The document provides gaming revenue projections for Marvel Gaming LLC's proposed casino ("Marvel Wellington") in Kansas. It projects Marvel Wellington will generate total annual gaming revenues of $130.2 million, lower than the $174 million projected for Harrah's Mulvane casino. The document also compares the source of consumer spending and visitation at each Kansas casino. It finds Harrah's Mulvane location would elicit more consumer spending due to being 11 minutes closer to the population center. Overall, the document projects lower revenues for Marvel Wellington than Marvel's own projections or other competitors.
This document provides gaming revenue projections for "Harrah's Mulvane" casino in Kansas under a "Baseline" or most likely future scenario. It projects total annual gaming revenues for Harrah's Mulvane of $174 million by 2027, higher than the $130.2 million and $123.5 million projected for two other proposed casinos near Wellington. The document includes exhibits providing details on the revenue projections and comparisons to projections made by Harrah's.
Revised ford county financial evaluation reportkrgc
The document provides an analysis of two proposals for gaming facilities in Ford County, Kansas - Boothill Casino and Resort in Dodge City and Dodge City Casino Resort.
1. Boothill Casino proposes a $102 million project with $70 million in debt financing and $32 million in equity. Dodge City Casino Resort proposes a $60.3 million project with $40 million in debt and $20.3 million in equity.
2. The analysis questions the financial capability of Butler National Corporation, a partner in the Boothill proposal, to provide the necessary equity funding. Dodge City Resort states it has funding agreements for the project but does not provide verification of financial capacity.
3. Both proposals plan
This document evaluates the non-gaming amenities proposed by Lakes Entertainment for a gaming facility in Sumner County, Kansas. It discusses the challenges faced and focuses on how the amenities will promote tourism, create jobs, and maximize gaming revenue. Raving Consulting assesses the proposed amenities compared to their minimum requirements and potential enhancements. They also provide a marketing matrix analysis of Lakes Entertainment's plans, giving them an above average score of +6. Revenue and employment projections are given for different amenity scenarios.
The document provides an evaluation of the non-gaming amenities proposed by Kansas Entertainment for their gaming facility in Wyandotte County, Kansas. It was prepared by Raving Consulting for the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board.
The evaluation finds that Kansas Entertainment is only proposing the minimum required amenities for Phase 1 and no hotel. While there are nearby hotels that could help overcome the lack of a hotel, not having a hotel themselves will negatively impact their ability to maximize gaming revenue. The evaluation also notes robust competition from casinos just across the border in Missouri.
The consultants conclude that while Kansas Entertainment meets the basic requirements, their minimal amenity proposal in Phase 1 will not be sufficient to drive significantly more business above
This document provides projections for gaming revenue from a proposed Penn National casino in Cherokee County, Kansas. It summarizes Wells Gaming Research's methodology for the projections, which included using a proprietary gravity model to define the trade area and population data, and developing scenarios accounting for the casino's proposed size and location. It then provides details on the assumptions for the Penn National Cherokee casino, presents gaming visit and revenue projections under various scenarios from 2010-2012, and compares the projections to an existing nearby casino.
The document assesses the market potential for two proposed casino locations in the Southwest Gaming Zone of Kansas through an analysis of demographic data within 30, 60, and 100 mile radii of the sites, finding populations of over 43,000, 114,000, and 385,000 people respectively that could support various amenities proposed in each development proposal including hotels, restaurants, retail, and entertainment. Each proposal's amenity package is evaluated for its appropriateness to the local market characteristics and ability to maximize revenue, promote tourism, and best serve Kansas residents as outlined in the state's gaming legislation.
Civic Economics (Dan Houston, Matt Cunningham)krgc
The document analyzes the potential economic impacts of three proposed gaming facility projects in Kansas: Camptown, Kansas Crossing, and Castle Rock. It finds that Castle Rock would have the largest economic impact during construction, supporting over 900 jobs and contributing $134.2 million to total economic output. During operations in 2019, Castle Rock is estimated to support 584 jobs and contribute $72.9 million to economic output, more than the other two proposals. The analysis examines impacts from construction spending, facility operations, gaming revenues, and local resident spending.
This document provides an overview and analysis of projections for new casinos proposed in southeastern Kansas. It discusses the use of gravity models to project gaming revenues and financial performance based on location, size, competition and other factors. Specifically, it examines how spending declines with distance from a casino based on players' club and other data. Bigger casinos are generally better due to economies of scale. The presentation compares various existing casinos' "power ratings" which reflect their overall attractiveness based on revenues adjusted for location.
This document provides gaming revenue projections for "Harrah's Mulvane" casino in Kansas under a "Baseline" or most likely future scenario. It projects total annual gaming revenues for Harrah's Mulvane of $174 million by 2027, higher than the $130.2 million and $123.5 million projected for two other proposed casinos near Wellington. The document includes exhibits providing details on the revenue projections and comparisons to projections made by Harrah's.
Revised ford county financial evaluation reportkrgc
The document provides an analysis of two proposals for gaming facilities in Ford County, Kansas - Boothill Casino and Resort in Dodge City and Dodge City Casino Resort.
1. Boothill Casino proposes a $102 million project with $70 million in debt financing and $32 million in equity. Dodge City Casino Resort proposes a $60.3 million project with $40 million in debt and $20.3 million in equity.
2. The analysis questions the financial capability of Butler National Corporation, a partner in the Boothill proposal, to provide the necessary equity funding. Dodge City Resort states it has funding agreements for the project but does not provide verification of financial capacity.
3. Both proposals plan
This document evaluates the non-gaming amenities proposed by Lakes Entertainment for a gaming facility in Sumner County, Kansas. It discusses the challenges faced and focuses on how the amenities will promote tourism, create jobs, and maximize gaming revenue. Raving Consulting assesses the proposed amenities compared to their minimum requirements and potential enhancements. They also provide a marketing matrix analysis of Lakes Entertainment's plans, giving them an above average score of +6. Revenue and employment projections are given for different amenity scenarios.
The document provides an evaluation of the non-gaming amenities proposed by Kansas Entertainment for their gaming facility in Wyandotte County, Kansas. It was prepared by Raving Consulting for the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board.
