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Internationalization of
Banking
Performance and Strategy
Internationalization of Banking
• Banking sector illustrates both the potential benefits and perils of deeper
international integration.
• International banking activities may bring much-needed capital, expertise,
and new technologies, thereby leading to more competitive banking
systems.
• By enabling risk sharing and diversification, they smoothen the effects of
domestic shocks.
• Risk sharing will inevitably expose host countries to systemic risks from
time to time.
2
Internationalization of Banking Contd.
• International banks have been criticized for playing a role in the
transmission of shocks across borders during the global financial crisis
• International banking may promote destabilizing boom-bust cycles in
poor institutional environments.
• In the wake of the global financial crisis, the globalization trend has
been partially reversed.
• Banks have scaled back their international operations, coinciding with
a general backlash against globalization.
3
The Impact of Global and Regional Banking (Survey Result)
4
Cross-Border and Local Claims by Foreign Banks, 2005–15
5
Number of Entries and Exits of Foreign Banks, 1995–2013
6
Share of Foreign Bank Assets, by Region, 2005–13
7
Direction of Cross-Border Bank Lending, before and after the Global
Financial Crisis
8
Share of Regional Foreign Banks among Foreign Banks, Country-Level
Averages, 1997–2013
9
Trends in Bank Size
10
Share of Developing Countries with Restrictions on Foreign Bank Entry
through Alternative Modes
11
Share of Home and Host Countries That Tightened Macroprudential Policies,
2005–13
12
Major Trends After 2008 Financial Crisis
• Three focus areas that are important in international banking and their
policy implications:
1. The rise of South–South banking
2. The shift toward alternative sources of funding
3. The emergence of fintech
• The focus on these areas reflects the importance of these new trends for
policy, as they present challenges and opportunities.
• These are also areas where research is new and limited.
13
The Rise of South-South Banking
• Greater South– South banking is likely to increase local competition and financial
development.
• A South–South banks invest in countries within their region and tend to be more
familiar with the cultural, linguistic, legal, and institutional environment of the
host country.
• However, regionalization may also have costs. Example:
1. This may constrain both the adoption of globally best banking technology and
skills across countries and the most efficient allocation of capital.
2. Limits risk sharing and implies a larger exposure of an economy to shocks
originating within the region
14
Shift Toward Alternate Sources of Funding
• In high-income and developing countries, firms with access to capital
markets moved to bond markets
• In developing countries, these firms also switched to domestic banks and
away from international banks.
• Due to these switches, global financial activity during the crisis declined
less than the collapse in cross-border loans.
• These changes in debt composition continued during the postcrisis period.
15
The Rise of Fintech
• Technology driven new companies providing financial services outside the
traditional financial sector can reshape competition among financial
providers
• It can improve the delivery of financial services and increase access.
• For example, Blockchain makes lightning-fast transactions possible
compared with traditional bank transfers or settlements of securities
trades.
• Fintech is likely to facilitate the provision of financial services and affect
how banks compete with each other
16
Are international banks
different?
Evidence on bank performance and strategy
17
Trends in the Last Two Decades
• The decade before the 2007–09 global financial crisis was
characterized by a significant increase in financial globalization,
particularly for banking institutions.
• This globalization trend has been partially reversed by a recent
retrenchment of international banks that are headquartered in high-
income countries.
• Many developing country banks have expanded internationally, in
part to fill the gaps left by high-income country international banks
18
Measuring Internationalization
• Internationalization is measured in two ways:
1. By the share of a bank’s overall assets owned by its foreign
subsidiaries, or
2. By the number of foreign host countries where the bank operates
with at least one subsidiary.
• The sample of banks contains 2,793 banks in total, of which 325
banks are international with at least one foreign subsidiary.
19
Performance Difference
• The average asset growth rate of international banks has generally been
higher than for domestic banks during the 2000-2015 period, especially in
the case of international banks headquartered in developing countries.
• Internationalization generally has been associated with lower bank
valuation as measured by Tobin’s Q and the market-to-book value of equity
for the 2000-2013 period.
• Internationalizing banks from developing countries have done better, were
valued more highly, were less risky and enjoyed higher returns.
20
Performance Difference Contd.
• International banks fund themselves to a lesser extent with customer
deposits, they accumulate relatively few off-balance sheet exposures, and
they receive relatively little non-interest income.
• The net effect of these differences between international and domestic
banks on financial fragility is unclear.
• A lower deposit funding could increase bank riskiness, while lower off-
balance sheet exposures could reduce riskiness.
• A lower share of non-interest income could reduce risk.
21
Performance Difference Contd.
• Following the financial crisis, the performance of international banks
improved relative to domestic banks, as reflected in higher market
valuations, a lower nonperforming loans ratio, and a higher return on
assets.
• The relative performance of international banks improved especially for
international banks with higher deposit funding and lower non-deposit
short-term funding.
• It reflects the importance of relying on stable funding sources.
22
Performance Difference Contd.
• Bank internationalization reduces the cyclicality of domestic credit growth with respect to
domestic GDP growth due to repatriation of funding during economic downturns to be able to
continue lending domestically.
• This stabilizing effect is particularly strong for international banks headquartered in developing
countries.
• Developing country lending of international banks headquartered in high-income countries is
relatively procyclical suggesting that high-income international bank operations can be potentially
destabilizing.
• However, this is not true for developing country international banks doing business in other
developing countries.
23
Growth rate of total assets for international and domestic banks
24
Tobin’s Q for international and domestic banks
25
Market-to-book for international and domestic banks
26
NPL ratio for international and domestic banks
27
ROA for international and domestic banks
28
ROE for international and domestic banks
29

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Internationalisation of Banking .pptx

