Netflix Insight Report
      May - July 2012
Contents
Summary ............................................................................................................................................................ 3
Methodology ...................................................................................................................................................... 4
About eDataSource ............................................................................................................................................ 4
Disclaimer ........................................................................................................................................................... 5


Netflix Subscriber Acquisition: One Year Weekly Trend ................................................................................. 6
Netflix Joins and Cancels Performance ............................................................................................................. 7


Netflix Free Trial Subscribers Performance ...................................................................................................... 8
      -     Free Trial Subscribers Index................................................................................................................... 8
      -     Percentage of Free Trial Subscribers Converting to Paying Subscribers ............................................... 8

Plan Chosen by New Subscribers ...................................................................................................................... 9
      -     Type of Plan New Subscribers Choose .................................................................................................. 9
      -     Monthly Percentage of Type of Plan Chosen by New Subscribers........................................................ 9

Plan Switching by Existing Subscribers ........................................................................................................... 10
      -     Monthly Plan Switched Index .............................................................................................................. 10
      -     Type of Plan Existing Subscribers Switched To from May-July............................................................ 11
      -     Monthly Percentage of Type of Plan Switched To by Existing Subscribers ........................................ 11


Netflix Top 20 DVD Rentals ................................................................................................................... 12


Netflix Facebook Performance .............................................................................................................. 13
Netflix Twitter Performance ................................................................................................................. 14



Appendix: Netflix Plan Types Defined...................................................................................................... 15




eDataSource                                                  Proprietary & Confidential                                                                          2
Summary
Once the up-and-coming contender of the DVD rental business, Netflix has changed the home movie
market forever. Their once ubiquitous red envelopes were a secret weapon in knocking out the reigning
movie rental champion, Blockbuster, and they aggressively pursued flat-rate online streaming for the mass
market. Their early gambles paid off, and in early-2012, the company boasted over 24 million U.S.
subscribers, and their online streaming service represented over 30% of all U.S. Internet downstream
bandwidth traffic during peak periods (October 2011, Sandvine).

Despite their enormous success, Netflix has struggled in the past year.

In July 2011, Netflix announced a price hike and the split of their online streaming and DVD subscription
services. Additionally, they announced they would establish an entirely new brand, Qwikster, to handle the
DVD subscription service. Customers were outraged and took to social media to vocalize their discontent.
Netflix backtracked, but the damage was done. In the quarter following, Netflix lost over 800,000
subscribers, and, even more dramatically, the stock lost 80% of its value from July 2011 to August 2012.

What is happening today?

As the world’s largest paid Internet subscription service, it’s worth following closely.

This eDataSource report focuses on the details and intricacies of the Netflix business. Through an innovative
panel-based process, eDataSource has estimated a wide variety of business indicators, including:

    -   Number of joins and cancels trended over the past year
    -   Overall growth by month (index)
    -   Free trial subscriber acquisition performance and conversion rate to paid
    -   Type of plan chosen by new subscribers
    -   Trend of subscribers switching subscription plans
    -   Top DVD rentals in the past six and three months
    -   Social media performance of Netflix on Facebook and Twitter



Please note: this report focuses on the U.S. business only.



        For more information on eDataSource’s products and services, including
        customized eCommerce monitoring reports and data, please contact us at
        sales@edatasource.com, or via phone at 800-761-6580.

        Visit our website at www.edatasource.com


eDataSource                              Proprietary & Confidential                                     3
Methodology
eDataSource utilizes its proprietary email analytics capability and a panel of ~800,000 consumers to provide
unique insights into consumer purchasing trends by examining online purchase confirmations delivered by
email.

eDataSource has conducted detailed analyses of the sales and subscription rates at Amazon.com,
Walmart.com, iTunes, Barnes & Noble, Netflix, Staples, Office Depot, Gilt, Ideeli, PayPal, OpenTable and
others using anonymized data from more than half a million online purchase and subscription
confirmations over the past six months.

The following Netflix report is based on the analysis of nearly 8,000 anonymized Netflix Join, Cancellation
and Account Update emails from eDataSource’s proprietary panel during the May through July 2012 time
period.

The primary analyses contained in this report include a whole year weekly trend of Netflix joins and cancels,
monthly joins and cancel performance, free trial subscription performance, type of plan chosen by new and
existing subscribers, top rented movies, as well as Netflix performance on Facebook and Twitter.

In order to obtain the conversion rate of free trial subscribers to paid subscribers, we monitored over 1,000
free trial subscribers who joined between April through June and tracked their cancellation date through
July.

In order to obtain Netflix’s performance on Facebook and Twitter, we utilized our proprietary tool, EDS
Analyst, to monitor Netflix’s Facebook and Twitter accounts from May through July 2012.

About eDataSource
Founded in 2003, eDataSource (www.edatasource.com) is the worldwide leader in competitive intelligence
for email, social media and ecommerce activity, based on active monitoring of more than 800,000
consumer inboxes and 9,000 brands. The company provides strategic analytics products and services for
online marketers, publishers and their service providers.