The evaluation finds that Kansas Entertainment is only proposing the minimum required amenities for Phase 1 and no hotel. While there are nearby hotels that could help overcome the lack of a hotel, not having a hotel themselves will negatively impact their ability to maximize gaming revenue. The evaluation also notes robust competition from casinos just across the border in Missouri.
The consultants conclude that while Kansas Entertainment meets the basic requirements, their minimal amenity proposal in Phase 1 will not be sufficient to drive significantly more business above
This document provides projections for gaming revenue from a proposed Penn National casino in Cherokee County, Kansas. It summarizes Wells Gaming Research's methodology for the projections, which included using a proprietary gravity model to define the trade area and population data, and developing scenarios accounting for the casino's proposed size and location. It then provides details on the assumptions for the Penn National Cherokee casino, presents gaming visit and revenue projections under various scenarios from 2010-2012, and compares the projections to an existing nearby casino.
The document assesses the market potential for two proposed casino locations in the Southwest Gaming Zone of Kansas through an analysis of demographic data within 30, 60, and 100 mile radii of the sites, finding populations of over 43,000, 114,000, and 385,000 people respectively that could support various amenities proposed in each development proposal including hotels, restaurants, retail, and entertainment. Each proposal's amenity package is evaluated for its appropriateness to the local market characteristics and ability to maximize revenue, promote tourism, and best serve Kansas residents as outlined in the state's gaming legislation.
Civic Economics (Dan Houston, Matt Cunningham)krgc
The document analyzes the potential economic impacts of three proposed gaming facility projects in Kansas: Camptown, Kansas Crossing, and Castle Rock. It finds that Castle Rock would have the largest economic impact during construction, supporting over 900 jobs and contributing $134.2 million to total economic output. During operations in 2019, Castle Rock is estimated to support 584 jobs and contribute $72.9 million to economic output, more than the other two proposals. The analysis examines impacts from construction spending, facility operations, gaming revenues, and local resident spending.
This document provides an overview and analysis of projections for new casinos proposed in southeastern Kansas. It discusses the use of gravity models to project gaming revenues and financial performance based on location, size, competition and other factors. Specifically, it examines how spending declines with distance from a casino based on players' club and other data. Bigger casinos are generally better due to economies of scale. The presentation compares various existing casinos' "power ratings" which reflect their overall attractiveness based on revenues adjusted for location.
Under a baseline scenario, the document projects that Penn Sumner's proposed casino in Wellington, Kansas ("Penn Wellington") would generate total annual gaming revenues of $123.5 million once operations reach maturity. This is lower than projections for a competing proposed casino near Mulvane, Kansas ("Harrah's Mulvane") which is projected to generate $174 million. The document provides exhibits with details on the revenue projections, sources of consumer spending, and projected visitation for Penn Wellington and other existing and proposed casinos in Kansas.
The document provides projections for the likely gaming revenues of Penn Cherokee casino in Kansas. It includes exhibits showing baseline projections under a scenario with representative new gaming facilities in Kansas. The baseline projects Penn Cherokee will obtain $32 million in annual gaming revenues from 900 slot machines. Comparisons are made to Penn National's projections, which are higher, and lower and higher projection scenarios are also presented. Sources of consumer spending and visitation are broken down by location.
The document provides an update to methodology for projecting gaming revenues in Kansas. It refines analyses of other Midwest gaming facilities' performance and zeroes in on proposed Kansas sites. Exhibits show annual spending on slots and tables at other facilities, ranked by "power ratings" to estimate proposed Kansas facilities' likely performance based on location, size, and investment. The methodology focuses on local residents but assumes some facilities can attract more distant customers. Intangibles like branding and management are difficult to model but could impact projections.
The document provides projections for the performance of two proposed new gaming facilities in Kansas - Kansas Entertainment at the Kansas International Speedway and Chisholm Creek in south-central Kansas. Projections are provided under three scenarios for each facility: an initial phase, an alternative minimum scenario, and a fully built-out scenario. The projections are based on a gravity model that analyzes demographic data and gaming revenues from comparable existing facilities. The document summarizes that for Kansas Entertainment's initial phase, total gaming revenues are projected at $203 million compared to the applicant's projection of $220 million. For Chisholm Creek's initial phase, revenues are projected at $163 million compared to the applicant's $121 million. At full build
This document provides a draft report projecting gaming revenues for four gaming zones in Kansas. It uses a gravity model methodology to assess potential revenues based on population demographics and distances from existing and proposed casinos. Baseline projections assume new Kansas casinos will perform like Midwest standard facilities, while upside projections assume higher performance like recent Iowa facilities. The report's main findings estimate total annual taxable gaming revenues could be $669 million under baseline assumptions and $797 million under upside assumptions, excluding revenues from Native American casinos and one zone's casino of doubtful viability.
This document is a response from Cummings Associates to submissions from Global Gaming Solutions regarding revenue projections and the effects of distance on revenues. Cummings disagrees with some of Global Gaming's assertions, such as that the revenue differential between two proposed casino sites is mostly due to attractiveness rather than distance. Cummings also argues that survey data is not an accurate predictor of economic behavior like casino spending. Overall, Cummings believes distance has a larger impact on revenues than Global Gaming suggests, based on Cummings' analysis of casino performance data from multiple markets.
Kansas bid process economic dimensions final 10 16-09krgc
The document discusses how the economic recession of 2007-2009 significantly altered the environment for casino gaming and negatively impacted many major gaming companies. This changed environment reduced the number of qualified bidders for the remaining Lottery Gaming Facility licenses in Kansas from three to one in each zone. With only one bidder now, the state is disadvantaged as it loses bargaining power to extract "sweeteners" from competing bids that could enhance the value of the winning proposals. The underlying economic value of the gaming licenses, however, has not changed significantly.
The three proposed casino projects in Kansas Southeast Zone are similar in their Phase 1 concepts, having a minimum critical mass to win the bid but also achieve initial success. Camptown and Kansas Crossing propose smaller local casinos, while Castle Rock proposes a larger regional destination. All have similar potential for Phase 1 success despite different strengths and weaknesses. The key decision is whether to prefer two smaller local casinos or one larger regional casino. The regional casino has the greatest revenue potential but also the least room for error. The owner/team's ability to adapt may be more important than initial plans. However, the tax rate difference between Kansas and Oklahoma gives Oklahoma casinos an advantage in any marketing war.
