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E-COMMERCE: IMPACTS AND
   CONSEQUENCES FOR THE
     LOGISTICS INDUSTRY

October 2012
INTERNET SHOPPING: AN ESTABLISHED HABIT




             of 16-65 year olds use the internet to shop




             browse for goods online
INTERNET SHOPPING: AN ESTABLISHED HABIT


         People of all ages are comfortable with online
         shopping


         Men shop online twice as much as women


         More high earners shop online than low
         earners 61% vs. 44%
BUT NOT SPREAD EVENLY
RETAILERS ACTIVELY PURSUING MULTICHANNEL


Retailers expect the proportion of their overall sales
ordered online to double by 2014


 63%
RETAILERS ACTIVELY PURSUING MULTICHANNEL

          currently see themselves primarily as
 70%      “bricks and mortar” retailers


           expect to be fully integrated multichannel
 63%       retailers in two years’ time


           expect to need more shop space across
 60%       their network in two years’ time
FACTORS PREVENTING ONLINE SHOPPING
               70%
                                      GB
               60%
                                      France
               50%
               40%                    Germany

               30%                    Italy
               20%                    Spain
               10%
                                      Sweden
               0%
                                      Belgium




Source: CBRE
IS THIS HOW SUPPLY CHAINS WILL LOOK?


                                                                              Manufacturer                  Importer
   Manufacturer                     Importer
                                                                    Parcel
                                                                     Hub

                                                        Parcel
                                                         Hub
                                                                                              Regional
                   Regional                                                                  Distribution
              Distribution Centre                                                              Centre

                                               Parcel            E-commerce
                                                Hub               warehouse                    Local
                  Local warehouse
                                                                                             warehouse


                                                        Parcel
                                                         Hub
                       Store                                                                    Store
                                                                    Parcel
                                                                     Hub




                   CUSTOMERS
RETAILER NEEDS OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS ARISING
FROM THEIR MULTICHANNEL STRATEGY
 100%

  80%

  60%

  40%

  20%

   0%
         Store Stockroom Space    Local Warehousing   Regional Distribution
                                                            Centres
        Much more than now       More than now        About the same
        Less than now            Much less than now
THE ROLE OF THE STORE




  41%                                           49%

    Pick up from store and delivery to home/work will
                   be favoured equally
THE GROWING CONTRIBUTION OF E-RETAILING TO
LOGISTICS MARKETS
% OF LOGISTICS LEASING TRANSACTIONS DRIVEN BY E-RETAILING: UPPER LIMIT

 70
 60
 50
 40
 30
 20
 10
  0
                                   Spain


                                           Italy
               Ireland




                                                                       Russia
                                                    Germany


                                                              Poland




                                                                                              UK
      France




                          Sweden




                                                                                Netherlands
                         Past two years            Next two years
WHAT DO LOGISTICS BUILDINGS NEED TO OFFER?
 SPECIFIC FEATURES E-TAILERS REQUIRE FROM THEIR LOGISTICS BUILDING


                                                           France
     Level of
   Mechanisation                                           Germany
                                                           Ireland
Process Capability
                                                           Italy
                                                           Netherlands
         Location                                          Russia
                                                           Poland
     Specification                                         Spain
                                                           Sweden

              Size                                         UK
NATURE OF CURRENT LOGISTICS DEVELOPMENT
FOR E-RETAILING



                                    Some of
                                    both

                                    "Mixed
                                    operation"

                                    Dedicated
                                    E-retailing
KEY ISSUES
     How will the growth of e-retailing in your company
      affect the scale and nature of demand for logistics
      space?

     What impacts do you expect in terms of building size,
      location, function, specification, configuration etc?

     Can existing buildings/networks do the job? Or do
      they need adapting, or introduction of new formats
      (e-fulfilment centres; combination facilities;
      “bolt-ons”)?
KEY ISSUES

     What issues are there in securing buildings suitable
      for the logistics demands of e-retailing?

     Is there any impact from e-retailing for investors’ - or
      developers’ - appetite for logistics?

     Importance of the “delivery experience” to customers:
      what needs to happen to supply chains and logistics
      to satisfy these aspirations?
Q&A
E-commerce Impacts Logistics Industry

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E-commerce Impacts Logistics Industry

  • 1. E-COMMERCE: IMPACTS AND CONSEQUENCES FOR THE LOGISTICS INDUSTRY October 2012
  • 2. INTERNET SHOPPING: AN ESTABLISHED HABIT of 16-65 year olds use the internet to shop browse for goods online
  • 3. INTERNET SHOPPING: AN ESTABLISHED HABIT People of all ages are comfortable with online shopping Men shop online twice as much as women More high earners shop online than low earners 61% vs. 44%
  • 4. BUT NOT SPREAD EVENLY
  • 5. RETAILERS ACTIVELY PURSUING MULTICHANNEL Retailers expect the proportion of their overall sales ordered online to double by 2014 63%
  • 6. RETAILERS ACTIVELY PURSUING MULTICHANNEL currently see themselves primarily as 70% “bricks and mortar” retailers expect to be fully integrated multichannel 63% retailers in two years’ time expect to need more shop space across 60% their network in two years’ time
  • 7. FACTORS PREVENTING ONLINE SHOPPING 70% GB 60% France 50% 40% Germany 30% Italy 20% Spain 10% Sweden 0% Belgium Source: CBRE
  • 8. IS THIS HOW SUPPLY CHAINS WILL LOOK? Manufacturer Importer Manufacturer Importer Parcel Hub Parcel Hub Regional Regional Distribution Distribution Centre Centre Parcel E-commerce Hub warehouse Local Local warehouse warehouse Parcel Hub Store Store Parcel Hub CUSTOMERS
  • 9. RETAILER NEEDS OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS ARISING FROM THEIR MULTICHANNEL STRATEGY 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Store Stockroom Space Local Warehousing Regional Distribution Centres Much more than now More than now About the same Less than now Much less than now
  • 10. THE ROLE OF THE STORE 41% 49% Pick up from store and delivery to home/work will be favoured equally
  • 11. THE GROWING CONTRIBUTION OF E-RETAILING TO LOGISTICS MARKETS % OF LOGISTICS LEASING TRANSACTIONS DRIVEN BY E-RETAILING: UPPER LIMIT 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Spain Italy Ireland Russia Germany Poland UK France Sweden Netherlands Past two years Next two years
  • 12. WHAT DO LOGISTICS BUILDINGS NEED TO OFFER? SPECIFIC FEATURES E-TAILERS REQUIRE FROM THEIR LOGISTICS BUILDING France Level of Mechanisation Germany Ireland Process Capability Italy Netherlands Location Russia Poland Specification Spain Sweden Size UK
  • 13. NATURE OF CURRENT LOGISTICS DEVELOPMENT FOR E-RETAILING Some of both "Mixed operation" Dedicated E-retailing
  • 14. KEY ISSUES  How will the growth of e-retailing in your company affect the scale and nature of demand for logistics space?  What impacts do you expect in terms of building size, location, function, specification, configuration etc?  Can existing buildings/networks do the job? Or do they need adapting, or introduction of new formats (e-fulfilment centres; combination facilities; “bolt-ons”)?
  • 15. KEY ISSUES  What issues are there in securing buildings suitable for the logistics demands of e-retailing?  Is there any impact from e-retailing for investors’ - or developers’ - appetite for logistics?  Importance of the “delivery experience” to customers: what needs to happen to supply chains and logistics to satisfy these aspirations?
  • 16. Q&A