systematic/experimental approach
 4. Observations (repeated)
 5. Independent thinking, deductive reasoning
 6. Documented and shared
 7. Undergoes critical peer review (credible)
 8. Validated, revalidated (robustness)
 9. Unplanned serendipity
 10.Progressive, building on base of knowledge, zero fraud
Case Study on Fodder Trees
Low-protein feed a critical constraint for East Africa’s 2
                million dairy farmers
• Milk demand is rising
  rapidly
• Smallholders rely on cut
  and carry dairy systems
• Commercial dairy meal is
  the main protein source
• Fodder shrubs meet a
  critical farmer need: a
  protein source that can be
  grown at home at low cost
The Scaling Up Problem

• Early 2000s: Rapid adoption around research stations but
  little spread to new areas
• Why?
    – Fodder shrubs are “knowledge-intensive” practices, they
       require new knowledge and skills
    – Lack of seed
    – Extension staff lacked training
• So we tested 5 key extension approaches to an experimental
  sample of 200,000 farmers (10% of total dairy popn)
Five key extension approaches
                      1. Extension facilitators
  •ICRAF and National Research
  Institutes recruited Extension
  Facilitators to backstop
  extension services promoting
  fodder shrubs
  •One facilitator, over a 3 year
  period, assisted
  •22 government, NGO and
  private sector partners,
• 180 farmer groups and
• 3,200 farmers to establish
• 250 nurseries.
Western
                                                      Central
      Kenya             Projects/NGOs
                         Government                   Kenya
                            ICRAF


                                                        Small Dairy
                                                         Farmers
             Seed
            Dealers/
           Producers                           Projects/NGOs
                         Problems:
                         1. Seed producers not
                         linked to final demand
    Small Seed          2. Little seed produc-        Small Dairy
     Producers          tion in area of demand         Farmers
                        3. Free seed a disincentive
                        to market seed

2. Linking seed supply to demand: market chain for calliandra seed
Western
                 Projects/NGOs                Central
 Kenya
                                              Kenya
                     KEFRI
                     ICRAF
                                                  Sold 3.8 t seed
                                                       in 2007,
                                              Small sufficient for
                                                     Dairy
                                               Farmers>100,000
                                                     farmers to
       Seed                                              plant
      Dealers
                                                        Small Seed
                                       Projects/NGOs
                                                        Producers/
                      Dairy firms                        Vendors
                     Dairy societies
Small Seed
                     Seed stockists         Small Dairy
 Producers
                                             Farmers

                Market Chain for calliandra seed (present)
3. Partnerships
• After ICRAF-NARS research,
  over 224 organizations
  across 4 East African
  countries were promoting
  fodder shrubs
• 5 large NGOs helped about
  60,000 farmers to plant
  fodder shrubs in East Africa
   – Strong extension staff
   – Usually worked with
      farmer groups
4. Farmer-to-farmer dissemination
• Survey of 94 adopters 3 years after planting,
• 53% of adopters gave seed, seedlings, or wildings to other
  farmers
• To how many farmers? On average 6.3
• ‘Master disseminators’ dominate the process:
• 5% of farmers accounted for 66% of dissemination

• Master disseminators are community members
   motivated by wish to
   – Help others (90%)
   – Improve social status (33%)
   – Earn cash (13%)
Fig 1: Results of a survey of fodder shrub
 adopters to assess overlap between experts,
   innovators, and disseminators (n=126)



Experts (48)             Disseminators (44)

                         12     6
           14
                         17
                5              9
                                              Finding:
                    15                        40% of experts
                                              are not good
                                              disseminators
                              Innovators 46
5. Volunteer farmer trainers: the example of the East Africa
     Dairy Development Program: Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda

•Over 1000 volunteer farmer
trainers training farmers in
improved feed systems for dairy
cows, including fodder shrubs
•Over 40% are women
•Trainers receive training and
host a demo plot
•They are not paid and receive no
material support, aside from a
bag and a t-shirt
Case Study 2: Irish Aid Funded AFSP in Malawi

Four million Euro (2007-2010), 200,000 farmers
Facilitation of a consortium of partners (DAES, DARS, LRCD, DALH, FD,
NASFAM, MZUNI, UNIMA & NGOs)
ICRAF’s Role: Knowledge broker, planning & coordination, facilitate
training, ensure quality germplasm, M&E, reporting.
Outputs: capacity built, lessons (IPGs)
Outcome: change in adoption, knowledge and skills,




  World Agroforestry Centre
Financial profitability of maize over a five-year
                   cycle in Zambia

Production system           Net profit   Benefit      Return to
                            (US$/ha)     Cost ratio   Labour
                                                      ($/person
                                                      day)
Unfertilized maize          130          2.01         1.10

Fertilized                  349          1.77         2.53

Gliricidia intercropping)   269          2.91         2.51

Sesbania improved fallow 309             3.13         2.49

Tephrosia improved          233          2.77         1.91
fallow
New Cultivar Development
             for Masuku (Uapaca kirkiana)




                         A superior cultivar (fruited after 4 yrs.)




Variations
               Earlier fruiting, bigger fruits, heavy fruit loads,
               smaller trees and uniform quality
Fertilizer trees promoted based on suitability in the maize-mixed farming system




   Tephrosia         Gliricidia         Sesbania             Pigeon pea
The activities are implemented by a number of partners in Malawi

  Land ‘o’                                      UNIMA                           IDEAA
                       MDFA,                                                                        COOPI
   Lakes
                      CREMPA
                       SHMPA
                                                                                  FUM
                                      MZUNI
                                                                                               CWW
                                                        NASFAM
CRS                     CU
                                                                                                       DCP



      SSLPP
                                                                                        LRCD



                               DAES

                                                        ICRAF
                                                                                          Livingstonia
                                                                                            synod DP


              DAHLD
                                                                                          OSED


CADECOM

                                                                           FD
                                         DARS
                                                   FAIR

              SHA                                                                              Irish Aid
                                                                 ICRISAT
Researching Scale Up in Malawi AF

1. Control + treatment farms, groups, villages, districts
2. Monitor covariance for location, farm traits, gender
3. Fodder, fertiliser, fruit, fuelwood trees as technologies
4. Test different partners
5. Test different group approaches of beneficiaries (nurseries)
Key innovations and use by beneficiaries
Tree type    Innovation          Species                 # Beneficiaries   Target farming
                                                         in Malawi         system
Fertilizer   Under-sowing,       Cajanus, Tephrosia,     166,156           Maize-mixed
             rotational fallow   Sesbania
             Intercropping       Gliricidia              14,314
             Dispersed plan      Faidherbia              36,357
Fruit        Dispersed or        Mango, citrus, guava,   10,543            Non-specific
             block planting      indigenous sp
Fodder       Contour, block      Leucaena, Caliandra     22,111            Agro-pastoral
Woodlot      Firewood            Senna, Acacia           14,524            Non-specific

             Timber              Khaya                   208



    REDD = Reducing emissions from deforestation
Beneficiaries of AFSP (According to ICRAF report)


                             2007     2008       2009      2010       Total
# of farmers reached       42,419    65,522    91,022    37,656    184,463

Seed distributed (kg)       24,000   54,000     17,500     9,600   105,100

 According to external evaluation by the Centre for Independent Evaluation
 (CIE), the AFSP has covered 92% of the targeted beneficiaries.

