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Explorative Computing and
Management Consulting
- A Love Affair
Presentation @ Digitalist 190322
Fredrik Döberl
Ablona
E & M -> Love affair
Case study: Babies
Q&A
Topics
My normal day to day work…
Ablona
Founded in 2004
4 persons
Focus on knowledge
intensive SME (software,
professional services..)
Explorative computing
– Using computers, programming and net resources to create a model
of domain and then use the model to investigate a large space of
possible solutions to solve a problem
– Broad and fuzzy requirements/SLA
– Done with small groups of domain experts, generalists and tool
experts
Example: Hackathons, Design Sprints, Modelling sessions
Management consulting
– A social science discipline
– Advisor to management in organizations
– Implement and maintain processes & systems
Explorative Computing (EC) & Management
Consulting (MC)..
Timing
– ”Digital transformation” -> Organizations must be more ”explorative”
(James March..)
Tempo
– Quick results for changing circumstances
Tools
– Wolfram, Python & Jupyter.. (notebooks) that support ”Advanced
Analytics” (math, time series, pattern matching, functional
programming, machine learning, advanced diagrams…)
– Available for non-professional programmers (i.e. management
consultants)
..a Love Affair. Why now?
Goto market model
– Calmark
Market intelligence
– Russian Diplomacy Analyst workbench for researcher at Institute for
Foreign Affairs
Industry Analysis
– Acquisition Analyst workbench for X
Company Analysis
– Meridium, Inuse, …
CASES
Save babies, see https://www.calmark.se/
CASE Goto Market model- Calmark
Phase 1 and Phase2
launch countries
Key questions that drove the exploration
– Lots of births..
– ..can they afford the product?
– ..richer countries, fewer births/woman..
– Where do we want to go? Corruption index
– Which countries influences others? Influence graph
Market segmentation based on this?
(code from modelling session on the next couple of slides,
coding by me during/between sessions)
Workflow from intial meeting with CEO and CFO
Lots of births. But what about the female population?
Code that I wrote during the meeting
Richer countries -> fewer births/woman.
Where do we want to go?
Searching for all countries at Wolfram Alpha
Known attribute of country
CEO ”Been in Laos”, … -> High CI=.. -> Indirect sales (if any..)
Finding the source before the next session
Patternmatching to extract the right data
Mapping to Entity model
Findclusters -> 4 segments of countries
-> Typical Managment Consulting
topics per segment:
Pricing, Direct/Indirect sales, Estimated
market shares, Production forecasts
based on these segments
Advanced analytics…
Prioritize in the clusters
based on ”x influences c1,
c2…”
Added more dimensions
– ”CE”, Healthcare structure, Birth forecasts, Homicides, Poverty, Health
spending, Education,
”Similar to ..” searches based on multiple dimensions
– Which countries are similar to Vietnam given d1, .., dk, ..
Adaption of product, Sigmoid curve instead of ”CAGR”
What else are we doing ?
Q&A
Background
Positive Emotions Attractor (PEA)
Embrace vagueness, contradictions and inconsistencies.
Values in a EC engagement
<Resursbilder>
Shannon, Turing and Hopper…
– Everything interesting can be represented
by {0,1}
– https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Mathe
matical_Theory_of_Communication
– All interesting procedures can be
programmed
– https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_
machine
– Programming is for everyone.
– https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COBOL
Computational thinking – short history
Good Strategy/Bad Strategy; The Difference and Why It
Matters, Richard Rumel, 2011
Good strategy has a kernel consisting of:
– challenge
– policy
– action
(similar to standard book Exploring Strategy by Angwin et
al.)
Strategy – An operational definition

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Explorative computing and consulting - a love affair

  • 1. Explorative Computing and Management Consulting - A Love Affair Presentation @ Digitalist 190322 Fredrik Döberl Ablona
  • 2. E & M -> Love affair Case study: Babies Q&A Topics
  • 3. My normal day to day work…
  • 4. Ablona Founded in 2004 4 persons Focus on knowledge intensive SME (software, professional services..)
  • 5. Explorative computing – Using computers, programming and net resources to create a model of domain and then use the model to investigate a large space of possible solutions to solve a problem – Broad and fuzzy requirements/SLA – Done with small groups of domain experts, generalists and tool experts Example: Hackathons, Design Sprints, Modelling sessions Management consulting – A social science discipline – Advisor to management in organizations – Implement and maintain processes & systems Explorative Computing (EC) & Management Consulting (MC)..
  • 6.
  • 7. Timing – ”Digital transformation” -> Organizations must be more ”explorative” (James March..) Tempo – Quick results for changing circumstances Tools – Wolfram, Python & Jupyter.. (notebooks) that support ”Advanced Analytics” (math, time series, pattern matching, functional programming, machine learning, advanced diagrams…) – Available for non-professional programmers (i.e. management consultants) ..a Love Affair. Why now?
  • 8. Goto market model – Calmark Market intelligence – Russian Diplomacy Analyst workbench for researcher at Institute for Foreign Affairs Industry Analysis – Acquisition Analyst workbench for X Company Analysis – Meridium, Inuse, … CASES
  • 9. Save babies, see https://www.calmark.se/ CASE Goto Market model- Calmark Phase 1 and Phase2 launch countries
  • 10. Key questions that drove the exploration – Lots of births.. – ..can they afford the product? – ..richer countries, fewer births/woman.. – Where do we want to go? Corruption index – Which countries influences others? Influence graph Market segmentation based on this? (code from modelling session on the next couple of slides, coding by me during/between sessions) Workflow from intial meeting with CEO and CFO
  • 11. Lots of births. But what about the female population? Code that I wrote during the meeting
  • 12. Richer countries -> fewer births/woman. Where do we want to go? Searching for all countries at Wolfram Alpha Known attribute of country
  • 13. CEO ”Been in Laos”, … -> High CI=.. -> Indirect sales (if any..) Finding the source before the next session Patternmatching to extract the right data Mapping to Entity model
  • 14. Findclusters -> 4 segments of countries -> Typical Managment Consulting topics per segment: Pricing, Direct/Indirect sales, Estimated market shares, Production forecasts based on these segments Advanced analytics…
  • 15. Prioritize in the clusters based on ”x influences c1, c2…”
  • 16. Added more dimensions – ”CE”, Healthcare structure, Birth forecasts, Homicides, Poverty, Health spending, Education, ”Similar to ..” searches based on multiple dimensions – Which countries are similar to Vietnam given d1, .., dk, .. Adaption of product, Sigmoid curve instead of ”CAGR” What else are we doing ?
  • 17. Q&A
  • 19. Positive Emotions Attractor (PEA) Embrace vagueness, contradictions and inconsistencies. Values in a EC engagement
  • 21. Shannon, Turing and Hopper… – Everything interesting can be represented by {0,1} – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Mathe matical_Theory_of_Communication – All interesting procedures can be programmed – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_ machine – Programming is for everyone. – https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COBOL Computational thinking – short history
  • 22. Good Strategy/Bad Strategy; The Difference and Why It Matters, Richard Rumel, 2011 Good strategy has a kernel consisting of: – challenge – policy – action (similar to standard book Exploring Strategy by Angwin et al.) Strategy – An operational definition