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Lecture 21
Macroeconomics
Banananomics
You have 10 people on your island
and a banana costs $1.00
Your grocery bill is $10.00
You have 10 people on your island
and a banana costs $1.00
Your grocery bill is $10.00
Population has grown by 70% to
17 people.
You have 10 people on your island
and a banana costs $1.00
Your grocery bill is $10.00
Population has grown by 70% to
17 people.
The price of bananas has declined
by 70%
You have 10 people on your island
and a banana costs $1.00
Your grocery bill is $10.00
Population has grown by 70% to
17 people.
The price of bananas has declined
by 70%
You have 10 people on your island
and a banana costs $1.00
Your grocery bill is $10.00
Population has grown by 70% to
17 people.
The price of bananas has declined
by 70%
How much is your grocery bill?
10 x $1.00 = $10.00
17 x $0.30 = $5.10
49% drop
Three Prices
Nominal Price
Three Prices
Nominal Price
Real Price
Three Prices
Nominal Price
Real Price
Three Prices
Dollars and Cents
Nominal Price
Real Price
Three Prices
Dollars and Cents
Time Price
Nominal Price
Real Price
Three Prices
Dollars and Cents
Hours and Minutes
Time Price
Nominal Price
Nominal Price $
Nominal Price $
Real Price
Nominal Price $
$Real Price
Nominal Price $
$Real Price
÷
Nominal Price $
$
Inflation Rate
Real Price
÷
Nominal Price
Real Price
Nominal Price
Real Price
Time Price
Time Price
How long do I have to work to earn
the money to buy the item?
Time Price
Real Price
How long do I have to work to earn
the money to buy the item?
Time Price
$Real Price
How long do I have to work to earn
the money to buy the item?
Time Price
$Real Price
How long do I have to work to earn
the money to buy the item?
Time Price
$Real Price
Hourly Income
How long do I have to work to earn
the money to buy the item?
Time Price
$Real Price
Hourly Income
How long do I have to work to earn
the money to buy the item?
Things can get cheaper in two ways
The price
can go down
Things can get cheaper in two ways
The price
can go down
Things can get cheaper in two ways
The price
can go down
Things can get cheaper in two ways
or
The price
can go down
Things can get cheaper in two ways
Your hourly
income can
go up
or
The price
can go down
Things can get cheaper in two ways
Your hourly
income can
go up
or
Time
Price
Time
Price
Time
Price
minutes
Time
Price
=
minutes
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
minutes
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
minutes
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
120
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
120
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
60
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
60
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
Hourly
Income
minutes
30
Money
Price
Time
Price
=
$500
Per Hour
$10
50
Hours
=
$450
Per Hour
$15
30
Hours
Year
1986
2018
% Change
Year
1986
2018
% Change
Time Price
3.21
2.14
-33.3%
Year
1986
2018
% Change
Time Price
3.21
2.14
-33.3%
Population
240
329
37.1%
Year
1986
2018
% Change
Time Price
3.21
2.14
-33.3%
Population
240
329
37.1%
Total Cost
770.40
704.06
-8.6%
Chapter 18
Chapter 18
Fiscal Policy
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Aggregate Demand
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Aggregate Demand
Lower Taxes and/or Increase Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Aggregate Demand
Lower Taxes and/or Increase Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Aggregate Demand
Lower Taxes and/or Increase Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Unemployment
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Aggregate Demand
Lower Taxes and/or Increase Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Inflation
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Decrease Aggregate Demand
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Inflation
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Decrease Aggregate Demand
Raise Taxes and/or Decrease Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Inflation
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Decrease Aggregate Demand
Raise Taxes and/or Decrease Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
Aggregate
Demand
17
Inflation
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Decrease Aggregate Demand
Raise Taxes and/or Decrease Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Inflation
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Decrease Aggregate Demand
Raise Taxes and/or Decrease Spending
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Where does
government get
money?
Where does
government get
money?
Crowding Out
More Taxes
More Taxes
Cancel
More Taxes
Cancel
No effect
More Borrowing
More Borrowing
Crowding Out
More Borrowing
Crowding Out
Increase interest
rates
Lower Taxes
Lower Taxes
People may just save
more and not spend
More Spending
More Spending
Now get free stuff.
More Spending
Now get free stuff.
No new spending
Get a free iPhone
Get a free iPhone
But your taxes
will go up to
pay for it
Get a free iPhone
But your taxes
will go up to
pay for it
No change in total
spending
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Tax Rate %
$
Tax
Revenue
Laffer Curve
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Dropped Top Marginal
Income Tax Rate
from 70% to 28%
Supply Side Tax
Changes
Supply Side Tax
Changes
Lower marginal tax
rates incentivize people
to work more and firms
to create more.
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
P3
P4
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
P3
P4
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
P3
Inflation and
Recession
P4
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Fiscal Policy and Negative Supply Shock
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P2
P3
Inflation and
Recession
Stagflation
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Lower Prices
P3
Price
Level
Real GDP orY
Increase Long Run Aggregate Supply
Lower Marginal Tax Rates
18
Long Run
Aggregate
Supply
Short Run
Aggregate
Supply
19
P1
Aggregate
Demand
17
Lower Prices
Increase
Output
Time Lags
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Congress approve
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Congress approve
Effect lag
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Congress approve
Effect lag
Take 1- 3 years
Time Lags
Do you really know?
Congress approve
Effect lag
Take 1- 3 years
Counterproductive
Multiplier
Multiplier
May not be as large as
Keynes calculated
Multiplier
may not multiply
Automatic Stabilizers
Automatic Stabilizers
Automatic Stabilizers
Job
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Taxes
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Insurance
Taxes
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Taxes
Insurance
Taxes
Automatic Stabilizers
Job Unemployed Job
Taxes
Insurance
Taxes
Monetary
Tools
Monetary
Tools
Discount Rate
Monetary
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Monetary
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Monetary
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Excess Reserve Rate
Monetary
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Excess Reserve Rate
Aggregate Demand
Monetary
Tools
Fiscal
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Excess Reserve Rate
Aggregate Demand
Monetary
Tools
Fiscal
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Excess Reserve Rate
Taxes
Aggregate Demand
Monetary
Tools
Fiscal
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Excess Reserve Rate
Taxes
Spending
Aggregate Demand
Monetary
Tools
Fiscal
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Excess Reserve Rate
Taxes
Spending
Aggregate Demand Aggregate Demand
Monetary
Tools
Fiscal
Tools
Discount Rate
Reserve Ratio
Open Market
Excess Reserve Rate
Taxes
Spending
Aggregate Demand Aggregate Demand
Aggregate Supply

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