 “From our sample, nearly 70% of the beneficiaries had received training”
 (CIE report)
The external evaluation team (CIE) concluded that the AFSP has

    Improved household food security, nutrition and dietary diversity
                             Maize yield                                         Number of food secure months
                                           AFSP beneficiary
                                           Non-beneficiary
                     3.0

                     2.5
Maize yield (t/ha)




                     2.0

                     1.5

                     1.0

                     0.5

                     0.0
                           Mzimba     Dedza      Thyolo       Mulanje   Salima



                           All data and figures from household survey by CIE
The external evaluation team (CIE) concluded that the AFSP has

 Improved household food security, nutrition and dietary diversity
                                              Food availability                                Nutrition: Dietary diversity score

                                              100
                                                             AFSP beneficiary
      Percent respondents who perceive food




                                                             Non-beneficiary
                                                80
             availability has increased




                                                60


                                                40


                                                20


                                                 0
                                                     Mzimba Dedza      Thyolo Mulanje Salima


     All data and figures from household survey by CIE
IFAD RUPES SITES IN ASIA

             covering 12 sites in 8
                         countries

Bac Kan
Conservation Contract

 Soil               Sediment pits: 300 per hectare, standard
 conservation        dimensions size: 100x150x40 cm evenly
 activities          distributed
                    Ridging: 50 percent of plot
                    Vegetation strips: surrounding pits and
                     ridging
                    Maintaining all the land conservation
                     structure above for a year.
 Payment         50 percent at inception; 50 percent at one year
 schedule           contingent on performance
 Duration and    One year with monitoring every three months;
 monitoring        termination if 50% contracted activities not
                   completed by midterm monitoring date
    Cancellation or non-compliance results in:
    ineligibility for second payment installation
    friction and conflict among community members
    indication of corruption
 Force majeur provision for contract terms in the event of natural
    disasters
Supply curve resulting from reverse
auction




                        Jack, Leimona and Ferraro (2008)
Results
• Total participants from 2 villages:
  82 farmers bidding on 70 hectares

• Participants received contracts for soil
  conservation:
  34 farmers on 25 hectares

• Average price of contract:
  USD 171.70 per hectare yearly
    – labor requirements of contract based on wages
      approximately USD 300
    – Past investment for soil conservation activities
      from survey USD 225
Final auction outcomes from 2 pilot sites

Auction Outcomes         Site 1   Site 2   Pooled    Pooled
                                                    (without
                                                      outlier)
Number of participants    48       34        82
Number of winners         19       15        34
Number of hectares       10.75    14.25      25
contracted
Contract price per        172      161      166
   hectare (USD)
Median bid                215      161      176
Mean bid                  301      260      284       255
Minimum bid               97       65        65        65
Maximum bid              2,688     753     2,688     1,075
Std deviation bid         405      195      334       199
What are factors induced a high
    Discussion
   accomplishment rate?
• The rate of accomplishment at the final
  monitoring was moderate.
    – lack of leadership and coordination among farmer group
      members,
    – difficulty in finding grass seedlings to accomplish the
      contract, and
    – coincidence with coffee harvesting time.
• In this specific case, private contract tends to be
  more successful compared to collective contract
  when leadership is lacking or “champion” among
  the community members does not exist.
    – Institutional aspects and contract flexibility might
      influence the accomplishment of conservation efforts.
    – Analysis showed that there were no significant
      differences in level of understanding, complexity, and
      competitiveness and conservation awareness between
      compliant and non-compliant farmers.
How to make it work?
• A limitation of this study is that all units of
  the pilot site were treated as
  homogeneous, with respect to their
  contribution to erosion and downstream
  sedimentation.

• For a larger scale allocation
  auction, modifications such as using supply
  curve information resulting from this
  procurement auction would be more
  appropriate.
    – a reasonable platform for designing a scaled up fixed
      payment scheme, including differential rates and
      eligibility rules necessary for targeting participants.
How to make it work?
 The design of an experimental auction should
  fit the purpose of overall objectives of a
  conservation program.

 In this case, the challenge was to design and
  administer a fair auction for farmers with
  low formal education, prone to social
  conflicts, and influenced by power structures
  within their community.
Case Study: Cocoa Rehabilitation




Palopo Cocoa Centre, Sulawesi
Cocoa Yields are too low

                                                              0.5 MT/ha
Number of plots surveyed




                           70
                           60
                           50
                           40
                           30
                           20
                           10
                            0
                                0-100




                                                                                          600-700

                                                                                                      700-800

                                                                                                                800-900

                                                                                                                          900-1000
                                        100-200

                                                  200-300

                                                            300-400

                                                                      400-500

                                                                                500-600




                                                                                                                                     1000-1100

                                                                                                                                                 1100-1200

                                                                                                                                                             1200-1300

                                                                                                                                                                         1300-1400

                                                                                                                                                                                     1400-1500




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1900-2000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1800-1900
                                                                                                                                                                                                 1500-1600

                                                                                                                                                                                                             1600-1700

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1700-1800
                                                                                                    Yield classification (kg/ha)


Source: Etude sur les revenus et les investissements des producteurs de café et de cacao en Côte
d’Ivoire, Agrisystems Consortium, 2008
Cacao Sector Value Chain Volume-Based Opportunities
                         Opportunities Exist To Increase the Yields of Cacao Farms Three-Fold Through Productivity
                                                               Improvements

                        1600   New Productivity – 1521 Kg/Ha

                        1400
                                                                           351

                        1200
                                                                        Step 3

                        1000
Volume (Kg) / Hectare




                               >3X                                585
                         800


                         600
                                                135            Step 2
                         400                  Step 1