This group of experienced regional casino developers and operators proposes to build Kansas Crossing casino and hotel in southeast Kansas. The development is expected to generate $69 million in initial construction spending, create hundreds of jobs, and generate $10 million annually for state and local governments through taxes. As the largest entertainment venue in the region, Kansas Crossing aims to boost tourism by attracting out-of-state visitors and partnering with local organizations to promote southeast Kansas.
This document summarizes Douglas Walker's presentation on forecasting economic impacts and competitive impacts of casinos in southeast Kansas. Some key points:
- Walker estimates that a new casino would result in a 9.9% increase in employment, 3.4% increase in average weekly wages, and 1.7% increase in the number of establishments in the county. Crawford County is estimated to see larger gains due to its larger population.
- 14 casinos in northeast Oklahoma located within 25 miles of the Kansas border could competitively impact the proposed southeast Kansas casinos. Walker uses a model of competition among Missouri casinos to analyze these competitive effects.
- Location and distance between casinos may impact competition based on Hot
The document provides an analysis of the potential fiscal impacts of three proposed gaming facilities - Camptown Casino, Kansas Crossing Casino, and Castle Rock Casino - in southeast Kansas. It summarizes the methodology used, including adjustments made to the revenue estimates provided by the applicants. Revenue estimates over 5 years are provided for the state of Kansas, local counties and cities, school districts, and other impacted entities. Estimated costs to local and state governments to provide services to each facility are also summarized. The analysis finds differences between the revenue and cost estimates provided by EEC and the original numbers submitted by the applicants.
Union Gaming Analytics was commissioned by the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board to evaluate three applicants for a gaming license in southeast Kansas. The analysis included projections for gross gaming revenue, visitation numbers, tax revenue, and economic impacts for each applicant. The methodology involved examining demographic data within drive time radii of the proposed sites, establishing a theoretical gaming market, and applying proprietary capture rates to project revenues and visitation from local, near-local, and regional populations. Consultants then evaluated the economic and fiscal impacts, amenities, and financial suitability of each applicant.
The document analyzes and evaluates the financial suitability of three applicants for a gaming license in Southeast Kansas: Frontenac Development, Castle Rock Casino Resort, and Kansas Crossing Casino. For each applicant, it summarizes the ownership structure, project budget, proposed financing sources, and Union Gaming's analysis and conclusion on their financial viability and ability to fund the projects. While Frontenac and Kansas Crossing were deemed sufficiently capitalized, Castle Rock's ability to obtain the required debt financing was called into question due to uncertainties around land valuation and high projected leverage.
Camptown Casino will be located in Frontenac, Kansas. It will include 750 slot machines, 20 table games, a 62-room hotel, and Gilley's Saloon entertainment venue. Phil Ruffin, an experienced casino operator, will personally finance the $84 million project. It is projected to create 300 jobs and attract nearly 1 million visitors annually from Missouri, Kansas, and other nearby states. Camptown aims to open sooner than competing proposals and will donate $50,000 annually to the local school district.
2015 LGFRB Presentation Castle Rock Casino Resort krgc
This document provides details about the proposed Castle Rock Casino Resort development project. It outlines the developers, architects, management company, contractors, and legal consultants involved. It also provides information on the size and amenities of the casino, hotel, meeting space, and other facilities. Projected revenues, taxes, employment, and visitation are presented. The management and development experience of the casino operator, American Casino and Entertainment Company, is summarized.
Global Gaming KS, LLC presented to the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board on their proposal for a gaming facility. They argued that their selected Exit 19 site is clean with infrastructure, has community support, and avoids legal issues. Their planned 260,000 square foot facility with hotel would open fully within 14 months. While an interim facility lacks appeal, their permanent destination-quality development would include restaurants, entertainment, and gaming expansion over time. They believe revenue differences between Exit 19 and 33 sites are negligible and addressed counterarguments.
The document discusses two proposed casino projects in Kansas - Kansas Star and WinSpirit. Kansas Star promises to invest $260 million, build amenities sooner including a 100,000 square foot event center and $25 million equestrian complex, and generate more gaming revenue, taxes, and jobs for the state. It argues Kansas Star's management team has more experience building and operating successful casino projects on time and on budget and will spend more on advertising to drive higher revenue. The document positions Kansas Star as the best and most lucrative choice for Kansas.
The document discusses the benefits of meditation for reducing stress and anxiety. Regular meditation practice can calm the mind and help prevent worrying thoughts. Meditation lowers stress levels in the body by reducing blood pressure and cortisol levels.
Dean Macomber summarizes his analysis of Global Gaming's proposal for a race track as a tourism generator. He finds that Global's projections of attracting a "Big Event" with 50,000-100,000 visitors are speculative given the limited number of comparable racing events and competition from existing tracks. Their projections of smaller events generating the remaining 50,000 visitors also seem aggressive. In contrast, an equestrian center like Peninsula proposes could attract equine, entertainment, and convention events more reliably as a tourism generator.
peninsula plans meet or exceed drainage standardskrgc
The document is a letter from Christopher Young, a civil engineering consultant, to the chairman of the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board regarding a proposed drainage system for a proposed Kansas Star Casino development. Young serves as the City Engineer for Mulvane, Kansas and has reviewed drainage plans submitted by the developer. He concludes that the proposed drainage improvements, including a detention pond facility, will meet or exceed the City of Mulvane's stormwater drainage policy by having outflow rates less than existing conditions for 2-, 5-, 10-, and 100-year storm events.
Under a baseline scenario, the document projects that Penn Sumner's proposed casino in Wellington, Kansas ("Penn Wellington") would generate total annual gaming revenues of $123.5 million once operations reach maturity. This is lower than projections for a competing proposed casino near Mulvane, Kansas ("Harrah's Mulvane") which is projected to generate $174 million. The document provides exhibits with details on the revenue projections, sources of consumer spending, and projected visitation for Penn Wellington and other existing and proposed casinos in Kansas.
The document provides projections for the likely gaming revenues of Penn Cherokee casino in Kansas. It includes exhibits showing baseline projections under a scenario with representative new gaming facilities in Kansas. The baseline projects Penn Cherokee will obtain $32 million in annual gaming revenues from 900 slot machines. Comparisons are made to Penn National's projections, which are higher, and lower and higher projection scenarios are also presented. Sources of consumer spending and visitation are broken down by location.
