- The document provides a technical analysis of Reliance Communications (RCOM) stock.
- It identifies a rare "Truncated Zig-Zag" pattern in the stock movement since June 2009, indicating that the stock price may rise to Rs. 131.35 by March 2011.
- It recommends buying the stock now or on dips as the downside is limited, with a long term target price of Rs. 232.
NIFTY FIFTY : The Equity benchmark open in a Positive note on Monday. The 50 Shares Nifty up by 48 points or 0.57 percent at 8376 or Above its Crucial Level of 8350.
The one of the key drivers of the rally in Domestic Market has been the Spread and
ACC would be the biggest beneficiary of an improvement in the domestic economy due to its Pan-India presence and have one of the cheapest valuations compared to its peers. The recent modernization of Wadi and Chanda and upcoming commissioning of modernized Jamul plant should see improved efficiencies kicking in. Stock trades at EV/T of US$120 CY15E capacity, significantly lower compared to US$156 and US$160 of UTCEM and ACEM, respectively. We maintain our Buy rating with TP of Rs1,653 at EV/T of US$140 CY15E capacity of 34m tonnes.
Medium term investment: Maintain neutral for Petronet LNG at target price 190IndiaNotes.com
PLNG’s reported significantly lower than estimated 3QFY15 EBITDA at Rs3.4 billion (est. Rs5 billion; -3% YoY, -34% QoQ) and PAT at Rs1.6 billion (est Rs2.5 billion; +20% YoY, -38% QoQ) led by (a) higher opex – more internal gas consumption in winter, (b) lower volumes – GAIL’s Dabhol terminal start post monsoon took away some cargoes and (c) lower marketing margins (we estimate to be negative) on pure short term volumes.
CNX NIFTY - The Nifty Future is open on Monday 7732.95 The market took a sharp beating in post lunch trade triggered by sell-off in option futures. Traded between 7700-7800. On Wednesday Nifty tumbled below 7750 as fears of further downtrend seized trader.
The Market started off week on a flat-to-positive note. The Nifty
advanced 13 points to 7568 or 0.2 per cent. Asia Market were lower ahead of a series of market-moving economic data due this week.
: The Market has opened in Green on Monday, The Nifty up by 8 point or
0.12 per cent at 8228 but below its crucial level of 8250. The US Job creation tumbled in
may, U
The Market opened in positive Note on Monday with equity
benchmark Nifty 50 up by 29 points or 0.33 percent above at 8712. Indian markets remained upbeat post the passage of the Goods and Services Tax bill even as the
The Market has opened in negative bias on Monday with 50 Shares
Index Nifty 50 down by 55 points or 0.67 percent at 8115. A Global Equities rally and a
Brexit fear helped the Market stave off the pessimism surrounding.
James Morton, Manager, Mackenzie Cundill Recovery Fund, and Mackenzie Cundill Emerging Markets Value Class, has spent years travelling the world looking for value. A decade ago, the Recovery Fund invested in battered companies located primarily in emerging markets. The Fund was closed in 2006 when opportunities to invest became scarce. The Fund was reopened in March 2008, and with companies around the world caught in the ongoing financial crisis, Morton is again finding quality companies trading at a deep discount to their net asset value. In the commentary below he discusses his strategy and where he’s finding value today.
Extra Credit Assignment, Econ 140 (3)Choose any topic discussed.docxnealwaters20034
Extra Credit Assignment, Econ 140 (3%)
Choose any topic discussed in the managerial economics class and write a 3 – 5 page essay with the following specifications.
1. Typed – Double spaced
2. Font Size - 12
3. Margins – 1 inch (top, bottom, right and left)
The paper should consist of the following:
(a) A discussion on your selected topic covering the main points.
(b) At least one news article related to the chosen topic, showing the application of the concept in the real world. You can easily find such news articles on google.
(c) Write in your own words what you’ve understood from the article(s) and how this relates to what you have learned in the Econ 140 class.
(d) Download (or scan) the articles and upload them along with your paper. The articles will not be included in the page count.