                         200     450


                           0
                               Current     Knowledge / Germplasm        Fertilizer
                                            Pesticides
                                                                           Potential Impact of Volume-Based Gains
                                                                                     on Farm Productivity
                                                                                       (Gains in kg/ha)
                                                                                                                    40
1                                2                           3                              4                               5
                                                                                                                                                          ~40 identified QTLs
                                                                            cir120
  0.0        cir184             0.0           cir252
                                                            0.0
                                                            2.1
                                                                            cir150
                                                                            cir153
                                                                                          0.0
                                                                                          1.5
                                                                                                             cir242
                                                                                                             cir234
                                                                                                                              0.0
                                                                                                                              0.3
                                                                                                                                             WRKY-10
                                                                                                                                             cir111            in cacao
                                5.1           cir19         3.8             cir198        3.8                cir241           1.3            cir232
                                                            5.4             TIR2          5.1                cir233           2.1            cir119
                                9.2           cir240        9.6             cir146                                            5.2            shrs37
11.6         cir161                                                                       9.4                Tce195
             cir118            16.0           cir3         10.7             cir21        11.2                cir117           7.4            shrs12
15.7         cf974239          20.9           Tce089       10.9             cir192       14.5                cir33            7.6            shrs11
                               23.4           cir129       11.6             cir62        14.8                cir237          13.5            cir148
                                              shrs21       12.3             cir40        20.6                cir95           18.2            shrs22
                               23.8           shrs6        13.9             cir247                                           21.5            cir10
             cir143            32.3           ca797995     17.0             cir204
                                                                                         23.3
                                                                                         26.2
                                                                                                             shrs33
                                                                                                             cir32           26.1            Tce030           Witches’ Broom
28.9         cir159                                                                                                                          cir196
                               37.4           cir268       19.5
                                                           21.6
                                                                            Tce380A
                                                                            cir180
                                                                                         32.0                cir43           26.8            cir123           Resistance
                                              cir152                                     34.2                cir12
                               38.5           shrs13       31.4             cir175                                           27.7            cir42
 39.4        cir102                                                                                                          31.5            cir169
 45.0        WRKY-14                                       39.6             cir280
                                                                                                                                             cir149
                                                                                                                                                              Frosty Pod
 46.5        cir29             48.5           cir60        40.6             cir289                                           39.8
51.0          cf972885         50.1           cir139       42.0             cir78                            cir213
                                                                                                                                             cir256           Resistance
                                              cir165       45.4             cir263       48.6                                40.7            cir170
 53.3        cir249            51.3           shrs2                                                          cir206          47.7            shrs19
 54.7        shrs3                                         48.0             cir219
                               57.7           cir162       63.6             cir254                                           48.8            cir245           Pod Weight
 60.4        cir244                                                                                                                          cir69
 61.1        shrs23                                        63.9             cir135        59.4           Tce380              49.1
                                                           64.1             cir128                                                           WRKY-11
 62.7        cir246                                                                                                          52.3            TIR4
 65.8        cir273                                        66.4             cir140                                           52.6            TIR3
                               70.5           cir48        70.1             shrs7                                                                             Pod Number
 68.4        cir286                                                                                                          63.7            shrs4
 69.0        shrs34                                        70.4             shrs5                                            67.6            cir87
                                                                            cir226                                           73.0            cir80
                                                           70.8             cir131       75.3                cir115
 80.1        Tce574            85.4           cir230       71.4             cir202                                                           cir109           Trunk Circumference
                               86.1           cir228       72.1             cir144                                           84.9            cir101
                               88.0           WRKY-03      73.0             ca798018                                         85.3            cir274
87.7         cir275                           cir68        79.5             cir81                9
89.9         cir264            93.5           cir261
93.5         cir22                            cir73
                                                           91.6             ca795469                                                                          Jorquette Height
                           100.5                                                        0.0          cir79
97.0         RGH11                            cir269                                    3.4          cir85                     10
             cir194
                                                                                                                       0.0          cir37                     Bean Length
                                                                                                                       4.7          cir223
                                                                                                                      11.2          RGH7                      Pod Number & Wet
         6                            7                           8                    24.0          cir64
                                                                                                                      13.4          RGH8
                                                                                                     cir98                                                    Bean Weight
   0.0       cir6        0.0              ca972846        0.0             cir103       24.8          cir283
   1.5       cir136      1.7              cir186          3.0             cir134                                      23.3          cir61
   5.4                                    cir277                                       32.8          cir212
                         3.2                              5.4             cir189                     RGH2                                                     Frosty Pod Resistance
  10.5       cir53                        cir116                                       36.4          cir58
                         4.4              cir179         13.5             Tce487                                      40.6          cir104                    & Wet Bean Weight
                         5.7              cir177         16.8             cir26        45.0          cir8             41.3          cir155
                         8.0              cir147                                       47.5          cir178
                        10.2              cir55          23.0             cir200
  32.2       cir71      12.4              cir56                                        55.2          cir160
  34.3       cir276                                                                    58.0          cir157           57.8          cir229             Black Pod
  34.7                                    cir46                           cir211
                        16.6                             33.3                          60.5          cir35
  37.4       cir25                        cir181                          shrs20
                        22.8              RGH4           35.2             cir225       67.0          cf972909
                        26.1              RGH5                                         68.5          cir24
  54.3       cir209     33.1              cir13                                        73.3
                                                                                       74.1
                                                                                                     cir251
                                                                                                     cir30
                                                                                                                                                       Bean Weight, Bean Thickness,
                        37.4              RGH1           45.1             cir282
  57.9       cir9
                        43.7              cir190
                                                                                       79.5          cir166                                            Pod Weight & Pod Length
  59.9       cir291                                      51.1             cir1         83.2          cir250
                        44.1              cir141                                       86.0          cir126
                                                                                       88.1          cir108                                            Bean Length, Seed Weight,Ovule
                                                                                       88.6          cir266
                                                                                       94.6          cir72                                             Number, & Trunk Circumference
                                                                                                     cir287
                                                                                       95.4          cir243
Illustrative Impact Pathway – Tree Crop Development in Cocoa
 Research Outputs              Development Outputs   Research Outcomes      Dev Outcomes
Identify higher
yielding and
pest resistant clones                                 Improved planting        Increased cultivation
                                                      available                      of superior
Compatible cocoa                                                              varieties under better
diversification                                                           practices, with increased yields
options developed                Germplasm
                                 multiplication
                                 blocks
Reliable method                  established            Training and
to multiply                                             extension
                                                                            Healthier /more diversified
cocoa clonally                                          events held
                                                                                 cocoa farms and
                                 Demonstrations                                adjacent landscapes
                                 established
Best practices
for cocoa system/tree
management                                              Progressive
                                   Extension                                  Fair, transparent and
                                                        cocoa               profitable market chains
                                   materials
                                                        certification         operating at national
                                   produced
                                                        operational          and international levels
Farmer perspectives,
effect on women,
incentive measures                                    Formation of
understood                                            better producer              Increased
                                                      associations         donor, regulator, national
                                                                                 government
 Policy barriers                                                              and local authority
 investigated and                                      Cocoa policies       awareness, investment
                               Policy dialogues
 options                                               reformed                   and support
 formulated
CDC and associated demos (non-contiguous)
- Side graft onto old tree
- Chupon graft on old tree              Farmer A with
                                        side graft old
- seedling graft (new planting)
                                                                      Farmer B with
                                                                      side graft old
                                                                      seedling graft
                                                                      chupon graft old