The document provides an update to methodology for projecting gaming revenues in Kansas. It refines analyses of other Midwest gaming facilities' performance and zeroes in on proposed Kansas sites. Exhibits show annual spending on slots and tables at other facilities, ranked by "power ratings" to estimate proposed Kansas facilities' likely performance based on location, size, and investment. The methodology focuses on local residents but assumes some facilities can attract more distant customers. Intangibles like branding and management are difficult to model but could impact projections.
The document provides projections for the performance of two proposed new gaming facilities in Kansas - Kansas Entertainment at the Kansas International Speedway and Chisholm Creek in south-central Kansas. Projections are provided under three scenarios for each facility: an initial phase, an alternative minimum scenario, and a fully built-out scenario. The projections are based on a gravity model that analyzes demographic data and gaming revenues from comparable existing facilities. The document summarizes that for Kansas Entertainment's initial phase, total gaming revenues are projected at $203 million compared to the applicant's projection of $220 million. For Chisholm Creek's initial phase, revenues are projected at $163 million compared to the applicant's $121 million. At full build
This document provides a draft report projecting gaming revenues for four gaming zones in Kansas. It uses a gravity model methodology to assess potential revenues based on population demographics and distances from existing and proposed casinos. Baseline projections assume new Kansas casinos will perform like Midwest standard facilities, while upside projections assume higher performance like recent Iowa facilities. The report's main findings estimate total annual taxable gaming revenues could be $669 million under baseline assumptions and $797 million under upside assumptions, excluding revenues from Native American casinos and one zone's casino of doubtful viability.
This document is a response from Cummings Associates to submissions from Global Gaming Solutions regarding revenue projections and the effects of distance on revenues. Cummings disagrees with some of Global Gaming's assertions, such as that the revenue differential between two proposed casino sites is mostly due to attractiveness rather than distance. Cummings also argues that survey data is not an accurate predictor of economic behavior like casino spending. Overall, Cummings believes distance has a larger impact on revenues than Global Gaming suggests, based on Cummings' analysis of casino performance data from multiple markets.
Kansas bid process economic dimensions final 10 16-09krgc
The document discusses how the economic recession of 2007-2009 significantly altered the environment for casino gaming and negatively impacted many major gaming companies. This changed environment reduced the number of qualified bidders for the remaining Lottery Gaming Facility licenses in Kansas from three to one in each zone. With only one bidder now, the state is disadvantaged as it loses bargaining power to extract "sweeteners" from competing bids that could enhance the value of the winning proposals. The underlying economic value of the gaming licenses, however, has not changed significantly.
The three proposed casino projects in Kansas Southeast Zone are similar in their Phase 1 concepts, having a minimum critical mass to win the bid but also achieve initial success. Camptown and Kansas Crossing propose smaller local casinos, while Castle Rock proposes a larger regional destination. All have similar potential for Phase 1 success despite different strengths and weaknesses. The key decision is whether to prefer two smaller local casinos or one larger regional casino. The regional casino has the greatest revenue potential but also the least room for error. The owner/team's ability to adapt may be more important than initial plans. However, the tax rate difference between Kansas and Oklahoma gives Oklahoma casinos an advantage in any marketing war.
This group of experienced regional casino developers and operators proposes to build Kansas Crossing casino and hotel in southeast Kansas. The development is expected to generate $69 million in initial construction spending, create hundreds of jobs, and generate $10 million annually for state and local governments through taxes. As the largest entertainment venue in the region, Kansas Crossing aims to boost tourism by attracting out-of-state visitors and partnering with local organizations to promote southeast Kansas.
This document summarizes Douglas Walker's presentation on forecasting economic impacts and competitive impacts of casinos in southeast Kansas. Some key points:
- Walker estimates that a new casino would result in a 9.9% increase in employment, 3.4% increase in average weekly wages, and 1.7% increase in the number of establishments in the county. Crawford County is estimated to see larger gains due to its larger population.
- 14 casinos in northeast Oklahoma located within 25 miles of the Kansas border could competitively impact the proposed southeast Kansas casinos. Walker uses a model of competition among Missouri casinos to analyze these competitive effects.
- Location and distance between casinos may impact competition based on Hot
The document provides an analysis of the potential fiscal impacts of three proposed gaming facilities - Camptown Casino, Kansas Crossing Casino, and Castle Rock Casino - in southeast Kansas. It summarizes the methodology used, including adjustments made to the revenue estimates provided by the applicants. Revenue estimates over 5 years are provided for the state of Kansas, local counties and cities, school districts, and other impacted entities. Estimated costs to local and state governments to provide services to each facility are also summarized. The analysis finds differences between the revenue and cost estimates provided by EEC and the original numbers submitted by the applicants.
Union Gaming Analytics was commissioned by the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board to evaluate three applicants for a gaming license in southeast Kansas. The analysis included projections for gross gaming revenue, visitation numbers, tax revenue, and economic impacts for each applicant. The methodology involved examining demographic data within drive time radii of the proposed sites, establishing a theoretical gaming market, and applying proprietary capture rates to project revenues and visitation from local, near-local, and regional populations. Consultants then evaluated the economic and fiscal impacts, amenities, and financial suitability of each applicant.
The document analyzes and evaluates the financial suitability of three applicants for a gaming license in Southeast Kansas: Frontenac Development, Castle Rock Casino Resort, and Kansas Crossing Casino. For each applicant, it summarizes the ownership structure, project budget, proposed financing sources, and Union Gaming's analysis and conclusion on their financial viability and ability to fund the projects. While Frontenac and Kansas Crossing were deemed sufficiently capitalized, Castle Rock's ability to obtain the required debt financing was called into question due to uncertainties around land valuation and high projected leverage.
Camptown Casino will be located in Frontenac, Kansas. It will include 750 slot machines, 20 table games, a 62-room hotel, and Gilley's Saloon entertainment venue. Phil Ruffin, an experienced casino operator, will personally finance the $84 million project. It is projected to create 300 jobs and attract nearly 1 million visitors annually from Missouri, Kansas, and other nearby states. Camptown aims to open sooner than competing proposals and will donate $50,000 annually to the local school district.
