1. Transforming vehicle and fuel technologies!
! Presented at Transforming Transportation 2013!
! Drew Kodjak!
! Executive Director!
! The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT)!
Transforming Transportation 2013!

2. Panel: Transforming vehicle
and fuel technologies
Conference: “Transforming Transportation”!
Drew Kodjak, Executive Director!
EMBARQ & World Bank!
Washington DC !
January 18, 2013!

3. 2012 Summit: Brazil, China, Europe, India, Korea, Mexico, Russia, US!
The International Council
on Clean Transportation
20!
18.06!
2010 Car and Truck Sales (in million
18!
16! 15.11!
14!
11.77!
12!
units)!
10!
8!
6! 4.96!
3.52! 3.04!
4!
2.02! 1.58! 1.56!
2! 1.04! 0.85!
0!
China! EU - 27! U.S.! Japan! Brazil! India! Russia! Canada! South Australia! Mexico!
Korea!
ICCT works with government agencies in major vehicle markets that ! 3
account for ~ 85% of new vehicle sales.!

4. Main Messages!
§ Local air pollution from vehicles largely solved
technologically but penetration is SLOW across most of the
world.!
§ Most advanced vehicles 99% cleaner than 1960s versions at
modest cost and no change to performance or safety.!
§ Those technologies and policies are expanding SLOWLY across
the rest of the world.!
§ Lack of low sulfur fuels is a pervasive bottleneck to advance
standards and technologies.!
§ Huge investments in technology innovation to improve
vehicle energy efficiency is taking place in major markets.!
§ Tremendous progress taking place in major markets – US, EU,
Japan, China – for passenger vehicles, heavy-duty trucks, and on
the international level with international marine vessels.!
§ Government policies are necessary to drive new technologies into
the marketplace to transform the energy efficiency of all vehicle
modes.!
§ Eventually, transformation must include low carbon fuels and
electric drive vehicles fueled on low carbon electrons.!

5. Technology
Conventional transformation is largely
complete –
Pollutant Emissions! implementation is slow in
most of the world!

6. All regions growing in transportation
energy consumption!
90 ! Rest of EU!
Rest of Latin America!
80 ! Africa!
Russia!
70 ! Australia!
Korea!
60 ! Japan!
Unit: Mboe/day!
Brazil!
50 ! Mexico!
Canada!
40 ! Middle East!
Rest of Asia-Pacific!
30 !
India!
China!
20 !
EU-27!
U.S.!
10 !
International Waterborne!
(country order in legend!
- !
2000! 2005! 2010! 2015! 2020! 2025! 2030! matches order in chart)!
The U.S., EU-27, and China require the most energy for transportation (including passenger
vehicles, heavy-duty freight conveyance, and aviation). Fuel demand is expected to increase in
all regions. Developing countries and regions, particularly India and the Asia-Pacific region, are
expected to grow in relative impact.!
Data from: !
ICCT Global Transportation Roadmap model!

7. Light-duty vehicles, trucks, aviation and
waterborne are key modes!
90 !
WATERBORNE, 13%!
80 !
AVIATION, 10%!
70 !
FREIGHT RAIL, 2%!
60 !
Unit: Mboe/day!
PASSENGER RAIL, 1%!
50 !
TRUCK, 26%!
40 !
2&3 WHEELERS, 3%!
30 !
BUS, 6%!
20 !
LDV, 40%!
10 ! percentage reflects
average share over 30
year period!
- !
2000! 2005! 2010! 2015! 2020! 2025! 2030!
The share of energy consumption by mode remains consistent over the 30-year period, with all
sectors increasing in energy demand. Light-duty vehicles (LDV) and trucks consume the most
energy, with a combined share of 66%!
Data from: !
ICCT Global Transportation Roadmap model!

8. Trends in global annual premature mortalities in urban areas from
transportation-related primary PM2.5 (2000-2030)!
Source: ICCT Roadmap Model (preliminary)!

9. Share of global annual premature mortalities in urban areas from
transportation-related primary PM2.5 (2000-2030)!
Source: ICCT Roadmap Model (preliminary)!

10. Technology innovation
Fuel consumption! happening now and at a
great pace!

11. Passenger Vehicle CO2 Standards!

12. Global CO2 Emissions Stabilized by Passenger
Vehicle Fuel Economy Standards in 2025
Policies will offset doubling of vehicles on the road from 2000 to 2030
(700 million to 1.6 billion passenger vehicles)!

13. Tremendous progress achieved to lower fuel
consumption from vehicles, and much more opportunity
remains . . . !
13

14. For more information
on the ICCT please visit
http://www.theicct.org!
14

15. Transforming Transportation 2013!
! Co-organized by EMBARQ and The World Bank!
! More information at:!
! EMBARQ.org!
! worldbank.org/transport!
! Questions? Comments? Contact us at embarq@wri.org!
! Follow us on Twitter: @EMBARQnetwork!
Transforming Transportation 2013!