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Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 1
CHAPTER ONE
RISK AND RELATED TOPICS
1.1 Meaning of Risk:
There is no single definition of risk. Economists, behavioral scientists, risk
theorists, statisticians and actuaries each have their own concept of risk.
However, risk traditionally has been defined in terms of uncertainty. Based
on this concept, risk is defined as uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a
loss. For example, the risk of being killed in a car accident is present because
uncertainty is present. The risk of lung cancer for smokers is present
because uncertainty is present. And the risk of flunking a college course is
present because uncertainty is present.
Although risk is defined as uncertainty, employees in the insurance industry
often use the term risk to identify the property or life being insured. Thus, in
the insurance industry, it is common to hear statements such as “that driver
is a poor risk” or “that building is an unacceptable risk.”
Writers, particularly in the USA have produced a number of definitions of
risk. These are usually accompanied by lengthy arguments to support the
particular view they put forward. Consider the following definitions:
 Risk is the possibility of an unfortunate occurrence.
 Risk is a combination of hazards.
 Risk is unpredictability – the tendency that actual results may differ
from predicted results.
 Risk is uncertainty of loss.
 Risk is possibility of loss.
Theorists have no agreed in universal definition but there are common
elements in the definition i.e. Indeterminacy and loss
Indeterminacy: - means the outcome must be in question. When risk is said
to exist there must be at least two possible outcomes. If we know for certain
that a loss occurs, there is no risk.
Loss: - at least one of the possible outcomes is undesirable may be loss.
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 2
*IF THE OUTCOME IS ONE AND KNOWN IN ADVANCE THEREFORE, THERE
IS NO RISK.
Finally, when risk is defined as uncertainty, some authors make a careful
distinction between risk and uncertainty.
1.2 Risks versus Uncertainty:
Certainty is lack of doubt. In Webster’s New Collegiate Dictionary, one
meaning of the term “certainty” is “a state of being free from doubt,” a
definition will suit to the study of risk management. The antonym of
certainty is “uncertainty” which is “doubt about our ability to predict the future
outcome of current actions.” Clearly, the term “uncertainty describes a state of
mind. Uncertainty arises when an individual perceives that outcomes cannot
be known with certainty.”
Uncertainty arises when an individual perceives risk. Uncertainty is a
subjective concept, so it cannot be measured directly. Since uncertainty is a
state of mind, it varies across individuals.
For complex activities, such as participating in a business venture, some
persons are very cautious, others are more aggressive. Although risk
aversion explains some of the reluctance to participate, the level of risk
perceived by individuals also plays a key role. The perceived level of risk
depends on information that an individual can use to evaluate the chance of
outcomes and, perhaps, on the individual’s ability to evaluate this
information. The level and type of information on the nature of a risky activity
have an important effect on uncertainty.
Levels of Uncertainty:
Level of Uncertainty Characteristics Examples
None (Certainty)
Level 1
(Objective
Outcomes can be
predicted with
precision.
Outcomes are
Physical laws, natural
sciences.
Games of chance,
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 3
Uncertainty)
Level 2
(Subjective
Uncertainty)
Level 3
identified and
probabilities are
known.
Outcomes are
identified but
probabilities are
unknown.
Outcomes are not fully
identifies and
probabilities are
unknown.
Cards, Dies.
Fire, automobile
accident, many
investments.
Space exploration,
genetic research.
The level of uncertainty arising from a given type of risk can depend on the
entity facing the risk; for example, an insurer or a governmental entity may
regard the risk of earthquake as being at level 2, while the individual may
regard the earthquake as being a at level 3. This difference in perspective may
be a consequence of an ability to estimate the likelihood of outcomes.
1.3 Risks versus Probability (Chance of Loss):
Probability is closely related to the concept of risk. But it would be
distinguished from risk. Risk is the level of possibility that an action lead to a
loss/undesirable outcome. But Probability (Chance of Loss) used to measure
/estimation of how likely the event will occur.
Risk (especially Objective risk) is the relative variation of actual loss from
expected loss. The chance of loss may be identical for two different groups but
objective risk may be quite different. For example, assume that a property
insurer has 10,000 homes insured in Addis Ababa and 10,000 homes insured
in Nazareth and that the chance of loss in each city is 1%. Thus, on average,
100 homes should burn annually in each city. However, if the annual
variation in losses ranges from 75 to 125 in Addis Ababa, but only from 90 to
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 4
110 in Nazareth, objective risk is greater in Addis Ababa even though the
chance of loss in both cities is the same.
Probability has both objective and subjective aspects.
Objective Probability:
Objective probability refers to the long-run relative frequency of an event based
on the assumptions of an infinite number of observations and of no change in
the underlying conditions. Objective probabilities can be determined in two
ways. First, they can be determined by deductive reasoning. These
probabilities are called a priori probabilities. For example: tossing a fair coin.
Second, objective probabilities can be determined by inductive reasoning, For
example, the probability that a person age 21 will dies before age 26 cannot be
logically deduced. However, by a careful analysis of past mortality experience,
life insurers can estimate the probability of death an sell a five year term life
insurance policy issued at age 21.
Subjective Probability:
Subject probability is the individual’s personal estimate of chance of loss.
Subjective probability need not coincide with objective probability. For
example, people who buy a lottery ticket on their birthday may believe it is
their lucky day and overestimate the small chance of winning. A wide variety
of factors can influence subjective probability, including a person’s age,
gender intelligence, education, and the use of alcohol.
1.4 RISK, PERIL AND HAZARD
The terms peril and hazard should not be confused with the concept of risk
discussed earlier.
Peril:
Peril is defined as the cause of loss. If your house burns because of a fire, the
peril, or cause of loss, is the fire. If your car is damaged in a collision with
another car, collision is the peril, or cause of loss. Common perils that cause
property damage included fire, lightning, windstorm, hail, tornadoes, earth
quakes, theft and robbery.
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 5
Hazard:
A hazard is a condition that creates or increases the chance of loss. For
example one of the perils that can cause loss to a house is fire. The fire can be
cause while we go out of home leaving the cylinder switched on in the kitchen.
Using the cylinder properly will not cause a loss; rather poor handling does.it
is possible for something to be both a peril and hazard. For instance, sickness
is a peril causing economic loss, but it is also a hazard that increases the
chance of loss from the peril of earlier death. There are four major types of
hazards:
Physical hazard
Moral hazard
Morale hazard
Legal hazard
Physical hazard: A physical hazard is a physical condition that increases the
chance of loss. Examples of physical hazards include icy roads that increase
the chance of a car accident, defective wiring in a building that increases the
increases of fire, and a defective lock on door that increases the chance of
theft.
Moral hazards: Moral hazard is dishonesty or character defects in an
individual that increase the frequency or severity of loss. Examples of moral
hazard include faking an accident to collect from an insurer, submitting a
fraudulent claim, inflating the amount of a claim, and intentionally burning
unsold merchandise that is insured.
Morale hazard: Some insurance authors draw a subtle distinction between
moral hazard and morale hazard. Moral hazard refers to dishonest by an
insured that increases the frequency or severity of loss. Morale hazard is
carelessness or indifference to a loss because of existence of insurance. Some
insureds are careless or indifferent to a loss because they have insurance.
Examples of morale hazard include leaving car keys in an unlocked car, which
increase the chance of theft; leaving a door unlocked that allows a robber to
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 6
enter; and changing lanes suddenly on a congested interstate highway
without signaling. Careless acts like these increase the chance of loss.
Legal hazard: Legal hazard refers to characteristics of the legal system or
regulatory environment that increase the frequency or severity of losses.
Examples include adverse jury verdicts or large damage awards in liability
lawsuits, statutes that require insurers to include coverage for certain benefits
in health insurance plans, such as coverage for alcoholism; and regulatory
action by state insurance departments that restrict the ability of insurers to
withdraw from the state because of poor underwriting results.
1.5 CLASSIFICATION OF RISK:
Risk can be classified into several distinct categories. The major categories
are as follows:
 Objective and Subjective Risks.
 Pure and Speculative Risks.
 Fundamental and Particular Risks.
 Financial and non-financial
 Static and dynamic Risks:
 Objective and subjective Risk:
Objective risk (Statistical Risk)
Objective risk is defined as the relative variation of actual loss from expected
loss. For example, assume that a property insurer has 10,000 houses
insured over a long period and, on average, 1 %, or 100 houses, burn each
year. However, it would be rare for exactly 100 houses to burn each year. In
some years, as few as 90 houses may burn; in other years, as many as 110
houses, may burn. Thus, there is a variation of 10 houses from the expected
number of 100, or a variation of 10%. This relative variation of actual loss
from expected loss is known as Objective Risk.
Objective risk declines as the number of exposures increases. Objective risk
varies inversely with the square root of the number of cases under observation.
Objective risk can be statistically calculated by some measure of dispersion,
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 7
such as the standard deviation or the coefficient of variation. Because
objective risk can be measured, it is an extremely useful concept for an
insurer or a corporate risk manager. As the number of exposures increases,
an insurer can predict its future loss experience more accurately because it
can rely on the law of large number. The law of large numbers states that the
number of exposure units increases, the more closely the actual loss
experience will approach the expected loss experience. For example: as the
number of houses under observation increases, the greater is the degree of
accuracy in predicating the proportion of houses that will burn.
Subjective Risk:
Subjective risk is defined as uncertainty based on a person’s mental condition
or state of mind. For example, a customer who was drinking heavily in a bar
may foolishly attempt to drive home. The driver may be uncertain whether he
will arrive home safely without being arrested by the police for drunk driving.
This mental uncertainty is called subjective risk.
Impact of subjective risk varies depending on the individual. Two persons in
the same situation can have a different perception of risk, and their behavior
may be altered accordingly. If an individual experiences great mental
uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a loss, that person’s behavior may
be affected. High subjective risk often results in conservative and prudent
behavior, while low subjective risk may result in less conservative behavior.
For example a motorist previously arrested for drunk driving is aware that he
has consumed too much alcohol. The driver may then compensate for the
mental uncertainty by getting someone else to drive the car home or by taking
a taxi. Another driver in the same situation may perceive the risk of being
arrested as slight. This second driver may drive in a more careless and
reckless manner; a low subjective risk results in less conservative driving
behavior.
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 8
 Pure and speculative risks
 Pure Risk: Pure risk is defined as a situation in which there are only the
possibilities of loss or not loss. The only possible outcomes are adverse (loss)
and neutral (no loss). For example, a shop owner will suffer financial loss if
the shop is burnt in fire, but no gain if there is no fire. Examples of pure risk
include premature death, industrial accidents, terrible medical expenses, and
damage to property from fire, lightning, flood, or earthquake.
Types of pure risk:
The major types of pure risk that can create great financial insecurity include
 Personal Risks.
 Property Risks.
 Liability Risks.
Personal Risks:
Personal risks are risks that directly affect an individual. They involve the
possibility of the complete loss or reduction of earned income, extra expenses,
and the depletion of financial assets. There are four major personal risks.
Risk of premature death.
Risk of insufficient income during retirement.
Risk of poor health.
Risk of unemployment.
Risk of premature death:
Premature death is defined as the death of a household head with unfulfilled
financial obligations. These obligations can include dependents to support, a
mortgage to be paid off, or children to educate. If the surviving family
members receive an insufficient amount of replacement income from other
sources or have insufficient financial assets to replace the lost income, they
may be financially insecure.
Risk of insufficient income during the retirement:
The major risk associated with old age is insufficient income during retirement.
The vast majority of workers in the world are retired before age 65. When
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 9
they retire, they lose their earned income. Unless they have sufficient
financial assets on which to draw, or have access to other sources of
retirement income, such at social security or a private pension, they will be
exposed to financial insecurity during retirement.
Risk of Poor Health:
Poor health is another important personal risk. The risk of poor health includes
both the payment of terrible medical bills and the loss of earned income.
Risk of Unemployment:
The risk of unemployment is another major threat to financial security.
Unemployment can result from business cycle downswings, technological and
structure changes in the economy, seasonal factors, and imperfections in the
labor market.
Property Risks:
Persons owning property are exposed to property risks – the risk of having
property damaged or lost from numerous causes. Real estate and personal
property can be damaged or destroy because of fire, lightning, tornadoes,
windstorms, and numerous other causes. There are two major types of loss
associated with the destruction or theft of property direct loss and indirect
loss or consequential loss.
Direct loss: A direct loss is defined as financial loss that results from the
physical damage, destruction, or theft of the property. For example, if you own
a hotel that is damaged by a fire, the physical damage to the hotel is known
as a direct loss.
Indirect loss: An indirect loss is a financial loss that results indirectly from the
occurrence of a direct physical damage or theft loss. Thus, in addition to the
physical damage loss, the hotel would lose profits for several months while
the hotel is being rebuilt. The loss of profits would be consequential loss.
Other examples of a consequential loss would be the loss of rents, the loss of
the use of building, and the loss of a local market.
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 10
Liability Risk:
Liability risks are another important type of pure risk that most persons
face. Under our legal system, you can be held legally liable if you do
something that result in bodily injury or property damage to someone else. A
court of law may order you to pay substantial damages to the person you
have injured.
 Speculative Risk: Speculative risk is defined as a situation in which either
profit or loss is possible. For example, if you purchase 100 shares of common
stock, you will profit if the price of stock increases but would loss if the price
declines. Other examples, of speculative risk include betting on horse race,
card games, investing in real estate, and going into business for your self. In
these situations, both profit and loss are possible.
Distinguish between pure and speculative risks:
 First, private insurers generally insure only pure risk. With certain
exceptions, speculative risk generally is not considered insurable, and other
techniques for managing with speculative risk must be used.
 Second, the law of large numbers can be applied more easily to pure risks
than to speculative risks. The law of large numbers is important because it
enables insurers to predict future loss experience.
In contrast, it is generally more difficult to apply the law of large numbers
to speculative risks to predict future loss experience. An exception is the
speculative risk of gambling where nightclub operators can apply the law of
large numbers in a most efficient manner.
 Finally, Society may benefit from a speculative risk even though a loss
occurs, but it is harmed if a pure risk is present, and a loss occurs.
Example, a firm may develop new technology for producing low price
computers. As a result, some competitors may be forced to bankruptcy.
Despite the bankruptcy, society benefits because the computers are
produced at a low cost. However, society normally does not benefit when as
loss from a pure risk occurs, such as flood, or earthquake.
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 11
 Fundamental and Particular Risks
Fundamental Risk:
A fundamental risk is a risk that affects the entire economy or large numbers of
persons or groups within the economy. Examples include rapid inflation,
cyclical unemployment, and war because large numbers of individuals are
affected.
The risk of a natural disaster is another important risk. Hurricanes,
tornadoes, earthquakes, floods, and forest and grass fires can result in
billions of dollars of property damage and numerous deaths. More recently,
the risk of a terrorist attack is rapidly emerging as fundamental risk.
Particular Risk:
A particular risk is a risk that affects only individuals and not the entire
community. Examples include car thefts, gold thefts, bank robberies, and
dwelling fires. Only individuals experiencing such losses are affected, not the
entire economy.
 Financial and non-financial
In its broadest context, the term risk includes all situations in which there is
an exposure to adversity. In some case this adversely involves financial loss,
while in the others it does not. There are some elements of risk in every aspect
of human endeavor, and many of these risks have no financial consequences.
 Static and dynamic Risks:
Static risks
Static risks involve those losses that would occur even if there were no change
in the economy. We could hold consumer testes, output and income, and the
level of technology constant, some individuals would still suffer financial loss.
This loss arises from cause other than change in the economy. These risks are
not source of gain for society. Examples includes uncertainty due to random
events such as fire, windstorm, or death, etc. static losses do involve either the
destruction of the asset or a change in its possession as a result of dishonesty
or human failure. These types of losses tend to occur with a degree of regularity
Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 12
overtime and are generally predictable-which makes static risk more suitable
for treatment by insurances.
Dynamic risks
Dynamic risks are those resulting from change in the economy. Change in the
price level, consumer test, income and output and technology may cause
financial loss the member of society. Normally benefit the society over a long
run, since they are the results of adjustments to misallocation of resources.
Although they may affect a large number of individuals, dynamic risks are
generally considered less predictable than static risks, as they do not occurred
with any precise degree of regularity.
 BURDEN OF RISKS ON SOCIETY
When a house destroyed by a fire, or money is stolen, or a wage earner dies,
there is a financial loss. These losses are the primary burden of risks and the
primary reason that individuals attempt to avoid risk or alleviate its impact. In
addition to the losses themselves
 Large emergency fund
In the absence of insurance, individuals and business firms would have to
increase the size of their emergency fund to pay for unexpected losses. (One
greater danger of this approach is the possibility that a loss may occur before a
sufficient fund has been accumulated)
 Worry and fear
The uncertainty connected with risk usually produces a feeling of frustration
and mental unrest. This is perfectly true in the case of pure risk. Speculative
risk is attractive to many individuals.
 Loss of Certain Goods and Services
A
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Risk and related topics chapter one
Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 13
t
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in
n t
th
he
e l
le
ev
ve
el
l o
of
f s
sa
al
le
es
s,
, c
co
os
st
ts
s,
, p
pr
ro
of
fi
it
ts
s a
ar
re
e l
li
ik
ke
el
ly
y t
to
o o
oc
cc
cu
ur
r d
du
ue
e t
to
o a
a
n
nu
um
mb
be
er
r o
of
f f
fa
ac
ct
to
or
rs
s i
in
nh
he
er
re
en
nt
t i
in
n t
th
he
e e
ec
co
on
no
om
mi
ic
c e
en
nv
vi
ir
ro
on
nm
me
en
nt
t.
. B
Bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s r
ri
is
sk
k i
is
s
i
in
nd
de
ep
pe
en
nd
de
en
nt
t o
of
f t
th
he
e c
co
om
mp
pa
an
ny
y’
’s
s f
fi
in
na
an
nc
ci
ia
al
l s
st
tr
ru
uc
ct
tu
ur
re
e.
.
F
Fi
in
na
an
nc
ci
ia
al
l R
Ri
is
sk
k -
- T
Th
hi
is
s i
is
s a
as
ss
so
oc
ci
ia
at
te
ed
d w
wi
it
th
h d
de
eb
bt
t f
fi
in
na
an
nc
ci
in
ng
g.
. B
Bo
or
rr
ro
ow
wi
in
ng
g r
re
es
su
ul
lt
ts
s i
in
n
t
th
he
e p
pa
ay
ym
me
en
nt
t o
of
f p
pe
er
ri
io
od
di
ic
c i
in
nt
te
er
re
es
st
t c
ch
ha
ar
rg
ge
e a
an
nd
d t
th
he
e p
pa
ay
ym
me
en
nt
t p
pr
ri
in
nc
ci
ip
pa
al
l u
up
po
on
n
m
ma
at
tu
ur
ri
it
ty
y.
. T
Th
he
er
re
e i
is
s a
a r
ri
is
sk
k o
of
f d
de
ef
fa
au
ul
lt
t b
by
y t
th
he
e c
co
om
mp
pa
an
ny
y i
if
f o
op
pe
er
ra
at
ti
io
on
ns
s a
ar
re
e n
no
ot
t
p
pr
ro
of
fi
it
ta
ab
bl
le
e.
. O
Ot
th
he
er
r f
fi
in
na
an
nc
ci
ia
al
l r
ri
is
sk
ks
s i
in
nc
cl
lu
ud
de
e;
; b
ba
an
nk
kr
ru
up
pt
tc
cy
y,
, s
st
to
oc
ck
k p
pr
ri
ic
ce
e d
de
ec
cl
li
in
ne
e,
,
i
in
ns
so
ol
lv
ve
en
nc
cy
y.
.
I
In
nt
te
er
re
es
st
t R
Ra
at
te
e R
Ri
is
sk
k -
- T
Th
hi
is
s i
is
s a
a r
ri
is
sk
k r
re
es
su
ul
lt
ti
in
ng
g f
fr
ro
om
m c
ch
ha
an
ng
ge
es
s i
in
n i
in
nt
te
er
re
es
st
t r
ra
at
te
es
s.
.
C
Ch
ha
an
ng
ge
es
s i
in
n i
in
nt
te
er
re
es
st
t r
ra
at
te
es
s a
af
ff
fe
ec
ct
t t
th
he
e p
pr
ri
ic
ce
es
s o
of
f f
fi
in
na
an
nc
ci
ia
al
l s
se
ec
cu
ur
ri
it
ti
ie
es
s s
su
uc
ch
h a
as
s t
th
he
e
p
pr
ri
ic
ce
es
s o
of
f b
bo
on
nd
ds
s e
et
tc
c.
. f
fo
or
r i
in
nt
te
er
re
es
st
t r
ra
at
te
e r
ri
is
se
e d
de
ep
pr
re
es
ss
se
es
s b
bo
on
nd
d p
pr
ri
ic
ce
es
s a
an
nd
d v
vi
ic
ce
e,
, v
ve
er
rs
sa
a.
.
P
Pu
ur
rc
ch
ha
as
si
in
ng
g P
Po
ow
we
er
r R
Ri
is
sk
k -
- T
Th
hi
is
s r
ri
is
sk
k a
ar
ri
is
se
es
s u
un
nd
de
er
r i
in
nf
fl
la
at
ti
io
on
na
ar
ry
y s
si
it
tu
ua
at
ti
io
on
ns
s (
(g
ge
en
ne
er
ra
al
l
p
pr
ri
ic
ce
e r
ri
is
se
e o
of
f g
go
oo
od
ds
s a
an
nd
d s
se
er
rv
vi
ic
ce
es
s)
) l
le
ea
ad
di
in
ng
g t
to
o a
a d
de
ec
cl
li
in
ne
e i
in
n t
th
he
e p
pu
ur
rc
ch
ha
as
si
in
ng
g p
po
ow
we
er
r o
of
f
t
th
he
e a
as
ss
se
et
t h
he
el
ld
d.
.
M
Ma
ar
rk
ke
et
t R
Ri
is
sk
k -
- M
Ma
ar
rk
ke
et
t r
ri
is
sk
k i
is
s r
re
el
la
at
te
ed
d t
to
o s
st
to
oc
ck
k m
ma
ar
rk
ke
et
t.