2015 LGFRB Presentation Castle Rock Casino Resort krgc
This document provides details about the proposed Castle Rock Casino Resort development project. It outlines the developers, architects, management company, contractors, and legal consultants involved. It also provides information on the size and amenities of the casino, hotel, meeting space, and other facilities. Projected revenues, taxes, employment, and visitation are presented. The management and development experience of the casino operator, American Casino and Entertainment Company, is summarized.
Global Gaming KS, LLC presented to the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board on their proposal for a gaming facility. They argued that their selected Exit 19 site is clean with infrastructure, has community support, and avoids legal issues. Their planned 260,000 square foot facility with hotel would open fully within 14 months. While an interim facility lacks appeal, their permanent destination-quality development would include restaurants, entertainment, and gaming expansion over time. They believe revenue differences between Exit 19 and 33 sites are negligible and addressed counterarguments.
The document discusses two proposed casino projects in Kansas - Kansas Star and WinSpirit. Kansas Star promises to invest $260 million, build amenities sooner including a 100,000 square foot event center and $25 million equestrian complex, and generate more gaming revenue, taxes, and jobs for the state. It argues Kansas Star's management team has more experience building and operating successful casino projects on time and on budget and will spend more on advertising to drive higher revenue. The document positions Kansas Star as the best and most lucrative choice for Kansas.
The document discusses the benefits of meditation for reducing stress and anxiety. Regular meditation practice can calm the mind and help prevent worrying thoughts. Meditation lowers stress levels in the body by reducing blood pressure and cortisol levels.
Dean Macomber summarizes his analysis of Global Gaming's proposal for a race track as a tourism generator. He finds that Global's projections of attracting a "Big Event" with 50,000-100,000 visitors are speculative given the limited number of comparable racing events and competition from existing tracks. Their projections of smaller events generating the remaining 50,000 visitors also seem aggressive. In contrast, an equestrian center like Peninsula proposes could attract equine, entertainment, and convention events more reliably as a tourism generator.
peninsula plans meet or exceed drainage standardskrgc
The document is a letter from Christopher Young, a civil engineering consultant, to the chairman of the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board regarding a proposed drainage system for a proposed Kansas Star Casino development. Young serves as the City Engineer for Mulvane, Kansas and has reviewed drainage plans submitted by the developer. He concludes that the proposed drainage improvements, including a detention pond facility, will meet or exceed the City of Mulvane's stormwater drainage policy by having outflow rates less than existing conditions for 2-, 5-, 10-, and 100-year storm events.
The memorandum summarizes a request from the Kansas Lottery Gaming Facility Review Board for additional information about two competing casino applications in Kansas. Specifically, it provides details about 1) drainage and flooding issues at the proposed sites, 2) local approvals and endorsements for the sites, and 3) the experience of one applicant, Peninsula Gaming, with regulatory bodies in other states where criminal charges have been filed against the company and its executives related to campaign contributions. It concludes that the significant risks associated with approving Peninsula's application, including possible disqualification or inability to finance the project, outweigh any potential benefits over the other applicant, Global.
The marketing plan outlines a soft opening period followed by a grand opening 90 days later for a new casino in Sumner County, Kansas. The $1 million budget will be used for advertising, promotions, and community events to generate awareness and excitement. Key objectives include building a local player base within 100 miles, attracting travelers on Interstate 35, and establishing the casino as a new entertainment destination through gaming, restaurants, a hotel, and live entertainment events.
- The proposed Kansas Star Casino development will include new drainage infrastructure to improve drainage conditions for surrounding landowners.
- Runoff from the development and surrounding areas will be conveyed via three new swales to a 29.8-acre dry bottom detention basin located at the southeast corner of the site.
- Water in the detention basin will drain by gravity and pumping to existing culverts under 140th Avenue at a rate of 25 cfs or less, which is less than the culverts' capacity. This will ensure no adverse impacts from increased runoff.
lottery response re question from review board re peninsula's timelines exh...krgc
The document is an email from Keith Kocher of the Kansas Lottery providing comments on a timeline exhibit comparing the investment plans of two casino applicants - Kansas Star and WinSpirit. The summary includes:
1) The timelines appear fairly accurate but some clarifications are provided, including minor adjustments to WinSpirit's construction timeline and clarifying dates as maximums.
2) Some of WinSpirit's scheduled investments do not have corresponding dollar amounts in their contract.
3) The term "Tribal Gaming Facility" has a specific definition in WinSpirit's contract relating to location, ownership, and number of gaming devices.
The document is a response letter from an organization to the Kansas Racing and Gaming Commission addressing follow-up questions from a previous presentation. It provides data on gaming hold percentages, customer satisfaction and loyalty rates, travel patterns to an existing casino, and proposes plans to include a racetrack at a new facility to attract additional customers. Supporting research is presented showing auto racing fans are also likely to participate in gaming.
1. Cummings Associates
Projections for the
Likely Gaming Revenues of
Marvel Gaming, LLC
(“Marvel Wellington”)
DRAFT
July 16, 2008
135 Jason Street, Arlington, Massachusetts 02476
Telephone: 781.641.1215 - Fax: 641.0954 - e-mail: cummingsw@aol.com
2. DRAFT
Projections for Likely Gaming Revenues of
Marvel Gaming, LLC (“Marvel Wellington”)
Exhibit 1 presents a full set of Baseline projections (“most likely future” scenario regarding
competition, including other facilities in Kansas) with Marvel’s Wellington property highlighted
in light yellow. I have developed these projections assuming a representative selection of
facilities in the other gaming zones so as to capture their (very modest) impacts on each property
that I examine here. I have also assumed the specific location, size and configuration of the
casino facility proposed by Marvel.
Under this scenario, Marvel’s Trailhead casino near Wellington is projected to obtain total
annual gaming revenues of $130.2 million. (This compares with Penn Sumner, also near
Wellington, at $123.5 million, and Harrah’s Mulvane at $174 million.)
As in my previous report, these projections are presented as of “maturity,” a.k.a. “stabilized
operations,” in terms of 2007 dollars. To get to then-year dollars, I would assume escalation of
2.5% per year. This reflects nominal income growth / inflation at two percent per annum plus
adult population growth averaging 0.5% per year.