                Farmer F with
                seedling graft


                                              CDC
                                                core       Most farmers
                                                           with no demos




                                                                       Farmer C with
                                                                       side graft old
                                                                       chupon graft old
                     Farmer E with      Farmer D with
                     seedling graft     chupon graft old
                     chupon graft old
CDC Core on Community Land


                                                                      Satellite nursery model
                                                                      (banana leaves shade, etc)




                                          Storage         Fermentation/drying demos
                              Covered      sheds
                              Meeting
                                Area      Storage
                                           sheds


                                                              Pruning, fertiliser demos



                                    Clonal trial
                                                                                 Water storage




- trials
- hybrid seed orchard 1.5ha
- budwood garden 1.5ha
                                             Nursery production
CDC on Community Land
                                                                                                                                                                                                       VCC

                                                                                                             VCC
                              VCC                                                                                                                                                                                         VCC
                                                                                                                                                                                                        VCC
           VCC
                                                                                                                                                         Satellite nursery model
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                VCC
                                                                                                                                                         (banana leaves shade, etc)




                                VCC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  VCC
                                                                              Storage




                VCC
                                                                                                              Fermentation/drying demos
                                                                               sheds

                                                     Covered
                                                     Meeting
                                                       Area




                                                                              Storage
                                                                               sheds




                                                                                                                             Pruning, fertiliser demos




                                                               Clonal trial




                                      VCC                                                                                                                                                                                        VCC
                                                                                                                                                                                      Water storage




                                                                                        Nursery production




                                 VCC                                                                                                                                                                                VCC
                                                   VCC                                                                                                                                                VCC
1 CDC supports 15-20 VCCs
1 VCC serves 50-100 farmers                                                                                  VCC
1 farmer having 200-1000 improved trees
                                                                                                                                                                                                            VCC         VCC
1 CDC for each 750-2000 farmers (av. 1200)
1 CDC leads to 240,000 – 1,200,000 (av. 600,000)
On a single farm



                                                       Say 40% are early
                                                       adopters or
                                                       testers



                                                    Say 85% of farners
Second
expansion                                           test or adopt
area
                          Third
                          expansion
 First test               area
 area                                         Reach with
                                              info and germplasm
                                              Say 70% farmers
  Maximum
  final area     TARGET AREA = 300,000 farmers in greater Soubre
  to new cocoa
Alpine Ecosystem is very Sensitive to
 Climate Change: Tibetan Plateau of China
Solar energy
                                  Summer
                                               Alpine meadow

                                          These processes are
Grass                                 vulnerable to climate change

                                  Spring
 Hay    Milk   Meat   Dung   Cheese           Transitional camp


                                               Permanent settlement

                                        Winter
Rangeland Carbon Project:
Qinghai Province, Zeku county
                                                           Zeku
                                                           county


                                            ICRAF did field research!




Favorable context
• institutions (land
tenure, administration, herders
organizations)
• science and knowledge (baseline
information, technical packages, strength
of national institutes)
Methodology for Sustainable
 Grassland Management (SGM)
CAAS took leading role in standardization at national
level (increased ownership from Chinese government)
Potential Scale-up in Africa, Central Asia and Mongolia for
                Climate Smart Agriculture

       Potential scaling-up at regional level
Rural Resource Centres Transform
   Lives and Landscapes through
Participatory Tree Domestication in
      West and Central Africa
   Degrande A, Bwama Meyi M, Caspa R, Dibwe D,
    Asaah E, Biloso A, Okwu C and Tchoundjeu Z
    World Agroforestry Centre (Cameroon, DRC, Nigeria), IFA-
        Yangambi (DRC), IRAD (Cameroon), INERA (DRC)
Conceptual framework for
   disseminating agroforestry                            Increased income
                                                              of rural
                                                            households;
                                                        improved health &
                                                           nutrition; etc.


                                   Policy Support for
                                   Dissemination of
                                  Tree Domestication

                                                                    Increased
      Institutional Development                                        TD
              & Linkages                                             uptake


Germplasm    Knowledge &      Human
             Information     Capacities
Key services that TDRC provide
     Skills development in areas such as nursery
     practices, group dynamics and marketing

     Information and demonstration of new technologies
     and innovations

     Access to market information

     Links with market actors particularly from the private
     sector

     A forum for exchange of information among farmers
     and between farmers and other stakeholders

     Seed, seedlings and other inputs
Multiplier effect
              Satellite    Farmer group
              nursery        Farmer group
      5-20                     Farmer group
              Satellite
              nursery     Farmer group
RRC                         Farmer group
              Satellite       Farmer group
              nursery
                                                   Small-
              Satellite   Farmer group
              nursery       Farmer group
                                                   holder
                              Farmer group        Farmers
              Satellite         Farmer group
              nursery              Farmer group
RRC
              Satellite   Farmer group
              nursery       Farmer group

              Satellite   Farmer group
              nursery
Spread
          350



          300



          250



          200
Numbers




                                                           Nigeria
          150                                              DRC
                                                           Cameroon
          100



           50



            0
                2009        2010     2009       2010

                       RC          Smallholder nurseries
Smallholder nurseries have
become genuine enterprises
  • 1/3 of adopters interviewed reported
    an increase in income, mainly from
    sales of plants (Tchoundjeu et al., 2010)
  • In 2010, sample survey of 15
    nurseries in Cameroon generated on
    average 2,200 USD (ICRAF-WCA, 2010)
  • 10 out of 21 new tree nurseries in
    Nde division, West Cameroon
    generate at least 1000 USD per year
  • Smallholder nurseries win contracts
    for seedling supply to national
    reforestation programmes
Adjudicated Land

              Adjudicated
              under the Land
              Adjudication Act
              CAP 284
              1968, intensive
              smallholder
              cultivation with
              clear freehold title
Unadjudicated Land



            Unadjudicated
            land, no firm legal
            title
Tenure and Investment in Woody Vegetation
Economic, Environmental and Social                   Tenure
                                    Unadjud Freehold
Impacts                                              Effect
Net returns to land ($ ha-1 y-1)     $126     $288    2.28
Woody crops, woodlots etc (ha km-2)   5.4     25.6     4.7
Hedgerows (km km-2)                   5.2     23.6     4.5
Social cost from embedding           -$40      $30     $70
Social "tax"                         -32%     +10%
International conference to take stock of current
policies, thinking and practice, successes and failures of
ongoing and past reforms in extension and advisory services
and build a coalition moving forward to specifically address
meeting the future needs of small-holder
farmers, marginalized communities, women and youth in a
sustainable and cost effective manner.


