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Legacies of
Conflict:
Evidence from the Poverty
and Social Exclusion
Survey 2012
24th
October 2013
Mike Tomlinson
Queen’s University Belfast
02/05/16
What happened?
 Prevalence of each type of experience
 Intensity of experience
 When worst experience took place
To whom did it happen?
 Gender
 Community background
 Age
 Households
What are the impacts?
 Unemployment
 Deprivation
 Poor mental and physical health
02/05/16
What happened?
 Prevalence of each type of experience
Did you experience…? Someone killed % of adults
No-one close was killed 65.2
A close friend was killed 10.7
A close relative was killed 10.0
Someone else you knew personally was killed 24.7
Did you experience…? Someone killed % of adults
Either close friend OR relative was killed 17.1
Two or more of close friend, close relative and other 6.7
 Intensity of experience
02/05/16
What happened?
 Prevalence of each type of experience
Did you experience…? Someone physically injured % of adults
No-one you knew was injured 67.0
A close friend was injured 10.73
A close relative was injured 11.6
Someone else you knew personally was injured 20.5
Did you experience…? Someone physically injured % of adults
Either close friend, relative or someone else injured 24.4
Two or more of close friend, close relative and other 7.4
 Intensity of experience
02/05/16
What happened?
 Prevalence of each type of experience
Did you witness…? Violent event % of adults
No Troubles event 43.4
Rioting 35.6
A bomb explosion 33.0
Gunfire 22.4
Someone being assaulted 19.6
Other serious violence 10.0
A murder 3.0
02/05/16
What happened?
 Prevalence of each type of experience
Other events…? % of adults
Know someone who spent time in prison 19.0
House searched by police/army 8.8
Move house due to attack, intimidation, threats… 4.4
Leave job due to attack, intimidation, threats… 3.7
02/05/16
What happened?
 When worst experience took place
02/05/16
To whom did it happen?
 Gender
02/05/16
To whom did it happen?
 Community background
02/05/16
To whom did it happen?
 Age: 45-64 yr olds compared to 16-34 yr olds
Risk Ratio Risk Ratio
CFK 3.7 Pris 0.8
CRK 1.5 PrisS 1.8
SelfI 1.6 PrisCF 2.1
CFI 3.0 PrisCR 0.5
CRI 1.7 HSE 2.5
WitB 3.9 MVH 1.7
WitM 3.2 MVJ 3.3
WitG 3.2 WitR 1.2
WitO 0.8 WitA 0.7
02/05/16
To whom did it happen?
 Households
 
Single
Pensioner
Pensioner
adults
only
Single
non-
pensioner
Non-
pensioner
adults
Single
parent
Adults +
children
All adults
CFK 9.1 11.6 16.2 14.2 9.3 6.5 10.7
SelfI 5.5 2 9.9 2.7 2.9 3.6 3.9
WitM 2.3 3.4 5.8 2.7 1.7 2.5 3
02/05/16
What are the impacts?
 Unemployment
 Deprivation
% 1. NONE 2. KO 3. IO 4. K+I
Up to 12 months unemployed in
last 5 years
6.4 7.1 11.5 5.0
12 months or more
unemployment in last five years
9.8 7.7 10.9 10.5
Deprivation 3+ 30.2 24.2 39.4 38.2
02/05/16
What are the impacts?
 Poor mental and physical health: Life Satisfaction
  0 to 4 5 to 6 7 to 10 Ave rating
GB 2012-2013        
All 5.75 17.22 77.03 7.45
Disabled 12.57 24.33 63.09 6.82
Unemployed 14.10 28.77 57.14 6.58
PSE-NI 2012        
CFK 15.7 21.4 62.9 6.89
SelfI 17.8 24.5 57.8 6.45
CFI 12.3 19.3 68.4 7.03
WitM 23.3 18 58.7 6.6
No Troubles experience 5.4 13.6 81.1 7.68
02/05/16
What are the impacts?
 Poor mental and physical health
Risk ratios GHQ 4+
General Health
bad/very bad
Illness for 12
months
CFK 1.6 2.2 1.6
SelfI 2.4 2.7 2.1
CRI 1.5 2.3 1.3
WitM 1.8 2.4 1.4
WitR 1.4 1.5 1.3
WitA 1.9 2.3 1.4
PrisS 0.9 2.7 1.4
HSE 1.6 1.9 1.7
MVH 1.9 2.7 1.8
Legacies of conflict kess presentation pse northern ireland_tomlinson_2013