In 2014, for example, my projections would equate to $154.7 million in gaming win. This
compares with Marvel’s projection of $251.1 million in slot and table gaming revenues for its
Fiscal Year 3. (I have omitted the $7.1 million that Marvel projects for poker revenues from this
comparison.)
A new addition to this type of exhibit is presented at the bottom. On the first line are
projections for the spending of all the residents of Kansas on gaming, first at Kansas casinos, then
to casinos in other states, and finally in total. The second line indicates the estimated spending of
the residents of other states at the gaming facilities of Kansas. Kansas’s “balance of trade” can
be found by netting the diagonal entries: in this case, $199 million spent by Kansans in nearby
states versus $195.6 million spent by others in Kansas, resulting in a net outflow of $3.4 million
from the State of Kansas.1
Exhibit 2 presents detail for the sources of consumer spending at each facility in Kansas.
Exhibit 3 presents corresponding detail regarding visitation.
Exhibit 4 presents a graphic comparison of my projections versus those of the proponent. I
have inflated my 2007-dollar projections by the aforesaid 2.5% per year, and ignored partial years
1
Ignoring, as before, minor amounts spent in Nevada, Atlantic City, on cruise ships, etc. For these
calculations I have also assumed that all the “drive-by” revenues at the facilities on Interstate
Highways derive from the residents of other states, though some portion will indeed likely come from
Kansans.
Cummings Associates
3. DRAFT 2
of operation (as well as all receipts from poker and other non-banked card games, which are
projected by Marvel to rise from $6 million to $7.9 million over this period).
Exhibit 5 is similar except that my projections have been inflated at the rate that the
proponent appears to assume for “organic” growth in the outyears. For Marvel, this is 5%.2
I
have done this in order to maximize comparability with the applicant by removing this source of
difference between our projections. I believe, however, that the 2.5% rate is more appropriate.
There are very few markets in the Midwest where total gaming receipts increased at a greater rate
in the good years prior to 2007 without substantial additions to capacity or major renovations that
improved quality. When everything else remained equal, most markets in the Midwest grew 2-
3% per year in the early 00s, so I believe that is the most reasonable assumption for the future –
after we recover from the current recession.
Section A then provides detail regarding my analyses and projections “as was” in 2007, i.e.,
with no change in competition from that year – aside from a representative selection of gaming
facilities elsewhere in Kansas. I think most of the proponents would have assumed some such
competition (which, however, likely had less impact on their projections than it does on mine).
Section B provides further detail regarding my Baseline projections. It is from this section
that the leading Exhibits 1, 2 and 3 were extracted (duplicated here as B-3, B-3A, and B-3B,
respectively).
Comparisons of various types are presented in Section C. The three casinos proposed for
Sumner County are compared against each other at a “standard size” so as to extract the
differences due to location alone. As indicated in Exhibit C-4, this leaves Harrah’s Mulvane with
a substantial advantage over either of the two facilities proposed near Wellington. And for each
proponent, I have matched their own projections with my model so as to determine the effective
“power rating” that they implicitly assert. As of what looks to me like the first full year of
stabilized operations, Harrah's slot projections weigh in at 123, Penn Wellington’s at 131, and
Marvel’s at 134. These are all unusually high. (Penn Cherokee is actually the least aggressive, at
116-126.)
Section D presents my “low” projection, and Section E my “high” (formerly “downside”
and “upside,” respectively. I changed the names so as to reduce impressions that they may
represent either a floor or ceiling.)
I also present corresponding detail from the separate slot and table models that combine to
yield my projections in total. The zone in which this disaggregation really matters is the
Southeast: I’m projecting table revenues to be strong there due to the absence of craps, roulette,
and banked table games at the casinos of Oklahoma. This also has positive impacts here in the
South-Central Zone, but to a much more modest extent. If Oklahoma table players always had to
2
Through Marvel’s Fiscal Year 5. Marvel testified in Belle Plain that they used 3% for the following
years when comparing their 15-year projections against those of the other applicants.
Cummings Associates
4. DRAFT 3
pay an ante, Kansas games would be substantially more attractive, but as we saw at Downstream
last week, that’s not necessarily the case. Downstream (and at least one other Oklahoma casino)
appear to be foregoing the antes in order to build their business. I presume that the Oklahoma
casinos nearest the South-Central Zone would do the same when faced with competition from
Trailhead or any other new casino here.
I had also formerly assumed that the table situation in Oklahoma would reduce the power
ratings of their slots by five points when “real” table games appeared in Kansas. I’m now
assuming just two points for this effect, so there is little (additional) benefit for Trailhead other
than the superiority of its table games in their own right.
In sum, my projections for the casino that Marvel has proposed near Wellington are
substantially lower than Marvel’s own, and also lower than my projections for the facility that
Harrah’s has proposed near Mulvane.3
Based on my experience and my analyses of other
markets, my gravity models indicate that other things being equal, Harrah’s location roughly 11
minutes closer to the vast majority of the population in the market would elicit considerably more
consumer spending than either of the locations proposed at Wellington.
3
The models indicate that Marvel’s gaming revenues would likely exceed Penn National’s primarily
due to its larger size: 2,000 slots and 65 table games versus 1,500 slots, at the outset, and 40 table
games for Penn.