. I
It
t r
re
ef
fe
er
rs
s t
to
o s
st
to
oc
ck
k p
pr
ri
ic
ce
e
v
va
ar
ri
ia
ab
bi
il
li
it
ty
y c
ca
au
us
se
ed
d b
by
y m
ma
ar
rk
ke
et
t f
fo
or
rc
ce
es
s.
. I
It
t i
is
s t
th
he
e r
re
es
su
ul
lt
t o
of
f i
in
nv
ve
es
st
to
or
rs
s’
’ r
re
ea
ac
ct
ti
io
on
ns
s t
to
o
r
re
ea
al
l o
or
r p
ps
sy
yc
ch
ho
ol
lo
og
gi
ic
ca
al
l e
ex
xp
pe
ec
ct
ta
at
ti
io
on
ns
s.
. F
Fo
or
r e
ex
xa
am
mp
pl
le
e,
, s
so
om
me
e f
fo
or
re
ec
ca
as
st
ts
s m
ma
ay
y c
co
on
nv
vi
in
nc
ce
e
i
in
nv
ve
es
st
to
or
rs
s t
th
ha
at
t t
th
he
e e
ec
co
on
no
om
my
y i
is
s h
he
ea
ad
di
in
ng
g t
to
ow
wa
ar
rd
ds
s a
a r
re
ec
ce
es
ss
si
io
on
n.
. T
Th
he
e m
ma
ar
rk
ke
et
t i
in
nd
de
ex
x
w
wo
ou
ul
ld
d d
de
ec
cl
li
in
ne
e a
ac
cc
co
or
rd
di
in
ng
gl
ly
y.
.
“THERE IS NO TIME AND PLACE WHICH IS FREE FROM RISK, AND VERY
DIFFICULT TO AVOID IT, SO WHAT WOULD BE BETTER?”
“MANAGING”
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
CHAPTER TWO
THE RISK MANAGEMENT
2.1 Meaning of Risk Management:
Risk management is a process that identifies loss exposures faced by an
organization and selects the most appropriate techniques for treating
such exposures. R
Ri
is
sk
k m
ma
an
na
ag
ge
em
me
en
nt
t i
is
s t
th
he
e p
pr
ro
oc
ce
es
ss
s o
of
f i
id
de
en
nt
ti
if
fy
yi
in
ng
g,
, m
me
ea
as
su
ur
ri
in
ng
g,
,
a
an
nd
d h
ha
an
nd
dl
li
in
ng
g l
lo
os
ss
se
es
s a
as
ss
so
oc
ci
ia
at
te
ed
d w
wi
it
th
h p
pr
ro
op
pe
er
rt
ty
y,
, l
li
ia
ab
bi
il
li
it
ty
y,
, a
an
nd
d p
pe
er
rs
so
on
ns
s.
.
In the past, risk managers generally considered only pure loss exposures faced
by the firm. However, newer forms of risk management are emerging that
consider certain speculative risks as well. This capital discusses only the
treatment of pure risks or pure loss exposures.
2.2 Objectives of Risk Management:
Risk management has important objectives. These objectives can be classified
as either (1) Pre loss Objectives
(2) Post loss Objectives
Pre loss Objectives:
Important objectives before a loss occurs include economy, reduction of
anxiety, and meeting legal obligations.
Economy: The economy objective means that the firm should prepare
for potential losses in the most economical way. This preparation involves
an analysis of the cost of safety programs, insurance premiums paid, and the
costs associate with different techniques for handling losses.
Reduction of Anxiety: Certain loss exposures can cause greater worry and
fear for the risk manager and key executives. For example, the threat of a
terrible court case from a defective product can cause greater anxiety than a
small loss from a minor fire. This risk manager, however, wants to minimize
the anxiety and fear associated with all loss exposures.
Meeting legal obligations: The final objective is to meet any legal
obligations. For example, government regulations may require a firm to install
safety devices to protect workers from harm, to dispose of harmful waste
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 2
material properly and to label consumer products appropriately. The risk
manager must see that these legal obligations are met.
Post loss Objectives:
Important objectives after a loss occurs include survival, continued
operation, stability of earnings, continued growth, and social
responsibility.
Survival: The most important post loss objective is survival of the firm.
Survival means that after a loss occurs, the firm can resume at least partial
operations within some reasonable time period.
Continued Operation: The second post loss objective is to continue operating.
For some, firms, the ability to operate after a loss is extremely important. For
example, a public utility firm most continues to provide service. Banks, post
offices, dairies, and other competitive forms must continue to operate after a
loss. Otherwise, business will be lost to competitors.
Stability: The third post loss objective is stability of earnings. Earnings per
share can be maintained if the firm continues to operate. However, a firm may
incur substantial additional expenses to achieve this goal (such as operating at
another location), and perfect stability of earnings may not be attained.
Continued Growth: The fourth post loss objective is continued growth of the
firm. A company can grow by developing new products and markets or by
acquiring or merging with other companies. The risk manager must therefore
consider the effect that a loss will have on the firm’s ability to grow.
Social Responsibility: Finally, the objective of social responsibility is to
minimize the effects that a loss will have on other persons and on society. A
sever loss can adversely affect employees, suppliers, creditors and the
community in general.
2.3 Steps in the Risk Management Process:
The risk management process involves four steps:
Step 1: Identifying potential losses (Risk Identification)
Step 2: Evaluate Potential losses (Risk Measurement)
Step 3: Select the appropriate techniques for treating loss exposure, and
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 3
Step 4: Implement and administer the program.
Step 1: - RISK IDENTIFICATION:
The first step in the risk management process is to identify all major and minor
loss exposures. This step involves a painstaking analysis of all potential losses.
Unless the sources of possible losses are recognized, it is impossible to
consciously choose appropriate, efficient methods for dealing with those losses
should they occur.
A loss exposure is a potential loss that may be associated with a specific type of
risk. Loss exposures typically classified as (Sources of Risks)
Loss Exposures (Sources of Risks):
 Property Loss Exposures:
 Business Income Loss Exposures:
 Human Resources Exposures:
 Crime Loss Exposures:
 Employee Benefit Loss Exposures:
 Failure to comply with government regulation.
 Failure to pay promised benefits.
 Group life and health and retirement plan exposures.
 Foreign Loss Exposures:
 Acts of terrorism
 Plants, business property, inventory
 Foreign currency risks
 Kidnapping of key persons
 Political risks
 Liability Risks:
 Defective Products
 Sexual harassment of employees, discrimination against
employees, wrongful termination
 Misuse of internet and e-mail transactions
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 4
Techniques for Identifying Risks:
A risk manager has several techniques that he or she can use to identify the
preceding loss exposures. They include the following:
Loss Exposure Checklists:
One risk identification tool that can be used both by business and by
individuals is a loss exposure checklist, which specifies numerous potential
sources of loss from destruction of assets and from legal liability. For each item
of checklist, the user asks the question, “is this a potential source of the loss to
me or my firm?” In this way, the systematic use of loss exposure checklists
reduces the likelihood of overlooking important sources of risks.
Some loss exposure checklists are designed for specific industries, such as
manufacturers, retail stores, educational institutions, or religious
organizations. Such list tends to the quite lengthy, as they attempt to cover all
the exposures that various entities are likely to face.
A second type of checklists focuses on a specific category of exposure. The
questions included in the checklists usually address specific exposures in
considerable detail. Thus, these checklists can be helpful net only in risk
identification but also in compiling information necessary for an in-depth
evaluation of risks that are identified.
The Financial Statement Method:
The financial statement method was proposed by A.H. Criddle (1962). Although
this approach was intended for private originations, the concepts, of these
financial statements approach can be generalized in public sector organizations
as well. By analyzing the balance sheet, operating statements, and supporting
documents, criddle maintains, the risk manager can identify property, liability,
and human exposures (losses) of the organizations.
By coupling these statements with financial forecast and budgets, the risk
manager can discover future exposures. Financial statements reveal this
information because every organizational transaction ultimately involves either
money or property.
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 5
The Flow Chart Method:
An organization’s exposure to risk also can be identified by studying flow chart
of organization’s activities and operations. These flow charts are studies
alongside the checklists of possible exposures to determine which items apply.
Contract Analysis:
Many of an organization’s risks are arise from contractual relationships with
other persons and organizations. An examination of these contracts may reveal
are of exposures that are not evident from the organization’s operations and
activities. In some cases, contracts may shift responsibility to other parties.
Interactions with other Departments:
Frequent interactions with other departments provide another source of
information on exposures of risk. These interactions may include oral or
written reports from other departments on their own initiative or in response to
regular reporting system that keep the risk manager informed of developments.
The importance of such a communications network should not be
underestimated. These departments are consistently creating or becoming
aware of exposures that might otherwise escape the risk manger’s attention.
Indeed, the risk manager’s success in risk identification is heavily dependent
on the co-operation of other departments.
Interactions with Outside Suppliers and Professional Organizations:
In addition to communicating with other departments the risk manager
normally interacts with outsiders who provide services to the organizations.
These, outsiders, for example, accountants, lawyers, risk management
consultants, actuaries, or loss control specialists. The objective would be to
determine whether the outsiders have identified exposures that otherwise
would be missed. Possibly, the outsiders themselves may create new
exposures.
Statistical Records of Losses:
Where available, statistical records of losses can be used to identify sources of
risk. These records may be available from risk management information
systems developed by consultants or in some cases, the risk manager. These
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 6
systems allow losses to be analyses according to cause, location amount and
other issues to interest.
Statistical records allow the risk manager to asses’ trends in the organization’s
loss experience and to compare the organization’s loss experience with the
experience of others. In additions, these records enable the risk manager to
analyze issues such as the cause, time and location of the accidents, identify of
the inured individual and the supervisions, and any hazards or other special
factors affecting the nature of the accident.
Step two: RISK MEASUREMENT (RISK EVALUATION)
The second step in the risk management process is to evaluate and measure
the impact of losses on the firm. This step involves on estimation of the
potential frequency and severity of loss.
Loss frequency refers to the probable number of losses that may occur during
the some given period. Loss severity refers to the probable size of the losses
that may occur.
Once the risk manager estimates the frequency and severity of loss for each
type of loss exposure, the various loss exposures can be ranked according to
their relative importance. For example, a loss exposure with the potential for
bankrupting the firm is much more important in a risk management program
than an exposure with a small loss potential.
In addition, the relative frequency and severity of each loss exposure must be
estimate so that the risk manager can select the most appropriate technique or
combination of techniques for handling each exposure. For example, if certain
losses occur regularly and are predictable, they can be budgeted out of a firm
income and treated as normal operating expenses. If the certain type of
exposure fluctuates widely, however, an entirely different approach is required.
Although the risk manager must consider both loss frequency and loss
severity, severity is more important, because a singly catastrophic loss could
wipe out the firm. Therefore, the risk manager must also consider all losses
that can result from a singly events. Both the maximum possible loss and
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 7
maximum probable loss must be estimated. The maximum possible loss is the
worst loss that could possibly happen to the firm during its lifetime.
The maximum probable loss is the worst loss that is likely to happen to the
firm during its lifetime.
The actual estimation of the frequency and severity of loses may be done in
various ways. Some risk manger considers these concepts informally in
evaluation identified risks. They may broadly classify the frequency of various
losses into categories such as “Slight”, “moderate”, and “certain” and many
have similarly broad estimates for loss severity. Even this type of informal
evaluation is better than none at all. But as risk management becomes
increasingly sophisticated, most large firms, attempts to be more precise in
evaluation risk. It is now common to use probability distributions and
statistical techniques in estimating both loss frequency and severity.
Step 3 Select the appropriate techniques for treating loss
exposure (risk control)
R
Ri
is
sk
k c
co
on
nt
tr
ro
ol
l a
ap
pp
pr
ro
oa
ac
ch
he
es
s a
ar
re
e d
de
es
si
ig
gn
ne
ed
d t
to
o r
re
ed
du
uc
ce
e t
th
he
e f
fi
ir
rm
m’
’s
s e
ex
xp
pe
ec
ct
te
ed
d l
lo
os
ss
se
es
s a
an
nd
d t
to
o m
ma
ak
ke
e t
th
he
e
a
an
nn
nu
ua
al
l l
lo
os
ss
s e
ex
xp
pe
er
ri
ie
en
nc
ce
e m
mo
or
re
e p
pr
re
ed
di
ic
ct
ta
ab
bl
le
e.
. After identifying and evaluating exposures to
risk, systematic consideration can be given to alternative methods for
managing each exposure.
The major techniques to handling risks are:
1. Risk control
 Risk avoidance
 Loss control
o Diversification(separation)
o Combination
2. Risk financing technics
 Risk retention
 Insurance
 Non insurance transfer
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 8
1) Risk control technics
 Risk avoidance: - Avoidance means a certain loss exposure is never
acquired, or an existing loss exposure is abandoned. ‘. Risk avoidance is
conscious decision not to expose oneself or one’s firm to a particular risk of
loss. In this way, risk avoidance can be said to decrease one’s chance of loss
to zero. Example: if one doesn’t want to face car collusion, he/she decide
not have car at all.
Advantage of risk avoidance
 Chance of loss is reduced to zero if the loss exposure is never
acquired.
 If it is abandoned, the chance of loss is reduced because the
activity or product that could produce a loss has been abandoned.
Disadvantage of risk avoidance
 The firm may not avoid all the losses e.g. The Company may not be
able to avoid the death of key executives.
 May not be feasible or practical to avoid the exposure. OR even
avoid one risk may create another risk. E.g., A paint factory can
avoid losses arising from the production of paint. Without paint
production, however, the firm will not be business.
 Loss control: -When losses/ risks cannot be avoided, actions may be taken
to reduce the losses associated with them. This is method of dealing with
risk is known as “Loss Control”. It is different than the risk avoidance
because the firm or individual is still engaging in operations that gives rise
to risks. Rather than abandoning specific activities, loss control involves
making conscious decisions regarding the way those activities will be
conducted. Common goals are either to reduce the probability of losses or to
decrease the cost of losses that do occur.
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 9
Types of Loss Control: Two methods of classifying loss control involve
focus and timing.
Focus of Loss Control:
Some loss control measures are designed primarily to reduce loss frequency.
This form of loss control is referred to as “frequency reduction” (Loss
Prevention). For example, measurers that reduce truck accidents include
driver examinations, zero tolerance for alcohol or drug abuse and strict
enforcement of safety rules. Measures that reduce lawsuits from defective
products include installation of safety features on hazardous products,
placement of warning labels on dangerous products, and institution of
quality control checks.
In contrast to frequency reduction, consider an auto manufacturer having
airbags installed in the company fleet off automobiles. This form is engaging
in “severity reduction” (Loss Reduction). It refers to measure that reduce the
severity of a loss. The air bags will not prevent accidents from occurring,
but they will reduce the probable injuries that employees will suffer if an
accident does happen.
Timing of Loss Control:
First Timing Categories – Pre-Loss Activities
 Loss Prevention
 Loss Reduction
Second Timing Categories – Concurrent Activities
Post – Loss Activities.
Concurrent Activities: In second timing classification for loss control
measures is that of activities that take place concurrently with losses. The
activities of building sprinkler systems illustrate this concept of concurrent
loss control.
Post – Loss Activities: The third category is that of post loss activities.
As with concurrent loss control, post-loss activities always have a severity-
reduction focus. For example, one is trying to salvage damaged property
rather than discard it. Thus, the partial restoration of an automobile and
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 10
subsequent sale of the car to an automobile wholesaler can reduce the
overall severity of a loss due to an automobile accident.
Potential Benefits of Loss Control:
Many of the benefits association with loss control are either readily
quantifiable or can be reasonably estimated. These may include the
reduction or elimination of expense associated with the following:
 Repair or replacement of damaged property
 Income losses due to destruction of property
 Extra costs to maintain operations following a loss
 Adverse liability of judgments
 Medical costs to threat injuries
 Income losses due to deaths or disabilities.
Another quantifiable benefit of loss control is a reduction in the cost of other
risk management techniques used in conjunction with the loss control.
Two special forms of loss control are “Separation” and “Duplication”.
 Separation: - involves the reduction of maximum probable loss associated
with some kinds of risks. Example, a firm may disperse work operations in
such a way that on explosion or other terrible will not injure more than a
limited number of persons. (Through such separation, the firm is reducing
the likely severity of overall firm losses by reducing the size of the exposure
in any one location.)
 Combination:-this method makes loss experience more predictable by
increasing the number of exposure units. Unlike separation which spreads a
specific number of exposure units, combination increases the number of
exposure units under the control of the firm.
2. Risk financing technics
 Risk retention: - Retention means that the firm’s retains part, or all
activities exposed to a loss. Retention can be Actives (Planned) or Passive
(Unplanned). Active risk retention means that the firm is aware of the loss
exposure and plans to retain part or all of it, such as automobile crash
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 11
losses to a fleet of company cars. Passive risk retention, however, is the
failure to identify a loss exposure, failure to act or forgetting to act. For
example, a risk manager may fail to identify all company assets that could
be damaged in an earthquake.
 Retention can be effectively used in a risk management program under the
following conditions:
 No other method of treatment is available
 The worst possible loss is not serious
 Loss is highly predictable
If retention is used, the risk manager must have some method for paying
losses. The following methods are typically used:
 Current Net Income: The firm can pay losses out of its current net income
and treat losses as exposure for that year. A large number of losses could
exceed current income, however, and other assets may then have to be
liquidated to pay losses.
 Unfunded Reserve: An unfunded reserve is a bookkeeping account that is
charged with actual or expected losses form a given exposure.
 Funded Reserve: A funded reserve is the setting aside of liquid funds to
pay losses. Funded reserves are net widely used by private employers,
because the funds many yield a much higher rate of return by being
used in the business. Also, contributions to funded reserves are net
income tax deductible losses, however, are tax deductible when paid.
 Credit Line: A credit line can be established with a bank and borrowed
funds may be used to pay losses as they occur. Interest must be paid on
the loan, however, and loan repayments can aggregate any cash flow
problems a firm may here.
Advantage of risk retention
 Save Money: The firm can save money in the long run if its actual loses
are less than the loss component in the insurance’s premium.
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 12
 Lower Expenses: The services provide by the insurer may be provided by
the firm at a lower cost. Some expenses may be reduced, including loss
adjustment expenses, general administrative expenses, commissions and
brokerage fees, loss control expenses, taxes and fees and the insurer’s
profit.
 Encourage Loss Prevention: Because the exposure is retained, there may
be a greater incentive for loss prevention.
 Increase Cash Flow: Cash flow may be increased because the firm can
use the funds that normally would be paid to the insurer at the
beginning of the policy period.
Disadvantage of risk retention
 Possible higher losses: The losses retained by the firm may be greater
than the loss allowance in the insurance premium that is saved by net
purchasing the insurance.
 Possible higher expenses: Expenses may actually be higher outside
experts such as safety engineers may have to be hired. Insurers may be
able to provide loss control and claim services less expensively.
 Possible higher taxes: Income taxes may also be higher.
 Insurance: - this is the most widely used risk transfer is insurance.is a
contractual transfer of risk. If the risk manager uses insurance to treat
certain loss exposures, five key areas must be emphasized. They are the
following;
 Selection of insurance coverage
 Selection of an insurer
 Negotiation of terms
 Dissemination of information concerning insurance coverage
 Periodic review of the insurance program
 The risk manager must select the insurance coverage needed. Since there may
not be enough money in the risk management budget to insure all possible
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 13
losses, the need for insurance can be divided into several categories
depending on importance.
 Essential insurance includes that coverage required by law or by
contract, such as workers compensation insurance. It also includes that
coverage that will protect the firm against a catastrophic loss or a loss
that threatens the firm’s survival; commercial general liability
insurance would fall into that category.
 Desirable or important insurance is protection against losses that may
cause the firm financial difficulty, but not bankruptcy. Desirable
insurance coverage’s include those that protect against loss exposure
that would force the firm to borrow or resort to credit.
 Available or optional insurance is coverage for slight losses that would
merely inconvenience the firm. Optional insurance coverage includes
those that protect against losses that could be met out of existing
assets or current income.
 The risk manager must select an insurer or several insurers. Several
important factors come in play here. These include the financial
strength of the insurer, risk management services provided by the
insurer, and the cost and terms of protection.
 After the insurer or insurers are selected, the terms of the insurance
contract must be negotiated. If printed policies, endorsements, and
forms are used, the risk manger and the insurer must agree on the
documents that will form the basis of the contract. If specially tailored
manuscript policy is written for the firm, the language and meaning of
the contractual provisions must be clear to both parties. In any case,
the various risk management services the insurer will provide must be
clearly stated in the contract. Finally, if the firm is large, the premiums
may be negotiable between the firm and insurer
 Information concerning insurance coverage must be disseminated to others
in the firm. The firm’s employees and mangers must be informed about
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 14
the insurance coverage, the various records that must be kept, the risk
management services that the insurer will provide, and the changes in
hazards that could result in a suspension of insurance.
 The insurance program must be periodically reviewed. The entire process
of obtaining insurance must be evaluated periodically. This involves
analysis of agents and broker relationships, coverage needed, cost of
insurance, quality of loss-control services provided, whether claims are
paid properly, and numerous other factors. Even the basis decision –
whether to purchase-insurance must be reviewed periodically.

 Non insurance transfer: -T
Tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r,
, t
th
he
e f
fi
in
na
al
l t
to
oo
ol
ls
s t
to
o b
be
e d
di
is
sc
cu
us
ss
se
ed
d,
, m
ma
ay
y b
be
e
a
ac
cc
co
om
mp
pl
li
is
sh
he
ed
d i
in
n t
th
hr
re
ee
e w
wa
ay
ys
s.
. T
Th
he
es
se
e a
ar
re
e:
:

 T
Tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r o
of
f t
th
he
e a
ac
ct
ti
iv
vi
it
ty
y o
or
r t
th
he
e p
pr
ro
op
pe
er
rt
ty
y.
. T
Th
he
e p
pr
ro
op
pe
er
rt
ty
y o
or
r a
ac
ct
ti
iv
vi
it
ty
y
r
re
es
sp
po
on
ns
si
ib
bl
le
e f
fo
or
r t
th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
ks
s m
ma
ay
y b
be
e t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
rr
re
ed
d t
to
o s
so
om
me
e o
ot
th
he
er
r p
pe
er
rs
so
on
n o
or
r
g
gr
ro
ou
up
p o
of
f p
pe
er
rs
so
on
ns
s.