For more information on eDataSource’s products and services, including customized eCommerce
monitoring reports and data, please contact us at sales@edatasource.com, or via phone at 800-761-6580.




eDataSource                            Proprietary & Confidential                                         4
Disclaimer
All material contained in this report is property of eDataSource, Inc. (“eDataSource”) unless otherwise
indicated. This report is proprietary, confidential and provided for the exclusive use of the recipient. No
portion may be directly or indirectly copied, published, reproduced, modified, displayed, sold, transmitted,
or redistributed in any medium without the express prior written consent of eDataSource. Any
unauthorized use of the content of this report is strictly prohibited.

This report is intended for informational purposes only. eDataSource provides the information and data
presented herein on an “as is,” “as available” basis, without representations or warranties of any kind
whatsoever, expressed or implied. All statements and figures in this report are eDataSource estimates. The
information in this report may be incomplete and may not contain all material information relating to the
subject matter of the report. eDataSource does not provide any information or make any representation or
warranty on behalf of the companies that are the subject of this report and this report has not been
authorized or approved by said companies.

This report reflects the results of our research as of the date of this report. Our research results are subject
to change at any time as new or additional data and information is received and analyzed. eDataSource
undertakes no duty to update this report, or to provide supplemental information to any client receiving
this report, absent a specific arrangement to the contrary between eDataSource and individual clients,
which arrangement may specify different frequency and depth of analysis and update commitments based
on levels of service and fees selected by clients.

This report is provided solely to clients of eDataSource, each of whom assume all risk and liability with
regard to any use or application of the data included herein. In no event shall eDataSource or its officers,
directors, affiliates, shareholders or employees be liable for any damages that are directly or indirectly
related to this report.




eDataSource                              Proprietary & Confidential                                         5
Netflix Subscriber Acquisition (Weekly Trend)

                                                Joins and Cancels Index
         Price Increase                               Joins      Cancels
    2.00 Announcement                                                         Directly Sign up for a DVD only plan
                            Redbox price increase                             Feb, 16 2012
         July 12, 2011
    1.80                    announced and put into effect
                            Oct 31, 2011                                                           Netflix reaches 24MM
    1.60
                                                                                                   domestic streaming
    1.40                                                                                           members
    1.20

    1.00

    0.80

    0.60    Price increase goes into effect for
            existing customers. Sept 1 "Apology"
    0.40
            and Qwikster announcement                Have an extra DVD on us
    0.20    broadcast to customers.                  and Give the Gift to Netflix campaigns
            Sept 18, 2011                            Dec 13 & Dec 15 2011
    0.00




     * Index Baseline: Average number of cancellations for the entire year.




Key Announcements

July 12, 2011 – “Netflix Raises Price of DVD and Online Movies Package by 60%” (The New York Times).
Sep 18, 2011 – “Netflix Apologizes, Renames By-Mail Business 'Qwikster' -- But Keeps Price Hike” (Reuters).

Oct 31, 2011 – “Redbox Price Hike Could Dodge Nexflix Outrage” (TheStreet.com).

Feb 16, 2012 – “Now You Can Sign Up Directly for a DVD Only Plan” (Netflix US & Canada Blog).

July 24, 2012 – Netflix announces “24 million domestic streaming members”




eDataSource                               Proprietary & Confidential                                                 6
Netflix Monthly Joins and Cancels Performance

         Monthly Joins and Cancels Index                                                 Net Growth Index
                       Joins            Cancels
1.40                                                                2.50
1.30                                                                                         2.23
                                                                    2.00
1.20
1.10                                                                1.50
1.00
0.90                                                                1.00
0.80                                                                                                        0.69
0.70                                                                0.50
0.60                                                                       0.07
                                                                    0.00
          May                   June                   July
                                                                                   May              June           July




                                            % Change from                                   % Change from          Net Growth
                   Joins Index                                       Cancels Index
Month                                       Previous Month                                  Previous Month           Index
May                     1.03                     -5.8%                     1.02                  24.8%                0.07
June                    1.16                     13.1%                     0.96                  -6.3%                2.23
July                    1.08                     -6.9%                     1.02                  6.4%                 0.69



                                                  Percentage of Joins vs. Cancels
                                                       % of Joins   % of Cancels
              100.0%

               80.0%                                                        45.2%
                                47.8%                   49.8%                                       48.5%

               60.0%

               40.0%

                                52.2%                   50.2%               54.8%                   51.5%
               20.0%

                0.0%
                               May-July                  May                June                    July




For the entire period, Netflix is adding 2.2% more new subscriptions than cancelations. With both
higher join rates and lower cancelations, June was the strongest acquisition month of the previous
three.



eDataSource                                       Proprietary & Confidential                                              7
Netflix Free Trial Subscribers Performance

                              Free Trial Subscriber Index and Conversion Rate
                      1.20                                                              100.0%
                      1.15                                                              90.0%
                                                                                        80.0%
                      1.10




