SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Our challenge:
reduce costs while preserving human capital
      A service company perspective




                   Thierry PILENKO
   Offshore Technology Conference, Houston, May 5th 2009
A dramatically different context compared to last year

                      OTC 2008        OTC 2009


    Crude oil price




  Economic growth




Oil and gas demand




                                                         2
The financial impact on oil companies has been
                   sudden and strong…


► Cash flow available to oil companies for their Capex programs is smaller
  than that anticipated a short while ago


► Funding of some projects is challenging


► Some companies, especially the small E&P independents, have difficulties


► Market capitalizations have sharply declined


► Q1 2009 results for our clients generally much lower than last year




                                                                             3
… with first implications already visible
                      in the service industry

► Projects are postponed to improve economics
  •   Canadian oil sands
  •   Ultra deepwater
  •   LNG
  •   Petrochemicals


► Equipment stacked or taken away from the market
  • Drilling: 22 out of 74 drilling Jackups rig currently stacked in the Gulf of Mexico
  • Seismic: a potential of 30 vessels (≤ 6 streamers) and 50 “2D vessels” converted to
      shooting vessels or retired


► Headcount reduction has started
  • Lay off plans announced by certain operators and service companies
  • Massive reduction of construction workforce expected


                                                                  Sources: Hercules Offshore, CGG Veritas

                                                                                                      4
History has shown that lower oil prices lead to lower Capex

                                   E&P Capex vs. Oil and Gas Prices

      $ in billion                                                         $/b $/Mbtu
       400                                                                 120   10
                                                     Henry Hub
       350                                                                 105

       300                                                                  90   7.5
                                                  Cost inflation
                                                   since 2000
       250                                                                  75
                                 E&P Capex
       200                                                                  60    5
                                                                                       Current* price of Oil
       150                                                                  45
                                                                                       Current* price of Gas

       100                                                                  30   2.5

       50                                                          WTI      15
                                                                   ($/b)

        0                                                                    0    0
             1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
                                                                   2008 (f) 2009 (e)          Sources: IFP, EIA
              *: April,   29th   2009
                                                                                                              5
A lower oil price environment should also lead
             to lower project costs

                             Project cost evolution *
  240
                                              Q3 2008: 230
  220


  200
                                                                       - 10% ?

                                             Q3 2008: 187
  180                                                                       - 20% ?

                                       Upstream
  160
                                                             - 10% ?
  140
                                                                  - 20% ?
  120                     Downstream
          Index
          (2000 = 100)
  100


   80

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

                                                                                 Source: IHS / CERA
        *: IHS/CERA - Capital Cost Index
                                                                                                      6
The required cost reduction implies that
                          all cost items be optimized
       EPC project costs
100%




          Construction




          Procurement




          Engineering +
       Project Management


                                                               7
A large share of the costs is directly driven by the performance
        of engineering and project management activities
       EPC project costs
100%




          Construction




                            ► Need to be involved earlier in the project
          Procurement       ► New contract schemes (Ex: convertible)
                            ► Drive simplification and eliminate redundancies
                            ► Force standardization

          Engineering +     ► Top down cost cutting implementation
       Project Management


                                                                                8
Significant savings on procurement must be targeted

       EPC project costs
100%


                               Raw materials prices (Index 100 in Jan. 2003)
          Construction       700

                             600

                             500

                             400
                                                                     Copper
                             300                                     Carbon steel
                                                                     Stainless steel
                             200
                                                                     Nickel
          Procurement
                             100                                     Aluminum
                                  04




                                                     07


                                                     08


                                                                09
                                 03




                                           05


                                           06
                               n-
                              n-




                                         n-


                                         n-

                                                  n-


                                                  n-


                                                             n-
                            ja




                                                ja


                                                ja


                                                           ja
                            ja




                                       ja


                                       ja


          Engineering +
       Project Management

                                                                     Source: CRU Monitor

                                                                                      9
Similarly, the current context should drive construction
           costs down and bring back productivity
       EPC project costs
100%
                                                  Construction productivity index *



          Construction           1



                              0.66




          Procurement            0
                                           2003     2004     2005   2006   2007 2008   2009   2010   2011




          Engineering +
       Project Management

                            * In Middle East (Technip estimates)                                 Source: Technip

                                                                                                              10
In most cost reduction initiatives, people are a key element

       EPC project costs    Personnel costs
100%




          Construction




                                                  ~ 40 to 50 % of
                                                 costs in an EPC
                                                 project relate to
                                                    personnel
          Procurement