. F
Fo
or
r e
ex
xa
am
mp
pl
le
e,
, a
a f
fi
ir
rm
m t
th
ha
at
t s
se
el
ll
ls
s o
on
ne
e o
of
f i
it
ts
s b
bu
ui
il
ld
di
in
ng
gs
s
t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
rs
s t
th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
ks
s a
as
ss
so
oc
ci
ia
at
te
ed
d w
wi
it
th
h o
ow
wn
ne
er
rs
sh
hi
ip
p o
of
f t
th
he
e b
bu
ui
il
ld
di
in
ng
g t
to
o t
th
he
e n
ne
ew
w
o
ow
wn
ne
er
r.
. A
A c
co
on
nt
tr
ra
ac
ct
to
or
r w
wh
ho
o i
is
s c
co
on
nc
ce
er
rn
ne
ed
d a
ab
bo
ou
ut
t p
po
os
ss
si
ib
bl
le
e i
in
nc
cr
re
ea
as
se
e i
in
n t
th
he
e c
co
os
st
t
o
of
f l
la
ab
bo
or
r a
an
nd
d m
ma
at
te
er
ri
ia
al
ls
s n
ne
ee
ed
de
ed
d f
fo
or
r t
th
he
e e
el
le
ec
ct
tr
ri
ic
ca
al
l w
wo
or
rk
k o
on
n a
a j
jo
ob
b t
to
o w
wh
hi
ic
ch
h
h
he
e/
/s
sh
he
e i
is
s a
al
lr
re
ea
ad
dy
y c
co
om
mm
mi
it
tt
te
ed
d c
ca
an
n t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r t
th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
k b
by
y h
hi
ir
ri
in
ng
g a
a
s
su
ub
bc
co
on
nt
tr
ra
ac
ct
to
or
r f
fo
or
r t
th
hi
is
s p
po
or
rt
ti
io
on
n o
of
f t
th
he
e p
pr
ro
oj
je
ec
ct
t.
.
T
Th
hi
is
s t
ty
yp
pe
e o
of
f t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r,
, w
wh
hi
ic
ch
h i
is
s c
cl
lo
os
se
el
ly
y r
re
el
la
at
te
ed
d t
to
o a
av
vo
oi
id
da
an
nc
ce
e t
th
hr
ro
ou
ug
gh
h
a
ab
ba
an
nd
do
on
nm
me
en
nt
t,
, i
is
s a
a r
ri
is
sk
k c
co
on
nt
tr
ro
ol
l m
me
ea
as
su
ur
re
e b
be
ec
ca
au
us
se
e i
it
t e
el
li
im
mi
in
na
at
te
es
s a
a p
po
ot
te
en
nt
ti
ia
al
l
l
lo
os
ss
s t
th
ha
at
t m
ma
ay
y s
st
tr
ri
ik
ke
e t
th
he
e f
fi
ir
rm
m.
. I
It
t d
di
if
ff
fe
er
rs
s f
fr
ro
om
m a
av
vo
oi
id
da
an
nc
ce
e t
th
hr
ro
ou
ug
gh
h
a
ab
ba
an
nd
do
on
nm
me
en
nt
t i
in
n t
th
ha
at
t t
to
o t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r a
a r
ri
is
sk
k t
th
he
e f
fi
ir
rm
m m
mu
us
st
t p
pa
as
ss
s i
it
t t
to
o s
so
om
me
eo
on
ne
e
e
el
ls
se
e.
.

 T
Tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r o
of
f t
th
he
e p
pr
ro
ob
ba
ab
bl
le
e l
lo
os
ss
s.
. T
Th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
k,
, b
bu
ut
t n
no
ot
t t
th
he
e p
pr
ro
op
pe
er
rt
ty
y o
or
r a
ac
ct
ti
iv
vi
it
ty
y,
,
m
ma
ay
y b
be
e t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
rr
re
ed
d.
. F
Fo
or
r e
ex
xa
am
mp
pl
le
e,
, u
un
nd
de
er
r a
a l
le
ea
as
se
e,
, t
th
he
e t
te
en
na
an
nt
t m
ma
ay
y b
be
e a
ab
bl
le
e
t
to
o s
sh
hi
if
ft
t t
to
o t
th
he
e l
la
an
nd
dl
lo
or
rd
d a
an
ny
y r
re
es
sp
po
on
ns
si
ib
bi
il
li
it
ty
y t
th
he
e t
te
en
na
an
nt
t m
ma
ay
y h
ha
av
ve
e f
fo
or
r
d
da
am
ma
ag
ge
e t
to
o t
th
he
e l
la
an
nd
dl
lo
or
rd
d’
’s
s p
pr
re
em
mi
is
se
es
s c
ca
au
us
se
ed
d b
by
y t
th
he
e t
te
en
na
an
nt
t’
’s
s n
ne
eg
gl
li
ig
ge
en
nc
ce
e.
. A
A
m
ma
an
nu
uf
fa
ac
ct
tu
ur
re
e m
ma
ay
y b
be
e a
ab
bl
le
e t
to
o f
fo
or
rc
ce
e a
a r
re
et
ta
ai
il
le
er
r t
to
o a
as
ss
su
um
me
e r
re
es
sp
po
on
ns
si
ib
bi
il
li
it
ty
y f
fo
or
r
a
an
ny
y d
da
am
ma
ag
ge
e t
to
o p
pr
ro
od
du
uc
ct
ts
s t
th
ha
at
t o
oc
cc
cu
ur
rs
s a
af
ft
te
er
r t
th
he
e p
pr
ro
od
du
uc
ct
ts
s l
le
ea
av
ve
e t
th
he
e
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 15
m
ma
an
nu
uf
fa
ac
ct
tu
ur
re
er
r’
’s
s p
pr
re
em
mi
is
se
es
s e
ev
ve
en
n i
if
f t
th
he
e m
ma
an
nu
uf
fa
ac
ct
tu
ur
re
er
r w
wo
ou
ul
ld
d o
ot
th
he
er
rw
wi
is
se
e b
be
e
r
re
es
sp
po
on
ns
si
ib
bl
le
e.
. A
A b
bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s m
ma
ay
y b
be
e a
ab
bl
le
e t
to
o c
co
on
nv
vi
in
nc
ce
e a
a c
cu
us
st
to
om
me
er
r t
to
o g
gi
iv
ve
e u
up
p
a
an
ny
y r
ri
ig
gh
ht
ts
s t
th
he
e c
cu
us
st
to
om
me
er
rs
s m
mi
ig
gh
ht
t h
ha
av
ve
e t
to
o g
gi
iv
ve
e t
th
he
e b
bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s f
fo
or
r b
bo
od
di
il
ly
y
i
in
nj
ju
ur
ri
ie
es
s a
an
nd
d p
pr
ro
op
pe
er
rt
ty
y d
da
am
ma
ag
ge
e s
su
us
st
ta
ai
in
ne
ed
d b
be
ec
ca
au
us
se
e o
of
f d
de
ef
fe
ec
ct
ts
s i
in
n a
a p
pr
ro
od
du
uc
ct
t
o
or
r a
a s
se
er
rv
vi
ic
ce
e.
.
 Hedging:
Hedging involves the transfer of speculative risk. It is a business
transaction in which the risk of price fluctuations is transferred to a
third party known as a speculator.
I
In
n t
th
hi
is
s s
se
ec
ct
ti
io
on
n,
, w
we
e h
ha
av
ve
e d
di
is
sc
cu
us
ss
se
ed
d l
la
ar
rg
ge
e n
nu
um
mb
be
er
r o
of
f r
ri
is
sk
k m
ma
an
na
ag
ge
em
me
en
nt
t t
to
oo
ol
ls
s.
.
T
Th
he
es
se
e t
to
oo
ol
ls
s m
ma
ay
y n
no
ot
t b
be
e a
ap
pp
pr
ro
op
pr
ri
ia
at
te
e i
in
n a
al
ll
l s
si
it
tu
ua
at
ti
io
on
ns
s t
to
o a
al
ll
l f
fi
ir
rm
ms
s o
or
r i
in
nd
di
iv
vi
id
du
ua
al
ls
s
a
at
t a
al
ll
l t
ti
im
me
es
s.
. A
As
s a
a r
re
es
su
ul
lt
t,
, a
a r
ri
is
sk
k m
ma
an
na
ag
ge
er
r s
sh
ho
ou
ul
ld
d b
be
e k
kn
no
ow
wl
le
ed
dg
ge
ea
ab
bl
le
e e
en
no
ou
ug
gh
h t
to
o
m
ma
ak
ke
e a
an
na
al
ly
ys
si
is
s a
an
nd
d s
se
el
le
ec
ct
t t
th
he
e “
“b
be
es
st
t”
” r
ri
is
sk
k h
ha
an
nd
dl
li
in
ng
g t
to
oo
ol
l(
(s
s)
).
. C
Co
os
st
t-
-b
be
en
ne
ef
fi
it
t a
an
na
al
ly
ys
si
is
s
i
is
s i
im
mp
po
or
rt
ta
an
nt
t i
in
n s
se
el
le
ec
ct
ti
in
ng
g a
an
n a
ap
pp
pr
ro
op
pr
ri
ia
at
te
e r
ri
is
sk
k m
ma
an
na
ag
ge
em
me
en
nt
t t
to
oo
ol
l(
(s
s)
)
Risk Management Matrix
Type of Loss Loss Loss Appropriate Risk
Frequency Severity Risk Management Technique
1 Low Low Retention
2 High Low Loss Prevention
3 Low High Insurance
4 High High Avoidance
Step 4 Implement and administer the program
Once we select the appropriate techniques for treating loss exposure executing
is the basic issue.to achieve this activity the following are the most important
tools.
1. Risk management policy statement
2. Risk management manual
3. Cooperate with other department
4. Periodic review and evaluating
The Risk Management Process Chapter Two
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 16
Benefits of risk management
 Attain its pre-loss and post loss objective easily
 Cost of risk is reduced, increase companies profit
 Enact an enterprise risk management program that treats both pure and
 pain and suffering reduce--> society benefits
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
CHAPTER THREE
INSURANCE: AN OVERVIEW
3.1Definition of Insurance:
There is not single definition of insurance. Insurance can be defined from the
viewpoint of several disciplines, I
In
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e m
ma
ay
y b
be
e d
de
ef
fi
in
ne
ed
d i
in
n e
ec
co
on
no
om
mi
ic
c,
, l
le
eg
ga
al
l b
bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s,
,
s
so
oc
ci
ia
al
l,
, a
an
nd
d m
ma
at
th
he
em
ma
at
ti
ic
ca
al
l p
po
oi
in
nt
t o
of
f v
vi
ie
ew
w a
as
s f
fo
ol
ll
lo
ow
ws
s:
:

 I
In
n e
ec
co
on
no
om
mi
ic
c s
se
en
ns
se
e:
: i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e i
is
s a
an
n i
im
mp
po
or
rt
ta
an
nt
t t
to
oo
ol
l t
th
ha
at
t p
pr
ro
ov
vi
id
de
es
s c
ce
er
rt
ta
ai
in
nt
ty
y o
or
r p
pr
re
ed
di
ic
ct
ta
ab
bi
il
li
it
ty
y
a
ai
im
mi
in
ng
g a
at
t r
re
ed
du
uc
ci
in
ng
g u
un
nc
ce
er
rt
ta
ai
in
nt
ty
y i
in
n r
re
eg
ga
ar
rd
d t
to
o p
pu
ur
re
e r
ri
is
sk
ks
s.
. I
It
t a
ac
cc
co
om
mp
pl
li
is
sh
he
es
s t
th
hi
is
s r
re
es
su
ul
lt
t b
by
y
p
po
oo
ol
li
in
ng
g o
or
r s
sh
ha
ar
ri
in
ng
g o
of
f r
ri
is
sk
k.
.

 L
Le
eg
ga
al
l p
po
oi
in
nt
t o
of
f v
vi
ie
ew
w:
: i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e i
is
s a
a c
co
on
nt
tr
ra
ac
ct
t b
by
y w
wh
hi
ic
ch
h o
on
ne
e p
pa
ar
rt
ty
y,
, i
in
n c
co
on
ns
si
id
de
er
ra
at
ti
io
on
n o
of
f t
th
he
e
p
pr
ri
ic
ce
e p
pa
ai
id
d t
to
o h
hi
im
m a
ad
de
eq
qu
ua
at
te
e t
to
o t
th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
k,
, b
be
ec
co
om
me
es
s s
se
ec
cu
ur
ri
it
ty
y t
to
o t
th
he
e o
ot
th
he
er
r t
th
ha
at
t h
he
e/
/s
sh
he
e s
sh
ha
al
ll
l n
no
ot
t
s
su
uf
ff
fe
er
r l
lo
os
ss
s,
, d
da
am
ma
ag
ge
e o
or
r p
pr
re
ej
ju
ud
di
ic
ce
es
s b
by
y t
th
he
e h
ha
ap
pp
pe
en
ni
in
ng
g o
of
f t
th
he
e p
pe
er
ri
il
ls
s s
sp
pe
ec
ci
if
fi
ie
ed
d i
in
n t
th
he
e p
po
ol
li
ic
cy
y.
.
A
Ar
rt
ti
ic
cl
le
e 6
65
54
4(
(1
1)
) o
of
f t
th
he
e c
co
om
mm
me
er
rc
ci
ia
al
l c
co
od
de
e o
of
f E
Et
th
hi
io
op
pi
ia
a s
st
ta
at
te
es
s i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e a
as
s f
fo
ol
ll
lo
ow
ws
s:
:
"
"A
A c
co
on
nt
tr
ra
ac
ct
t w
wh
he
er
re
eb
by
y a
a p
pe
er
rs
so
on
n c
ca
al
ll
le
ed
d t
th
he
e i
in
ns
su
ur
re
er
r u
un
nd
de
er
rt
ta
ak
ke
es
s a
ag
ga
ai
in
ns
st
t p
pa
ay
ym
me
en
nt
t o
of
f o
on
ne
e o
or
r m
mo
or
re
e
p
pr
re
em
mi
iu
um
ms
s t
to
o p
pa
ay
y a
a p
pe
er
rs
so
on
n,
, c
ca
al
ll
le
ed
d t
th
he
e b
be
en
ne
ef
fi
ic
ci
ia
ar
ry
y,
, s
su
um
m o
of
f m
mo
on
ne
ey
y w
wh
he
er
re
e a
a s
sp
pe
ec
ci
if
fi
ie
ed
d r
ri
is
sk
k
m
ma
at
te
er
ri
ia
al
li
iz
ze
es
s.
.
F
Fr
ro
om
m t
th
hi
is
s d
de
ef
fi
in
ni
it
ti
io
on
n o
of
f l
la
aw
w w
we
e c
ca
an
n l
le
ea
ar
rn
n t
th
ha
at
t i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e i
is
s c
co
on
nt
tr
ra
ac
ct
tu
ua
al
l a
ag
gr
re
ee
em
me
en
nt
t b
be
et
tw
we
ee
en
n
t
tw
wo
o p
pa
ar
rt
ti
ie
es
s:
: t
th
he
e p
pe
er
rs
so
on
n (
(I
In
ns
su
ur
re
ed
d)
) a
an
nd
d I
In
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e c
co
om
mp
pa
an
ni
ie
es
s.
. W
Wh
he
en
n a
a p
pe
er
rs
so
on
n b
bu
uy
ys
s p
pr
ri
iv
va
at
te
e
i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e,
, s
sh
he
e/
/h
he
e i
is
s e
en
nt
te
er
ri
in
ng
g i
in
nt
to
o a
a c
co
on
nt
tr
ra
ac
ct
t w
wi
it
th
h t
th
he
e i
in
ns
su
ur
re
er
r t
th
ha
at
t e
en
nt
ti
it
tl
le
es
s t
th
he
e p
pe
er
rs
so
on
n
(
(I
In
ns
su
ur
re
ed
d)
) t
to
o c
ce
er
rt
ta
ai
in
n a
ad
dv
va
an
nt
ta
ag
ge
es
s b
bu
ut
t a
al
ls
so
o i
im
mp
po
os
se
es
s c
ce
er
rt
ta
ai
in
n r
re
es
sp
po
on
ns
si
ib
bi
il
li
it
ti
ie
es
s s
su
uc
ch
h a
as
s p
pa
ay
ym
me
en
nt
t
o
of
f a
a p
pr
re
em
mi
iu
um
m a
an
nd
d s
sa
at
ti
is
sf
fy
yi
in
ng
g c
ce
er
rt
ta
ai
in
n c
co
on
nd
di
it
ti
io
on
ns
s s
sp
pe
ec
ci
if
fi
ie
ed
d i
in
n t
th
he
e p
po
ol
li
ic
cy
y.
.

 B
Bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s P
Po
oi
in
nt
t o
of
f v
vi
ie
ew
ws
s:
: a
as
s a
a b
bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s i
in
ns
st
ti
it
tu
ut
ti
io
on
n,
, i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e h
ha
as
s b
be
ee
en
n d
de
ef
fi
in
ne
ed
d a
as
s a
a p
pl
la
an
n b
by
y
w
wh
hi
ic
ch
h l
la
ar
rg
ge
e n
nu
um
mb
be
er
r o
of
f p
pe
eo
op
pl
le
e a
as
ss
so
oc
ci
ia
at
te
e t
th
he
em
ms
se
el
lv
ve
es
s a
an
nd
d t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r r
ri
is
sk
ks
s o
of
f i
in
nd
di
iv
vi
id
du
ua
al
ls
s t
to
o t
th
he
e
s
sh
ho
ou
ul
ld
de
er
rs
s o
of
f a
al
ll
l m
me
em
mb
be
er
rs
s o
of
f t
th
he
e p
po
ol
li
ic
cy
y.
.

 S
So
oc
ci
ia
al
l V
Vi
ie
ew
w P
Po
oi
in
nt
t:
: i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e i
is
s d
de
ef
fi
in
ne
ed
d a
as
s a
a s
so
oc
ci
ia
al
l d
de
ev
vi
ic
ce
e f
fo
or
r m
ma
ak
ki
in
ng
g p
pa
ay
ym
me
en
nt
t f
fo
or
r t
th
he
e
a
ac
cc
cu
um
mu
ul
la
at
ti
io
on
n o
of
f f
fu
un
nd
d t
to
o m
me
ee
et
t u
un
nc
ce
er
rt
ta
ai
in
n l
lo
os
ss
se
es
s o
of
f c
ca
ap
pi
it
ta
al
l w
wh
hi
ic
ch
h i
is
s c
ca
ar
rr
ri
ie
ed
d o
ou
ut
t t
th
hr
ro
ou
ug
gh
h t
th
he
e
t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r o
of
f r
ri
is
sk
k o
of
f m
ma
an
ny
y i
in
nd
di
iv
vi
id
du
ua
al
ls
s t
to
o o
on
ne
e p
pe
er
rs
so
on
n o
or
r a
a g
gr
ro
ou
up
p o
of
f p
pe
er
rs
so
on
ns
s.
. I
It
t i
is
s a
ad
dv
vi
ic
ce
e
t
th
hr
ro
ou
ug
gh
h w
wh
hi
ic
ch
h f
fe
ew
w u
un
nf
fo
or
rt
tu
un
na
at
te
es
s a
ar
re
e p
pa
ai
id
d b
by
y m
ma
an
ny
y w
wh
ho
o a
ar
re
e m
me
em
mb
be
er
r o
of
f t
th
he
e p
po
ol
li
ic
cy
y.
.
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1

 M
Ma
at
th
he
em
ma
at
ti
ic
ca
al
l v
vi
ie
ew
wp
po
oi
in
nt
t:
: i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e i
is
s t
th
he
e a
ap
pp
pl
li
ic
ca
at
ti
io
on
n o
of
f a
ac
ct
tu
ua
ar
ri
ia
al
l (
(I
In
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e m
ma
at
th
he
em
ma
at
ti
ic
cs
s)
)
p
pr
ri
in
nc
ci
ip
pl
le
es
s.
. L
La
aw
ws
s o
of
f p
pr
ro
ob
ba
ab
bi
il
li
it
ty
y a
an
nd
d s
st
ta
at
ti
is
st
ti
ic
ca
al
l t
te
ec
ch
hn
ni
iq
qu
ue
es
s a
ar
re
e u
us
se
ed
d f
fo
or
r a
ac
ch
hi
ie
ev
ve
e p
pr
re
ed
di
ic
ct
ta
ab
bl
le
e
r
re
es
su
ul
lt
ts
s.
.
The commission of Insurance Terminology of the American Risk and Insurance
Association has defined insurance as follows.
“Insurance is the pooling of accidental losses by transfer of such risks
to insurers, who agree to indemnify insureds for such losses, to provide
other financial benefits on their occurrence, or to render services
connected with the risk”.
Based on the preceding definition, an insurance plan or arrangement typically
includes the following characteristics.
3.2 BASIC CHARACTERISTICS OF INSURANCE:
There are four basic characteristics of insurance
 Pooling of Losses
 Payment of Accidental Losses
 Risk Transfer
 Indemnification
 Pooling of Losses:
Pooling or the sharing of losses is the heart of insurance. Pooling is the
spreading of losses incurred by the few over the entire group, so that in
the process, average loss is substituted for actuarial. In addition, pooling
involves the grouping of a large number of exposure units so that the law of large
numbers can operate to prove a substantially accurate prediction of future losses.
Ideally, there should be large exposure units that are subject to the same perils.
Thus, pooling implies (1) the sharing of losses by the entire group, and
(2) prediction of future losses with some accuracy based on the law of
large numbers.
With respect to the first concept – loss sharing – consider this simple example.
Assume that 1000 farmer in southern Ethiopia agree that if any farmer’s home is
damaged or destroyed by a fire, the other members of the group will indemnify, or
cover, the actual costs of the unlucky farmer who has a loss. Assume also that each
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
home is worth $100,000 and on average, one home burns each year. In the absence
of insurance, the maximum loss to each farmer is $100,000 if the home should
burn. However, by pooling the loss, it can be spread over the entire group, and if
one farmer has a total loss, the maximum amount that each farmer must pay is only
$100 ($100,000/1000). In effect, the pooling technique results in the substitution
of an average loss of $100 for the actual loss of $100,000.
