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Jakarta, 9 May 2020
Kecuk Suhariyanto
BPS Chief Statistician
THE USE OF STATISTICS
FOR DECISION MAKING IN
COVID-19 HANDLING
Sumber gambar: https://www.kdei-taipei.org/index.php/component/k2/item/
1833-pengumuman-terkait-corona-virus-di-taiwan
72,35%
22,25%
5,40%
86,72%
10,74%
2,54%
COVID-19 CHANGES THE WAY WE LIVE…
Knowing the Physical Distancing Policy? Staying at home?
Respondent Behavior in the Past Week After Covid-19 Outbreak
2
Never or seldom Occasionally/sometimes Regularly or always
70,59%
15,17%
14,24%
Using gloves
9,79%
12,60%
77,60%
Avoid long queues
14,85%
20,72%
64,42%
Using hand sanitizer
10,61%
25,19%
64,20%
Avoid touching objects in public areas
4,96%
14,84%
80,20%
Washing hands for 20 seconds with soap
12,73%
4,75%
82,52%
Avoid using public transportation
5,93%
11,19%
82,87%
Using mask
8,76%
11,16%
80,08%
Avoid shaking hands
13,20%
34,37%
52,43%
Avoid touching face
9,14%
27,47%
63,39%
Keeping distance of at least two meters
3
COVID-19 CHANGES CONSUMER BEHAVIOR
Percentage of respondent by their view to the impact of
Covid-19 to their income and Expenditure
0,96%
44,89%
54,15%
Increase Unchanged Decrease
56,03%
17,77%
26,20%
Increase Unchanged Decrease
INCOME EXPENDITURE
Note: the denominator in income is the number of working respondent
The most frequent activities
The least frequent activities
Percentage of Respondent by Their Expenditure Alteration
65,76
46,06
73,28
37,32
7,33
56,55
7,84
30,18
41,15
25,00
55,18 50,72
41,03
49,71
4,06
12,79
1,72
7,49
41,95
2,42
42,45
Food Stuff (Staple food,
vegetables, and raw
food)
Prepared
Food/Beverage
Medical Care (Medicine,
Vitamin, and Sanitation)
Electricity Fuel Telephone/Internet Bill Transportation (Including
Online Transportation)
Increase Unchanged Decrease
Source: Socio Demographic Survey on the impact of Covid-19
4
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO TOURISM AND ITS SUPPORT ACTIVITIES
1 097,8
1 197,5
1 363,4 1 302,3
1 242,7
1 322,7
1 547,2
1 511,0
1 370,9
1 291,6
1 157,5
1 405,6
1 201,7
1 244,0
1 311,9 1 274,2
1 249,5
1 434,1
1 468,2
1 530,3
1 388,7 1 346,4
1 280,8
1 377,1
1 272,1
864,0
470,9
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2018 2019 2020
The Trend of Foreign Visitor Arrivals 2018-2020 (in thousand)
Mar’20, M-to-M : -45,50%
Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -64,11%
y-on-y Largest Decline
Mar 2020 compares to Mar 2019 (%)
-97,46 -96,13 -89,92 -87,56 -86,44 -79,24 -79,02 -78,17
Kuwait
China
Hong
Kong UAE Taiwan
Papua
New Guinea
Saudi
Arabia
South
Korea
Impact:
- Room occupancy rate declining, tourism destination/restaurant/mall/retail temporarily closed, the threat of laid off.
- Transportation, creative economics industry, trade sectors.
Malaysia
18,5%
China
12,9%
Singapore
12,0%
Australia
8,6%
Timor
Leste
7,3%
Others
40,7%
Malaysia
24,2%
Timor
Leste
18,3%
Australia
8,7%
Singapore
8,4%
U.K.