Other Requirements:
· Title of the paper and Your Name (Top corner of the first page)
· References (These should be on the last page of the assignment)
You can earn a maximum of 3% on this assignment. The grading TA’s decision regarding your assignment grade will be final; the assignment is not subject to grade-disputes. The assignments will be randomly distributed among the TAs for grading purpose.
(Keep in mind that late submissions or submissions via email will not be graded.)
1
Front Page
2
Memo
TO:
FROM:
DATE:
SUBJECT:
<text follows>
3
Table of contents
Appendix 1: Pro Forma FCF Page 4
Appendix 2 : Weighted Average Cost of Capital Page 5
Appendix 3 : Balance Sheets Page 6
Appendix 4 : Income Statements Page 8
Appendix 5 : Statements of Cash Flows Page 10
Appendix 6 : 10K Data Collection Page 11
Appendix 7: Market Return and Beta Page 12
4
Pro Format FCF
Value Drivers
Sales Growth 4.07%
Directly related to sales
Operating Expens es (excluding depreciation) 89.86%
Operating Current Assets 17.16%
Operating Current Liabilities 14.31%
Capital Expenditures 4.22%
Not directly related to sales
Depreciation Rate 6.09%
Interest Rate on Debt 5.53%
Interest Rate on ST Inves tments 1.73% <-- 1-year treasury yield (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/)
Tax Rate 36.34%
Long term growth rate 0.00%
Unlevered Free Cash Flows Jan-20 Jan-21 Jan-22 Jan-23 Jan-24 Jan-25 Jan-26 Jan-27 Jan-28 Jan-29
Sales $17,255,546 $17,958,617 $18,690,334 $19,451,865 $20,244,425 $21,069,276 $21,927,736 $22,821,174 $23,751,014 $24,718,741
Operating Expenses $15,506,519 $16,138,326 $16,795,877 $17,480,219 $18,192,444 $18,933,688 $19,705,135 $20,508,013 $21,343,605 $22,213,242
Depreciation $620,940 $665,274 $711,414 $759,435 $809,412 $861,425 $915,557 $971,895 $1,030,529 $1,091,552
Earnings Before Interest And Taxes $1,128,087 $1,155,017 $1,183,043 $1,212,212 $1,242,569 $1,274,163 $1,307,044 $1,341,265 $1,376,881 $1,413,947
Taxes $409,958 $419,745 $429,930 $440,530 $451,562 $463,044 $474,993 $487,429 $500,372 $513,842
Net Income $718,129 $735,272 $753,114 $771,682 $791,.
The Equity benchmark has opened in a positive note on Monday, the
Nifty50 is up by 10 points or 0.12 per cent at 8166. The Nifty has rallied almost 500 points
in last six to seven trading sessions
More Related Content
Similar to Fa airWeal lth Equ uity Res search - Business Standard
NIFTY FIFTY : The Equity benchmark open in a Positive note on Monday. The 50 Shares Nifty up by 48 points or 0.57 percent at 8376 or Above its Crucial Level of 8350.
The one of the key drivers of the rally in Domestic Market has been the Spread and
ACC would be the biggest beneficiary of an improvement in the domestic economy due to its Pan-India presence and have one of the cheapest valuations compared to its peers. The recent modernization of Wadi and Chanda and upcoming commissioning of modernized Jamul plant should see improved efficiencies kicking in. Stock trades at EV/T of US$120 CY15E capacity, significantly lower compared to US$156 and US$160 of UTCEM and ACEM, respectively. We maintain our Buy rating with TP of Rs1,653 at EV/T of US$140 CY15E capacity of 34m tonnes.
Medium term investment: Maintain neutral for Petronet LNG at target price 190IndiaNotes.com
PLNG’s reported significantly lower than estimated 3QFY15 EBITDA at Rs3.4 billion (est. Rs5 billion; -3% YoY, -34% QoQ) and PAT at Rs1.6 billion (est Rs2.5 billion; +20% YoY, -38% QoQ) led by (a) higher opex – more internal gas consumption in winter, (b) lower volumes – GAIL’s Dabhol terminal start post monsoon took away some cargoes and (c) lower marketing margins (we estimate to be negative) on pure short term volumes.