CTA, FARA, GFRAS, IFAD, FAO, AGRA, KARI, ICRAF and others

http://extensionconference2011.cta.int/
Caution:

avoid Research on Scaling Up
becoming a pseudo science
as Ben Goldacre warns in
medical science
Three Pillars of Sustainability
Why not use Principles for Research in Scaling Up?
 1. Problem based (utility, not pure curiousity)
 2. Testing a hypothesis, construct, paradigm
 3. Systematic/experimental approach
 4. Observations (repeated)
 5. Independent thinking, deductive reasoning
 6. Documented and shared
 7. Undergoes critical peer review (credible)
 8. Validated, revalidated (robustness)
 9. Unplanned serendipity
 10.Progressive, building on base of knowledge, zero fraud

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Scaling up icraf

  • 1. ICR02ShangwaZW1 ICR02NgazimbiZW2 Selection of putative cultivars of Uapaca ICR02BaynesHopeFarmZW3 ICR02GrinokFarmZW4 for fresh fruit and product market ideotypes: Zimbabwe ICR02ChadengaZW6 ICR02ChimaniZW8 Fresh w eight (g) ICR02ChimaniZW9 60 ICR02ChimaniZW10 ICR02ChikwatiZW11 ICR02M apangaZW12 ICR02ChadengaZW7 50 ICR02M ugwisiZW18 ICR02M ugwisiZW20 ICR02ChikumeZW23 40 ICR02ChikumeZW25 ICR02UrandaZW26 ICR02UrandaZW28 30 ICR02UrandaZW29 ICR02UrandaZW30 ICR02Uranda ZW31 20 ICR03NyavaZW32 Shell w eight (g) TSS(% brix) ICR03NyavaZW35 ICR03NyavaZW36 ICR03NyavaZW37 10 ICR03NyavaZW38 6 ICR03NyavaZW39 ICR03NyavaZW41 0 ICR03M afaZW40 ICR03M afaZW42 ICR03M afaZW43 ICR03M afaZW44 ICR03M afaZW47 ICR03M afaZW51 ICR03M afaZW52 ICR03BingaguruZW53 ICR03BingaguruZW54 ICR03BingaguruZW55 ICR03BingaguruZW56 ICR03BingaguruZW57 ICR03BingaguruZW58 ICR03BingaguruZW59 ICR03BingaguruZW60 ICR03BingaguruZW61 Seed w eight (g) Pulp content % ICR03BingaguruZW62 ICR03BingaguruZW63 ICR03BingaguruZW64 ICR03BingaguruZW65 ICR03BingaguruZW66 T1 T2 S The Science of Scaling Up: An Agroforestry Perspective Tony Simons, Sileshi Weldesemayat, Zac Tchoundjeu, Jianchu Xu, Meine van Noordwijk, Beria Leimona, Anne Degrande and Steve Franzel World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) October 2011
  • 2. The Science of Scaling Up Science (noun) – to know, knowledge Scaling up – to bring more benefits to more people, more quickly and more lastingly √ Multiplying and disseminating a new maize variety ?? Payment for environmental services ?? Agroecosystems improvement approach ?? Climate Smart Agriculture
  • 3. Google Scholar Extension - 3,810,000 urls Dissemination - 992,000 urls Technology transfer - 522,000 urls Scaling up - 148,000 urls Science of scaling up - 15 urls
  • 4. Impact Pathway Paradigm Development (application of knowledge) Research (building of knowledge) Time (years)
  • 5. New Impact Pathway Paradigm Development (proof of application & application of knowledge) Research (building of knowledge) Time (years)
  • 6. Scaling up defined ExpandNet defines scaling up as "deliberate efforts to increase the impact of health innovations tested in pilot or experimental projects so as to benefit more people and to foster policy and program development on a lasting basis." This definition ishealth professionalsthan when ExpandNet is a global network of public more specific and scientists seeking to advancegeneral sense to mean broadening the term is used in a the practice and science of scaling up successful health service innovations tested in experimental, pilot and the impact projects. demonstration of existing or new practices. http://www.expandnet.net/PDFs/ExpandNet-WHO%20Nine%20Step%20Guide%20published.pdf
  • 7.
  • 8. Extension, Scaling Up Research Dimension Why ?????? What ????? Where ???? When ??? HOW X Best Bet, Good Practice, Guideline
  • 9.
  • 10. Why not use Principles for Research in Scaling Up? 1. Problem based (utility, not pure curiousity) 2. Testing a hypothesis, construct, paradigm 3. Systematic/experimental approach 4. Observations (repeated) 5. Independent thinking, deductive reasoning 6. Documented and shared 7. Undergoes critical peer review (credible) 8. Validated, revalidated (robustness) 9. Unplanned serendipity 10.Progressive, building on base of knowledge, zero fraud
  • 11. Case Study on Fodder Trees Low-protein feed a critical constraint for East Africa’s 2 million dairy farmers • Milk demand is rising rapidly • Smallholders rely on cut and carry dairy systems • Commercial dairy meal is the main protein source • Fodder shrubs meet a critical farmer need: a protein source that can be grown at home at low cost
  • 12. The Scaling Up Problem • Early 2000s: Rapid adoption around research stations but little spread to new areas • Why? – Fodder shrubs are “knowledge-intensive” practices, they require new knowledge and skills – Lack of seed – Extension staff lacked training • So we tested 5 key extension approaches to an experimental sample of 200,000 farmers (10% of total dairy popn)
  • 13. Five key extension approaches 1. Extension facilitators •ICRAF and National Research Institutes recruited Extension Facilitators to backstop extension services promoting fodder shrubs •One facilitator, over a 3 year period, assisted •22 government, NGO and private sector partners, • 180 farmer groups and • 3,200 farmers to establish • 250 nurseries.
  • 14. Western Central Kenya Projects/NGOs Government Kenya ICRAF Small Dairy Farmers Seed Dealers/ Producers Projects/NGOs Problems: 1. Seed producers not linked to final demand Small Seed 2. Little seed produc- Small Dairy Producers tion in area of demand Farmers 3. Free seed a disincentive to market seed 2. Linking seed supply to demand: market chain for calliandra seed
  • 15. Western Projects/NGOs Central Kenya Kenya KEFRI ICRAF Sold 3.8 t seed in 2007, Small sufficient for Dairy Farmers>100,000 farmers to Seed plant Dealers Small Seed Projects/NGOs Producers/ Dairy firms Vendors Dairy societies Small Seed Seed stockists Small Dairy Producers Farmers Market Chain for calliandra seed (present)
  • 16. 3. Partnerships • After ICRAF-NARS research, over 224 organizations across 4 East African countries were promoting fodder shrubs • 5 large NGOs helped about 60,000 farmers to plant fodder shrubs in East Africa – Strong extension staff – Usually worked with farmer groups
