Steve "Beaver" Nordhagen is running for Senate District 1 against incumbent Senator LeRoy Stumpf. Nordhagen has been married for 27 years, has two children, and owns a small business. He has served three terms as mayor of Thief River Falls, during which he cut taxes and reduced city debt while improving the city's bond rating. As a candidate, Nordhagen has name recognition from his time as mayor and strong support in Thief River Falls, the largest city in the district. The analysis finds that with minimal funding, Nordhagen has potential to impact the race due to the incumbent's long tenure and outside groups not investing in the race.

1. Steve “Beaver” Nordhagen (SD 1)
http://nordhagenforsenate.com
THE CANDIDATE City Tax Rates Under Nordhagen
• Married 27 years, 2 children (10 & 12)
• Small business owner for 26 years
• Three-term mayor of Thief River Falls
• As mayor, cut taxes and city debt while
increasing city bond rating (see chart)
• Cash on Hand: $4,590 ($15,550 deficit)
THE DISTRICT • Opponent: Sen. LeRoy Stumpf (DFL, first elected 1982)
• Cash on Hand: $20,140
1 click for detail
SD1 Averages Precinct Analysis
(indexed for redistricting) (Nordhagen must overperform)
Largest Cities
• Thief River Falls
• East Grand Forks
• Crookston
RACE ANALYSIS
• Nordhagen has name ID and strong mayoral record of fiscal discipline
• Pulled >71% in Thief River Falls last mayoral election (largest city in the district)
• East Grand Forks went Republican for their House seat in 2010
• Incumbent support has been weakening, due to longevity and complacency
• Outside groups skipping this race, so minimal investment has maximum impact
MinnesotaPAC.org Mobilizing Minnesota Conservatives to Win Elections
Prepared and paid for by Minnesota PAC, PO Box 65827, St. Paul, Minnesota 55165