CNX NIFTY - The Nifty Future is open on Monday 7732.95 The market took a sharp beating in post lunch trade triggered by sell-off in option futures. Traded between 7700-7800. On Wednesday Nifty tumbled below 7750 as fears of further downtrend seized trader.
The Market started off week on a flat-to-positive note. The Nifty
advanced 13 points to 7568 or 0.2 per cent. Asia Market were lower ahead of a series of market-moving economic data due this week.
: The Market has opened in Green on Monday, The Nifty up by 8 point or
0.12 per cent at 8228 but below its crucial level of 8250. The US Job creation tumbled in
may, U
The Market opened in positive Note on Monday with equity
benchmark Nifty 50 up by 29 points or 0.33 percent above at 8712. Indian markets remained upbeat post the passage of the Goods and Services Tax bill even as the
The Market has opened in negative bias on Monday with 50 Shares
Index Nifty 50 down by 55 points or 0.67 percent at 8115. A Global Equities rally and a
Brexit fear helped the Market stave off the pessimism surrounding.
James Morton, Manager, Mackenzie Cundill Recovery Fund, and Mackenzie Cundill Emerging Markets Value Class, has spent years travelling the world looking for value. A decade ago, the Recovery Fund invested in battered companies located primarily in emerging markets. The Fund was closed in 2006 when opportunities to invest became scarce. The Fund was reopened in March 2008, and with companies around the world caught in the ongoing financial crisis, Morton is again finding quality companies trading at a deep discount to their net asset value. In the commentary below he discusses his strategy and where he’s finding value today.
Extra Credit Assignment, Econ 140 (3)Choose any topic discussed.docxnealwaters20034
Extra Credit Assignment, Econ 140 (3%)
Choose any topic discussed in the managerial economics class and write a 3 – 5 page essay with the following specifications.
1. Typed – Double spaced
2. Font Size - 12
3. Margins – 1 inch (top, bottom, right and left)
The paper should consist of the following:
(a) A discussion on your selected topic covering the main points.
(b) At least one news article related to the chosen topic, showing the application of the concept in the real world. You can easily find such news articles on google.
(c) Write in your own words what you’ve understood from the article(s) and how this relates to what you have learned in the Econ 140 class.
(d) Download (or scan) the articles and upload them along with your paper. The articles will not be included in the page count.
Other Requirements:
· Title of the paper and Your Name (Top corner of the first page)
· References (These should be on the last page of the assignment)
You can earn a maximum of 3% on this assignment. The grading TA’s decision regarding your assignment grade will be final; the assignment is not subject to grade-disputes. The assignments will be randomly distributed among the TAs for grading purpose.
(Keep in mind that late submissions or submissions via email will not be graded.)
1
Front Page
2
Memo
TO:
FROM:
DATE:
SUBJECT:
<text follows>
3
Table of contents
Appendix 1: Pro Forma FCF Page 4
Appendix 2 : Weighted Average Cost of Capital Page 5
Appendix 3 : Balance Sheets Page 6
Appendix 4 : Income Statements Page 8
Appendix 5 : Statements of Cash Flows Page 10
Appendix 6 : 10K Data Collection Page 11
Appendix 7: Market Return and Beta Page 12
4
Pro Format FCF
Value Drivers
Sales Growth 4.07%
Directly related to sales
Operating Expens es (excluding depreciation) 89.86%
Operating Current Assets 17.16%
Operating Current Liabilities 14.31%
Capital Expenditures 4.22%
Not directly related to sales
Depreciation Rate 6.09%
Interest Rate on Debt 5.53%
Interest Rate on ST Inves tments 1.73% <-- 1-year treasury yield (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/)
Tax Rate 36.34%
Long term growth rate 0.00%
Unlevered Free Cash Flows Jan-20 Jan-21 Jan-22 Jan-23 Jan-24 Jan-25 Jan-26 Jan-27 Jan-28 Jan-29
Sales $17,255,546 $17,958,617 $18,690,334 $19,451,865 $20,244,425 $21,069,276 $21,927,736 $22,821,174 $23,751,014 $24,718,741
Operating Expenses $15,506,519 $16,138,326 $16,795,877 $17,480,219 $18,192,444 $18,933,688 $19,705,135 $20,508,013 $21,343,605 $22,213,242
Depreciation $620,940 $665,274 $711,414 $759,435 $809,412 $861,425 $915,557 $971,895 $1,030,529 $1,091,552
Earnings Before Interest And Taxes $1,128,087 $1,155,017 $1,183,043 $1,212,212 $1,242,569 $1,274,163 $1,307,044 $1,341,265 $1,376,881 $1,413,947
Taxes $409,958 $419,745 $429,930 $440,530 $451,562 $463,044 $474,993 $487,429 $500,372 $513,842
Net Income $718,129 $735,272 $753,114 $771,682 $791,.