          Engineering +
       Project Management

                                                    Source: Technip estimate

                                                                          11
The service industry has made a tremendous
               recruiting and training effort
         Headcount growth estimate
        (Technip and main competitors) *

150
                                                                    External
                          +45%                                      growth
125                                                                                Annual recruiting effort

100                                                                                ► Net Hiring            ~ 6 %/y
                                                                                   ► Turnover              ~ 10%/y
75
                                                                                   ► Retiring              ~ 2%/y

50


25                                                                                         ~ 18 %/y

 0
      2004    2005           2006          2007          2008

             * Based on a sample of Technip and 10 companies ; index 100 in 2004        Sources: Company reports, Technip

                                                                                                                      12
But the overall HR age pyramid has generally
                           shifted to the right
40%


35%


30%


25%


20%


15%


10%


5%


0%
      20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59   60+   20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59   60+   20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59      60+


          SPE members 1998                SPE members 2008                   Technip 2008


                                                                                    Sources: SPE, Technip

                                                                                                       13
Complexity of projects is increasing: interpretation
                          Seismic interpretation and reservoir modeling




St Malo, Gulf of Mexico          Tupi, Brazil                   Reservoir modeling




                                 ► Deeper development (3000 m)
                                 ► Sub-salt imaging
                                 ► Increased reservoir complexity



                                                                                     Courtesy of CGGVeritas

                                                                                                         14
Complexity of projects is increasing: Subsea development
                             PAZFLOR


► 600 km2 at water depths
  between 600 to 1,200
  meters (i.e. 6 times the
  area of Paris)


► Extraction of heavy
  (17 to 22°API) and
  highly viscous oil


► $ 1.7 bn (Subsea
  development)


► 175 km of flowlines and
  90 km of umbilicals



                                                  Source: Technip

                                                              15
Complexity of projects is increasing: Onshore
                          3 LNG Qatar


► 6 trains of 7.8 Mt/y


► 100,000 tons of steel
  (14 times the Eiffel
  tower)


► 75,000 people at peak


► 700 million
  construction man-
  hours




                                                        Source: Technip

                                                                    16
Lead times to build critical competencies

        Competencies

  Processor / Field engineer     6 months / 1 year


 Interpretation geoscientist /
                                         4 years
           Process engineer


Construction site supervisor                   5 years


  Manager – Small / medium
                                                         10 years
               size project


           Technical experts                                  > 10 years


Manager - Large size project                                               15 years




                                                                       Source: Technip

                                                                                   17
What we need to do to deliver projects
                     and mitigate HR impact

► As contractors and service companies
  •   Work the supply chain – select the best (costs and competencies)
  •   Maintain R & D investment
  •   Use spare capacity to re-think core processes and improve efficiency
  •   Invest in the development of competencies and lessons learnt




                                                                             18
What we need to do to deliver projects
                     and mitigate HR impact

► As Oil & Gas Operators
  •   Stay engaged on future projects (particularly large and complex projects)
  •   Involve contractors and service companies earlier on in the projects
  •   Drive standardization
  •   Drive simplification and eliminate redundancies




                                                                                  19
What we need to do to deliver projects
                   and mitigate HR impact

► As industry at large

  • Avoid the “Stop and Go” attitude which is detrimental to our industry’s image
  • Continue to hire university graduates to avoid future generation gaps and
    maintain credibility




                                                                                    20
THANK YOU




Offshore Technology Conference, Houston, May 5th 2009

More Related Content

Similar to Reduce Cost whilst preserving Human Capital

BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010
BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010  BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010
BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010
Alaska Energy Dudes and Divas
 
Ing conference, прага
Ing conference, прагаIng conference, прага
Ing conference, прагаevraz_company
 
Shell Q3 2008 Presentations
Shell Q3 2008 PresentationsShell Q3 2008 Presentations
Shell Q3 2008 Presentations
earningsreport
 
AREVA, 2008 annual results
AREVA, 2008 annual resultsAREVA, 2008 annual results
AREVA, 2008 annual results
AREVA
 
Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentation
	Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentation	Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentation
Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentationfinance11
 
IEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge Temporary
IEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge TemporaryIEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge Temporary
IEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge Temporary
Earth Institute of Columbia University
 
Chevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power Conference
Chevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power ConferenceChevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power Conference
Chevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power Conferenceinvestorrelation
 
sunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentation
sunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentationsunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentation
sunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentationfinance6
 
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12humeras
 
Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)
Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)
Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)Yang Lee
 
Kartdiagram 2008 Eng
Kartdiagram 2008 EngKartdiagram 2008 Eng
Kartdiagram 2008 EngSKF
 
