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Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management LtdAxis Direct
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Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management LtdAxis Direct
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Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
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Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
Axis Direct presents daily derivatives report presenting recommendations based on technical analysis. For trading in derivatives visit https://simplehai.axisdirect.in/offerings/products/derivatives
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2. 2
Pick of the Week
Scrip
Mcap
(Rs Cr)
CMP
Target
Price *
Potential
Upside (%)
Reco
MOLD-TEK PACKAGING LTD 771 278 320 15.0% Buy
In an ever-changing business environment, some of our investment ideas seem more convincing than others due to better
earning visibility and/or attractive valuation. Every Monday, we bring you such fundamental stock ideas through our “Pick
of the Week” report.
Investment Horizon: Though the ideal investment horizon for such ideas remain 6-9 months, our picks may provide some profit-making
opportunities even to short-term investors.
Risk-Return Profile: Pick of the week ideas are the best high return research ideas at this point in time.
* Note: Investment horizon Approx. 6-9 months., CMP as on 22nd September, 2017.
3. 3
MOLD-TEK PACKAGING LTD
CMP Target
278 320
Source: Axis Securities, Bloomberg, Capitaline
Financial Summary
Investment Rationale
Increasing IML revenue share, GST impacting pails: Revenue share from high margin IML was on an
increasing trend. It crossed 50% for the first time in Q4FY17 and reached an all time high of 54.5% in
Q1FY18. Paints and lubes (pails) volumes declined 4% and 11% respectively in Q1FY18 on a Y-o-Y basis
mainly because of the GST related destocking exercise carried out by its clients. With GST impact getting
absorbed & normal demand patterns establishing, we expect good volume growth in pails in H2FY18. Total
volume for Q1FY18 stood at 4900mT. Despite volume dip of 6%, standalone MTPL posted 6.3% growth in
top-line and 1.3% growth in bottom-line with highest ever EBITDA of Rs 33/Kg in Q1FY18 vs. Rs28/kg Y-o-Y
(standalone EBITDA margins of 18.5% vs. 17.6% Y-o-Y) which can be attributed to the tremendous growth in
the Food and FMCG segment.
Expanding revenue share in Food & FMCG space: MTPL has launched various products in Food & FMCG
(F&F) space to capture huge untapped market. MTPL is likely to benefit from structural shift from tin
packaging to IML container and has received good response from F&F companies like Mondelez (Cadbury),
P&G, Britannia, etc. The company has gained traction in commercial supplies of IML Containers for new
brand chocolates ‘Dairy Milk Lickables’ recently launched by Mondelez. Mondelez contributed Rs 4-5 Cr to
the company’s revenues in FY17 and is expected to add Rs 30-35 Cr revenues in FY18E.
Capacity expansion in pails and F&F to aid volume growth: Company is expanding its Food and FMCG
capacity at Hyderabad which will increase capacity from 1400 tonnes to 3000 tonnes. This would take
MTPL’s total capacity (including pails, F&F, RAK) to ~32,000 tonnes by FY18E.
We maintain a BUY with a target of Rs 320
MARKET DATA
No. of Shares : 2.77 cr
Market Cap : Rs 771 Cr
52-week High / Low : Rs 337 / 162
BSE Code : 533080
NSE Code : MOLDTKPAC
Y/E Mar Sales
(Rs Cr)
Adj PAT
(Rs Cr)
RoE
(%)
RoCE
(%)
FY16 276 24 13.9 7.4
FY17 309 24 13.2 20.4
FY18E 365 31 15.1 23.8
4. 4
Performance
Note : performance of the pick of the week is calculated for stocks recommended Sep-16 To May-17
No of Stocks Matrix
No of Stocks < 9m >9m
Met Target 46 -
Not Met Target 4 3
Performance Matrix
% Return < 9m >9m
Met Target 13.95% -
Not Met Target (20.76%) (18.45%)
Benchmark Performance Matrix
% Return < 9m >9m
Met Target 2.67% -
Not Met Target 14.53% 15.59%
5. 5
Disclaimer
Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
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6. 6
Disclaimer
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DEFINITION OF RATINGS
Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12 months
BUY More than 10%
HOLD Between 10% and -10%
SELL Less than -10%