The Equity benchmark has opened in a positive note on Monday, the
Nifty50 is up by 10 points or 0.12 per cent at 8166. The Nifty has rallied almost 500 points
in last six to seven trading sessions
Similar to Fa airWeal lth Equ uity Res search - Business Standard (20)
Fa airWeal lth Equ uity Res search - Business Standard
1.
Techn
Fa
TEC
CM
Price Per
Absolute
Rel to Ni
Sharmila J
Sharmila.j
+91 09320
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+91 93133
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ELIANCE
Target: R
INVESTM
• The country
up the ladde
the metros o
constraints
offer an exc
• Reliance Co
enabled con
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• Reliance C
service supp
solely to off
cricket matc
Valuations
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company is exp
the current pr
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target price Rs
Reliance Co
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among the top
ingle country.
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MENT TH
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of Delhi, Mumb
on 2G in thes
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ommunications
nnectivity infra
systems in Indi
Communication
plier and TELi
ffer up video u
ches for all cric
: With the app
will lead to sa
ch of new 3G
xpected to show
rice of Rs 103
FY12E EPS of
s 155.
ommunication
ations service
cluding over 2
p four Telecom
.
MUNICAT
Upside:
HESIS
gest mobile ne
dia bid for 3G
bai and Kolkat
se circles. This
experience.
s owns and ope
astructure, com
ia, USA, Europ
ns, the country
ibrahma, a key
updates in add
cket buffs.
pproval of Rs
avings of Rs 5
services leadi
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s is India
provider. The
2.5 million ind
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spectrum and
ta and is the on
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8700cr loan b
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ding at 12.1x
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a's foremost
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n the world b
TD
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Horizon:
or by subscribe
d has won 13 ci
nly operator w
uts it in a uniq
ld's largest nex
277,000 kilom
st and the Asia
ntegrated tele
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by China Dev
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ition of more s
nt and subseque
and 10.95x of
s recommend
t and trul
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seas retail cus
by number of c
2nd
March 2011
6 Months
ers, has moved
ircles including
without capacity
que position to
xt generation IP
meters of fibr
Pacific region
communication
ns, inked a dea
CC World Cup
elopment Bank
est payouts and
subscribers th
ent quarters. A
f our estimated
‘BUY’ with th
ly integrated
er base of ove
stomers, rank
customers in a
1
s
d
g
ty
o
P
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n.
n
al
p
k
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e
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e
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2. Techno
RCOM
R-COM: I
level of Rs
pattern sta
Every TRU
and this C
touched th
With the c
is TRUNC
The minim
to accumu
loss again
Our interp
strong buy
Funda Call‐
M TECHN
In our view is
s 845 to the lev
arted in the mo
UNCATED PA
C-wave has to
he level of Rs 8
completion the
CATED the up m
mum target pri
ulate strategica
n we will be ab
pretation will o
y in the stock w
‐ RCOM
NICAL OU
making a “TR
vel of Rs 131.3
onth of June 20
ATTERN has th
be lower than
84.25 on dated
C-Wave, it me
move is always
ce of the stock
ally for the min
le to get our co
only get wrong
with the Stop L
UTLOOK
RUNCATED ZI
35 on 13th
Mar
009 with the pr
hree parts that
n end price of
1st
March 201
eans the consol
s very fast like
k is Rs 690-707
nimum investm
ost price in the
g if the stock w
oss below Rs 8
IG-ZAG” a rar
rch 2009 which
rice of Rs 359.
t is A-B-C. Now
f A-wave that i
1.
lidation phase
a spike.
