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MIREC Week 2016
Hilton hotel, Mexico City
www.caaapital.com
Franco Capurro
Chief Executive
PPA
Dollar vs. Peso
www.caaapital.com
BENEFITS
OF
DOLLAR
PPA’s
www.caaapital.com
FIRST,
MOST BANKS
HAVE PESOS OR
DOLLARS?
www.caaapital.com
MOST
INTERNATIONAL
BANKS HAVE
DOLLARS
www.caaapital.com
DEBT IN DOLLARS:
MORE & CHEAPER
www.caaapital.com
INTEREST RATE
USD:
LIBOR + 2% = 3%
www.caaapital.com
INTEREST RATE
PESOS:
TIE + 3.5% = 7%
www.caaapital.com
INTEREST RATE
PESO
7%
DOLLAR
3%
www.caaapital.com
( THE SAME APPLIES
TO EQUITY )
www.caaapital.com
WHY MOST PPA’s
ARE IN PESOS?
www.caaapital.com
MOST MEXICAN
COMPANIES HAVE
REVENUE IN
PESOS
www.caaapital.com
DEBT & PPA,
SHOULD BE IN THE
SAME CURRENCY
www.caaapital.comwww.caaapital.com
WHY?
CURRENCY
VOLATILITY RISK
UNDER
SELF-SUPPLY SYSTEM
MOST PPA’s WERE IN
PESOS
www.caaapital.com
FINANCING LIMITED TO:
MEX. DEV. BANKS
COMM. BANK (BANORTE).
FEW INTERNATIONAL BANKS
WITH ACCESS TO PESO
www.caaapital.com
EXCEPTIONS:
1. COMPANIES WITH
REVENUE IN DOLLARS,
COULD SIGN DOLLAR
PPA’s
www.caaapital.com
EXEPTIONS:
2. USD PPAS SIGNED BY
LARGE MULTINATIONAL
COMPANIES
i.e. Eurus in Oaxaca &
La Bufa in Zacatecas
EVOLUTION:
UNDER MEXICO’S NEW REGIME
OPTIONS:
1. PRIVATE PPA
2. AUCTION (USD OR
PESO PPA)
Let’s
Not forget
bilateral PPA’s
in pesos
Because most
projects will not win
the CFE auction
(Only 16 of 81 projects won in
the 1st Auction)
Using
private pesos PPA’s
can offer important
advantages…
Using Mexican law
generates
lower legal fees
& faster closing
Banobras can commit to
large amounts of
debt on its own
& syndicate later
& probably offer
higher returns
than via the Auction
In the Auction,
USD PPA
is the
WINNER
But in the private market,
Peso PPA
Is WINS
(if you can get a PPA)
Our Industry
Has Changed…
Let’s
#RethinkProjectFinance
Access
+Projects
+Financing
+PPA
www.caaapital.com

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Mirec 2016_PPA Dollar vs. Peso_Presentation_Caaapital

Editor's Notes

  1. Tenet Debt to a project and its PPA should be in the same currency Most PPAs under Self-Supply system are in Mexican pesos Peso project financing limited to Mexican development banks, a commercial bank (BANORTE), few international banks with access to MXP Hence primarily MXP debt Exceptions Tariff or capacity payments pegged to oil or gas prices, hence some USD debt in the mix OK USD PPAs signed by large multinational companies (Ex. CEMEX - Acciona’s Eurus project in Oaxaca, Volkswagen – La Bufa project in Zacatecas) Company’s revenues and expenses should be matched in currency Company’s earnings from exports in hard currency might benefit from USD PPAs Benefits Open financing to more banks than under a Peso PPA Reduced cost of financing
  2. Company’s earnings from exports in hard currency might benefit from USD PPAs
  3. USD PPAs signed by large multinational companies (Ex. CEMEX - Acciona’s Eurus project in Oaxaca, Volkswagen – La Bufa project in Zacatecas)