In addition, by pooling or combining the loss experience of a large number of
exposure units, an insurer may be able to predict future losses with
greater accuracy. From the viewpoint of the insurer, if future losses can be
predicted, objective risk is reduced. Thus, another characteristic often found in
many lines of insurance is risk reduction based on the law of large numbers.
 Payment of Accidental Losses:
A second characteristic of private insurance is the payment of accidental losses.
An accidental loss is one that the unforeseen and unexpected and
occurs as a result of chance. In other words, the loss must be accidental. The
law of large numbers is based on the assumption that losses are accidental and
occur randomly. For example, a person may commit suicide. The loss would be
accidental insurance policies do not cover intentional losses.
 Risk Transfer:
Risk transfer is another essential element of insurance. With the exception of self-
insurance, a true insurance plan always involves risk transfer. Risk transfer
means that a pure risk is transferred from the insured to the insurer,
who typically is in a stronger financial position to pay the loss than the
insured. From the viewpoint of the individual, pure risks that are typically
transferred to insurers include the risk of premature death, poor health, disability,
destruction and theft of property, and liability lawsuits.
 Indemnification:
A final characteristic of insurance is indemnification for losses. Indemnification
means that the insured is restored to his or her approximate financial
position prior to the occurrence of the loss. Thus, if your home burns in a
fire, a homeowner’s policy will indemnify you or restore you to your previous
position. If you are sued because of the negligent operation of an automobile,
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
your auto liability insurance policy will pay those sums that you are legally
obligated to pay. Similarly, if you become seriously disabled, a disability income
insurance policy will restore at least part of the lost wages.
3.3 REQUIREMENTS (FUNDAMENTALS) OF AN INSURABLE RISK
Insurers normally insure only pure risks. However, not all pure risks are
insurable. Certain requirements usually must be fulfilled before a pure risk can be
privately insured. From the viewpoint of the insurer, there are ideally six
requirements of an insurable risk.
Requirements:
 Large Number of Exposure Units
 Accidental and Unintentional Loss
 Determinable and Measurable Loss
 No Catastrophic Loss
 Calculable Chance of Loss
 Economically Feasible Premium
 Large Number of Exposure Units:
The first requirement of an insurable risk is a large number of exposure
units. Ideally, there should be a large group of roughly similar, but not
necessarily identical, exposure units that are subject to the same peril or group of
perils. For example, a large number of frame dwellings in a city can be grouped
together for purposes of providing property insurance on the dwellings.
The purpose of this first requirement is to enable the insurer to predict loss based
on the law large numbers. Loss data can be compiled over time, and losses for the
group as a whole can be predicted with some accuracy. The loss costs can then the
spread over all insureds in the underwriting class.
 Accidental and Unintentional Loss:
A second requirement is that the loss should be accidental and unintentional;
ideally, the loss should be accidental and outside the insured’s control. Thus, if an
individual deliberately causes a loss, he or she should not be indemnified for the
loss.
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
 Determinable and Measurable Loss:
A third requirement is that the loss should be both determinable and measurable.
This means the loss should be definite as to cause, time, place and amount. Life
assurance in most cases meets this requirement easily. The cause and time of
death can be readily determined in most cases, and if the person is insured, the
face amount of the life assurance policy is the amount paid.
Some losses, however, are difficult to determine and measure. For example,
under a disability-income policy, the insurer promises to pay monthly benefit to
the disable person if the definition of disability stated in the policy is satisfied.
Some dishonest claimants may deliberately fake sickness or injury to collect from
the insurer. Even if the claim is legitimate, the insurer must still determine
whether the insured satisfies the definition of disability stated in the policy.
The basic purpose of this requirement is to enable an insurer to determine if the
loss is covered under the policy, and if it is covered, how much should be paid.
 No Catastrophic Loss:
The fourth requirement is that ideally the loss should not be catastrophic.
This means that large proportion of exposure units should not incur losses at the
same time. As we stated earlier, pooling is the essence of insurance. If most or all
of the exposure units in a certain class simultaneously incur a loss, then the
pooling technique breaks down and becomes unworkable. Premiums must be
increased to prohibitive levels, and the insurance technique is no longer a viable
arrangement by which loses of the few are spread over the entire group.
Insurers ideally which to avoid all catastrophic loses. In reality, however, this is
impossible, because catastrophic losses periodically result from the foods,
hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, forest fires, and other natural disasters.
Catastrophic losses can also result from acts of terrorism.
Several approaches are available for meeting the problems of catastrophic loss.
First, reinsurance can be used by which insurance companies are indemnified by
reinsures for catastrophic losses. Reinsurance is the shifting of part or all of the
insurance originally written by one insurer to another. Second, insurers can avoid
the concentration of risk by dispersing their coverage over a large geographical
area. The concentration of loss exposures in a geographic area exposed to
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
frequent floods, earthquakes, hurricanes, or the natural disasters can result in
periodic catastrophic losses. If the loss exposures are geographically disperses,
the possibility of a catastrophic loss is reduced.
Finally, new financial instruments are now available for dealing with catastrophic
losses. These instruments include catastrophe bonds, which are designed to pay
for a catastrophic loss.
 Calculable Chance of Loss:
A fifth requirement is that the chance of loss should be calculable. The
insurer must be able to calculate both the average frequency and the average
severity of future losses with some accuracy. This requirement is necessary so
that a proper premium can be charged that is sufficient to pay all claims and
expenses and yield a profit during the policy period. Certain losses, however, are
difficult to insure because the chance of loss cannot be accurately estimated, and
the potential for a catastrophic loss is present. For example, floods, wars and
cyclical Unemployment occur on an irregular basis, and prediction of the average
frequency and the severity of losses are difficult. Thus, without government
assistance, these losses are difficult for private carriers to insure.
 Economically Feasible Premium:
A final requirement is that the premium should be economically feasible.
The insured must be able to pay the premium. In addition, for the insurance to be
an attractive purchase, the premiums paid must be substantially less than the face
value, or amount, of the policy. To have an economically feasible premium, the
chance of loss must be relatively low. One view is that if the chance of loss exceeds
40%, the cost of the policy will exceed the amount that the insurer must pay under
the contract. For example, an insurer could issue a $1,000 life insurance policy on
a man age 99, but the pure premium would be about $980, and an additional
amount for expenses would have to be added. The total premium would exceed
the face amount of the insurance.
Based on these requirements, personal risks, property risks and liability risks can
be privately insured, because the requirements of an insurable risk generally can
be met. By contrast, most market risks, financial risks, production risks and
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
political risks are usually uninsurable by private insurers. These risks are
uninsurable for several reasons.
3.4 INSURANCE AND GAMBLING COMPARED (SPECULATION):
Insurance is often erroneously confused with gambling. There are two important
differences between them. First, gambling creates a new speculative risk,
while insurance is a technique for handling an already existing pure
risk. This, the you bet $300 on a horse race, a new speculative risk is created, but
if you pay $300 to an insurer for fire insurance, the risk of fire is already present
and is transferred to the insurer by a contract. No new risk is created by the
transaction.
The second difference between insurance and gambling is that
gambling is socially unproductive, because the winner’s gain comes at
the expense of the loser. In contrast, insurance is always socially
productive, because neither the insurer nor the insured is placed in a
position where the gain of the winner comes at the expense of the
loser. The insurer and the insured both have a common interest in the
prevention of a loss. Both parties win if the loss does not incur. Moreover,
consistent gambling transactions generally never restore the loser to the former
financial position. In contrast, insurable contract restore the insured financially
in whole or in part if a loss occurs.
3.5 INSURANCE AND SPECULAION
S
Sp
pe
ec
cu
ul
la
at
ti
io
on
n o
on
n t
th
he
e o
ot
th
he
er
r h
ha
an
nd
d i
in
nv
vo
ol
lv
ve
es
s d
do
oi
in
ng
g s
so
om
me
e k
ki
in
nd
d o
of
f a
ac
ct
ti
iv
vi
it
ty
y w
wi
it
th
h t
th
he
e e
ex
xp
pe
ec
ct
ta
at
ti
io
on
n o
of
f
p
pr
ro
of
fi
it
t i
in
n t
th
he
e f
fu
ut
tu
ur
re
e.
. F
Fo
or
r i
in
ns
st
ta
an
nc
ce
e,
, a
a b
bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s m
ma
an
n w
wh
ho
o p
pu
ur
rc
ch
ha
as
se
es
s a
an
nd
d s
se
el
ll
ls
s g
go
oo
od
ds
s,
, s
st
to
oc
ck
ks
s
a
an
nd
d s
sh
ha
ar
re
es
s,
, e
et
tc
c.
. w
wi
it
th
h t
th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
k o
of
f l
lo
os
ss
s a
an
nd
d h
ho
op
pe
e o
of
f p
pr
ro
of
fi
it
t t
th
hr
ro
ou
ug
gh
h c
ch
ha
an
ng
ge
es
s i
in
n t
th
he
ei
ir
r m
ma
ar
rk
ke
et
t
v
va
al
lu
ue
e i
is
s a
a c
cl
le
ea
ar
r c
ca
as
se
e o
of
f s
sp
pe
ec
cu
ul
la
at
ti
io
on
n.
. T
Th
hr
ro
ou
ug
gh
h s
sp
pe
ec
cu
ul
la
at
ti
io
on
n i
in
nd
di
iv
vi
id
du
ua
al
ls
s c
cr
re
ea
at
te
e a
a r
ri
is
sk
k
d
de
el
li
ib
be
er
ra
at
te
el
ly
y i
in
n t
th
he
e a
an
nt
ti
ic
ci
ip
pa
at
ti
io
on
n o
of
f p
pr
ro
of
fi
it
ts
s.
. H
Ho
ow
we
ev
ve
er
r,
, a
an
n i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e t
tr
ra
an
ns
sa
ac
ct
ti
io
on
n n
no
or
rm
ma
al
ll
ly
y
i
in
nv
vo
ol
lv
ve
es
s t
th
he
e t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r o
of
f r
ri
is
sk
ks
s t
th
ha
at
t a
ar
re
e i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
ab
bl
le
e,
, s
si
in
nc
ce
e t
th
he
e r
re
eq
qu
ui
ir
re
em
me
en
nt
ts
s o
of
f a
an
n i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
ab
bl
le
e r
ri
is
sk
k
g
ge
en
ne
er
ra
al
ll
ly
y c
ca
an
n b
be
e m
me
et
t.
. O
On
n t
th
he
e c
co
on
nt
tr
ra
ar
ry
y,
, s
sp
pe
ec
cu
ul
la
at
ti
io
on
n i
is
s a
a t
te
ec
ch
hn
ni
iq
qu
ue
e f
fo
or
r h
ha
an
nd
dl
li
in
ng
g r
ri
is
sk
ks
s t
th
ha
at
t
a
ar
re
e t
ty
yp
pi
ic
ca
al
ll
ly
y u
un
ni
in
ns
su
ur
ra
ab
bl
le
e,
, s
su
uc
ch
h a
as
s p
pr
ro
ot
te
ec
ct
ti
io
on
n a
ag
ga
ai
in
ns
st
t a
a s
su
ub
bs
st
ta
an
nt
ti
ia
al
l d
de
ec
cl
li
in
ne
e i
in
n t
th
he
e p
pr
ri
ic
ce
e o
of
f
a
ag
gr
ri
ic
cu
ul
lt
tu
ur
ra
al
l p
pr
ro
od
du
uc
ct
ts
s a
an
nd
d r
ra
aw
w m
ma
at
te
er
ri
ia
al
l.
.
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
T
Th
he
e o
ot
th
he
er
r d
di
if
ff
fe
er
re
en
nc
ce
e b
be
et
tw
we
ee
en
n t
th
he
e t
tw
wo
o i
is
s t
th
ha
at
t i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e c
ca
an
n r
re
ed
du
uc
ce
e t
th
he
e o
ob
bj
je
ec
ct
ti
iv
ve
e r
ri
is
sk
k o
of
f a
an
n
i
in
ns
su
ur
re
er
r b
by
y a
ap
pp
pl
li
ic
ca
at
ti
io
on
n o
of
f t
th
he
e l
la
aw
w o
of
f l
la
ar
rg
ge
e n
nu
um
mb
be
er
rs
s.
. I
In
n c
co
on
nt
tr
ra
as
st
t,
, s
sp
pe
ec
cu
ul
la
at
ti
io
on
n t
ty
yp
pi
ic
ca
al
ll
ly
y
i
in
nv
vo
ol
lv
ve
es
s o
on
nl
ly
y r
ri
is
sk
k t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
r,
, n
no
ot
t r
ri
is
sk
k r
re
ed
du
uc
ct
ti
io
on
n.
. T
Th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
k o
of
f a
an
n a
ad
dv
ve
er
rs
se
e p
pr
ri
ic
ce
e f
fl
lu
uc
ct
tu
ua
at
ti
io
on
n i
is
s
t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
rr
re
ed
d t
to
o a
a s
sp
pe
ec
cu
ul
la
at
to
or
r w
wh
ho
o f
fe
ee
el
ls
s h
he
e o
or
r s
sh
he
e c
ca
an
n m
ma
ak
ke
e a
a p
pr
ro
of
fi
it
t b
be
ec
ca
au
us
se
e o
of
f s
su
up
pe
er
ri
io
or
r
k
kn
no
ow
wl
le
ed
dg
ge
e o
of
f f
fo
or
rc
ce
es
s t
th
ha
at
t a
af
ff
fe
ec
ct
t m
ma
ar
rk
ke
et
t p
pr
ri
ic
ce
e.
. T
Th
he
e r
ri
is
sk
k i
is
s t
tr
ra
an
ns
sf
fe
er
rr
re
ed
d,
, n
no
ot
t r
re
ed
du
uc
ce
ed
d,
, a
an
nd
d t
th
he
e
s
sp
pe
ec
cu
ul
la
at
to
or
r’
’s
s p
pr
re
ed
di
ic
ct
ti
io
on
n o
of
f l
lo
os
ss
s g
ge
en
ne
er
ra
al
ll
ly
y i
is
s n
no
ot
t b
ba
as
se
ed
d o
on
n t
th
he
e l
la
aw
w o
of
f l
la
ar
rg
ge
e n
nu
um
mb
be
er
rs
s.
.
C
Ch
ha
ar
ri
it
ty
y i
is
s g
gi
iv
ve
en
n w
wi
it
th
ho
ou
ut
t c
co
on
ns
si
id
de
er
ra
at
ti
io
on
n b
bu
ut
t i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e i
is
s n
no
ot
t p
po
os
ss
si
ib
bl
le
e w
wi
it
th
ho
ou
ut
t p
pr
re
em
mi
iu
um
m.
.
I
In
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e i
is
s a
a p
pr
ro
of
fe
es
ss
si
io
on
n o
of
f p
pr
ro
ov
vi
id
di
in
ng
g c
ce
er
rt
ta
ai
in
nt
ty
y a
an
nd
d p
pr
re
ed
di
ic
ct
ta
ab
bi
il
li
it
ty
y a
an
nd
d s
sa
af
fe
et
ty
y t
to
o t
th
he
e
i
in
nd
di
iv
vi
id
du
ua
al
l,
, b
bu
us
si
in
ne
es
ss
s o
or
r s
so
oc
ci
ie
et
ty
y.
. I
It
t p
pr
ro
ov
vi
id
de
es
s a
ad
de
eq
qu
ua
at
te
e f
fi
in
na
an
nc
ce
e a
at
t t
th
he
e t
ti
im
me
e o
of
f d
da
am
ma
ag
ge
e o
on
nl
ly
y b
by
y
c
ch
ha
ar
rg
gi
in
ng
g a
a n
no
or
rm
ma
al
l p
pr
re
em
mi
iu
um
m f
fo
or
r t
th
he
e s
se
er
rv
vi
ic
ce
e.
.
3.6 BENEFITS AND COSTS OF INSURANCE
3.6.1 BENEFITS OF INSURANCE
The major social and economic benefits of insurance include the following:
Indemnification: Indemnification permits individuals, and families to be
restores to their former financial position after a loss occurs. As a result, they can
maintain their financial security. Because insureds are restored either in part or
in whole after a loss occurs, they are less likely to apply for public assistance or
welfare benefits, or to seek financial assistance form relative and friends.
Less Worry and Fear: A second benefit of insurance is that worry and fear are
reduced. This is true both before and after a loss. For example, if family heads
have adequate amounts of life insurance, they are less likely to worry about the
financial security of their dependents in the even of premature death; persons
insured for long-term disability to not have to worry about the loss of earnings if a
serious illness or accident occurs; and property owners who are insured enjoy
greater peace of mind because they know they are covered if a loss occurs.
Promotes loss control system :-In order to minimize their losses, insurance
companies have tried and are continuing to introduce several kinds of loss
reduction and prevention schemes. For example, health education, inspection, of
elevators, and boilers, installation of fire extinguishers, burglar alarms, on vehicles
or houses are risk control mechanisms developed and applied by insurance
companies at different times. The introduction of this loss control programs can
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
reduce losses to businesses and individuals and complement good risk
management thereby benefiting society as a whole.
Stimulates international trade and commerce:- Goods traded at the
international market are highly vulnerable to risk of loss due to large number of
perils. As a result it is difficult to think of international trade without insurance.
Insurance coverage may be a condition for engaging in international trade and
commerce. Insurance serves as a "lubricant of trade", without it trade and
commerce may stifle.
Source of Investment Funds: The insurance industry is an important source
of funds for capital investment and accumulation. Premiums are collected in
advance of the loss, and funds not needed to pay immediate losses and expenses
can be loaned to business firms. These funds typically are invested in shopping
centers, hospitals, factories, housing developments, and new machinery and
equipment. The investments increase society’s stock of capital goods, and
promote economic growth and full employment. Insurers also invest in social
investments, such as housing, nursing homes and economic development projects.
In addition, because the total supply of loanable funds is increased by the advance
payment of insurance premiums, the cost of capital to business firms that borrow
is lower than it would be in the absence of insurance.
Encourages saving: Insurance is a contractual agreement between the insurer
and the insured, where the insured is expected to pay a premium for the risk
he/she transferred to the insurer. This compulsory premium payment is a form of
encouragement of the insured to make systematic saving. Particularly, this is
possible in certain life insurance policies that have dual purpose, i.e., protection in
the event of death and savings in the event of survival.
Loss Prevention: Insurance companies are actively involved in numerous loss
prevention programs and also employ a wide variety of loss prevention personnel,
including safety engineers and specialists in fire prevention, occupational safety
and health, and products liability. For example, Highway safety and reduction of
automobile deaths, Fire prevention, Reduction of work related disabilities,
Prevention of auto thefts, Prevention and detection of arson losses and ect.,
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
Enhancement of Credit: insurance enhances a person’s credit. Insurance
makes a borrower a better credit risk because it guarantees the value of the
borrower’s collateral or give greater assurance that the loan will be repaid. For
example when a house is purchased, the lending institution normally requires
property insurance on the house before the mortgage loan is granted.
Economic growth :
:-
- I
In
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e p
pr
ro
ov
vi
id
de
es
s s
st
tr
ro
on
ng
g h
ha
an
nd
d a
an
nd
d m
mi
in
nd
d a
an
nd
d p
pr
ro
ot
te
ec
ct
ti
io
on
n
a
ag
ga
ai
in
ns
st
t l
lo
os
ss
s o
of
f p
pr
ro
op
pe
er
rt
ty
y.
. I
In
n a
ad
dd
di
it
ti
io
on
n t
to
o t
th
he
es
se
e,
, i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e c
co
om
mp
pa
an
ni
ie
es
s a
ac
cc
cu
um
mu
ul
la
at
te
e
l
la
ar
rg
ge
e s
su
um
m o
of
f m
mo
on
ne
ey
y a
av
va
ai
il
la
ab
bl
le
e f
fo
or
r i
in
nv
ve
es
st
tm
me
en
nt
t p
pu
ur
rp
po
os
se
e.
. S
Su
uc
ch
h m
mo
on
ne
ey
y a
ac
cc
cu
um
mu
ul
la
at
te
ed
d
m
ma
ay
y b
be
e i
in
nv
ve
es
st
te
ed
d b
by
y t
th
he
e i
in
ns
su
ur
ra
an
nc
ce
e c
co
om
mp
pa
an
ni
ie
es
s t
th
he
em
ms
se
el
lv
ve
es
s o
or
r l
le
en
nt
t t
to
o o
ot
th
he
er
rs
s t
to
o
p
pr
ro
od
du
uc
ce
e m
mo
or
re
e w
we
ea
al
lt
th
h.
. T
Th
hi
is
s w
wi
il
ll
l h
ha
av
ve
e i
it
ts
s c
co
on
nt
tr
ri
ib
bu
ut
ti
io
on
n t
to
o t
th
he
e e
ec
co
on
no
om
mi
ic
c g
gr
ro
ow
wt
th
h o
of
f a
a
c
co
ou
un
nt
tr
ry
y.
.
3.6.2 COSTS OF INSURANCE TO SOCIETY:
Although the insurance industry provides enormous social and economic benefits
to society, the social costs of insurance must also be recognized. The major social
costs of insurance include the following:
Cost of Doing Business: One important cost is the cost of doing business.
Insurers consume scarce economic resources – land, labor, capital and business
enterprise - in providing insurance to society. In financial terms, an expense
loading must be added to the pure premium to cover the expense incurred by
insurance companies in their daily operations. An expense loading is the amount
needed to pay all expense, including commissions, general administrative
expenses, acquisition expense, and an allowance for contingencies and profit.
Fraudulent (inflated) Claims: A second cost of insurance comes from the
submission of fraudulent claims. Examples of fraudulent claims include the
following: Auto accidents, are faked or staged to collect benefits, Dishonest
claimants fake slip and fall accidents, Phony burglaries, thefts, or acts of
vandalism are reported to insurers, False health insurance claims are submitted to
collect benefits, Dishonest policy owners take tout life insurance policies on
insured who are later reported as having dies. The payments of such fraudulent
claims results in higher premiums to all insured. The existence of insurance also
prompts some insured to deliberately cause a loss so as to profit from insurance.
These social costs fall directly on society.