3,0%
Others
37,3%
Mar
2020
Foreign Visitor by Nationality
2019
5
34,74
31,28
35,88 35,75
35,48
33,03
36,80
35,19 34,50
36,24 35,30
37,97
35,12
31,90
35,75 35,81
35,10 35,09
39,04
35,19 35,22
36,45 35,88
37,46
34,13
32,29
23,43
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2018 2019 2020
Trend of Railway Passenger (Million People) Trend of Airline Passenger (Million People)
Mar’20, M-to-M : -27,45%
Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -34,48%
7,61
6,91
7,73 7,91
7,27
8,45
8,96
8,09
7,59
8,11
7,57 7,93
6,78
5,72
6,03
5,66 5,25
7,03 7,14 6,72
6,16 6,58 6,63 6,98
6,29 5,79
4,58
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2018 2019 2020
Mar’20, M-to-M : -20,84%
Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -24,09%
Domestic Airline Passenger
1,35
1,35
1,54 1,52
1,41
1,52 1,59 1,61
1,49 1,54
1,44
1,62
1,50
1,40
1,55 1,49 1,44
1,57 1,61 1,68 1,59
1,72
1,61
1,72
1,68
1,13
0,56
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2018 2019 2020
Mar’20, M-to-M : -50,44%
Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -63,84%
International Airline Passenger
Work From Home (WFH) and Idul Fitri
Exodus (mudik) ban are pushing deeper
contraction on the 2nd Quarter-2020
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO TRANSPORTATION
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2019 2,82 2,57 2,48 2,83 3,32 3,28 3,32 3,49 3,39 3,13 3,00 2,72
2020 2,68 2,98 2,96 2,67
2,67
0,00
2,50
5,00
Inflation series year-on-year
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des
2019 0,32 -0,08 0,11 0,44 0,68 0,55 0,31 0,12 -0,27 0,02 0,14 0,34
2020 0,39 0,28 0,10 0,08
0,08
-1,00
0,00
1,00
2,00
Inflation series month-to-month
6
Note: 1. Inflation for 2019 is measured using the base year of CPI 2012=100
2. Inflation for 2020 is measured using the base year of CPI 2018=100
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO INFLATION RATE
7
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19
TO LABOR
Informal
Sector
538 385
Terminated
241 431
Unpaid Leave
1 304 777
Formal
Sector;
1 546 208
Number of Impacted Workers
Source: Ditjen PHI dan Jamsos, Kementerian Ketenagakerjaan RI
(data condition on 20 April 2020) - 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000
Papua Barat
Nusa Tenggara Timur
Sulawesi Barat
Bengkulu
Gorontalo
Sulawesi Tenggara
Kalimantan Selatan
Jambi
Papua
Bangka Belitung
Sulawesi Tengah
Kalimantan Tengah
Maluku Utara
Kepulauan Riau
Sumatera Utara
Kalimantan Utara
Kalimantan Barat
Sulawesi Selatan
Maluku
Lampung
Sulawesi Utara
Banten
Sumatera Barat
Kalimantan Timur
Nusa Tenggara Barat
Riau
Yogyakarta
Sumatera Selatan
Aceh
Lain-lain
Bali
Jawa Timur
Jawa Barat
Jawa Tengah
DKI Jakarta
Informal Worker
Formal Worker
Mari Bersama
Sensus Penduduk Online
15 Februari – 29 Mei 2020
Alamat web: sensus.bps.go.id
Sensus Penduduk Wawancara
1 – 30 September 2020
Thank You
#MencatatIndonesia

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Keynote Speech_BPS-Chief-Presentation.pdf

  • 1. 1 Jakarta, 9 May 2020 Kecuk Suhariyanto BPS Chief Statistician THE USE OF STATISTICS FOR DECISION MAKING IN COVID-19 HANDLING Sumber gambar: https://www.kdei-taipei.org/index.php/component/k2/item/ 1833-pengumuman-terkait-corona-virus-di-taiwan
  • 2. 72,35% 22,25% 5,40% 86,72% 10,74% 2,54% COVID-19 CHANGES THE WAY WE LIVE… Knowing the Physical Distancing Policy? Staying at home? Respondent Behavior in the Past Week After Covid-19 Outbreak 2 Never or seldom Occasionally/sometimes Regularly or always 70,59% 15,17% 14,24% Using gloves 9,79% 12,60% 77,60% Avoid long queues 14,85% 20,72% 64,42% Using hand sanitizer 10,61% 25,19% 64,20% Avoid touching objects in public areas 4,96% 14,84% 80,20% Washing hands for 20 seconds with soap 12,73% 4,75% 82,52% Avoid using public transportation 5,93% 11,19% 82,87% Using mask 8,76% 11,16% 80,08% Avoid shaking hands 13,20% 34,37% 52,43% Avoid touching face 9,14% 27,47% 63,39% Keeping distance of at least two meters