Cummings Associates
5. Cummings Associates
Projections for the
Likely Gaming Revenues of
Marvel Gaming, LLC
(“Marvel Wellington”)
Exhibits
DRAFT
July 16, 2008
135 Jason Street, Arlington, Massachusetts 02476
Telephone: 781.641.1215 - Fax: 641.0954 - e-mail: cummingsw@aol.com
6. DRAFT
List of Exhibits
Exhibit
1 Marvel Wellington Baseline
2 Detail for Sources of Consumer Spending
3 Detail for Visitation by Source
4 Marvel's Projections vs. Cummings's (2.5% escalation)
5 Marvel's Projections vs. Cummings's (5% escalation)
Section A: "As Was" Projections
A-1 "As Was" 2007 -- Before Any New Facilities
A-2 "As Was" 2007 -- w Potential New Kansas Facilities Elsewhere
A-3 Marvel "As Was" 2007 (with New Kansas Facilities)
Section B: Baseline (Likely Future) Projections
B-1 Likely Future / Baseline -- with New Facilities Elsewhere
B-2 Likely Future / Baseline -- with New Facilities Elsewhere AND KS
B-2A Detail for Sources of Consumer Spending
B-3 Marvel Wellington Baseline
B-3A Detail for Sources of Consumer Spending
B-3B Detail for Visitation by Source
Section C: Comparative Projections
C-1 Marvel Wellington at Standard Size / Baseline Competition
C-2 Penn Wellington at Standard Size / Baseline Competition
C-3 Harrah's Mulvane at Standard Size / Baseline Competition
C-4 Summary: South-Central Proponents All at Standard Size
C-5 Marvel's Slots and Tables Match Marvel's Projections
Section D: "Low" Projections
D Marvel Wellington "Low"
Section E: "High" Projections
E Marvel Wellington "High"
(Similar sets of exhibits follow for slots and tables)
Cummings Associates
7. DRAFT
Exhibit 1: Gaming Revenue Projections ($mn / 2007$)
Marvel Wellington Baseline
# Slots Power Slot Win win/slot/day Total Win
Gaming Facility / Location: Rating ($mn) ($mn)
Woodlands 800 95 $25.3 $87 $25.3
KCK Speedway 3,000 102 $191.9 $175 $233.5
KCK Stateline
KCK Middle
Camptown 600 102 $24.1 $110 $24.1
Penn Cherokee 900 102 $26.1 $79 $32.0
Harrahs Mulvane
Penn Wellington
Marvel Wellington 2,000 110 $111.5 $153 $130.2
Dodge City 800 112 $34.9 $120 $39.8
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal Kansas Taxable 8,100 $413.9 $140 $485.0
KCK 7th Street 450 78 $13.8 $84 $13.8
4 Northeast KS Natives 3,293 117 $145.6 $121 $163.3
---------- ---------- ----------
Total Kansas 11,843 $573.3 $133 $662.0
memo: Northeast Zone 3,800 $217.3 $157 $258.9
memo: Southeast Zone 1,500 $50.2 $92 $56.2
memo: South Central Zone 2,000 $111.5 $153 $130.2
Argosy Riverside 1,969 97.2 $113.7 $158 $124.3
IOC KC 1,330 80.9 $56.2 $116 $60.7
Harrahs NKC 1,783 103.5 $131.3 $202 $149.0
Ameristar KC 3,012 98.6 $172.6 $157 $193.7
Sugar Creek
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal KCMO 8,094 $473.8 $160 $527.7
Greater KC Total 12,344 $704.9 $156 $800.3
Greater Joplin Total 9,463 $196.0 $57 $210.5
Greater Wichita Total 6,632 $192.4 $79 $213.6
Total Casino Spending: to Kansas to Others Total KS
from Kansas ($mn) $466.4 $199.0 $665.5
from Others ( " ) $195.6
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
Cummings Associates
10. DRAFT
Cummings Associates
Exhibit 4: Marvel's Wellington Projections vs. Cummings's (2.5% escalation)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Note: Cummings projections are for "stabilized operations." Marvel's are for FY ending Sept. 30.
Slot+TableWin(notinc.poker)($mn)
Marvel
C Low
C Base
C High
11. DRAFT
Cummings Associates
Exhibit 5: Marvel's Wellington Projections vs. Cummings's (5% escalation)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Note: Cummings projections are for "stabilized operations." Marvel's are for FY ending Sept. 30.
Slot+TableWin(notinc.poker)($mn)
Marvel
C Low
C Base
C High
12. DRAFT
A. "As Was" Projections
Marvel Wellington
DRAFT
July 16, 2008
Cummings Associates
13. DRAFT
Exhibit A-1: Analysis in Brief ($mn / 2007$)
"As Was" 2007 -- Before Any New Facilities
# Slots Power Slot Win win/slot/day Total Win
Gaming Facility / Location: Rating ($mn) ($mn)
Woodlands
KCK Speedway
KCK Stateline
KCK Middle
Camptown
Penn Cherokee
Harrahs Mulvane
Penn Wellington
Marvel Wellington
Dodge City
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal Kansas Taxable 0 $0.0 $0.0
KCK 7th Street
4 Northeast KS Natives 2,693 117 $167.8 $171 $195.1
---------- ---------- ----------
Total Kansas 2,693 $167.8 $171 $195.1
memo: Northeast Zone
memo: Southeast Zone
memo: South Central Zone
Argosy Riverside 1,969 97.2 $164.2 $228 $182.0
IOC KC 1,523 78.9 $77.3 $139 $83.8
Harrahs NKC 1,783 103.5 $175.4 $270 $202.3
Ameristar KC 3,012 98.6 $222.5 $202 $252.6
Sugar Creek
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal KCMO 8,287 $639.4 $211 $720.7
Greater KC Total 8,287 $639.4 $211 $720.7
Greater Joplin Total 4,242 $138.8 $90 $145.6
Greater Wichita Total 3,632 $112.3 $85 $116.2
Total Casino Spending: to Kansas to Others Total KS
from Kansas ($mn) $145.1 $377.4 $522.5
from Others ( " ) $50.0
Cummings Associates
14. DRAFT
Exhibit A-2: Gaming Revenue Projections ($mn / 2007$)
"As Was" 2007 -- w Potential New Kansas Facilities Elsewhere
# Slots Power Slot Win win/slot/day Total Win
Gaming Facility / Location: Rating ($mn) ($mn)
Woodlands 800 95 $26.4 $90 $26.4