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
Increase Morale hazard:- Increases carelessness in life (morale hazard
problem): it is a condition that causes to be less careful than they would
otherwise be. Some individuals do not consciously seek to bring about a loss, but
the fact that they have insurance causes them to take more risks than they would if
they had no insurance coverage. This manner may result in excessive losses in the
community.
FUNCTIONS AND ORGANIZATION OF INSURERS
In general, insurers operate in much the same manner as other firms; however,
the nature of the insurance transaction requires certain specialized functions
which require a suitable organization structure. In this section, we will examine
some of specialized activities of insurance companies and the general forms of
organization structure.
Functions of Insurers:
Although there are definite operational differences between life insurance
companies, and property and liability insurers, the major activities of all insurers
may be classified as follows:
 Production (Selling)
 Underwriting (Selection of Risks)
 Rate Making
 Managing Claims
 Investment
These functions are normally the responsibility of definite departments or
divisions within the firms. In addition to these functions there are various other
activities common to most business firms such as accounting, personnel
management, market research and so on.
 Production: One of the most vital functions of an insurance firm is securing a
sufficient number of applicants for insurance to enable the company to operate.
This function, usually called production in an insurance company, corresponds
to the sales function in an industrial firm.
 Underwriting: Underwriting is the process of selecting risks offered to the
insurer. It is an essential element in the operation of any insurance program, for
unless the company selects from among its applicants, the inevitable result will
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
be adverse to the company. Hence, the main responsibility of the underwriter is
to guard against adverse selection. While attempting to avoid adverse selection
through rejection of undesirable risks, the underwriter must secure an adequate
volume of exposures in each class.
The underwriter must obtain as much information about the subject of the
insurance as possible within the limitations imposed by time and the cost
obtaining additional data. The desk underwriter must rule on the exposure
submitted by the agents, accepting some and rejecting others that do not meet
the company’s underwriting requirements or policies. When a risk is rejected, it
is because the under writer feels that the hazards connected with it are excessive
in relation to the rate. The four sources from which the underwriter obtains
information are the Application, information form Agent or Broker,
investigations, Physical Examinations or Inspections:
 Rate Making: An insurance rate is the price per unit of insurance. It is the
determination of what rates, or premiums, to charge for insurance. A rate is the price per
unit of insurance for each exposure unit. Like any other price, it is a function of the
cost of production.
However, in insurance unlike other industries the cost of production is not known
when the contract is sold, and will not be known until some time in the future,
when the policy has expired. One of the fundamental differences between
insurance pricing and the pricing function in other industries is that the price for
insurance must be based on the prediction. And unknown until the policy period has
lapsed. Most rates are determined by statistical analysis of past losses based on specific
variables of the insured. Variables that yield the best forecasts are the criteria by which
premiums are set. The process of predicting future losses and future expenses, and
allocating these costs among the various classes of insureds is called rate making.
The other important difference between the pricing of insurance and pricing
another industry arises from the fact that insurance rates area subject to
government regulation (currently not applicable in Ethiopia). Because insurance
is considered to be vested in the public interest nations have enacted law imposing
statutory restraints on insurance rates. These laws require that insurance rates
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
must be not be excessive, must be adequate, and may not be unfairly
discriminatory.
Makeup of the Premiums
A rate is the price charged for each unit of protection or exposure and should be
distinguished from a “Premium”, which is determined by multiplying the rate by
the number of units of protection purchased. The unit of protection to which a
rate applies differs for the various lines of insurance
The premium is designed to cover two major costs: (I) The expected loss and (II)
The cost of doing business. These are known as the pure premium and the
loading, respectively. The pure premium is determined by dividing the total
expected loss by the number of exposures. Pure premium consists of that part of
the premium necessary to pay for losses and loss related expenses. Loading is the
part of the premium necessary to cover other expenses, particularly sales
expenses, and to allow for a profit. The gross premium is the pure premium and
the loading per exposure unit. The ratio of the loading charge over the gross
premium is the expense ratio. The general formula for the gross premium, the
amount charged the consumer, is
Pure Premium
Gross Premium = -----------------------------
1 – Loading Percentage
Example: - X insurance company’s motor pool includes 1000 loss exposures of
automobiles each has a sum insured of (value) 1 million. The company expects to
pay 2 million birr of loss claims in a given territory. Calculate the pure and gross
premium of this motor pool with the expected expanse ration of 40%?
Given: - Number of exposure= 1000
Sum insured/ car= 1,000 000
Average loss =2 car (2,000,000)
Expense ratio = 0.4
Pure premium= Average loss/exposure unit= 2,000,000/1000=2000 per auto/
year
Gross premium=Pure premium
Insurance: An overview chapter Three
Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1
1- Expense ratio
=2000/1-0.4=2000/0.6=3333 per auto/ year
Gross Premium= Pure premium+ loading =2000+1333=3333 per auto/ year
Loading= Gross premium-Pure premium= 3333-2000= 1333 per auto/ year
Loading= expense ratio*GP=3333*0.4=1333per auto/year
Gross Premium= Pure premium+ loading =2000+1333=3333 per auto/ year
Premium rate= Sum insured/ gross premium = 1,000,000/3333=0.00334
Two basic approaches to rate making, class and individual rating are discusses
below.
1. Manual or Class Rating: The manual or class rating method sets rates that
apply uniformly to each exposure unit falling within some predetermined class or
group. Everyone falling within a given class is charged the same rate.
2. Individual Rating: Under individual rating, each insured is charged a unique
premium based largely upon the judgement of the person setting the rate. This
rating is supplemented by whatever statistical data are available and by knowledge
of the premiums charged similar insureds. It takes into account all known factors
affecting the exposure, including competition from other insurers. If the
characteristics of the units to be insured vary so widely it is desirable to calculate
rates for each unit depending on its loss producing characteristics.
 Managing Claims / Loss Adjustment: The basic purpose of insurance is to
provide indemnity to the members of the group who suffer losses. This is
accomplished on the loss settlement process, but it is sometimes more
complicated than just passing out money.
 Investment Function: -When an insurance policy is written, the premium is
generally paid in advance for periods varying from six months to five or more
years. This advance payment of premiums gives rise to funds held for
policyholders by the insurer, funds that must be invested in some manner. When
these are added to the funds of the companies themselves, the assets would add up
to huge amounts. Not all the money collected by the insurer is to be invested. A
certain proportion of it should be kept aside to meet future claims. However, the
need for liquidity may vary from one state to another.
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Handout_risk management and insurance I_AAU

  • 1. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 1 CHAPTER ONE RISK AND RELATED TOPICS 1.1 Meaning of Risk: There is no single definition of risk. Economists, behavioral scientists, risk theorists, statisticians and actuaries each have their own concept of risk. However, risk traditionally has been defined in terms of uncertainty. Based on this concept, risk is defined as uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a loss. For example, the risk of being killed in a car accident is present because uncertainty is present. The risk of lung cancer for smokers is present because uncertainty is present. And the risk of flunking a college course is present because uncertainty is present. Although risk is defined as uncertainty, employees in the insurance industry often use the term risk to identify the property or life being insured. Thus, in the insurance industry, it is common to hear statements such as “that driver is a poor risk” or “that building is an unacceptable risk.” Writers, particularly in the USA have produced a number of definitions of risk. These are usually accompanied by lengthy arguments to support the particular view they put forward. Consider the following definitions:  Risk is the possibility of an unfortunate occurrence.  Risk is a combination of hazards.  Risk is unpredictability – the tendency that actual results may differ from predicted results.  Risk is uncertainty of loss.  Risk is possibility of loss. Theorists have no agreed in universal definition but there are common elements in the definition i.e. Indeterminacy and loss Indeterminacy: - means the outcome must be in question. When risk is said to exist there must be at least two possible outcomes. If we know for certain that a loss occurs, there is no risk. Loss: - at least one of the possible outcomes is undesirable may be loss.
  • 2. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 2 *IF THE OUTCOME IS ONE AND KNOWN IN ADVANCE THEREFORE, THERE IS NO RISK. Finally, when risk is defined as uncertainty, some authors make a careful distinction between risk and uncertainty. 1.2 Risks versus Uncertainty: Certainty is lack of doubt. In Webster’s New Collegiate Dictionary, one meaning of the term “certainty” is “a state of being free from doubt,” a definition will suit to the study of risk management. The antonym of certainty is “uncertainty” which is “doubt about our ability to predict the future outcome of current actions.” Clearly, the term “uncertainty describes a state of mind. Uncertainty arises when an individual perceives that outcomes cannot be known with certainty.” Uncertainty arises when an individual perceives risk. Uncertainty is a subjective concept, so it cannot be measured directly. Since uncertainty is a state of mind, it varies across individuals. For complex activities, such as participating in a business venture, some persons are very cautious, others are more aggressive. Although risk aversion explains some of the reluctance to participate, the level of risk perceived by individuals also plays a key role. The perceived level of risk depends on information that an individual can use to evaluate the chance of outcomes and, perhaps, on the individual’s ability to evaluate this information. The level and type of information on the nature of a risky activity have an important effect on uncertainty. Levels of Uncertainty: Level of Uncertainty Characteristics Examples None (Certainty) Level 1 (Objective Outcomes can be predicted with precision. Outcomes are Physical laws, natural sciences. Games of chance,
  • 3. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 3 Uncertainty) Level 2 (Subjective Uncertainty) Level 3 identified and probabilities are known. Outcomes are identified but probabilities are unknown. Outcomes are not fully identifies and probabilities are unknown. Cards, Dies. Fire, automobile accident, many investments. Space exploration, genetic research. The level of uncertainty arising from a given type of risk can depend on the entity facing the risk; for example, an insurer or a governmental entity may regard the risk of earthquake as being at level 2, while the individual may regard the earthquake as being a at level 3. This difference in perspective may be a consequence of an ability to estimate the likelihood of outcomes. 1.3 Risks versus Probability (Chance of Loss): Probability is closely related to the concept of risk. But it would be distinguished from risk. Risk is the level of possibility that an action lead to a loss/undesirable outcome. But Probability (Chance of Loss) used to measure /estimation of how likely the event will occur. Risk (especially Objective risk) is the relative variation of actual loss from expected loss. The chance of loss may be identical for two different groups but objective risk may be quite different. For example, assume that a property insurer has 10,000 homes insured in Addis Ababa and 10,000 homes insured in Nazareth and that the chance of loss in each city is 1%. Thus, on average, 100 homes should burn annually in each city. However, if the annual variation in losses ranges from 75 to 125 in Addis Ababa, but only from 90 to
  • 4. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 4 110 in Nazareth, objective risk is greater in Addis Ababa even though the chance of loss in both cities is the same. Probability has both objective and subjective aspects. Objective Probability: Objective probability refers to the long-run relative frequency of an event based on the assumptions of an infinite number of observations and of no change in the underlying conditions. Objective probabilities can be determined in two ways. First, they can be determined by deductive reasoning. These probabilities are called a priori probabilities. For example: tossing a fair coin. Second, objective probabilities can be determined by inductive reasoning, For example, the probability that a person age 21 will dies before age 26 cannot be logically deduced. However, by a careful analysis of past mortality experience, life insurers can estimate the probability of death an sell a five year term life insurance policy issued at age 21. Subjective Probability: Subject probability is the individual’s personal estimate of chance of loss. Subjective probability need not coincide with objective probability. For example, people who buy a lottery ticket on their birthday may believe it is their lucky day and overestimate the small chance of winning. A wide variety of factors can influence subjective probability, including a person’s age, gender intelligence, education, and the use of alcohol. 1.4 RISK, PERIL AND HAZARD The terms peril and hazard should not be confused with the concept of risk discussed earlier. Peril: Peril is defined as the cause of loss. If your house burns because of a fire, the peril, or cause of loss, is the fire. If your car is damaged in a collision with another car, collision is the peril, or cause of loss. Common perils that cause property damage included fire, lightning, windstorm, hail, tornadoes, earth quakes, theft and robbery.
  • 5. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 5 Hazard: A hazard is a condition that creates or increases the chance of loss. For example one of the perils that can cause loss to a house is fire. The fire can be cause while we go out of home leaving the cylinder switched on in the kitchen. Using the cylinder properly will not cause a loss; rather poor handling does.it is possible for something to be both a peril and hazard. For instance, sickness is a peril causing economic loss, but it is also a hazard that increases the chance of loss from the peril of earlier death. There are four major types of hazards: Physical hazard Moral hazard Morale hazard Legal hazard Physical hazard: A physical hazard is a physical condition that increases the chance of loss. Examples of physical hazards include icy roads that increase the chance of a car accident, defective wiring in a building that increases the increases of fire, and a defective lock on door that increases the chance of theft. Moral hazards: Moral hazard is dishonesty or character defects in an individual that increase the frequency or severity of loss. Examples of moral hazard include faking an accident to collect from an insurer, submitting a fraudulent claim, inflating the amount of a claim, and intentionally burning unsold merchandise that is insured. Morale hazard: Some insurance authors draw a subtle distinction between moral hazard and morale hazard. Moral hazard refers to dishonest by an insured that increases the frequency or severity of loss. Morale hazard is carelessness or indifference to a loss because of existence of insurance. Some insureds are careless or indifferent to a loss because they have insurance. Examples of morale hazard include leaving car keys in an unlocked car, which increase the chance of theft; leaving a door unlocked that allows a robber to
  • 6. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 6 enter; and changing lanes suddenly on a congested interstate highway without signaling. Careless acts like these increase the chance of loss. Legal hazard: Legal hazard refers to characteristics of the legal system or regulatory environment that increase the frequency or severity of losses. Examples include adverse jury verdicts or large damage awards in liability lawsuits, statutes that require insurers to include coverage for certain benefits in health insurance plans, such as coverage for alcoholism; and regulatory action by state insurance departments that restrict the ability of insurers to withdraw from the state because of poor underwriting results. 1.5 CLASSIFICATION OF RISK: Risk can be classified into several distinct categories. The major categories are as follows:  Objective and Subjective Risks.  Pure and Speculative Risks.  Fundamental and Particular Risks.  Financial and non-financial  Static and dynamic Risks:  Objective and subjective Risk: Objective risk (Statistical Risk) Objective risk is defined as the relative variation of actual loss from expected loss. For example, assume that a property insurer has 10,000 houses insured over a long period and, on average, 1 %, or 100 houses, burn each year. However, it would be rare for exactly 100 houses to burn each year. In some years, as few as 90 houses may burn; in other years, as many as 110 houses, may burn. Thus, there is a variation of 10 houses from the expected number of 100, or a variation of 10%. This relative variation of actual loss from expected loss is known as Objective Risk. Objective risk declines as the number of exposures increases. Objective risk varies inversely with the square root of the number of cases under observation. Objective risk can be statistically calculated by some measure of dispersion,
  • 7. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 7 such as the standard deviation or the coefficient of variation. Because objective risk can be measured, it is an extremely useful concept for an insurer or a corporate risk manager. As the number of exposures increases, an insurer can predict its future loss experience more accurately because it can rely on the law of large number. The law of large numbers states that the number of exposure units increases, the more closely the actual loss experience will approach the expected loss experience. For example: as the number of houses under observation increases, the greater is the degree of accuracy in predicating the proportion of houses that will burn. Subjective Risk: Subjective risk is defined as uncertainty based on a person’s mental condition or state of mind. For example, a customer who was drinking heavily in a bar may foolishly attempt to drive home. The driver may be uncertain whether he will arrive home safely without being arrested by the police for drunk driving. This mental uncertainty is called subjective risk. Impact of subjective risk varies depending on the individual. Two persons in the same situation can have a different perception of risk, and their behavior may be altered accordingly. If an individual experiences great mental uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a loss, that person’s behavior may be affected. High subjective risk often results in conservative and prudent behavior, while low subjective risk may result in less conservative behavior. For example a motorist previously arrested for drunk driving is aware that he has consumed too much alcohol. The driver may then compensate for the mental uncertainty by getting someone else to drive the car home or by taking a taxi. Another driver in the same situation may perceive the risk of being arrested as slight. This second driver may drive in a more careless and reckless manner; a low subjective risk results in less conservative driving behavior.
  • 8. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 8  Pure and speculative risks  Pure Risk: Pure risk is defined as a situation in which there are only the possibilities of loss or not loss. The only possible outcomes are adverse (loss) and neutral (no loss). For example, a shop owner will suffer financial loss if the shop is burnt in fire, but no gain if there is no fire. Examples of pure risk include premature death, industrial accidents, terrible medical expenses, and damage to property from fire, lightning, flood, or earthquake. Types of pure risk: The major types of pure risk that can create great financial insecurity include  Personal Risks.  Property Risks.  Liability Risks. Personal Risks: Personal risks are risks that directly affect an individual. They involve the possibility of the complete loss or reduction of earned income, extra expenses, and the depletion of financial assets. There are four major personal risks. Risk of premature death. Risk of insufficient income during retirement. Risk of poor health. Risk of unemployment. Risk of premature death: Premature death is defined as the death of a household head with unfulfilled financial obligations. These obligations can include dependents to support, a mortgage to be paid off, or children to educate. If the surviving family members receive an insufficient amount of replacement income from other sources or have insufficient financial assets to replace the lost income, they may be financially insecure. Risk of insufficient income during the retirement: The major risk associated with old age is insufficient income during retirement. The vast majority of workers in the world are retired before age 65. When
  • 9. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 9 they retire, they lose their earned income. Unless they have sufficient financial assets on which to draw, or have access to other sources of retirement income, such at social security or a private pension, they will be exposed to financial insecurity during retirement. Risk of Poor Health: Poor health is another important personal risk. The risk of poor health includes both the payment of terrible medical bills and the loss of earned income. Risk of Unemployment: The risk of unemployment is another major threat to financial security. Unemployment can result from business cycle downswings, technological and structure changes in the economy, seasonal factors, and imperfections in the labor market. Property Risks: Persons owning property are exposed to property risks – the risk of having property damaged or lost from numerous causes. Real estate and personal property can be damaged or destroy because of fire, lightning, tornadoes, windstorms, and numerous other causes. There are two major types of loss associated with the destruction or theft of property direct loss and indirect loss or consequential loss. Direct loss: A direct loss is defined as financial loss that results from the physical damage, destruction, or theft of the property. For example, if you own a hotel that is damaged by a fire, the physical damage to the hotel is known as a direct loss. Indirect loss: An indirect loss is a financial loss that results indirectly from the occurrence of a direct physical damage or theft loss. Thus, in addition to the physical damage loss, the hotel would lose profits for several months while the hotel is being rebuilt. The loss of profits would be consequential loss. Other examples of a consequential loss would be the loss of rents, the loss of the use of building, and the loss of a local market.
  • 10. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 10 Liability Risk: Liability risks are another important type of pure risk that most persons face. Under our legal system, you can be held legally liable if you do something that result in bodily injury or property damage to someone else. A court of law may order you to pay substantial damages to the person you have injured.  Speculative Risk: Speculative risk is defined as a situation in which either profit or loss is possible. For example, if you purchase 100 shares of common stock, you will profit if the price of stock increases but would loss if the price declines. Other examples, of speculative risk include betting on horse race, card games, investing in real estate, and going into business for your self. In these situations, both profit and loss are possible. Distinguish between pure and speculative risks:  First, private insurers generally insure only pure risk. With certain exceptions, speculative risk generally is not considered insurable, and other techniques for managing with speculative risk must be used.  Second, the law of large numbers can be applied more easily to pure risks than to speculative risks. The law of large numbers is important because it enables insurers to predict future loss experience. In contrast, it is generally more difficult to apply the law of large numbers to speculative risks to predict future loss experience. An exception is the speculative risk of gambling where nightclub operators can apply the law of large numbers in a most efficient manner.  Finally, Society may benefit from a speculative risk even though a loss occurs, but it is harmed if a pure risk is present, and a loss occurs. Example, a firm may develop new technology for producing low price computers. As a result, some competitors may be forced to bankruptcy. Despite the bankruptcy, society benefits because the computers are produced at a low cost. However, society normally does not benefit when as loss from a pure risk occurs, such as flood, or earthquake.