  • 17. 4. Farmer-to-farmer dissemination • Survey of 94 adopters 3 years after planting, • 53% of adopters gave seed, seedlings, or wildings to other farmers • To how many farmers? On average 6.3 • ‘Master disseminators’ dominate the process: • 5% of farmers accounted for 66% of dissemination • Master disseminators are community members motivated by wish to – Help others (90%) – Improve social status (33%) – Earn cash (13%)
  • 18. Fig 1: Results of a survey of fodder shrub adopters to assess overlap between experts, innovators, and disseminators (n=126) Experts (48) Disseminators (44) 12 6 14 17 5 9 Finding: 15 40% of experts are not good disseminators Innovators 46
  • 19. 5. Volunteer farmer trainers: the example of the East Africa Dairy Development Program: Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda •Over 1000 volunteer farmer trainers training farmers in improved feed systems for dairy cows, including fodder shrubs •Over 40% are women •Trainers receive training and host a demo plot •They are not paid and receive no material support, aside from a bag and a t-shirt
  • 20. Case Study 2: Irish Aid Funded AFSP in Malawi Four million Euro (2007-2010), 200,000 farmers Facilitation of a consortium of partners (DAES, DARS, LRCD, DALH, FD, NASFAM, MZUNI, UNIMA & NGOs) ICRAF’s Role: Knowledge broker, planning & coordination, facilitate training, ensure quality germplasm, M&E, reporting. Outputs: capacity built, lessons (IPGs) Outcome: change in adoption, knowledge and skills, World Agroforestry Centre
  • 21. Financial profitability of maize over a five-year cycle in Zambia Production system Net profit Benefit Return to (US$/ha) Cost ratio Labour ($/person day) Unfertilized maize 130 2.01 1.10 Fertilized 349 1.77 2.53 Gliricidia intercropping) 269 2.91 2.51 Sesbania improved fallow 309 3.13 2.49 Tephrosia improved 233 2.77 1.91 fallow
  • 22. New Cultivar Development for Masuku (Uapaca kirkiana) A superior cultivar (fruited after 4 yrs.) Variations Earlier fruiting, bigger fruits, heavy fruit loads, smaller trees and uniform quality
  • 23. Fertilizer trees promoted based on suitability in the maize-mixed farming system Tephrosia Gliricidia Sesbania Pigeon pea
  • 24. The activities are implemented by a number of partners in Malawi Land ‘o’ UNIMA IDEAA MDFA, COOPI Lakes CREMPA SHMPA FUM MZUNI CWW NASFAM CRS CU DCP SSLPP LRCD DAES ICRAF Livingstonia synod DP DAHLD OSED CADECOM FD DARS FAIR SHA Irish Aid ICRISAT
  • 25. Researching Scale Up in Malawi AF 1. Control + treatment farms, groups, villages, districts 2. Monitor covariance for location, farm traits, gender 3. Fodder, fertiliser, fruit, fuelwood trees as technologies 4. Test different partners 5. Test different group approaches of beneficiaries (nurseries)
  • 26. Key innovations and use by beneficiaries Tree type Innovation Species # Beneficiaries Target farming in Malawi system Fertilizer Under-sowing, Cajanus, Tephrosia, 166,156 Maize-mixed rotational fallow Sesbania Intercropping Gliricidia 14,314 Dispersed plan Faidherbia 36,357 Fruit Dispersed or Mango, citrus, guava, 10,543 Non-specific block planting indigenous sp Fodder Contour, block Leucaena, Caliandra 22,111 Agro-pastoral Woodlot Firewood Senna, Acacia 14,524 Non-specific Timber Khaya 208 REDD = Reducing emissions from deforestation
  • 27. Beneficiaries of AFSP (According to ICRAF report) 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total # of farmers reached 42,419 65,522 91,022 37,656 184,463 Seed distributed (kg) 24,000 54,000 17,500 9,600 105,100 According to external evaluation by the Centre for Independent Evaluation (CIE), the AFSP has covered 92% of the targeted beneficiaries. “From our sample, nearly 70% of the beneficiaries had received training” (CIE report)
  • 28. The external evaluation team (CIE) concluded that the AFSP has  Improved household food security, nutrition and dietary diversity Maize yield Number of food secure months AFSP beneficiary Non-beneficiary 3.0 2.5 Maize yield (t/ha) 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Mzimba Dedza Thyolo Mulanje Salima All data and figures from household survey by CIE
  • 29. The external evaluation team (CIE) concluded that the AFSP has  Improved household food security, nutrition and dietary diversity Food availability Nutrition: Dietary diversity score 100 AFSP beneficiary Percent respondents who perceive food Non-beneficiary 80 availability has increased 60 40 20 0 Mzimba Dedza Thyolo Mulanje Salima All data and figures from household survey by CIE
  • 30. IFAD RUPES SITES IN ASIA covering 12 sites in 8 countries Bac Kan
  • 31. Conservation Contract Soil  Sediment pits: 300 per hectare, standard conservation dimensions size: 100x150x40 cm evenly activities distributed  Ridging: 50 percent of plot  Vegetation strips: surrounding pits and ridging  Maintaining all the land conservation structure above for a year. Payment 50 percent at inception; 50 percent at one year schedule contingent on performance Duration and One year with monitoring every three months; monitoring termination if 50% contracted activities not completed by midterm monitoring date  Cancellation or non-compliance results in:  ineligibility for second payment installation  friction and conflict among community members  indication of corruption Force majeur provision for contract terms in the event of natural disasters
  • 32. Supply curve resulting from reverse auction Jack, Leimona and Ferraro (2008)
  • 33. Results • Total participants from 2 villages: 82 farmers bidding on 70 hectares • Participants received contracts for soil conservation: 34 farmers on 25 hectares • Average price of contract: USD 171.70 per hectare yearly – labor requirements of contract based on wages approximately USD 300 – Past investment for soil conservation activities from survey USD 225
  • 34. Final auction outcomes from 2 pilot sites Auction Outcomes Site 1 Site 2 Pooled Pooled (without outlier) Number of participants 48 34 82 Number of winners 19 15 34 Number of hectares 10.75 14.25 25 contracted Contract price per 172 161 166 hectare (USD) Median bid 215 161 176 Mean bid 301 260 284 255 Minimum bid 97 65 65 65 Maximum bid 2,688 753 2,688 1,075 Std deviation bid 405 195 334 199