SKF Group Presentation 2008
SKF Group Presentation 2008SKF Group Presentation 2008
SKF Group Presentation 2008
SKF
 
Conference call presentation 1 q08 results
Conference call presentation   1 q08 resultsConference call presentation   1 q08 results
Conference call presentation 1 q08 resultsBraskem_RI
 
Braskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_en
Braskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_enBraskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_en
Braskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_enBraskem_RI
 
GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference
GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference
GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference Manya Mohan
 
Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
Johannes Meier
 
el paso 032607_presentation
el paso  032607_presentationel paso  032607_presentation
el paso 032607_presentationfinance49
 
el paso 032607_presentation
el paso  032607_presentationel paso  032607_presentation
el paso 032607_presentationfinance49
 

Similar to Reduce Cost whilst preserving Human Capital (20)

BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010
BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010  BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010
BP Strategy Presentation - March 2010
 
Ing conference, прага
Ing conference, прагаIng conference, прага
Ing conference, прага
 
cmi_051109
cmi_051109cmi_051109
cmi_051109
 
cmi_051109
cmi_051109cmi_051109
cmi_051109
 
Shell Q3 2008 Presentations
Shell Q3 2008 PresentationsShell Q3 2008 Presentations
Shell Q3 2008 Presentations
 
AREVA, 2008 annual results
AREVA, 2008 annual resultsAREVA, 2008 annual results
AREVA, 2008 annual results
 
Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentation
	Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentation	Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentation
Credit Suisse Group Global Airline Conference Presentation
 
IEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge Temporary
IEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge TemporaryIEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge Temporary
IEA: Coal Boom Unabated, Europe's Binge Temporary
 
Chevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power Conference
Chevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power ConferenceChevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power Conference
Chevron at Barclays Capital 2009 CEO Energy/Power Conference
 
sunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentation
sunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentationsunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentation
sunoco Merrill Lynch Global Energy Mid and Small Cap Conference Presentation
 
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
MEED Projects Oil and gas Webinar Presentation 10.12.12
 
Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)
Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)
Meed projects oil and gas webinar (2012.12)
 
Kartdiagram 2008 Eng
Kartdiagram 2008 EngKartdiagram 2008 Eng
Kartdiagram 2008 Eng
 
SKF Group Presentation 2008
SKF Group Presentation 2008SKF Group Presentation 2008
SKF Group Presentation 2008
 
Conference call presentation 1 q08 results
Conference call presentation   1 q08 resultsConference call presentation   1 q08 results
Conference call presentation 1 q08 results
 
Braskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_en
Braskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_enBraskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_en
Braskem presentation 1_q08_20091201_en
 
GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference
GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference
GE- Goldman Sachs Fourth Annual Alternative Energy Conference
 
Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
Moving towards a prosperous, low-carbon Europe
 
el paso 032607_presentation
el paso  032607_presentationel paso  032607_presentation
el paso 032607_presentation
 
el paso 032607_presentation
el paso  032607_presentationel paso  032607_presentation
el paso 032607_presentation
 

