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India's Future - Gurcharan Das (Nov 2009)
- 1. INDIA’S FUTURE Or prosperity will spread in India but happiness will not, until we fix governance by Gurcharan Das November 12, 2009 WIPRO Marbella
- 3. Even though the world has just discovered it, the India growth story is not new It has been going on for 25 years
- 4. What is the India story?
- 5. 28 years of high growth 1.0 3.5 6.0 8.9 (%) Average annual GDP growth 0 2 4 6 8 10 1900-1950 1950-1980 1980-2002 2002-2007
- 6. Population growth is slowing Sources: 1900-1990: Angus Maddison (1995), Monitoring the World Economy, 1990-2000:Census of India (2001) 1.0 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.5 (%) 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 1901-1950 1951-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2010
- 7. Literacy is rising Source: Census of India (2001) 17 52 65 80 (%) 0 20 40 60 80 100 1950 1990 2000 2010 (proj)
- 8. When middle class is 50% then the politics will also change Source: The Consuming Class, National Council of Applied Economic Research, 2002 65 220 368 8% 22% 32% 0 100 200 300 400 1980 2000 2010 (m)
- 9. Poverty is declining 46 26 16 1% of the people have been crossing poverty line each year for 25 years Equals ~ 200m (%) 0 10 20 30 40 50 1980 2000 2010
- 10. Per capita income gains Source: World Bank US$ ppp 2005 3,051 1980 1,178
- 12. The India model is unique
- 19. Implication of India model – Consumption led People Friendly: Consumption as % of GDP People Friendly, Less inequality: Gini Index Will India become the next big consuming economy after the U.S.? 41% 45% 59% U.S. China Brazil India 33% 58% 42% 64% Europe China India
- 20. Reasons for success India’s success is market-led whereas China’s is state induced The entrepreneur is at the centre of the Indian model
- 21. Rise of globally competitive Indian companies
- 31. The economy grows at night when the government is asleep
- 35. “ By 2010 India will have world’s largest number of English speakers” “When 300 million Indians speak a word in a certain way, that will be the way to speak it.” Professor David Crystal Cambridge Encyclopedia of the English Language
- 39. Per capita income 2,100 3,050 5,800 16,800 37,000 On a ppp basis 2000 2005 2020 2040 2066 0 10 20 30 40 ($000)
- 41. India will gradually turn middle-class 50% 50% 8% 22% 32% West of the Kanpur- Chennai line East of the Kanpur- Chennai line Chennai Kanpur- 1980 2000 2010 2020 2040
Editor's Notes
- Please centre and cut the word old and put It has been onto a new line- could we make a consistent style for statements- maybe always in yellow, centred and growing? Please could we have some kind of outline of India in the background to make the slide prettier
- Could we use the script- does that fit with template?
- Could we have a line for the y axis as well as numbers Please animate all graphs so lines/bars and pie charts grow
- Again y axis
- Again line for y axis- is there a reason that the line is on green rather than orange?
- Line for y axis
- Y axis line Could we put text in white in a box of It– put Equals …..on its own line in yellow to make it more impactful
- Could we centre up the chart?
- Cut the word and and centre up. Could we either make the statement grow and/or make it into a different colour to make it more impactful? Or could we add an image – we have loads of India images
- Is it on brand to use script here?
- Could we add India image from file? Make yellow title bullet and white sub bullets
- Again could we add India image from file Same with bullets and sub bullets
- animate
- Centre up and change colour Grow as two separate statements
- Centre these up – maybe make a little bigger?
- These should be bullet points- image search Indian Policeman?
- Image of Delhi at night from Google or istock?
- Make bullets consistent
- Y axis as a line Please cut This means
- Make bullets consistent
- Animate graph
- Pic of Indian school kids? Consistent bullet points
- Please make a pie chart out of religious percentages Make bullet points out of last 3 points
- Could we find an Indian Elephant image?