  • 11. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 11  Fundamental and Particular Risks Fundamental Risk: A fundamental risk is a risk that affects the entire economy or large numbers of persons or groups within the economy. Examples include rapid inflation, cyclical unemployment, and war because large numbers of individuals are affected. The risk of a natural disaster is another important risk. Hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, floods, and forest and grass fires can result in billions of dollars of property damage and numerous deaths. More recently, the risk of a terrorist attack is rapidly emerging as fundamental risk. Particular Risk: A particular risk is a risk that affects only individuals and not the entire community. Examples include car thefts, gold thefts, bank robberies, and dwelling fires. Only individuals experiencing such losses are affected, not the entire economy.  Financial and non-financial In its broadest context, the term risk includes all situations in which there is an exposure to adversity. In some case this adversely involves financial loss, while in the others it does not. There are some elements of risk in every aspect of human endeavor, and many of these risks have no financial consequences.  Static and dynamic Risks: Static risks Static risks involve those losses that would occur even if there were no change in the economy. We could hold consumer testes, output and income, and the level of technology constant, some individuals would still suffer financial loss. This loss arises from cause other than change in the economy. These risks are not source of gain for society. Examples includes uncertainty due to random events such as fire, windstorm, or death, etc. static losses do involve either the destruction of the asset or a change in its possession as a result of dishonesty or human failure. These types of losses tend to occur with a degree of regularity
  • 12. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 12 overtime and are generally predictable-which makes static risk more suitable for treatment by insurances. Dynamic risks Dynamic risks are those resulting from change in the economy. Change in the price level, consumer test, income and output and technology may cause financial loss the member of society. Normally benefit the society over a long run, since they are the results of adjustments to misallocation of resources. Although they may affect a large number of individuals, dynamic risks are generally considered less predictable than static risks, as they do not occurred with any precise degree of regularity.  BURDEN OF RISKS ON SOCIETY When a house destroyed by a fire, or money is stolen, or a wage earner dies, there is a financial loss. These losses are the primary burden of risks and the primary reason that individuals attempt to avoid risk or alleviate its impact. In addition to the losses themselves  Large emergency fund In the absence of insurance, individuals and business firms would have to increase the size of their emergency fund to pay for unexpected losses. (One greater danger of this approach is the possibility that a loss may occur before a sufficient fund has been accumulated)  Worry and fear The uncertainty connected with risk usually produces a feeling of frustration and mental unrest. This is perfectly true in the case of pure risk. Speculative risk is attractive to many individuals.  Loss of Certain Goods and Services A A s se ec co on nd d b bu ur rd de en n o of f r ri is sk k i is s t th ha at t s so oc ci ie et ty y i is s d de ep pr ri iv ve ed d o of f c ce er rt ta ai in n g go oo od ds s a an nd d s se er rv vi ic ce es s. . F Fo or r e ex xa am mp pl le e, , b be ec ca au us se e o of f t th he e r ri is sk k o of f a a l li ia ab bi il li it ty y l la aw ws su ui it t, , m ma an ny y c co or rp po or ra at ti io on ns s h ha av ve e d di is sc co on nt ti in nu ue ed d m ma an nu uf fa ac ct tu ur ri in ng g c ce er rt ta ai in n p pr ro od du uc ct ts s. . N Nu um me er ro ou us s e ex xa am mp pl le es s c ca an n b be e g gi iv ve en n. . S So om me e 2 25 50 0 c co om mp pa an ni ie es s i in n t th he e w wo or rl ld d u us se ed d t to o m ma an nu uf fa ac ct tu ur re e c ch hi il ld dh ho oo od d v va ac cc ci in ne es s; ; t to od da ay y, , o on nl ly y a a f fe ew w f fi ir rm ms s m ma an nu uf fa ac ct tu ur re e v va ac cc ci in ne es s, , d du ue e i in n p pa ar rt t
  • 13. Risk and related topics chapter one Addis Ababa university, school of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A. Page 13 t to o t th he e t th hr re ea at t o of f l li ia ab bi il li it ty y s su ui it ts s. . O Ot th he er r f fi ir rm ms s h ha av ve e d di is sc co on nt ti in nu ue ed d t th he e m ma an nu uf fa ac ct tu ur re e o of f c ce er rt ta ai in n p pr ro od du uc ct ts s, , i in nc cl lu ud di in ng g s si in ng gl le e- -e en ng gi in ne e a ai ir rp pl la an ne es s, , a as sb be es st to os s p pr ro od du uc ct ts s, , f fo oo ot tb ba al ll l h he el lm me et ts s, , s si il li ic co on ne e- -g ge el l b br re ea as st t i im mp pl la an nt ts s, , a an nd d c ce er rt ta ai in n b bi ir rt th h c co on nt tr ro ol l d de ev vi ic ce es s. .   R RI IS SK K R RE EL LA AT TE ED D T TO O B BU US SI IN NE ES SS S A AC CT TI IV VI IT TI IE ES S T Th he e f fi in na an nc ce e l li it te er ra at tu ur re e c co on ns si id de er rs s f fi iv ve e t ty yp pe es s o of f r ri is sk ks s t th ha at t b bu us si in ne es ss s o or rg ga an ni iz za at ti io on ns s f fa ac ce e d du ur ri in ng g t th he ei ir r n no or rm ma al l o op pe er ra at ti io on n. . T Th he es se e a ar re e: : b bu us si in ne es ss s r ri is sk k, , f fi in na an nc ci ia al l r ri is sk k, , i in nt te er re es st t r ra at te e r ri is sk ks s, , p pu ur rc ch ha as si in ng g p po ow we er r r ri is sk ks s, , a an nd d m ma ar rk ke et t r ri is sk ks s. . T Th ho os se e a ar re e b br ri ie ef fl ly y d di is sc cu us ss se ed d b be el lo ow w. . B Bu us si in ne es ss s R Ri is sk k - - T Th hi is s i is s t th he e r ri is sk k a as ss so oc ci ia at te ed d w wi it th h t th he e p ph hy ys si ic ca al l o op pe er ra at ti io on n o of f t th he e f fi ir rm m. . V Va ar ri ia at ti io on ns s i in n t th he e l le ev ve el l o of f s sa al le es s, , c co os st ts s, , p pr ro of fi it ts s a ar re e l li ik ke el ly y t to o o oc cc cu ur r d du ue e t to o a a n nu um mb be er r o of f f fa ac ct to or rs s i in nh he er re en nt t i in n t th he e e ec co on no om mi ic c e en nv vi ir ro on nm me en nt t. . B Bu us si in ne es ss s r ri is sk k i is s i in nd de ep pe en nd de en nt t o of f t th he e c co om mp pa an ny y’ ’s s f fi in na an nc ci ia al l s st tr ru uc ct tu ur re e. . F Fi in na an nc ci ia al l R Ri is sk k - - T Th hi is s i is s a as ss so oc ci ia at te ed d w wi it th h d de eb bt t f fi in na an nc ci in ng g. . B Bo or rr ro ow wi in ng g r re es su ul lt ts s i in n t th he e p pa ay ym me en nt t o of f p pe er ri io od di ic c i in nt te er re es st t c ch ha ar rg ge e a an nd d t th he e p pa ay ym me en nt t p pr ri in nc ci ip pa al l u up po on n m ma at tu ur ri it ty y. . T Th he er re e i is s a a r ri is sk k o of f d de ef fa au ul lt t b by y t th he e c co om mp pa an ny y i if f o op pe er ra at ti io on ns s a ar re e n no ot t p pr ro of fi it ta ab bl le e. . O Ot th he er r f fi in na an nc ci ia al l r ri is sk ks s i in nc cl lu ud de e; ; b ba an nk kr ru up pt tc cy y, , s st to oc ck k p pr ri ic ce e d de ec cl li in ne e, , i in ns so ol lv ve en nc cy y. . I In nt te er re es st t R Ra at te e R Ri is sk k - - T Th hi is s i is s a a r ri is sk k r re es su ul lt ti in ng g f fr ro om m c ch ha an ng ge es s i in n i in nt te er re es st t r ra at te es s. . C Ch ha an ng ge es s i in n i in nt te er re es st t r ra at te es s a af ff fe ec ct t t th he e p pr ri ic ce es s o of f f fi in na an nc ci ia al l s se ec cu ur ri it ti ie es s s su uc ch h a as s t th he e p pr ri ic ce es s o of f b bo on nd ds s e et tc c. . f fo or r i in nt te er re es st t r ra at te e r ri is se e d de ep pr re es ss se es s b bo on nd d p pr ri ic ce es s a an nd d v vi ic ce e, , v ve er rs sa a. . P Pu ur rc ch ha as si in ng g P Po ow we er r R Ri is sk k - - T Th hi is s r ri is sk k a ar ri is se es s u un nd de er r i in nf fl la at ti io on na ar ry y s si it tu ua at ti io on ns s ( (g ge en ne er ra al l p pr ri ic ce e r ri is se e o of f g go oo od ds s a an nd d s se er rv vi ic ce es s) ) l le ea ad di in ng g t to o a a d de ec cl li in ne e i in n t th he e p pu ur rc ch ha as si in ng g p po ow we er r o of f t th he e a as ss se et t h he el ld d. . M Ma ar rk ke et t R Ri is sk k - - M Ma ar rk ke et t r ri is sk k i is s r re el la at te ed d t to o s st to oc ck k m ma ar rk ke et t. . I It t r re ef fe er rs s t to o s st to oc ck k p pr ri ic ce e v va ar ri ia ab bi il li it ty y c ca au us se ed d b by y m ma ar rk ke et t f fo or rc ce es s. . I It t i is s t th he e r re es su ul lt t o of f i in nv ve es st to or rs s’ ’ r re ea ac ct ti io on ns s t to o r re ea al l o or r p ps sy yc ch ho ol lo og gi ic ca al l e ex xp pe ec ct ta at ti io on ns s. . F Fo or r e ex xa am mp pl le e, , s so om me e f fo or re ec ca as st ts s m ma ay y c co on nv vi in nc ce e i in nv ve es st to or rs s t th ha at t t th he e e ec co on no om my y i is s h he ea ad di in ng g t to ow wa ar rd ds s a a r re ec ce es ss si io on n. . T Th he e m ma ar rk ke et t i in nd de ex x w wo ou ul ld d d de ec cl li in ne e a ac cc co or rd di in ng gl ly y. . “THERE IS NO TIME AND PLACE WHICH IS FREE FROM RISK, AND VERY DIFFICULT TO AVOID IT, SO WHAT WOULD BE BETTER?” “MANAGING”
  • 14. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 CHAPTER TWO THE RISK MANAGEMENT 2.1 Meaning of Risk Management: Risk management is a process that identifies loss exposures faced by an organization and selects the most appropriate techniques for treating such exposures. R Ri is sk k m ma an na ag ge em me en nt t i is s t th he e p pr ro oc ce es ss s o of f i id de en nt ti if fy yi in ng g, , m me ea as su ur ri in ng g, , a an nd d h ha an nd dl li in ng g l lo os ss se es s a as ss so oc ci ia at te ed d w wi it th h p pr ro op pe er rt ty y, , l li ia ab bi il li it ty y, , a an nd d p pe er rs so on ns s. . In the past, risk managers generally considered only pure loss exposures faced by the firm. However, newer forms of risk management are emerging that consider certain speculative risks as well. This capital discusses only the treatment of pure risks or pure loss exposures. 2.2 Objectives of Risk Management: Risk management has important objectives. These objectives can be classified as either (1) Pre loss Objectives (2) Post loss Objectives Pre loss Objectives: Important objectives before a loss occurs include economy, reduction of anxiety, and meeting legal obligations. Economy: The economy objective means that the firm should prepare for potential losses in the most economical way. This preparation involves an analysis of the cost of safety programs, insurance premiums paid, and the costs associate with different techniques for handling losses. Reduction of Anxiety: Certain loss exposures can cause greater worry and fear for the risk manager and key executives. For example, the threat of a terrible court case from a defective product can cause greater anxiety than a small loss from a minor fire. This risk manager, however, wants to minimize the anxiety and fear associated with all loss exposures. Meeting legal obligations: The final objective is to meet any legal obligations. For example, government regulations may require a firm to install safety devices to protect workers from harm, to dispose of harmful waste
  • 15. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 2 material properly and to label consumer products appropriately. The risk manager must see that these legal obligations are met. Post loss Objectives: Important objectives after a loss occurs include survival, continued operation, stability of earnings, continued growth, and social responsibility. Survival: The most important post loss objective is survival of the firm. Survival means that after a loss occurs, the firm can resume at least partial operations within some reasonable time period. Continued Operation: The second post loss objective is to continue operating. For some, firms, the ability to operate after a loss is extremely important. For example, a public utility firm most continues to provide service. Banks, post offices, dairies, and other competitive forms must continue to operate after a loss. Otherwise, business will be lost to competitors. Stability: The third post loss objective is stability of earnings. Earnings per share can be maintained if the firm continues to operate. However, a firm may incur substantial additional expenses to achieve this goal (such as operating at another location), and perfect stability of earnings may not be attained. Continued Growth: The fourth post loss objective is continued growth of the firm. A company can grow by developing new products and markets or by acquiring or merging with other companies. The risk manager must therefore consider the effect that a loss will have on the firm’s ability to grow. Social Responsibility: Finally, the objective of social responsibility is to minimize the effects that a loss will have on other persons and on society. A sever loss can adversely affect employees, suppliers, creditors and the community in general. 2.3 Steps in the Risk Management Process: The risk management process involves four steps: Step 1: Identifying potential losses (Risk Identification) Step 2: Evaluate Potential losses (Risk Measurement) Step 3: Select the appropriate techniques for treating loss exposure, and
  • 16. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 3 Step 4: Implement and administer the program. Step 1: - RISK IDENTIFICATION: The first step in the risk management process is to identify all major and minor loss exposures. This step involves a painstaking analysis of all potential losses. Unless the sources of possible losses are recognized, it is impossible to consciously choose appropriate, efficient methods for dealing with those losses should they occur. A loss exposure is a potential loss that may be associated with a specific type of risk. Loss exposures typically classified as (Sources of Risks) Loss Exposures (Sources of Risks):  Property Loss Exposures:  Business Income Loss Exposures:  Human Resources Exposures:  Crime Loss Exposures:  Employee Benefit Loss Exposures:  Failure to comply with government regulation.  Failure to pay promised benefits.  Group life and health and retirement plan exposures.  Foreign Loss Exposures:  Acts of terrorism  Plants, business property, inventory  Foreign currency risks  Kidnapping of key persons  Political risks  Liability Risks:  Defective Products  Sexual harassment of employees, discrimination against employees, wrongful termination  Misuse of internet and e-mail transactions
  • 17. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 4 Techniques for Identifying Risks: A risk manager has several techniques that he or she can use to identify the preceding loss exposures. They include the following: Loss Exposure Checklists: One risk identification tool that can be used both by business and by individuals is a loss exposure checklist, which specifies numerous potential sources of loss from destruction of assets and from legal liability. For each item of checklist, the user asks the question, “is this a potential source of the loss to me or my firm?” In this way, the systematic use of loss exposure checklists reduces the likelihood of overlooking important sources of risks. Some loss exposure checklists are designed for specific industries, such as manufacturers, retail stores, educational institutions, or religious organizations. Such list tends to the quite lengthy, as they attempt to cover all the exposures that various entities are likely to face. A second type of checklists focuses on a specific category of exposure. The questions included in the checklists usually address specific exposures in considerable detail. Thus, these checklists can be helpful net only in risk identification but also in compiling information necessary for an in-depth evaluation of risks that are identified. The Financial Statement Method: The financial statement method was proposed by A.H. Criddle (1962). Although this approach was intended for private originations, the concepts, of these financial statements approach can be generalized in public sector organizations as well. By analyzing the balance sheet, operating statements, and supporting documents, criddle maintains, the risk manager can identify property, liability, and human exposures (losses) of the organizations. By coupling these statements with financial forecast and budgets, the risk manager can discover future exposures. Financial statements reveal this information because every organizational transaction ultimately involves either money or property.
  • 18. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 5 The Flow Chart Method: An organization’s exposure to risk also can be identified by studying flow chart of organization’s activities and operations. These flow charts are studies alongside the checklists of possible exposures to determine which items apply. Contract Analysis: Many of an organization’s risks are arise from contractual relationships with other persons and organizations. An examination of these contracts may reveal are of exposures that are not evident from the organization’s operations and activities. In some cases, contracts may shift responsibility to other parties. Interactions with other Departments: Frequent interactions with other departments provide another source of information on exposures of risk. These interactions may include oral or written reports from other departments on their own initiative or in response to regular reporting system that keep the risk manager informed of developments. The importance of such a communications network should not be underestimated. These departments are consistently creating or becoming aware of exposures that might otherwise escape the risk manger’s attention. Indeed, the risk manager’s success in risk identification is heavily dependent on the co-operation of other departments. Interactions with Outside Suppliers and Professional Organizations: In addition to communicating with other departments the risk manager normally interacts with outsiders who provide services to the organizations. These, outsiders, for example, accountants, lawyers, risk management consultants, actuaries, or loss control specialists. The objective would be to determine whether the outsiders have identified exposures that otherwise would be missed. Possibly, the outsiders themselves may create new exposures. Statistical Records of Losses: Where available, statistical records of losses can be used to identify sources of risk. These records may be available from risk management information systems developed by consultants or in some cases, the risk manager. These
  • 19. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 6 systems allow losses to be analyses according to cause, location amount and other issues to interest. Statistical records allow the risk manager to asses’ trends in the organization’s loss experience and to compare the organization’s loss experience with the experience of others. In additions, these records enable the risk manager to analyze issues such as the cause, time and location of the accidents, identify of the inured individual and the supervisions, and any hazards or other special factors affecting the nature of the accident. Step two: RISK MEASUREMENT (RISK EVALUATION) The second step in the risk management process is to evaluate and measure the impact of losses on the firm. This step involves on estimation of the potential frequency and severity of loss. Loss frequency refers to the probable number of losses that may occur during the some given period. Loss severity refers to the probable size of the losses that may occur. Once the risk manager estimates the frequency and severity of loss for each type of loss exposure, the various loss exposures can be ranked according to their relative importance. For example, a loss exposure with the potential for bankrupting the firm is much more important in a risk management program than an exposure with a small loss potential. In addition, the relative frequency and severity of each loss exposure must be estimate so that the risk manager can select the most appropriate technique or combination of techniques for handling each exposure. For example, if certain losses occur regularly and are predictable, they can be budgeted out of a firm income and treated as normal operating expenses. If the certain type of exposure fluctuates widely, however, an entirely different approach is required. Although the risk manager must consider both loss frequency and loss severity, severity is more important, because a singly catastrophic loss could wipe out the firm. Therefore, the risk manager must also consider all losses that can result from a singly events. Both the maximum possible loss and
  • 20. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 7 maximum probable loss must be estimated. The maximum possible loss is the worst loss that could possibly happen to the firm during its lifetime. The maximum probable loss is the worst loss that is likely to happen to the firm during its lifetime. The actual estimation of the frequency and severity of loses may be done in various ways. Some risk manger considers these concepts informally in evaluation identified risks. They may broadly classify the frequency of various losses into categories such as “Slight”, “moderate”, and “certain” and many have similarly broad estimates for loss severity. Even this type of informal evaluation is better than none at all. But as risk management becomes increasingly sophisticated, most large firms, attempts to be more precise in evaluation risk. It is now common to use probability distributions and statistical techniques in estimating both loss frequency and severity. Step 3 Select the appropriate techniques for treating loss exposure (risk control) R Ri is sk k c co on nt tr ro ol l a ap pp pr ro oa ac ch he es s a ar re e d de es si ig gn ne ed d t to o r re ed du uc ce e t th he e f fi ir rm m’ ’s s e ex xp pe ec ct te ed d l lo os ss se es s a an nd d t to o m ma ak ke e t th he e a an nn nu ua al l l lo os ss s e ex xp pe er ri ie en nc ce e m mo or re e p pr re ed di ic ct ta ab bl le e. . After identifying and evaluating exposures to risk, systematic consideration can be given to alternative methods for managing each exposure. The major techniques to handling risks are: 1. Risk control  Risk avoidance  Loss control o Diversification(separation) o Combination 2. Risk financing technics  Risk retention  Insurance  Non insurance transfer
  • 21. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 8 1) Risk control technics  Risk avoidance: - Avoidance means a certain loss exposure is never acquired, or an existing loss exposure is abandoned. ‘. Risk avoidance is conscious decision not to expose oneself or one’s firm to a particular risk of loss. In this way, risk avoidance can be said to decrease one’s chance of loss to zero. Example: if one doesn’t want to face car collusion, he/she decide not have car at all. Advantage of risk avoidance  Chance of loss is reduced to zero if the loss exposure is never acquired.  If it is abandoned, the chance of loss is reduced because the activity or product that could produce a loss has been abandoned. Disadvantage of risk avoidance  The firm may not avoid all the losses e.g. The Company may not be able to avoid the death of key executives.  May not be feasible or practical to avoid the exposure. OR even avoid one risk may create another risk. E.g., A paint factory can avoid losses arising from the production of paint. Without paint production, however, the firm will not be business.  Loss control: -When losses/ risks cannot be avoided, actions may be taken to reduce the losses associated with them. This is method of dealing with risk is known as “Loss Control”. It is different than the risk avoidance because the firm or individual is still engaging in operations that gives rise to risks. Rather than abandoning specific activities, loss control involves making conscious decisions regarding the way those activities will be conducted. Common goals are either to reduce the probability of losses or to decrease the cost of losses that do occur.
  • 22. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 9 Types of Loss Control: Two methods of classifying loss control involve focus and timing. Focus of Loss Control: Some loss control measures are designed primarily to reduce loss frequency. This form of loss control is referred to as “frequency reduction” (Loss Prevention). For example, measurers that reduce truck accidents include driver examinations, zero tolerance for alcohol or drug abuse and strict enforcement of safety rules. Measures that reduce lawsuits from defective products include installation of safety features on hazardous products, placement of warning labels on dangerous products, and institution of quality control checks. In contrast to frequency reduction, consider an auto manufacturer having airbags installed in the company fleet off automobiles. This form is engaging in “severity reduction” (Loss Reduction). It refers to measure that reduce the severity of a loss. The air bags will not prevent accidents from occurring, but they will reduce the probable injuries that employees will suffer if an accident does happen. Timing of Loss Control: First Timing Categories – Pre-Loss Activities  Loss Prevention  Loss Reduction Second Timing Categories – Concurrent Activities Post – Loss Activities. Concurrent Activities: In second timing classification for loss control measures is that of activities that take place concurrently with losses. The activities of building sprinkler systems illustrate this concept of concurrent loss control. Post – Loss Activities: The third category is that of post loss activities. As with concurrent loss control, post-loss activities always have a severity- reduction focus. For example, one is trying to salvage damaged property rather than discard it. Thus, the partial restoration of an automobile and
  • 23. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 10 subsequent sale of the car to an automobile wholesaler can reduce the overall severity of a loss due to an automobile accident. Potential Benefits of Loss Control: Many of the benefits association with loss control are either readily quantifiable or can be reasonably estimated. These may include the reduction or elimination of expense associated with the following:  Repair or replacement of damaged property  Income losses due to destruction of property  Extra costs to maintain operations following a loss  Adverse liability of judgments  Medical costs to threat injuries  Income losses due to deaths or disabilities. Another quantifiable benefit of loss control is a reduction in the cost of other risk management techniques used in conjunction with the loss control. Two special forms of loss control are “Separation” and “Duplication”.  Separation: - involves the reduction of maximum probable loss associated with some kinds of risks. Example, a firm may disperse work operations in such a way that on explosion or other terrible will not injure more than a limited number of persons. (Through such separation, the firm is reducing the likely severity of overall firm losses by reducing the size of the exposure in any one location.)  Combination:-this method makes loss experience more predictable by increasing the number of exposure units. Unlike separation which spreads a specific number of exposure units, combination increases the number of exposure units under the control of the firm. 2. Risk financing technics  Risk retention: - Retention means that the firm’s retains part, or all activities exposed to a loss. Retention can be Actives (Planned) or Passive (Unplanned). Active risk retention means that the firm is aware of the loss exposure and plans to retain part or all of it, such as automobile crash
  • 24. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 11 losses to a fleet of company cars. Passive risk retention, however, is the failure to identify a loss exposure, failure to act or forgetting to act. For example, a risk manager may fail to identify all company assets that could be damaged in an earthquake.  Retention can be effectively used in a risk management program under the following conditions:  No other method of treatment is available  The worst possible loss is not serious  Loss is highly predictable If retention is used, the risk manager must have some method for paying losses. The following methods are typically used:  Current Net Income: The firm can pay losses out of its current net income and treat losses as exposure for that year. A large number of losses could exceed current income, however, and other assets may then have to be liquidated to pay losses.  Unfunded Reserve: An unfunded reserve is a bookkeeping account that is charged with actual or expected losses form a given exposure.  Funded Reserve: A funded reserve is the setting aside of liquid funds to pay losses. Funded reserves are net widely used by private employers, because the funds many yield a much higher rate of return by being used in the business. Also, contributions to funded reserves are net income tax deductible losses, however, are tax deductible when paid.  Credit Line: A credit line can be established with a bank and borrowed funds may be used to pay losses as they occur. Interest must be paid on the loan, however, and loan repayments can aggregate any cash flow problems a firm may here. Advantage of risk retention  Save Money: The firm can save money in the long run if its actual loses are less than the loss component in the insurance’s premium.