Reduce Cost whilst preserving Human Capital

  • 1. Our challenge: reduce costs while preserving human capital A service company perspective Thierry PILENKO Offshore Technology Conference, Houston, May 5th 2009
  • 2. A dramatically different context compared to last year OTC 2008 OTC 2009 Crude oil price Economic growth Oil and gas demand 2
  • 3. The financial impact on oil companies has been sudden and strong… ► Cash flow available to oil companies for their Capex programs is smaller than that anticipated a short while ago ► Funding of some projects is challenging ► Some companies, especially the small E&P independents, have difficulties ► Market capitalizations have sharply declined ► Q1 2009 results for our clients generally much lower than last year 3
  • 4. … with first implications already visible in the service industry ► Projects are postponed to improve economics • Canadian oil sands • Ultra deepwater • LNG • Petrochemicals ► Equipment stacked or taken away from the market • Drilling: 22 out of 74 drilling Jackups rig currently stacked in the Gulf of Mexico • Seismic: a potential of 30 vessels (≤ 6 streamers) and 50 “2D vessels” converted to shooting vessels or retired ► Headcount reduction has started • Lay off plans announced by certain operators and service companies • Massive reduction of construction workforce expected Sources: Hercules Offshore, CGG Veritas 4
  • 5. History has shown that lower oil prices lead to lower Capex E&P Capex vs. Oil and Gas Prices $ in billion $/b $/Mbtu 400 120 10 Henry Hub 350 105 300 90 7.5 Cost inflation since 2000 250 75 E&P Capex 200 60 5 Current* price of Oil 150 45 Current* price of Gas 100 30 2.5 50 WTI 15 ($/b) 0 0 0 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 (f) 2009 (e) Sources: IFP, EIA *: April, 29th 2009 5
  • 6. A lower oil price environment should also lead to lower project costs Project cost evolution * 240 Q3 2008: 230 220 200 - 10% ? Q3 2008: 187 180 - 20% ? Upstream 160 - 10% ? 140 - 20% ? 120 Downstream Index (2000 = 100) 100 80 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: IHS / CERA *: IHS/CERA - Capital Cost Index 6
  • 7. The required cost reduction implies that all cost items be optimized EPC project costs 100% Construction Procurement Engineering + Project Management 7
  • 8. A large share of the costs is directly driven by the performance of engineering and project management activities EPC project costs 100% Construction ► Need to be involved earlier in the project Procurement ► New contract schemes (Ex: convertible) ► Drive simplification and eliminate redundancies ► Force standardization Engineering + ► Top down cost cutting implementation Project Management 8
  • 9. Significant savings on procurement must be targeted EPC project costs 100% Raw materials prices (Index 100 in Jan. 2003) Construction 700 600 500 400 Copper 300 Carbon steel Stainless steel 200 Nickel Procurement 100 Aluminum 04 07 08 09 03 05 06 n- n- n- n- n- n- n- ja ja ja ja ja ja ja Engineering + Project Management Source: CRU Monitor 9
  • 10. Similarly, the current context should drive construction costs down and bring back productivity EPC project costs 100% Construction productivity index * Construction 1 0.66 Procurement 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Engineering + Project Management * In Middle East (Technip estimates) Source: Technip 10
  • 11. In most cost reduction initiatives, people are a key element EPC project costs Personnel costs 100% Construction ~ 40 to 50 % of costs in an EPC project relate to personnel Procurement Engineering + Project Management Source: Technip estimate 11
  • 12. The service industry has made a tremendous recruiting and training effort Headcount growth estimate (Technip and main competitors) * 150 External +45% growth 125 Annual recruiting effort 100 ► Net Hiring ~ 6 %/y ► Turnover ~ 10%/y 75 ► Retiring ~ 2%/y 50 25 ~ 18 %/y 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 * Based on a sample of Technip and 10 companies ; index 100 in 2004 Sources: Company reports, Technip 12
  • 13. But the overall HR age pyramid has generally shifted to the right 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+ 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+ 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60+ SPE members 1998 SPE members 2008 Technip 2008 Sources: SPE, Technip 13
  • 14. Complexity of projects is increasing: interpretation Seismic interpretation and reservoir modeling St Malo, Gulf of Mexico Tupi, Brazil Reservoir modeling ► Deeper development (3000 m) ► Sub-salt imaging ► Increased reservoir complexity Courtesy of CGGVeritas 14
  • 15. Complexity of projects is increasing: Subsea development PAZFLOR ► 600 km2 at water depths between 600 to 1,200 meters (i.e. 6 times the area of Paris) ► Extraction of heavy (17 to 22°API) and highly viscous oil ► $ 1.7 bn (Subsea development) ► 175 km of flowlines and 90 km of umbilicals Source: Technip 15
  • 16. Complexity of projects is increasing: Onshore 3 LNG Qatar ► 6 trains of 7.8 Mt/y ► 100,000 tons of steel (14 times the Eiffel tower) ► 75,000 people at peak ► 700 million construction man- hours Source: Technip 16
  • 17. Lead times to build critical competencies Competencies Processor / Field engineer 6 months / 1 year Interpretation geoscientist / 4 years Process engineer Construction site supervisor 5 years Manager – Small / medium 10 years size project Technical experts > 10 years Manager - Large size project 15 years Source: Technip 17
  • 18. What we need to do to deliver projects and mitigate HR impact ► As contractors and service companies • Work the supply chain – select the best (costs and competencies) • Maintain R & D investment • Use spare capacity to re-think core processes and improve efficiency • Invest in the development of competencies and lessons learnt 18
  • 19. What we need to do to deliver projects and mitigate HR impact ► As Oil & Gas Operators • Stay engaged on future projects (particularly large and complex projects) • Involve contractors and service companies earlier on in the projects • Drive standardization • Drive simplification and eliminate redundancies 19
  • 20. What we need to do to deliver projects and mitigate HR impact ► As industry at large • Avoid the “Stop and Go” attitude which is detrimental to our industry’s image • Continue to hire university graduates to avoid future generation gaps and maintain credibility 20
  • 21. THANK YOU Offshore Technology Conference, Houston, May 5th 2009