  • 2. Internationalization of Banking • Banking sector illustrates both the potential benefits and perils of deeper international integration. • International banking activities may bring much-needed capital, expertise, and new technologies, thereby leading to more competitive banking systems. • By enabling risk sharing and diversification, they smoothen the effects of domestic shocks. • Risk sharing will inevitably expose host countries to systemic risks from time to time. 2
  • 3. Internationalization of Banking Contd. • International banks have been criticized for playing a role in the transmission of shocks across borders during the global financial crisis • International banking may promote destabilizing boom-bust cycles in poor institutional environments. • In the wake of the global financial crisis, the globalization trend has been partially reversed. • Banks have scaled back their international operations, coinciding with a general backlash against globalization. 3
  • 4. The Impact of Global and Regional Banking (Survey Result) 4
  • 5. Cross-Border and Local Claims by Foreign Banks, 2005–15 5
  • 6. Number of Entries and Exits of Foreign Banks, 1995–2013 6
  • 7. Share of Foreign Bank Assets, by Region, 2005–13 7
  • 8. Direction of Cross-Border Bank Lending, before and after the Global Financial Crisis 8
  • 9. Share of Regional Foreign Banks among Foreign Banks, Country-Level Averages, 1997–2013 9
  • 10. Trends in Bank Size 10
  • 11. Share of Developing Countries with Restrictions on Foreign Bank Entry through Alternative Modes 11
  • 12. Share of Home and Host Countries That Tightened Macroprudential Policies, 2005–13 12
  • 13. Major Trends After 2008 Financial Crisis • Three focus areas that are important in international banking and their policy implications: 1. The rise of South–South banking 2. The shift toward alternative sources of funding 3. The emergence of fintech • The focus on these areas reflects the importance of these new trends for policy, as they present challenges and opportunities. • These are also areas where research is new and limited. 13
  • 14. The Rise of South-South Banking • Greater South– South banking is likely to increase local competition and financial development. • A South–South banks invest in countries within their region and tend to be more familiar with the cultural, linguistic, legal, and institutional environment of the host country. • However, regionalization may also have costs. Example: 1. This may constrain both the adoption of globally best banking technology and skills across countries and the most efficient allocation of capital. 2. Limits risk sharing and implies a larger exposure of an economy to shocks originating within the region 14
  • 15. Shift Toward Alternate Sources of Funding • In high-income and developing countries, firms with access to capital markets moved to bond markets • In developing countries, these firms also switched to domestic banks and away from international banks. • Due to these switches, global financial activity during the crisis declined less than the collapse in cross-border loans. • These changes in debt composition continued during the postcrisis period. 15
  • 16. The Rise of Fintech • Technology driven new companies providing financial services outside the traditional financial sector can reshape competition among financial providers • It can improve the delivery of financial services and increase access. • For example, Blockchain makes lightning-fast transactions possible compared with traditional bank transfers or settlements of securities trades. • Fintech is likely to facilitate the provision of financial services and affect how banks compete with each other 16
  • 17. Are international banks different? Evidence on bank performance and strategy 17
  • 18. Trends in the Last Two Decades • The decade before the 2007–09 global financial crisis was characterized by a significant increase in financial globalization, particularly for banking institutions. • This globalization trend has been partially reversed by a recent retrenchment of international banks that are headquartered in high- income countries. • Many developing country banks have expanded internationally, in part to fill the gaps left by high-income country international banks 18
  • 19. Measuring Internationalization • Internationalization is measured in two ways: 1. By the share of a bank’s overall assets owned by its foreign subsidiaries, or 2. By the number of foreign host countries where the bank operates with at least one subsidiary. • The sample of banks contains 2,793 banks in total, of which 325 banks are international with at least one foreign subsidiary. 19
  • 20. Performance Difference • The average asset growth rate of international banks has generally been higher than for domestic banks during the 2000-2015 period, especially in the case of international banks headquartered in developing countries. • Internationalization generally has been associated with lower bank valuation as measured by Tobin’s Q and the market-to-book value of equity for the 2000-2013 period. • Internationalizing banks from developing countries have done better, were valued more highly, were less risky and enjoyed higher returns. 20
  • 21. Performance Difference Contd. • International banks fund themselves to a lesser extent with customer deposits, they accumulate relatively few off-balance sheet exposures, and they receive relatively little non-interest income. • The net effect of these differences between international and domestic banks on financial fragility is unclear. • A lower deposit funding could increase bank riskiness, while lower off- balance sheet exposures could reduce riskiness. • A lower share of non-interest income could reduce risk. 21
  • 22. Performance Difference Contd. • Following the financial crisis, the performance of international banks improved relative to domestic banks, as reflected in higher market valuations, a lower nonperforming loans ratio, and a higher return on assets. • The relative performance of international banks improved especially for international banks with higher deposit funding and lower non-deposit short-term funding. • It reflects the importance of relying on stable funding sources. 22
  • 23. Performance Difference Contd. • Bank internationalization reduces the cyclicality of domestic credit growth with respect to domestic GDP growth due to repatriation of funding during economic downturns to be able to continue lending domestically. • This stabilizing effect is particularly strong for international banks headquartered in developing countries. • Developing country lending of international banks headquartered in high-income countries is relatively procyclical suggesting that high-income international bank operations can be potentially destabilizing. • However, this is not true for developing country international banks doing business in other developing countries. 23
  • 24. Growth rate of total assets for international and domestic banks 24
  • 25. Tobin’s Q for international and domestic banks 25
  • 26. Market-to-book for international and domestic banks 26
  • 27. NPL ratio for international and domestic banks 27
  • 28. ROA for international and domestic banks 28
  • 29. ROE for international and domestic banks 29

Editor's Notes

  1. Source: Financial Development Barometer
  2. Cross-border flows, and foreign participation in domestic banking systems