  • 35. What are factors induced a high Discussion accomplishment rate? • The rate of accomplishment at the final monitoring was moderate. – lack of leadership and coordination among farmer group members, – difficulty in finding grass seedlings to accomplish the contract, and – coincidence with coffee harvesting time. • In this specific case, private contract tends to be more successful compared to collective contract when leadership is lacking or “champion” among the community members does not exist. – Institutional aspects and contract flexibility might influence the accomplishment of conservation efforts. – Analysis showed that there were no significant differences in level of understanding, complexity, and competitiveness and conservation awareness between compliant and non-compliant farmers.
  • 36. How to make it work? • A limitation of this study is that all units of the pilot site were treated as homogeneous, with respect to their contribution to erosion and downstream sedimentation. • For a larger scale allocation auction, modifications such as using supply curve information resulting from this procurement auction would be more appropriate. – a reasonable platform for designing a scaled up fixed payment scheme, including differential rates and eligibility rules necessary for targeting participants.
  • 37. How to make it work?  The design of an experimental auction should fit the purpose of overall objectives of a conservation program.  In this case, the challenge was to design and administer a fair auction for farmers with low formal education, prone to social conflicts, and influenced by power structures within their community.
  • 38. Case Study: Cocoa Rehabilitation Palopo Cocoa Centre, Sulawesi
  • 39. Cocoa Yields are too low 0.5 MT/ha Number of plots surveyed 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0-100 600-700 700-800 800-900 900-1000 100-200 200-300 300-400 400-500 500-600 1000-1100 1100-1200 1200-1300 1300-1400 1400-1500 1900-2000 1800-1900 1500-1600 1600-1700 1700-1800 Yield classification (kg/ha) Source: Etude sur les revenus et les investissements des producteurs de café et de cacao en Côte d’Ivoire, Agrisystems Consortium, 2008
  • 40. Cacao Sector Value Chain Volume-Based Opportunities Opportunities Exist To Increase the Yields of Cacao Farms Three-Fold Through Productivity Improvements 1600 New Productivity – 1521 Kg/Ha 1400 351 1200 Step 3 1000 Volume (Kg) / Hectare >3X 585 800 600 135 Step 2 400 Step 1 200 450 0 Current Knowledge / Germplasm Fertilizer Pesticides Potential Impact of Volume-Based Gains on Farm Productivity (Gains in kg/ha) 40
  • 41. 1 2 3 4 5 ~40 identified QTLs cir120 0.0 cir184 0.0 cir252 0.0 2.1 cir150 cir153 0.0 1.5 cir242 cir234 0.0 0.3 WRKY-10 cir111 in cacao 5.1 cir19 3.8 cir198 3.8 cir241 1.3 cir232 5.4 TIR2 5.1 cir233 2.1 cir119 9.2 cir240 9.6 cir146 5.2 shrs37 11.6 cir161 9.4 Tce195 cir118 16.0 cir3 10.7 cir21 11.2 cir117 7.4 shrs12 15.7 cf974239 20.9 Tce089 10.9 cir192 14.5 cir33 7.6 shrs11 23.4 cir129 11.6 cir62 14.8 cir237 13.5 cir148 shrs21 12.3 cir40 20.6 cir95 18.2 shrs22 23.8 shrs6 13.9 cir247 21.5 cir10 cir143 32.3 ca797995 17.0 cir204 23.3 26.2 shrs33 cir32 26.1 Tce030 Witches’ Broom 28.9 cir159 cir196 37.4 cir268 19.5 21.6 Tce380A cir180 32.0 cir43 26.8 cir123 Resistance cir152 34.2 cir12 38.5 shrs13 31.4 cir175 27.7 cir42 39.4 cir102 31.5 cir169 45.0 WRKY-14 39.6 cir280 cir149 Frosty Pod 46.5 cir29 48.5 cir60 40.6 cir289 39.8 51.0 cf972885 50.1 cir139 42.0 cir78 cir213 cir256 Resistance cir165 45.4 cir263 48.6 40.7 cir170 53.3 cir249 51.3 shrs2 cir206 47.7 shrs19 54.7 shrs3 48.0 cir219 57.7 cir162 63.6 cir254 48.8 cir245 Pod Weight 60.4 cir244 cir69 61.1 shrs23 63.9 cir135 59.4 Tce380 49.1 64.1 cir128 WRKY-11 62.7 cir246 52.3 TIR4 65.8 cir273 66.4 cir140 52.6 TIR3 70.5 cir48 70.1 shrs7 Pod Number 68.4 cir286 63.7 shrs4 69.0 shrs34 70.4 shrs5 67.6 cir87 cir226 73.0 cir80 70.8 cir131 75.3 cir115 80.1 Tce574 85.4 cir230 71.4 cir202 cir109 Trunk Circumference 86.1 cir228 72.1 cir144 84.9 cir101 88.0 WRKY-03 73.0 ca798018 85.3 cir274 87.7 cir275 cir68 79.5 cir81 9 89.9 cir264 93.5 cir261 93.5 cir22 cir73 91.6 ca795469 Jorquette Height 100.5 0.0 cir79 97.0 RGH11 cir269 3.4 cir85 10 cir194 0.0 cir37 Bean Length 4.7 cir223 11.2 RGH7 Pod Number & Wet 6 7 8 24.0 cir64 13.4 RGH8 cir98 Bean Weight 0.0 cir6 0.0 ca972846 0.0 cir103 24.8 cir283 1.5 cir136 1.7 cir186 3.0 cir134 23.3 cir61 5.4 cir277 32.8 cir212 3.2 5.4 cir189 RGH2 Frosty Pod Resistance 10.5 cir53 cir116 36.4 cir58 4.4 cir179 13.5 Tce487 40.6 cir104 & Wet Bean Weight 5.7 cir177 16.8 cir26 45.0 cir8 41.3 cir155 8.0 cir147 47.5 cir178 10.2 cir55 23.0 cir200 32.2 cir71 12.4 cir56 55.2 cir160 34.3 cir276 58.0 cir157 57.8 cir229 Black Pod 34.7 cir46 cir211 16.6 33.3 60.5 cir35 37.4 cir25 cir181 shrs20 22.8 RGH4 35.2 cir225 67.0 cf972909 26.1 RGH5 68.5 cir24 54.3 cir209 33.1 cir13 73.3 74.1 cir251 cir30 Bean Weight, Bean Thickness, 37.4 RGH1 45.1 cir282 57.9 cir9 43.7 cir190 79.5 cir166 Pod Weight & Pod Length 59.9 cir291 51.1 cir1 83.2 cir250 44.1 cir141 86.0 cir126 88.1 cir108 Bean Length, Seed Weight,Ovule 88.6 cir266 94.6 cir72 Number, & Trunk Circumference cir287 95.4 cir243
  • 42. Illustrative Impact Pathway – Tree Crop Development in Cocoa Research Outputs Development Outputs Research Outcomes Dev Outcomes Identify higher yielding and pest resistant clones Improved planting Increased cultivation available of superior Compatible cocoa varieties under better diversification practices, with increased yields options developed Germplasm multiplication blocks Reliable method established Training and to multiply extension Healthier /more diversified cocoa clonally events held cocoa farms and Demonstrations adjacent landscapes established Best practices for cocoa system/tree management Progressive Extension Fair, transparent and cocoa profitable market chains materials certification operating at national produced operational and international levels Farmer perspectives, effect on women, incentive measures Formation of understood better producer Increased associations donor, regulator, national government Policy barriers and local authority investigated and Cocoa policies awareness, investment Policy dialogues options reformed and support formulated