KCK Speedway 3,000 102 $201.2 $184 $245.4
KCK Stateline
KCK Middle
Camptown 600 102 $28.8 $131 $28.8
Penn Cherokee 900 102 $42.2 $128 $51.2
Harrahs Mulvane
Penn Wellington
Marvel Wellington
Dodge City 800 112 $40.0 $137 $46.3
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal Kansas Taxable 6,100 $338.5 $152 $397.9
KCK 7th Street
4 Northeast KS Natives 2,693 117 $144.2 $147 $164.7
---------- ---------- ----------
Total Kansas 8,793 $482.7 $150 $562.6
memo: Northeast Zone 3,800 $227.6 $164 $271.7
memo: Southeast Zone 1,500 $70.9 $130 $79.9
memo: South Central Zone
Argosy Riverside 1,969 97.2 $118.6 $165 $129.5
IOC KC 1,523 78.9 $59.7 $107 $64.2
Harrahs NKC 1,783 103.5 $136.7 $210 $155.1
Ameristar KC 3,012 98.6 $179.0 $163 $200.7
Sugar Creek
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal KCMO 8,287 $494.1 $163 $549.6
Greater KC Total 12,087 $721.6 $164 $821.3
Greater Joplin Total 5,742 $184.0 $88 $199.1
Greater Wichita Total 3,632 $107.2 $81 $110.6
Total Casino Spending: to Kansas to Others Total KS
from Kansas ($mn) $373.0 $242.2 $615.3
from Others ( " ) $189.6
Cummings Associates
15. DRAFT
Exhibit A-3: Gaming Revenue Projections ($mn / 2007$)
Marvel "As Was" 2007 (with New Kansas Facilities)
# Slots Power Slot Win win/slot/day Total Win
Gaming Facility / Location: Rating ($mn) ($mn)
Woodlands 800 95 $26.2 $90 $26.2
KCK Speedway 3,000 102 $198.9 $182 $241.0
KCK Stateline
KCK Middle
Camptown 600 102 $28.0 $128 $28.0
Penn Cherokee 900 102 $41.3 $126 $49.8
Harrahs Mulvane
Penn Wellington
Marvel Wellington 2,000 110 $120.2 $165 $140.1
Dodge City 800 112 $35.5 $122 $40.4
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal Kansas Taxable 8,100 $450.2 $152 $525.5
KCK 7th Street
4 Northeast KS Natives 2,693 117 $138.3 $141 $156.2
---------- ---------- ----------
Total Kansas 10,793 $588.5 $149 $681.7
memo: Northeast Zone 3,800 $225.1 $162 $267.2
memo: Southeast Zone 1,500 $69.3 $127 $77.8
memo: South Central Zone 2,000 $120.2 $165 $140.1
Argosy Riverside 1,969 97.2 $117.7 $164 $128.3
IOC KC 1,523 78.9 $59.6 $107 $64.1
Harrahs NKC 1,783 103.5 $135.6 $208 $153.5
Ameristar KC 3,012 98.6 $177.8 $162 $199.0
Sugar Creek
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal KCMO 8,287 $490.6 $162 $544.9
Greater KC Total 12,087 $715.7 $162 $812.0
Greater Joplin Total 5,742 $180.3 $86 $194.7
Greater Wichita Total 5,632 $196.7 $96 $218.6
Total Casino Spending: to Kansas to Others Total KS
from Kansas ($mn) $475.5 $191.4 $666.9
from Others ( " ) $206.2
Cummings Associates
16. DRAFT
B. Baseline (Likely Future) Projections
Marvel Wellington
DRAFT
July 16, 2008
Cummings Associates
17. DRAFT
Exhibit B-1: Gaming Revenue Projections ($mn / 2007$)
Likely Future / Baseline -- with New Facilities Elsewhere
# Slots Power Slot Win win/slot/day Total Win
Gaming Facility / Location: Rating ($mn) ($mn)
Woodlands
KCK Speedway
KCK Stateline
KCK Middle
Camptown
Penn Cherokee
Harrahs Mulvane
Penn Wellington
Marvel Wellington
Dodge City
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal Kansas Taxable 0 $0.0 $0.0
KCK 7th Street
4 Northeast KS Natives 3,293 117 $174.0 $145 $200.4
---------- ---------- ----------
Total Kansas 3,293 $174.0 $145 $200.4
memo: Northeast Zone
memo: Southeast Zone
memo: South Central Zone
Argosy Riverside 1,969 97.2 $162.2 $226 $179.8
IOC KC 1,330 80.9 $75.1 $155 $81.6
Harrahs NKC 1,783 103.5 $172.9 $266 $199.3
Ameristar KC 3,012 98.6 $219.4 $200 $249.0
Sugar Creek
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal KCMO 8,094 $629.5 $213 $709.7
Greater KC Total 8,094 $629.5 $213 $709.7
Greater Joplin Total 7,963 $177.3 $61 $186.8
Greater Wichita Total 4,632 $114.1 $67 $118.5
Total Casino Spending: to Kansas to Others Total KS
from Kansas ($mn) $145.4 $381.0 $526.5
from Others ( " ) $55.0
Cummings Associates
18. DRAFT
Exhibit B-2: Gaming Revenue Projections ($mn / 2007$)
Likely Future / Baseline -- with New Facilities Elsewhere AND KS
# Slots Power Slot Win win/slot/day Total Win
Gaming Facility / Location: Rating ($mn) ($mn)
Woodlands 800 95 $25.5 $87 $25.5
KCK Speedway 3,000 102 $193.5 $177 $236.9
KCK Stateline
KCK Middle
Camptown 600 102 $24.6 $112 $24.6
Penn Cherokee 900 102 $26.6 $81 $32.9
Harrahs Mulvane
Penn Wellington
Marvel Wellington
Dodge City 800 112 $38.3 $131 $44.5
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal Kansas Taxable 6,100 $308.5 $139 $364.4
KCK 7th Street 450 78 $13.8 $84 $13.8
4 Northeast KS Natives 3,293 117 $150.3 $125 $170.2
---------- ---------- ----------
Total Kansas 9,843 $472.6 $132 $548.4
memo: Northeast Zone 3,800 $219.0 $158 $262.4
memo: Southeast Zone 1,500 $51.2 $94 $57.5
memo: South Central Zone
Argosy Riverside 1,969 97.2 $114.4 $159 $125.2
IOC KC 1,330 80.9 $56.3 $116 $60.8
Harrahs NKC 1,783 103.5 $132.1 $203 $150.2
Ameristar KC 3,012 98.6 $173.5 $158 $195.0
Sugar Creek
---------- ---------- ----------
Subtotal KCMO 8,094 $476.3 $161 $531.1
Greater KC Total 12,344 $709.0 $157 $807.3
Greater Joplin Total 9,463 $200.1 $58 $215.5
Greater Wichita Total 4,632 $110.1 $65 $113.8
Total Casino Spending: to Kansas to Others Total KS
from Kansas ($mn) $367.7 $246.6 $614.2
from Others ( " ) $180.7
Cummings Associates