7 within 30-36
ment of 3 years
e pull back rally
will close below
83 for the targe
rest pattern eve
h is called the 1
w the stock is i
is Rs 131.35 a
is over. It is ve
months whethe
with the STOP
ly.
w Rs 85 on the
et of Rs 155 fo
er seen. The co
1st
part of the T
in the C-wave
and in our opin
ery interesting
er we buy at C
P LOSS OF BE
weekly basis b
or 6 months and
orrection start
TRUNCATED
which is usual
nion the C-wa
g that after the
CMP or on decl
ELOW Rs 84. If
but the chance
d long term tar
ted from 11th
Ja
PATTERN. Th
lly called a con
ave is complete
completion of
line till Rs 85-
If our price goe
are minimal.
rget of Rs 232.
Jan 2008 from t
he 2nd
part of th
nsolidated peri
ed with the pr
f correction wh
90. So it is bet
es below the st
We recommend
50.
the
hat
iod
rice
ich
tter
top
d a
3. Techno
BUY
ACCUM
REDUCE
SELL
NOT RA
Name
Sharmila
Prakash P
Preeti Gu
Varun Kh
Suvarna B
Tanisha J
Shakti Ra
Ankit Ma
Jitender
Nidhi Pah
K.K. Mad
Hunny Ta
Pervez Da
Name
Lokeshh G
Archana B
Rajan Bh
Funda Call‐
MULATE
E
ATED
Joshi
Pandey
upta
hanna
Binjola
Jolly
ajpal
anuja
hwa
daan
arika
anish
Gowda
Bhui
atia
‐ RCOM
The
The
The
The
The
Des
Head
AVP
Sr. R
Rese
Rese
Rese
Rese
Rese
Rese
Rese
Head
Sr. T
Sr. T
stock's total retu
stock's total retu
stock's total retu
stock's total retu
Analyst has no r
ignation
d-Equity
P- Research & P
Research Analys
earch Analyst
earch Analyst
earch Analyst
earch Analyst
earch Analyst
earch Associate
earch Associate
d-Technical
Technical Analy
Technical Analy
Designation
Senior Manager
Trader
Dealer
Stoc
urn is expected to
urn is expected to
urn is expected to
urn is expected to
recommendation
Fundament
PMS
st
Technical
st
st
Instit
r
ck Ratings
o exceed 15% ov
o be within 10-1
o be within 0-10
o give negative r
n on the stock un
tal Research T
Ema
sharm
prak
preet
varu
suva
tanis
shak
ankit
jiten
nidh
l Research Te
kam
hunn
perv
tutional Desk
ver the next 12 m
15% over the nex
0% over the next
returns over the
nder review
Team
ail ID
mila.joshi@fairw
kash.pandey@fai
ti.gupta@fairwe
un.khanna@fairw
arna.binjola@fai
sha.jolly@fairwe
kti.rajpal@fairwe
t.manuja@fairw
nder@fairwealth
hi.pahwa@fairwe
eam
al.madan@fairw
ny.tarika@fairw
vez.danish@fairw
Email ID
lokeshh.g@fa
archana.bhui
rajan.bhatia@
months
xt 12 months
t 12 months
next 12 months
wealth.in
irwealth.in
ealth.in
wealth.in
rwealth.in
ealth.in
ealth.in
wealth.in
.in
ealth.in
wealth.in
ealth.in
wealth.in
fairwealth.in
@fairwealth.in
@faairwealth.in
4. Techno
Disclaimer
This public
information
Fairwealth
decision tak
available t
publishing
positions in
FAI
H.O
Pho
Web
FAI
Uni
Sam
400
Ph:
Delh
Tow
3221
4011
Bang
besi
H.J.H
4030
Funda Call‐
r:
cation has been s
n contained ther
Securities Ltd d
ken based on the
to investors whe
any individual n
n securities refer
IRWEALTH
O.: Plot No. 6
one: 0124-30
bsite: www.F
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hi: UG‐3, Som
wer, First Floor
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glore, Karnat
des Lal Bung
House, Opp IG
04461, 62636
‐ RCOM
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