  • 3. 3 COVID-19 CHANGES CONSUMER BEHAVIOR Percentage of respondent by their view to the impact of Covid-19 to their income and Expenditure 0,96% 44,89% 54,15% Increase Unchanged Decrease 56,03% 17,77% 26,20% Increase Unchanged Decrease INCOME EXPENDITURE Note: the denominator in income is the number of working respondent The most frequent activities The least frequent activities Percentage of Respondent by Their Expenditure Alteration 65,76 46,06 73,28 37,32 7,33 56,55 7,84 30,18 41,15 25,00 55,18 50,72 41,03 49,71 4,06 12,79 1,72 7,49 41,95 2,42 42,45 Food Stuff (Staple food, vegetables, and raw food) Prepared Food/Beverage Medical Care (Medicine, Vitamin, and Sanitation) Electricity Fuel Telephone/Internet Bill Transportation (Including Online Transportation) Increase Unchanged Decrease Source: Socio Demographic Survey on the impact of Covid-19
  • 4. 4 THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO TOURISM AND ITS SUPPORT ACTIVITIES 1 097,8 1 197,5 1 363,4 1 302,3 1 242,7 1 322,7 1 547,2 1 511,0 1 370,9 1 291,6 1 157,5 1 405,6 1 201,7 1 244,0 1 311,9 1 274,2 1 249,5 1 434,1 1 468,2 1 530,3 1 388,7 1 346,4 1 280,8 1 377,1 1 272,1 864,0 470,9 Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2018 2019 2020 The Trend of Foreign Visitor Arrivals 2018-2020 (in thousand) Mar’20, M-to-M : -45,50% Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -64,11% y-on-y Largest Decline Mar 2020 compares to Mar 2019 (%) -97,46 -96,13 -89,92 -87,56 -86,44 -79,24 -79,02 -78,17 Kuwait China Hong Kong UAE Taiwan Papua New Guinea Saudi Arabia South Korea Impact: - Room occupancy rate declining, tourism destination/restaurant/mall/retail temporarily closed, the threat of laid off. - Transportation, creative economics industry, trade sectors. Malaysia 18,5% China 12,9% Singapore 12,0% Australia 8,6% Timor Leste 7,3% Others 40,7% Malaysia 24,2% Timor Leste 18,3% Australia 8,7% Singapore 8,4% U.K. 3,0% Others 37,3% Mar 2020 Foreign Visitor by Nationality 2019
  • 5. 5 34,74 31,28 35,88 35,75 35,48 33,03 36,80 35,19 34,50 36,24 35,30 37,97 35,12 31,90 35,75 35,81 35,10 35,09 39,04 35,19 35,22 36,45 35,88 37,46 34,13 32,29 23,43 Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2018 2019 2020 Trend of Railway Passenger (Million People) Trend of Airline Passenger (Million People) Mar’20, M-to-M : -27,45% Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -34,48% 7,61 6,91 7,73 7,91 7,27 8,45 8,96 8,09 7,59 8,11 7,57 7,93 6,78 5,72 6,03 5,66 5,25 7,03 7,14 6,72 6,16 6,58 6,63 6,98 6,29 5,79 4,58 Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2018 2019 2020 Mar’20, M-to-M : -20,84% Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -24,09% Domestic Airline Passenger 1,35 1,35 1,54 1,52 1,41 1,52 1,59 1,61 1,49 1,54 1,44 1,62 1,50 1,40 1,55 1,49 1,44 1,57 1,61 1,68 1,59 1,72 1,61 1,72 1,68 1,13 0,56 Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2018 2019 2020 Mar’20, M-to-M : -50,44% Mar’20, Y-on-Y : -63,84% International Airline Passenger Work From Home (WFH) and Idul Fitri Exodus (mudik) ban are pushing deeper contraction on the 2nd Quarter-2020 THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO TRANSPORTATION
  • 6. Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2019 2,82 2,57 2,48 2,83 3,32 3,28 3,32 3,49 3,39 3,13 3,00 2,72 2020 2,68 2,98 2,96 2,67 2,67 0,00 2,50 5,00 Inflation series year-on-year Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt Sep Okt Nov Des 2019 0,32 -0,08 0,11 0,44 0,68 0,55 0,31 0,12 -0,27 0,02 0,14 0,34 2020 0,39 0,28 0,10 0,08 0,08 -1,00 0,00 1,00 2,00 Inflation series month-to-month 6 Note: 1. Inflation for 2019 is measured using the base year of CPI 2012=100 2. Inflation for 2020 is measured using the base year of CPI 2018=100 THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO INFLATION RATE
  • 7. 7 THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO LABOR Informal Sector 538 385 Terminated 241 431 Unpaid Leave 1 304 777 Formal Sector; 1 546 208 Number of Impacted Workers Source: Ditjen PHI dan Jamsos, Kementerian Ketenagakerjaan RI (data condition on 20 April 2020) - 200 000 400 000 600 000 800 000 Papua Barat Nusa Tenggara Timur Sulawesi Barat Bengkulu Gorontalo Sulawesi Tenggara Kalimantan Selatan Jambi Papua Bangka Belitung Sulawesi Tengah Kalimantan Tengah Maluku Utara Kepulauan Riau Sumatera Utara Kalimantan Utara Kalimantan Barat Sulawesi Selatan Maluku Lampung Sulawesi Utara Banten Sumatera Barat Kalimantan Timur Nusa Tenggara Barat Riau Yogyakarta Sumatera Selatan Aceh Lain-lain Bali Jawa Timur Jawa Barat Jawa Tengah DKI Jakarta Informal Worker Formal Worker
  • 8. Mari Bersama Sensus Penduduk Online 15 Februari – 29 Mei 2020 Alamat web: sensus.bps.go.id Sensus Penduduk Wawancara 1 – 30 September 2020 Thank You #MencatatIndonesia