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Legacies of conflict kess presentation pse northern ireland_tomlinson_2013

  • 1. Legacies of Conflict: Evidence from the Poverty and Social Exclusion Survey 2012 24th October 2013 Mike Tomlinson Queen’s University Belfast
  • 2. 02/05/16 What happened?  Prevalence of each type of experience  Intensity of experience  When worst experience took place To whom did it happen?  Gender  Community background  Age  Households What are the impacts?  Unemployment  Deprivation  Poor mental and physical health
  • 3. 02/05/16 What happened?  Prevalence of each type of experience Did you experience…? Someone killed % of adults No-one close was killed 65.2 A close friend was killed 10.7 A close relative was killed 10.0 Someone else you knew personally was killed 24.7 Did you experience…? Someone killed % of adults Either close friend OR relative was killed 17.1 Two or more of close friend, close relative and other 6.7  Intensity of experience
  • 4. 02/05/16 What happened?  Prevalence of each type of experience Did you experience…? Someone physically injured % of adults No-one you knew was injured 67.0 A close friend was injured 10.73 A close relative was injured 11.6 Someone else you knew personally was injured 20.5 Did you experience…? Someone physically injured % of adults Either close friend, relative or someone else injured 24.4 Two or more of close friend, close relative and other 7.4  Intensity of experience
  • 5. 02/05/16 What happened?  Prevalence of each type of experience Did you witness…? Violent event % of adults No Troubles event 43.4 Rioting 35.6 A bomb explosion 33.0 Gunfire 22.4 Someone being assaulted 19.6 Other serious violence 10.0 A murder 3.0
  • 6. 02/05/16 What happened?  Prevalence of each type of experience Other events…? % of adults Know someone who spent time in prison 19.0 House searched by police/army 8.8 Move house due to attack, intimidation, threats… 4.4 Leave job due to attack, intimidation, threats… 3.7
  • 7. 02/05/16 What happened?  When worst experience took place
  • 8. 02/05/16 To whom did it happen?  Gender
  • 9. 02/05/16 To whom did it happen?  Community background
  • 10. 02/05/16 To whom did it happen?  Age: 45-64 yr olds compared to 16-34 yr olds Risk Ratio Risk Ratio CFK 3.7 Pris 0.8 CRK 1.5 PrisS 1.8 SelfI 1.6 PrisCF 2.1 CFI 3.0 PrisCR 0.5 CRI 1.7 HSE 2.5 WitB 3.9 MVH 1.7 WitM 3.2 MVJ 3.3 WitG 3.2 WitR 1.2 WitO 0.8 WitA 0.7
  • 11. 02/05/16 To whom did it happen?  Households   Single Pensioner Pensioner adults only Single non- pensioner Non- pensioner adults Single parent Adults + children All adults CFK 9.1 11.6 16.2 14.2 9.3 6.5 10.7 SelfI 5.5 2 9.9 2.7 2.9 3.6 3.9 WitM 2.3 3.4 5.8 2.7 1.7 2.5 3
  • 12. 02/05/16 What are the impacts?  Unemployment  Deprivation % 1. NONE 2. KO 3. IO 4. K+I Up to 12 months unemployed in last 5 years 6.4 7.1 11.5 5.0 12 months or more unemployment in last five years 9.8 7.7 10.9 10.5 Deprivation 3+ 30.2 24.2 39.4 38.2
  • 13. 02/05/16 What are the impacts?  Poor mental and physical health: Life Satisfaction   0 to 4 5 to 6 7 to 10 Ave rating GB 2012-2013         All 5.75 17.22 77.03 7.45 Disabled 12.57 24.33 63.09 6.82 Unemployed 14.10 28.77 57.14 6.58 PSE-NI 2012         CFK 15.7 21.4 62.9 6.89 SelfI 17.8 24.5 57.8 6.45 CFI 12.3 19.3 68.4 7.03 WitM 23.3 18 58.7 6.6 No Troubles experience 5.4 13.6 81.1 7.68
  • 14. 02/05/16 What are the impacts?  Poor mental and physical health Risk ratios GHQ 4+ General Health bad/very bad Illness for 12 months CFK 1.6 2.2 1.6 SelfI 2.4 2.7 2.1 CRI 1.5 2.3 1.3 WitM 1.8 2.4 1.4 WitR 1.4 1.5 1.3 WitA 1.9 2.3 1.4 PrisS 0.9 2.7 1.4 HSE 1.6 1.9 1.7 MVH 1.9 2.7 1.8