4 Realities: What does future Access to Education Look Like?

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4 Realities:
What does
future
Access to
Education
Look Like?

Monthly
environmental
scan report
Trends
identified,
tested,
projected

Stories about futures
 Event and response
 Creativity
 Roles and times
 Emergent practices and
patterns

Integrate previous methods
Select drivers – environmental
scan
Identify trends – Delphi reports
Test trends - extrapola...

1. Fall of the silos
2. Health care nation
3. Peak higher education
4. Renaissance

Content
Teaching
Access
Source

Global conversations
increase, filter bubble pops
More access, more
information
Lots of creativity

Information prices drop
Faculty creativity, flexibility
grow
IT “ “ “
Academic content
unleashed on the world

Industries collapse
Authorship mysterious
Some low quality tech
(videoconf.)
Some higher costs
More malware + less pr...

Tech challenges
Outsourcing and offshoring
PLE beats VLE
Crowdsourcing faculty work
Information literacy central

Internet has always been
open
Web <> money
Online identity has always
been fictional, playful

Medical
sector grows
into leading
US industry
45% of GDP

Ageing population

Byzantine finances
Treatment improvements
Greater presence in
society
Baumol’s disease

More programs, more
people, more tech
Increased feminization of
student body
Space sharing w/clinics +
hospitals

Some took premed-themed
classes in high school
Medical heroes loom as large as
sports figures
Many already familiar wit...

Academia
experiences a
serious
correction

http://research.studentclearinghouse.org/files/TermEnrollmentReport-Spring2013.pdf

Demographic decline
Accelerated prices + sunk
costs
Low public funding
Alternatives rising

Fewer, less crowded
campuses
Very international student
body
Low-cost programs ($10K
BA)

Vocational tech classes are
widespread in K-12
Apprenticeships are accepted in
career paths
Colleges have always been
t...

Gaming
world

Classroom and courses
 Curriculum content
 Delivery mechanism
 Creating games
Peacemaker,
Impact Games
Revolution (via
...

•Joost Raessens and Jeffrey Goldstein, eds,
Handbook of Computer Game Studies (MIT, 2005)
•Frans Mayra, An Introduction to...

Changes in hardware,
software
Part of undergraduate life
Learning content, both
informal and formal
Career paths

Higher education landscape:
Accreditation: drives project-based,
studio-style pedagogy
Libraries: gaming production,
arc...

Most students identified with
one+ game characters in K-12
Leading game developers are as
well known as movie directors
...

1. Fall of the silos
2. Health care nation
3. Peak higher education
4. Renaissance

The blog
http://bryanalexander.org
On the Twitters
http://twitter.com/BryanAlexander
The email
bryan.alexander@gmail.com

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