  • 43. CDC and associated demos (non-contiguous) - Side graft onto old tree - Chupon graft on old tree Farmer A with side graft old - seedling graft (new planting) Farmer B with side graft old seedling graft chupon graft old Farmer F with seedling graft CDC core Most farmers with no demos Farmer C with side graft old chupon graft old Farmer E with Farmer D with seedling graft chupon graft old chupon graft old
  • 44. CDC Core on Community Land Satellite nursery model (banana leaves shade, etc) Storage Fermentation/drying demos Covered sheds Meeting Area Storage sheds Pruning, fertiliser demos Clonal trial Water storage - trials - hybrid seed orchard 1.5ha - budwood garden 1.5ha Nursery production
  • 45. CDC on Community Land VCC VCC VCC VCC VCC VCC Satellite nursery model VCC (banana leaves shade, etc) VCC VCC Storage VCC Fermentation/drying demos sheds Covered Meeting Area Storage sheds Pruning, fertiliser demos Clonal trial VCC VCC Water storage Nursery production VCC VCC VCC VCC 1 CDC supports 15-20 VCCs 1 VCC serves 50-100 farmers VCC 1 farmer having 200-1000 improved trees VCC VCC 1 CDC for each 750-2000 farmers (av. 1200) 1 CDC leads to 240,000 – 1,200,000 (av. 600,000)
  • 46. On a single farm Say 40% are early adopters or testers Say 85% of farners Second expansion test or adopt area Third expansion First test area area Reach with info and germplasm Say 70% farmers Maximum final area TARGET AREA = 300,000 farmers in greater Soubre to new cocoa
  • 47. Alpine Ecosystem is very Sensitive to Climate Change: Tibetan Plateau of China Solar energy Summer Alpine meadow These processes are Grass vulnerable to climate change Spring Hay Milk Meat Dung Cheese Transitional camp Permanent settlement Winter
  • 48. Rangeland Carbon Project: Qinghai Province, Zeku county Zeku county ICRAF did field research! Favorable context • institutions (land tenure, administration, herders organizations) • science and knowledge (baseline information, technical packages, strength of national institutes)
  • 49. Methodology for Sustainable Grassland Management (SGM) CAAS took leading role in standardization at national level (increased ownership from Chinese government)
  • 50. Potential Scale-up in Africa, Central Asia and Mongolia for Climate Smart Agriculture Potential scaling-up at regional level
  • 51. Rural Resource Centres Transform Lives and Landscapes through Participatory Tree Domestication in West and Central Africa Degrande A, Bwama Meyi M, Caspa R, Dibwe D, Asaah E, Biloso A, Okwu C and Tchoundjeu Z World Agroforestry Centre (Cameroon, DRC, Nigeria), IFA- Yangambi (DRC), IRAD (Cameroon), INERA (DRC)
  • 52. Conceptual framework for disseminating agroforestry Increased income of rural households; improved health & nutrition; etc. Policy Support for Dissemination of Tree Domestication Increased Institutional Development TD & Linkages uptake Germplasm Knowledge & Human Information Capacities
  • 53. Key services that TDRC provide Skills development in areas such as nursery practices, group dynamics and marketing Information and demonstration of new technologies and innovations Access to market information Links with market actors particularly from the private sector A forum for exchange of information among farmers and between farmers and other stakeholders Seed, seedlings and other inputs
  • 54. Multiplier effect Satellite Farmer group nursery Farmer group 5-20 Farmer group Satellite nursery Farmer group RRC Farmer group Satellite Farmer group nursery Small- Satellite Farmer group nursery Farmer group holder Farmer group Farmers Satellite Farmer group nursery Farmer group RRC Satellite Farmer group nursery Farmer group Satellite Farmer group nursery
  • 55. Spread 350 300 250 200 Numbers Nigeria 150 DRC Cameroon 100 50 0 2009 2010 2009 2010 RC Smallholder nurseries
  • 56. Smallholder nurseries have become genuine enterprises • 1/3 of adopters interviewed reported an increase in income, mainly from sales of plants (Tchoundjeu et al., 2010) • In 2010, sample survey of 15 nurseries in Cameroon generated on average 2,200 USD (ICRAF-WCA, 2010) • 10 out of 21 new tree nurseries in Nde division, West Cameroon generate at least 1000 USD per year • Smallholder nurseries win contracts for seedling supply to national reforestation programmes
  • 57. Adjudicated Land Adjudicated under the Land Adjudication Act CAP 284 1968, intensive smallholder cultivation with clear freehold title
  • 58. Unadjudicated Land Unadjudicated land, no firm legal title
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61. Tenure and Investment in Woody Vegetation
  • 62. Economic, Environmental and Social Tenure Unadjud Freehold Impacts Effect Net returns to land ($ ha-1 y-1) $126 $288 2.28 Woody crops, woodlots etc (ha km-2) 5.4 25.6 4.7 Hedgerows (km km-2) 5.2 23.6 4.5 Social cost from embedding -$40 $30 $70 Social "tax" -32% +10%
  • 63. International conference to take stock of current policies, thinking and practice, successes and failures of ongoing and past reforms in extension and advisory services and build a coalition moving forward to specifically address meeting the future needs of small-holder farmers, marginalized communities, women and youth in a sustainable and cost effective manner. CTA, FARA, GFRAS, IFAD, FAO, AGRA, KARI, ICRAF and others http://extensionconference2011.cta.int/
  • 64. Caution: avoid Research on Scaling Up becoming a pseudo science as Ben Goldacre warns in medical science
  • 65. Three Pillars of Sustainability
  • 66. Why not use Principles for Research in Scaling Up? 1. Problem based (utility, not pure curiousity) 2. Testing a hypothesis, construct, paradigm 3. Systematic/experimental approach 4. Observations (repeated) 5. Independent thinking, deductive reasoning 6. Documented and shared 7. Undergoes critical peer review (credible) 8. Validated, revalidated (robustness) 9. Unplanned serendipity 10.Progressive, building on base of knowledge, zero fraud