  • 25. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 12  Lower Expenses: The services provide by the insurer may be provided by the firm at a lower cost. Some expenses may be reduced, including loss adjustment expenses, general administrative expenses, commissions and brokerage fees, loss control expenses, taxes and fees and the insurer’s profit.  Encourage Loss Prevention: Because the exposure is retained, there may be a greater incentive for loss prevention.  Increase Cash Flow: Cash flow may be increased because the firm can use the funds that normally would be paid to the insurer at the beginning of the policy period. Disadvantage of risk retention  Possible higher losses: The losses retained by the firm may be greater than the loss allowance in the insurance premium that is saved by net purchasing the insurance.  Possible higher expenses: Expenses may actually be higher outside experts such as safety engineers may have to be hired. Insurers may be able to provide loss control and claim services less expensively.  Possible higher taxes: Income taxes may also be higher.  Insurance: - this is the most widely used risk transfer is insurance.is a contractual transfer of risk. If the risk manager uses insurance to treat certain loss exposures, five key areas must be emphasized. They are the following;  Selection of insurance coverage  Selection of an insurer  Negotiation of terms  Dissemination of information concerning insurance coverage  Periodic review of the insurance program  The risk manager must select the insurance coverage needed. Since there may not be enough money in the risk management budget to insure all possible
  • 26. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 13 losses, the need for insurance can be divided into several categories depending on importance.  Essential insurance includes that coverage required by law or by contract, such as workers compensation insurance. It also includes that coverage that will protect the firm against a catastrophic loss or a loss that threatens the firm’s survival; commercial general liability insurance would fall into that category.  Desirable or important insurance is protection against losses that may cause the firm financial difficulty, but not bankruptcy. Desirable insurance coverage’s include those that protect against loss exposure that would force the firm to borrow or resort to credit.  Available or optional insurance is coverage for slight losses that would merely inconvenience the firm. Optional insurance coverage includes those that protect against losses that could be met out of existing assets or current income.  The risk manager must select an insurer or several insurers. Several important factors come in play here. These include the financial strength of the insurer, risk management services provided by the insurer, and the cost and terms of protection.  After the insurer or insurers are selected, the terms of the insurance contract must be negotiated. If printed policies, endorsements, and forms are used, the risk manger and the insurer must agree on the documents that will form the basis of the contract. If specially tailored manuscript policy is written for the firm, the language and meaning of the contractual provisions must be clear to both parties. In any case, the various risk management services the insurer will provide must be clearly stated in the contract. Finally, if the firm is large, the premiums may be negotiable between the firm and insurer  Information concerning insurance coverage must be disseminated to others in the firm. The firm’s employees and mangers must be informed about
  • 27. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 14 the insurance coverage, the various records that must be kept, the risk management services that the insurer will provide, and the changes in hazards that could result in a suspension of insurance.  The insurance program must be periodically reviewed. The entire process of obtaining insurance must be evaluated periodically. This involves analysis of agents and broker relationships, coverage needed, cost of insurance, quality of loss-control services provided, whether claims are paid properly, and numerous other factors. Even the basis decision – whether to purchase-insurance must be reviewed periodically.   Non insurance transfer: -T Tr ra an ns sf fe er r, , t th he e f fi in na al l t to oo ol ls s t to o b be e d di is sc cu us ss se ed d, , m ma ay y b be e a ac cc co om mp pl li is sh he ed d i in n t th hr re ee e w wa ay ys s. . T Th he es se e a ar re e: :   T Tr ra an ns sf fe er r o of f t th he e a ac ct ti iv vi it ty y o or r t th he e p pr ro op pe er rt ty y. . T Th he e p pr ro op pe er rt ty y o or r a ac ct ti iv vi it ty y r re es sp po on ns si ib bl le e f fo or r t th he e r ri is sk ks s m ma ay y b be e t tr ra an ns sf fe er rr re ed d t to o s so om me e o ot th he er r p pe er rs so on n o or r g gr ro ou up p o of f p pe er rs so on ns s. . F Fo or r e ex xa am mp pl le e, , a a f fi ir rm m t th ha at t s se el ll ls s o on ne e o of f i it ts s b bu ui il ld di in ng gs s t tr ra an ns sf fe er rs s t th he e r ri is sk ks s a as ss so oc ci ia at te ed d w wi it th h o ow wn ne er rs sh hi ip p o of f t th he e b bu ui il ld di in ng g t to o t th he e n ne ew w o ow wn ne er r. . A A c co on nt tr ra ac ct to or r w wh ho o i is s c co on nc ce er rn ne ed d a ab bo ou ut t p po os ss si ib bl le e i in nc cr re ea as se e i in n t th he e c co os st t o of f l la ab bo or r a an nd d m ma at te er ri ia al ls s n ne ee ed de ed d f fo or r t th he e e el le ec ct tr ri ic ca al l w wo or rk k o on n a a j jo ob b t to o w wh hi ic ch h h he e/ /s sh he e i is s a al lr re ea ad dy y c co om mm mi it tt te ed d c ca an n t tr ra an ns sf fe er r t th he e r ri is sk k b by y h hi ir ri in ng g a a s su ub bc co on nt tr ra ac ct to or r f fo or r t th hi is s p po or rt ti io on n o of f t th he e p pr ro oj je ec ct t. . T Th hi is s t ty yp pe e o of f t tr ra an ns sf fe er r, , w wh hi ic ch h i is s c cl lo os se el ly y r re el la at te ed d t to o a av vo oi id da an nc ce e t th hr ro ou ug gh h a ab ba an nd do on nm me en nt t, , i is s a a r ri is sk k c co on nt tr ro ol l m me ea as su ur re e b be ec ca au us se e i it t e el li im mi in na at te es s a a p po ot te en nt ti ia al l l lo os ss s t th ha at t m ma ay y s st tr ri ik ke e t th he e f fi ir rm m. . I It t d di if ff fe er rs s f fr ro om m a av vo oi id da an nc ce e t th hr ro ou ug gh h a ab ba an nd do on nm me en nt t i in n t th ha at t t to o t tr ra an ns sf fe er r a a r ri is sk k t th he e f fi ir rm m m mu us st t p pa as ss s i it t t to o s so om me eo on ne e e el ls se e. .   T Tr ra an ns sf fe er r o of f t th he e p pr ro ob ba ab bl le e l lo os ss s. . T Th he e r ri is sk k, , b bu ut t n no ot t t th he e p pr ro op pe er rt ty y o or r a ac ct ti iv vi it ty y, , m ma ay y b be e t tr ra an ns sf fe er rr re ed d. . F Fo or r e ex xa am mp pl le e, , u un nd de er r a a l le ea as se e, , t th he e t te en na an nt t m ma ay y b be e a ab bl le e t to o s sh hi if ft t t to o t th he e l la an nd dl lo or rd d a an ny y r re es sp po on ns si ib bi il li it ty y t th he e t te en na an nt t m ma ay y h ha av ve e f fo or r d da am ma ag ge e t to o t th he e l la an nd dl lo or rd d’ ’s s p pr re em mi is se es s c ca au us se ed d b by y t th he e t te en na an nt t’ ’s s n ne eg gl li ig ge en nc ce e. . A A m ma an nu uf fa ac ct tu ur re e m ma ay y b be e a ab bl le e t to o f fo or rc ce e a a r re et ta ai il le er r t to o a as ss su um me e r re es sp po on ns si ib bi il li it ty y f fo or r a an ny y d da am ma ag ge e t to o p pr ro od du uc ct ts s t th ha at t o oc cc cu ur rs s a af ft te er r t th he e p pr ro od du uc ct ts s l le ea av ve e t th he e
  • 28. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 15 m ma an nu uf fa ac ct tu ur re er r’ ’s s p pr re em mi is se es s e ev ve en n i if f t th he e m ma an nu uf fa ac ct tu ur re er r w wo ou ul ld d o ot th he er rw wi is se e b be e r re es sp po on ns si ib bl le e. . A A b bu us si in ne es ss s m ma ay y b be e a ab bl le e t to o c co on nv vi in nc ce e a a c cu us st to om me er r t to o g gi iv ve e u up p a an ny y r ri ig gh ht ts s t th he e c cu us st to om me er rs s m mi ig gh ht t h ha av ve e t to o g gi iv ve e t th he e b bu us si in ne es ss s f fo or r b bo od di il ly y i in nj ju ur ri ie es s a an nd d p pr ro op pe er rt ty y d da am ma ag ge e s su us st ta ai in ne ed d b be ec ca au us se e o of f d de ef fe ec ct ts s i in n a a p pr ro od du uc ct t o or r a a s se er rv vi ic ce e. .  Hedging: Hedging involves the transfer of speculative risk. It is a business transaction in which the risk of price fluctuations is transferred to a third party known as a speculator. I In n t th hi is s s se ec ct ti io on n, , w we e h ha av ve e d di is sc cu us ss se ed d l la ar rg ge e n nu um mb be er r o of f r ri is sk k m ma an na ag ge em me en nt t t to oo ol ls s. . T Th he es se e t to oo ol ls s m ma ay y n no ot t b be e a ap pp pr ro op pr ri ia at te e i in n a al ll l s si it tu ua at ti io on ns s t to o a al ll l f fi ir rm ms s o or r i in nd di iv vi id du ua al ls s a at t a al ll l t ti im me es s. . A As s a a r re es su ul lt t, , a a r ri is sk k m ma an na ag ge er r s sh ho ou ul ld d b be e k kn no ow wl le ed dg ge ea ab bl le e e en no ou ug gh h t to o m ma ak ke e a an na al ly ys si is s a an nd d s se el le ec ct t t th he e “ “b be es st t” ” r ri is sk k h ha an nd dl li in ng g t to oo ol l( (s s) ). . C Co os st t- -b be en ne ef fi it t a an na al ly ys si is s i is s i im mp po or rt ta an nt t i in n s se el le ec ct ti in ng g a an n a ap pp pr ro op pr ri ia at te e r ri is sk k m ma an na ag ge em me en nt t t to oo ol l( (s s) ) Risk Management Matrix Type of Loss Loss Loss Appropriate Risk Frequency Severity Risk Management Technique 1 Low Low Retention 2 High Low Loss Prevention 3 Low High Insurance 4 High High Avoidance Step 4 Implement and administer the program Once we select the appropriate techniques for treating loss exposure executing is the basic issue.to achieve this activity the following are the most important tools. 1. Risk management policy statement 2. Risk management manual 3. Cooperate with other department 4. Periodic review and evaluating
  • 29. The Risk Management Process Chapter Two Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 16 Benefits of risk management  Attain its pre-loss and post loss objective easily  Cost of risk is reduced, increase companies profit  Enact an enterprise risk management program that treats both pure and  pain and suffering reduce--> society benefits
  • 30. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 CHAPTER THREE INSURANCE: AN OVERVIEW 3.1Definition of Insurance: There is not single definition of insurance. Insurance can be defined from the viewpoint of several disciplines, I In ns su ur ra an nc ce e m ma ay y b be e d de ef fi in ne ed d i in n e ec co on no om mi ic c, , l le eg ga al l b bu us si in ne es ss s, , s so oc ci ia al l, , a an nd d m ma at th he em ma at ti ic ca al l p po oi in nt t o of f v vi ie ew w a as s f fo ol ll lo ow ws s: :   I In n e ec co on no om mi ic c s se en ns se e: : i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e i is s a an n i im mp po or rt ta an nt t t to oo ol l t th ha at t p pr ro ov vi id de es s c ce er rt ta ai in nt ty y o or r p pr re ed di ic ct ta ab bi il li it ty y a ai im mi in ng g a at t r re ed du uc ci in ng g u un nc ce er rt ta ai in nt ty y i in n r re eg ga ar rd d t to o p pu ur re e r ri is sk ks s. . I It t a ac cc co om mp pl li is sh he es s t th hi is s r re es su ul lt t b by y p po oo ol li in ng g o or r s sh ha ar ri in ng g o of f r ri is sk k. .   L Le eg ga al l p po oi in nt t o of f v vi ie ew w: : i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e i is s a a c co on nt tr ra ac ct t b by y w wh hi ic ch h o on ne e p pa ar rt ty y, , i in n c co on ns si id de er ra at ti io on n o of f t th he e p pr ri ic ce e p pa ai id d t to o h hi im m a ad de eq qu ua at te e t to o t th he e r ri is sk k, , b be ec co om me es s s se ec cu ur ri it ty y t to o t th he e o ot th he er r t th ha at t h he e/ /s sh he e s sh ha al ll l n no ot t s su uf ff fe er r l lo os ss s, , d da am ma ag ge e o or r p pr re ej ju ud di ic ce es s b by y t th he e h ha ap pp pe en ni in ng g o of f t th he e p pe er ri il ls s s sp pe ec ci if fi ie ed d i in n t th he e p po ol li ic cy y. . A Ar rt ti ic cl le e 6 65 54 4( (1 1) ) o of f t th he e c co om mm me er rc ci ia al l c co od de e o of f E Et th hi io op pi ia a s st ta at te es s i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e a as s f fo ol ll lo ow ws s: : " "A A c co on nt tr ra ac ct t w wh he er re eb by y a a p pe er rs so on n c ca al ll le ed d t th he e i in ns su ur re er r u un nd de er rt ta ak ke es s a ag ga ai in ns st t p pa ay ym me en nt t o of f o on ne e o or r m mo or re e p pr re em mi iu um ms s t to o p pa ay y a a p pe er rs so on n, , c ca al ll le ed d t th he e b be en ne ef fi ic ci ia ar ry y, , s su um m o of f m mo on ne ey y w wh he er re e a a s sp pe ec ci if fi ie ed d r ri is sk k m ma at te er ri ia al li iz ze es s. . F Fr ro om m t th hi is s d de ef fi in ni it ti io on n o of f l la aw w w we e c ca an n l le ea ar rn n t th ha at t i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e i is s c co on nt tr ra ac ct tu ua al l a ag gr re ee em me en nt t b be et tw we ee en n t tw wo o p pa ar rt ti ie es s: : t th he e p pe er rs so on n ( (I In ns su ur re ed d) ) a an nd d I In ns su ur ra an nc ce e c co om mp pa an ni ie es s. . W Wh he en n a a p pe er rs so on n b bu uy ys s p pr ri iv va at te e i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e, , s sh he e/ /h he e i is s e en nt te er ri in ng g i in nt to o a a c co on nt tr ra ac ct t w wi it th h t th he e i in ns su ur re er r t th ha at t e en nt ti it tl le es s t th he e p pe er rs so on n ( (I In ns su ur re ed d) ) t to o c ce er rt ta ai in n a ad dv va an nt ta ag ge es s b bu ut t a al ls so o i im mp po os se es s c ce er rt ta ai in n r re es sp po on ns si ib bi il li it ti ie es s s su uc ch h a as s p pa ay ym me en nt t o of f a a p pr re em mi iu um m a an nd d s sa at ti is sf fy yi in ng g c ce er rt ta ai in n c co on nd di it ti io on ns s s sp pe ec ci if fi ie ed d i in n t th he e p po ol li ic cy y. .   B Bu us si in ne es ss s P Po oi in nt t o of f v vi ie ew ws s: : a as s a a b bu us si in ne es ss s i in ns st ti it tu ut ti io on n, , i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e h ha as s b be ee en n d de ef fi in ne ed d a as s a a p pl la an n b by y w wh hi ic ch h l la ar rg ge e n nu um mb be er r o of f p pe eo op pl le e a as ss so oc ci ia at te e t th he em ms se el lv ve es s a an nd d t tr ra an ns sf fe er r r ri is sk ks s o of f i in nd di iv vi id du ua al ls s t to o t th he e s sh ho ou ul ld de er rs s o of f a al ll l m me em mb be er rs s o of f t th he e p po ol li ic cy y. .   S So oc ci ia al l V Vi ie ew w P Po oi in nt t: : i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e i is s d de ef fi in ne ed d a as s a a s so oc ci ia al l d de ev vi ic ce e f fo or r m ma ak ki in ng g p pa ay ym me en nt t f fo or r t th he e a ac cc cu um mu ul la at ti io on n o of f f fu un nd d t to o m me ee et t u un nc ce er rt ta ai in n l lo os ss se es s o of f c ca ap pi it ta al l w wh hi ic ch h i is s c ca ar rr ri ie ed d o ou ut t t th hr ro ou ug gh h t th he e t tr ra an ns sf fe er r o of f r ri is sk k o of f m ma an ny y i in nd di iv vi id du ua al ls s t to o o on ne e p pe er rs so on n o or r a a g gr ro ou up p o of f p pe er rs so on ns s. . I It t i is s a ad dv vi ic ce e t th hr ro ou ug gh h w wh hi ic ch h f fe ew w u un nf fo or rt tu un na at te es s a ar re e p pa ai id d b by y m ma an ny y w wh ho o a ar re e m me em mb be er r o of f t th he e p po ol li ic cy y. .
  • 31. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1   M Ma at th he em ma at ti ic ca al l v vi ie ew wp po oi in nt t: : i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e i is s t th he e a ap pp pl li ic ca at ti io on n o of f a ac ct tu ua ar ri ia al l ( (I In ns su ur ra an nc ce e m ma at th he em ma at ti ic cs s) ) p pr ri in nc ci ip pl le es s. . L La aw ws s o of f p pr ro ob ba ab bi il li it ty y a an nd d s st ta at ti is st ti ic ca al l t te ec ch hn ni iq qu ue es s a ar re e u us se ed d f fo or r a ac ch hi ie ev ve e p pr re ed di ic ct ta ab bl le e r re es su ul lt ts s. . The commission of Insurance Terminology of the American Risk and Insurance Association has defined insurance as follows. “Insurance is the pooling of accidental losses by transfer of such risks to insurers, who agree to indemnify insureds for such losses, to provide other financial benefits on their occurrence, or to render services connected with the risk”. Based on the preceding definition, an insurance plan or arrangement typically includes the following characteristics. 3.2 BASIC CHARACTERISTICS OF INSURANCE: There are four basic characteristics of insurance  Pooling of Losses  Payment of Accidental Losses  Risk Transfer  Indemnification  Pooling of Losses: Pooling or the sharing of losses is the heart of insurance. Pooling is the spreading of losses incurred by the few over the entire group, so that in the process, average loss is substituted for actuarial. In addition, pooling involves the grouping of a large number of exposure units so that the law of large numbers can operate to prove a substantially accurate prediction of future losses. Ideally, there should be large exposure units that are subject to the same perils. Thus, pooling implies (1) the sharing of losses by the entire group, and (2) prediction of future losses with some accuracy based on the law of large numbers. With respect to the first concept – loss sharing – consider this simple example. Assume that 1000 farmer in southern Ethiopia agree that if any farmer’s home is damaged or destroyed by a fire, the other members of the group will indemnify, or cover, the actual costs of the unlucky farmer who has a loss. Assume also that each
  • 32. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 home is worth $100,000 and on average, one home burns each year. In the absence of insurance, the maximum loss to each farmer is $100,000 if the home should burn. However, by pooling the loss, it can be spread over the entire group, and if one farmer has a total loss, the maximum amount that each farmer must pay is only $100 ($100,000/1000). In effect, the pooling technique results in the substitution of an average loss of $100 for the actual loss of $100,000. In addition, by pooling or combining the loss experience of a large number of exposure units, an insurer may be able to predict future losses with greater accuracy. From the viewpoint of the insurer, if future losses can be predicted, objective risk is reduced. Thus, another characteristic often found in many lines of insurance is risk reduction based on the law of large numbers.  Payment of Accidental Losses: A second characteristic of private insurance is the payment of accidental losses. An accidental loss is one that the unforeseen and unexpected and occurs as a result of chance. In other words, the loss must be accidental. The law of large numbers is based on the assumption that losses are accidental and occur randomly. For example, a person may commit suicide. The loss would be accidental insurance policies do not cover intentional losses.  Risk Transfer: Risk transfer is another essential element of insurance. With the exception of self- insurance, a true insurance plan always involves risk transfer. Risk transfer means that a pure risk is transferred from the insured to the insurer, who typically is in a stronger financial position to pay the loss than the insured. From the viewpoint of the individual, pure risks that are typically transferred to insurers include the risk of premature death, poor health, disability, destruction and theft of property, and liability lawsuits.  Indemnification: A final characteristic of insurance is indemnification for losses. Indemnification means that the insured is restored to his or her approximate financial position prior to the occurrence of the loss. Thus, if your home burns in a fire, a homeowner’s policy will indemnify you or restore you to your previous position. If you are sued because of the negligent operation of an automobile,
  • 33. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 your auto liability insurance policy will pay those sums that you are legally obligated to pay. Similarly, if you become seriously disabled, a disability income insurance policy will restore at least part of the lost wages. 3.3 REQUIREMENTS (FUNDAMENTALS) OF AN INSURABLE RISK Insurers normally insure only pure risks. However, not all pure risks are insurable. Certain requirements usually must be fulfilled before a pure risk can be privately insured. From the viewpoint of the insurer, there are ideally six requirements of an insurable risk. Requirements:  Large Number of Exposure Units  Accidental and Unintentional Loss  Determinable and Measurable Loss  No Catastrophic Loss  Calculable Chance of Loss  Economically Feasible Premium  Large Number of Exposure Units: The first requirement of an insurable risk is a large number of exposure units. Ideally, there should be a large group of roughly similar, but not necessarily identical, exposure units that are subject to the same peril or group of perils. For example, a large number of frame dwellings in a city can be grouped together for purposes of providing property insurance on the dwellings. The purpose of this first requirement is to enable the insurer to predict loss based on the law large numbers. Loss data can be compiled over time, and losses for the group as a whole can be predicted with some accuracy. The loss costs can then the spread over all insureds in the underwriting class.  Accidental and Unintentional Loss: A second requirement is that the loss should be accidental and unintentional; ideally, the loss should be accidental and outside the insured’s control. Thus, if an individual deliberately causes a loss, he or she should not be indemnified for the loss.
  • 34. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1  Determinable and Measurable Loss: A third requirement is that the loss should be both determinable and measurable. This means the loss should be definite as to cause, time, place and amount. Life assurance in most cases meets this requirement easily. The cause and time of death can be readily determined in most cases, and if the person is insured, the face amount of the life assurance policy is the amount paid. Some losses, however, are difficult to determine and measure. For example, under a disability-income policy, the insurer promises to pay monthly benefit to the disable person if the definition of disability stated in the policy is satisfied. Some dishonest claimants may deliberately fake sickness or injury to collect from the insurer. Even if the claim is legitimate, the insurer must still determine whether the insured satisfies the definition of disability stated in the policy. The basic purpose of this requirement is to enable an insurer to determine if the loss is covered under the policy, and if it is covered, how much should be paid.  No Catastrophic Loss: The fourth requirement is that ideally the loss should not be catastrophic. This means that large proportion of exposure units should not incur losses at the same time. As we stated earlier, pooling is the essence of insurance. If most or all of the exposure units in a certain class simultaneously incur a loss, then the pooling technique breaks down and becomes unworkable. Premiums must be increased to prohibitive levels, and the insurance technique is no longer a viable arrangement by which loses of the few are spread over the entire group. Insurers ideally which to avoid all catastrophic loses. In reality, however, this is impossible, because catastrophic losses periodically result from the foods, hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, forest fires, and other natural disasters. Catastrophic losses can also result from acts of terrorism. Several approaches are available for meeting the problems of catastrophic loss. First, reinsurance can be used by which insurance companies are indemnified by reinsures for catastrophic losses. Reinsurance is the shifting of part or all of the insurance originally written by one insurer to another. Second, insurers can avoid the concentration of risk by dispersing their coverage over a large geographical area. The concentration of loss exposures in a geographic area exposed to
  • 35. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 frequent floods, earthquakes, hurricanes, or the natural disasters can result in periodic catastrophic losses. If the loss exposures are geographically disperses, the possibility of a catastrophic loss is reduced. Finally, new financial instruments are now available for dealing with catastrophic losses. These instruments include catastrophe bonds, which are designed to pay for a catastrophic loss.  Calculable Chance of Loss: A fifth requirement is that the chance of loss should be calculable. The insurer must be able to calculate both the average frequency and the average severity of future losses with some accuracy. This requirement is necessary so that a proper premium can be charged that is sufficient to pay all claims and expenses and yield a profit during the policy period. Certain losses, however, are difficult to insure because the chance of loss cannot be accurately estimated, and the potential for a catastrophic loss is present. For example, floods, wars and cyclical Unemployment occur on an irregular basis, and prediction of the average frequency and the severity of losses are difficult. Thus, without government assistance, these losses are difficult for private carriers to insure.  Economically Feasible Premium: A final requirement is that the premium should be economically feasible. The insured must be able to pay the premium. In addition, for the insurance to be an attractive purchase, the premiums paid must be substantially less than the face value, or amount, of the policy. To have an economically feasible premium, the chance of loss must be relatively low. One view is that if the chance of loss exceeds 40%, the cost of the policy will exceed the amount that the insurer must pay under the contract. For example, an insurer could issue a $1,000 life insurance policy on a man age 99, but the pure premium would be about $980, and an additional amount for expenses would have to be added. The total premium would exceed the face amount of the insurance. Based on these requirements, personal risks, property risks and liability risks can be privately insured, because the requirements of an insurable risk generally can be met. By contrast, most market risks, financial risks, production risks and
  • 36. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 political risks are usually uninsurable by private insurers. These risks are uninsurable for several reasons. 3.4 INSURANCE AND GAMBLING COMPARED (SPECULATION): Insurance is often erroneously confused with gambling. There are two important differences between them. First, gambling creates a new speculative risk, while insurance is a technique for handling an already existing pure risk. This, the you bet $300 on a horse race, a new speculative risk is created, but if you pay $300 to an insurer for fire insurance, the risk of fire is already present and is transferred to the insurer by a contract. No new risk is created by the transaction. The second difference between insurance and gambling is that gambling is socially unproductive, because the winner’s gain comes at the expense of the loser. In contrast, insurance is always socially productive, because neither the insurer nor the insured is placed in a position where the gain of the winner comes at the expense of the loser. The insurer and the insured both have a common interest in the prevention of a loss. Both parties win if the loss does not incur. Moreover, consistent gambling transactions generally never restore the loser to the former financial position. In contrast, insurable contract restore the insured financially in whole or in part if a loss occurs. 3.5 INSURANCE AND SPECULAION S Sp pe ec cu ul la at ti io on n o on n t th he e o ot th he er r h ha an nd d i in nv vo ol lv ve es s d do oi in ng g s so om me e k ki in nd d o of f a ac ct ti iv vi it ty y w wi it th h t th he e e ex xp pe ec ct ta at ti io on n o of f p pr ro of fi it t i in n t th he e f fu ut tu ur re e. . F Fo or r i in ns st ta an nc ce e, , a a b bu us si in ne es ss s m ma an n w wh ho o p pu ur rc ch ha as se es s a an nd d s se el ll ls s g go oo od ds s, , s st to oc ck ks s a an nd d s sh ha ar re es s, , e et tc c. . w wi it th h t th he e r ri is sk k o of f l lo os ss s a an nd d h ho op pe e o of f p pr ro of fi it t t th hr ro ou ug gh h c ch ha an ng ge es s i in n t th he ei ir r m ma ar rk ke et t v va al lu ue e i is s a a c cl le ea ar r c ca as se e o of f s sp pe ec cu ul la at ti io on n. . T Th hr ro ou ug gh h s sp pe ec cu ul la at ti io on n i in nd di iv vi id du ua al ls s c cr re ea at te e a a r ri is sk k d de el li ib be er ra at te el ly y i in n t th he e a an nt ti ic ci ip pa at ti io on n o of f p pr ro of fi it ts s. . H Ho ow we ev ve er r, , a an n i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e t tr ra an ns sa ac ct ti io on n n no or rm ma al ll ly y i in nv vo ol lv ve es s t th he e t tr ra an ns sf fe er r o of f r ri is sk ks s t th ha at t a ar re e i in ns su ur ra ab bl le e, , s si in nc ce e t th he e r re eq qu ui ir re em me en nt ts s o of f a an n i in ns su ur ra ab bl le e r ri is sk k g ge en ne er ra al ll ly y c ca an n b be e m me et t. . O On n t th he e c co on nt tr ra ar ry y, , s sp pe ec cu ul la at ti io on n i is s a a t te ec ch hn ni iq qu ue e f fo or r h ha an nd dl li in ng g r ri is sk ks s t th ha at t a ar re e t ty yp pi ic ca al ll ly y u un ni in ns su ur ra ab bl le e, , s su uc ch h a as s p pr ro ot te ec ct ti io on n a ag ga ai in ns st t a a s su ub bs st ta an nt ti ia al l d de ec cl li in ne e i in n t th he e p pr ri ic ce e o of f a ag gr ri ic cu ul lt tu ur ra al l p pr ro od du uc ct ts s a an nd d r ra aw w m ma at te er ri ia al l. .
  • 37. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 T Th he e o ot th he er r d di if ff fe er re en nc ce e b be et tw we ee en n t th he e t tw wo o i is s t th ha at t i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e c ca an n r re ed du uc ce e t th he e o ob bj je ec ct ti iv ve e r ri is sk k o of f a an n i in ns su ur re er r b by y a ap pp pl li ic ca at ti io on n o of f t th he e l la aw w o of f l la ar rg ge e n nu um mb be er rs s. . I In n c co on nt tr ra as st t, , s sp pe ec cu ul la at ti io on n t ty yp pi ic ca al ll ly y i in nv vo ol lv ve es s o on nl ly y r ri is sk k t tr ra an ns sf fe er r, , n no ot t r ri is sk k r re ed du uc ct ti io on n. . T Th he e r ri is sk k o of f a an n a ad dv ve er rs se e p pr ri ic ce e f fl lu uc ct tu ua at ti io on n i is s t tr ra an ns sf fe er rr re ed d t to o a a s sp pe ec cu ul la at to or r w wh ho o f fe ee el ls s h he e o or r s sh he e c ca an n m ma ak ke e a a p pr ro of fi it t b be ec ca au us se e o of f s su up pe er ri io or r k kn no ow wl le ed dg ge e o of f f fo or rc ce es s t th ha at t a af ff fe ec ct t m ma ar rk ke et t p pr ri ic ce e. . T Th he e r ri is sk k i is s t tr ra an ns sf fe er rr re ed d, , n no ot t r re ed du uc ce ed d, , a an nd d t th he e s sp pe ec cu ul la at to or r’ ’s s p pr re ed di ic ct ti io on n o of f l lo os ss s g ge en ne er ra al ll ly y i is s n no ot t b ba as se ed d o on n t th he e l la aw w o of f l la ar rg ge e n nu um mb be er rs s. . C Ch ha ar ri it ty y i is s g gi iv ve en n w wi it th ho ou ut t c co on ns si id de er ra at ti io on n b bu ut t i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e i is s n no ot t p po os ss si ib bl le e w wi it th ho ou ut t p pr re em mi iu um m. . I In ns su ur ra an nc ce e i is s a a p pr ro of fe es ss si io on n o of f p pr ro ov vi id di in ng g c ce er rt ta ai in nt ty y a an nd d p pr re ed di ic ct ta ab bi il li it ty y a an nd d s sa af fe et ty y t to o t th he e i in nd di iv vi id du ua al l, , b bu us si in ne es ss s o or r s so oc ci ie et ty y. . I It t p pr ro ov vi id de es s a ad de eq qu ua at te e f fi in na an nc ce e a at t t th he e t ti im me e o of f d da am ma ag ge e o on nl ly y b by y c ch ha ar rg gi in ng g a a n no or rm ma al l p pr re em mi iu um m f fo or r t th he e s se er rv vi ic ce e. . 3.6 BENEFITS AND COSTS OF INSURANCE 3.6.1 BENEFITS OF INSURANCE The major social and economic benefits of insurance include the following: Indemnification: Indemnification permits individuals, and families to be restores to their former financial position after a loss occurs. As a result, they can maintain their financial security. Because insureds are restored either in part or in whole after a loss occurs, they are less likely to apply for public assistance or welfare benefits, or to seek financial assistance form relative and friends. Less Worry and Fear: A second benefit of insurance is that worry and fear are reduced. This is true both before and after a loss. For example, if family heads have adequate amounts of life insurance, they are less likely to worry about the financial security of their dependents in the even of premature death; persons insured for long-term disability to not have to worry about the loss of earnings if a serious illness or accident occurs; and property owners who are insured enjoy greater peace of mind because they know they are covered if a loss occurs. Promotes loss control system :-In order to minimize their losses, insurance companies have tried and are continuing to introduce several kinds of loss reduction and prevention schemes. For example, health education, inspection, of elevators, and boilers, installation of fire extinguishers, burglar alarms, on vehicles or houses are risk control mechanisms developed and applied by insurance companies at different times. The introduction of this loss control programs can
  • 38. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 reduce losses to businesses and individuals and complement good risk management thereby benefiting society as a whole. Stimulates international trade and commerce:- Goods traded at the international market are highly vulnerable to risk of loss due to large number of perils. As a result it is difficult to think of international trade without insurance. Insurance coverage may be a condition for engaging in international trade and commerce. Insurance serves as a "lubricant of trade", without it trade and commerce may stifle. Source of Investment Funds: The insurance industry is an important source of funds for capital investment and accumulation. Premiums are collected in advance of the loss, and funds not needed to pay immediate losses and expenses can be loaned to business firms. These funds typically are invested in shopping centers, hospitals, factories, housing developments, and new machinery and equipment. The investments increase society’s stock of capital goods, and promote economic growth and full employment. Insurers also invest in social investments, such as housing, nursing homes and economic development projects. In addition, because the total supply of loanable funds is increased by the advance payment of insurance premiums, the cost of capital to business firms that borrow is lower than it would be in the absence of insurance. Encourages saving: Insurance is a contractual agreement between the insurer and the insured, where the insured is expected to pay a premium for the risk he/she transferred to the insurer. This compulsory premium payment is a form of encouragement of the insured to make systematic saving. Particularly, this is possible in certain life insurance policies that have dual purpose, i.e., protection in the event of death and savings in the event of survival. Loss Prevention: Insurance companies are actively involved in numerous loss prevention programs and also employ a wide variety of loss prevention personnel, including safety engineers and specialists in fire prevention, occupational safety and health, and products liability. For example, Highway safety and reduction of automobile deaths, Fire prevention, Reduction of work related disabilities, Prevention of auto thefts, Prevention and detection of arson losses and ect.,
  • 39. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 Enhancement of Credit: insurance enhances a person’s credit. Insurance makes a borrower a better credit risk because it guarantees the value of the borrower’s collateral or give greater assurance that the loan will be repaid. For example when a house is purchased, the lending institution normally requires property insurance on the house before the mortgage loan is granted. Economic growth : :- - I In ns su ur ra an nc ce e p pr ro ov vi id de es s s st tr ro on ng g h ha an nd d a an nd d m mi in nd d a an nd d p pr ro ot te ec ct ti io on n a ag ga ai in ns st t l lo os ss s o of f p pr ro op pe er rt ty y. . I In n a ad dd di it ti io on n t to o t th he es se e, , i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e c co om mp pa an ni ie es s a ac cc cu um mu ul la at te e l la ar rg ge e s su um m o of f m mo on ne ey y a av va ai il la ab bl le e f fo or r i in nv ve es st tm me en nt t p pu ur rp po os se e. . S Su uc ch h m mo on ne ey y a ac cc cu um mu ul la at te ed d m ma ay y b be e i in nv ve es st te ed d b by y t th he e i in ns su ur ra an nc ce e c co om mp pa an ni ie es s t th he em ms se el lv ve es s o or r l le en nt t t to o o ot th he er rs s t to o p pr ro od du uc ce e m mo or re e w we ea al lt th h. . T Th hi is s w wi il ll l h ha av ve e i it ts s c co on nt tr ri ib bu ut ti io on n t to o t th he e e ec co on no om mi ic c g gr ro ow wt th h o of f a a c co ou un nt tr ry y. . 3.6.2 COSTS OF INSURANCE TO SOCIETY: Although the insurance industry provides enormous social and economic benefits to society, the social costs of insurance must also be recognized. The major social costs of insurance include the following: Cost of Doing Business: One important cost is the cost of doing business. Insurers consume scarce economic resources – land, labor, capital and business enterprise - in providing insurance to society. In financial terms, an expense loading must be added to the pure premium to cover the expense incurred by insurance companies in their daily operations. An expense loading is the amount needed to pay all expense, including commissions, general administrative expenses, acquisition expense, and an allowance for contingencies and profit. Fraudulent (inflated) Claims: A second cost of insurance comes from the submission of fraudulent claims. Examples of fraudulent claims include the following: Auto accidents, are faked or staged to collect benefits, Dishonest claimants fake slip and fall accidents, Phony burglaries, thefts, or acts of vandalism are reported to insurers, False health insurance claims are submitted to collect benefits, Dishonest policy owners take tout life insurance policies on insured who are later reported as having dies. The payments of such fraudulent claims results in higher premiums to all insured. The existence of insurance also prompts some insured to deliberately cause a loss so as to profit from insurance. These social costs fall directly on society.
  • 40. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 Increase Morale hazard:- Increases carelessness in life (morale hazard problem): it is a condition that causes to be less careful than they would otherwise be. Some individuals do not consciously seek to bring about a loss, but the fact that they have insurance causes them to take more risks than they would if they had no insurance coverage. This manner may result in excessive losses in the community. FUNCTIONS AND ORGANIZATION OF INSURERS In general, insurers operate in much the same manner as other firms; however, the nature of the insurance transaction requires certain specialized functions which require a suitable organization structure. In this section, we will examine some of specialized activities of insurance companies and the general forms of organization structure. Functions of Insurers: Although there are definite operational differences between life insurance companies, and property and liability insurers, the major activities of all insurers may be classified as follows:  Production (Selling)  Underwriting (Selection of Risks)  Rate Making  Managing Claims  Investment These functions are normally the responsibility of definite departments or divisions within the firms. In addition to these functions there are various other activities common to most business firms such as accounting, personnel management, market research and so on.  Production: One of the most vital functions of an insurance firm is securing a sufficient number of applicants for insurance to enable the company to operate. This function, usually called production in an insurance company, corresponds to the sales function in an industrial firm.  Underwriting: Underwriting is the process of selecting risks offered to the insurer. It is an essential element in the operation of any insurance program, for unless the company selects from among its applicants, the inevitable result will
  • 41. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 be adverse to the company. Hence, the main responsibility of the underwriter is to guard against adverse selection. While attempting to avoid adverse selection through rejection of undesirable risks, the underwriter must secure an adequate volume of exposures in each class. The underwriter must obtain as much information about the subject of the insurance as possible within the limitations imposed by time and the cost obtaining additional data. The desk underwriter must rule on the exposure submitted by the agents, accepting some and rejecting others that do not meet the company’s underwriting requirements or policies. When a risk is rejected, it is because the under writer feels that the hazards connected with it are excessive in relation to the rate. The four sources from which the underwriter obtains information are the Application, information form Agent or Broker, investigations, Physical Examinations or Inspections:  Rate Making: An insurance rate is the price per unit of insurance. It is the determination of what rates, or premiums, to charge for insurance. A rate is the price per unit of insurance for each exposure unit. Like any other price, it is a function of the cost of production. However, in insurance unlike other industries the cost of production is not known when the contract is sold, and will not be known until some time in the future, when the policy has expired. One of the fundamental differences between insurance pricing and the pricing function in other industries is that the price for insurance must be based on the prediction. And unknown until the policy period has lapsed. Most rates are determined by statistical analysis of past losses based on specific variables of the insured. Variables that yield the best forecasts are the criteria by which premiums are set. The process of predicting future losses and future expenses, and allocating these costs among the various classes of insureds is called rate making. The other important difference between the pricing of insurance and pricing another industry arises from the fact that insurance rates area subject to government regulation (currently not applicable in Ethiopia). Because insurance is considered to be vested in the public interest nations have enacted law imposing statutory restraints on insurance rates. These laws require that insurance rates
  • 42. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 must be not be excessive, must be adequate, and may not be unfairly discriminatory. Makeup of the Premiums A rate is the price charged for each unit of protection or exposure and should be distinguished from a “Premium”, which is determined by multiplying the rate by the number of units of protection purchased. The unit of protection to which a rate applies differs for the various lines of insurance The premium is designed to cover two major costs: (I) The expected loss and (II) The cost of doing business. These are known as the pure premium and the loading, respectively. The pure premium is determined by dividing the total expected loss by the number of exposures. Pure premium consists of that part of the premium necessary to pay for losses and loss related expenses. Loading is the part of the premium necessary to cover other expenses, particularly sales expenses, and to allow for a profit. The gross premium is the pure premium and the loading per exposure unit. The ratio of the loading charge over the gross premium is the expense ratio. The general formula for the gross premium, the amount charged the consumer, is Pure Premium Gross Premium = ----------------------------- 1 – Loading Percentage Example: - X insurance company’s motor pool includes 1000 loss exposures of automobiles each has a sum insured of (value) 1 million. The company expects to pay 2 million birr of loss claims in a given territory. Calculate the pure and gross premium of this motor pool with the expected expanse ration of 40%? Given: - Number of exposure= 1000 Sum insured/ car= 1,000 000 Average loss =2 car (2,000,000) Expense ratio = 0.4 Pure premium= Average loss/exposure unit= 2,000,000/1000=2000 per auto/ year Gross premium=Pure premium
  • 43. Insurance: An overview chapter Three Addis Ababa university, School of Commerce compiled by Ashenafi A Page 1 1- Expense ratio =2000/1-0.4=2000/0.6=3333 per auto/ year Gross Premium= Pure premium+ loading =2000+1333=3333 per auto/ year Loading= Gross premium-Pure premium= 3333-2000= 1333 per auto/ year Loading= expense ratio*GP=3333*0.4=1333per auto/year Gross Premium= Pure premium+ loading =2000+1333=3333 per auto/ year Premium rate= Sum insured/ gross premium = 1,000,000/3333=0.00334 Two basic approaches to rate making, class and individual rating are discusses below. 1. Manual or Class Rating: The manual or class rating method sets rates that apply uniformly to each exposure unit falling within some predetermined class or group. Everyone falling within a given class is charged the same rate. 2. Individual Rating: Under individual rating, each insured is charged a unique premium based largely upon the judgement of the person setting the rate. This rating is supplemented by whatever statistical data are available and by knowledge of the premiums charged similar insureds. It takes into account all known factors affecting the exposure, including competition from other insurers. If the characteristics of the units to be insured vary so widely it is desirable to calculate rates for each unit depending on its loss producing characteristics.  Managing Claims / Loss Adjustment: The basic purpose of insurance is to provide indemnity to the members of the group who suffer losses. This is accomplished on the loss settlement process, but it is sometimes more complicated than just passing out money.  Investment Function: -When an insurance policy is written, the premium is generally paid in advance for periods varying from six months to five or more years. This advance payment of premiums gives rise to funds held for policyholders by the insurer, funds that must be invested in some manner. When these are added to the funds of the companies themselves, the assets would add up to huge amounts. Not all the money collected by the insurer is to be invested. A certain proportion of it should be kept aside to meet future claims. However, the need for liquidity may vary from one state to another.