                                                                                                 Conversion Rate (%)
                                                                                        70.0%
                      1.05                                                              60.0%
              Index




                      1.00                                                              50.0%
                      0.95                                                              40.0%
                                                                                        30.0%
                      0.90
                                                                                        20.0%
                      0.85                                                              10.0%
                      0.80                                                              0.0%
                             April           May               June           July

                                             Conversion Rate          Index




          Join Month                 Free Trial Subscriber Index              Conversion Rate (%)
          April                                  1.04                               89.7%
          May                                    0.97                               86.0%
          June                                   1.05                               90.4%
          July                                   0.94                                  -


Over the previous three months, Netflix has maintained the number of free trials in a relatively
tight range of ~+/- 5%, and has maintained a high conversion rate to paying subscribers of
between ~85-90%.




eDataSource                              Proprietary & Confidential                                                    8
Plan Chosen by New Subscribers

                        Percentage of Plan Chosen by New Subscribers in May-July
                                     6.04%



                                                                        Unlimited Streaming plan
                                                                        OR 1 DVD out at-a-time
                                                                        (Unlimited) plan
                                                                        Unlimited Streaming + 1
                                                                        DVD out at-a-time
                                                                        (Unlimited) plan

                                               93.96%




       Unlimited Streaming plan OR 1 DVD out                    Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-
             at-a-time (Unlimited) plan                                 time (Unlimited) plan
 100.0%                                                 10.0%

  98.0%                                                  8.0%

  96.0%                                                  6.0%

  94.0%                                                  4.0%

  92.0%                                                  2.0%

  90.0%                                                  0.0%
               May          June             July                     May           June           July



   Value ($)                         Plan                            May         June       July    May-July
                Unlimited Streaming plan OR 1 DVD out at-a-
    $7.99                                                            92.6%      94.8%      94.4%      94.0%
                time (Unlimited) plan
                Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time
    $15.98                                                           7.4%       5.2%        5.6%          6.0%
                (Unlimited) plan


New subscribers start out with the basic offered plan--either unlimited streaming or 1 DVD out at-
a-time—94% of the time.




eDataSource                             Proprietary & Confidential                                               9
Monthly Plan Switched Index

                                            Plan Switched Index
                       1.20
                       1.15
                       1.10
                       1.05
                       1.00
                       0.95
                       0.90
                       0.85
                       0.80
                                    May               June               July




              Month                          Index              Growth from Previous Month
              May                             1.08                         9.17%
              June                            1.00                        -6.87%
              July                            0.92                        -8.20%


Over the period, the number of subscribers switching their plan has steadily decreased. This is further
evidence that Netflix is making headway toward a single, simplified service offering of unlimited online
streaming.




eDataSource                            Proprietary & Confidential                                      10
Type of Plan Switched To by Existing Subscribers

                                   Percentage of Plan Switched To in May-July

                                                                          Unlimited Streaming plan
                          3.0%     11.8%
                                                                          Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD
                                                                          out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
                            6.0%                                          1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited)
                                                                          plan
                                                      47.9%               Unlimited Streaming + 2 DVDs
                           6.8%
                                                                          out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
                                                                          2 DVDs out at-a-time
                            9.3%                                          (Unlimited) plan
                                                                          1 DVD out at-a-time (2 a month)
                                                                          plan
                                   15.1%
                                                                          Other Plans




Value ($)                                  Plan                               May          June       July   May-July
 $7.99      Unlimited Streaming plan                                         47.3%        53.3%      42.9%    47.9%
 $15.98     Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan       13.0%        15.6%      17.0%    15.1%
 $7.99      1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan                              9.9%        9.0%        8.9%    9.3%
 $19.98     Unlimited Streaming + 2 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan       6.1%        5.7%        8.9%    6.8%
 $11.99     2 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan                             6.1%        4.1%        8.0%    6.0%
 $4.99      1 DVD out at-a-time (2 a month) plan                              1.5%        1.6%        6.3%    3.0%
    -       Other Plans                                                      16.0%        10.7%       8.0%    11.8%



When subscribers switch their plans, nearly 48% opt for unlimited streaming without a DVD
component.




eDataSource                                  Proprietary & Confidential                                        11
Top 20 DVD Rentals

                 Feb-July 2012                                         May-July 2012
Rank                     Movie                     Rank                         Movie
 1     Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol          1     Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol
 2     Contagion                                     2     We Bought a Zoo
 3     Tower Heist                                   3     Tower Heist
 4     Real Steel                                    4     Immortals
 5     Hugo                                          5     The Iron Lady
 6     Bridesmaids                                   6     Abduction
 7     We Bought a Zoo                               7     Red Tails
 8     Immortals                                     8     Contraband
 9     Abduction                                     9     J. Edgar
 10    The Iron Lady                                10     Real Steel
 11    Drive                                        11     The Whistleblower
 12    Cowboys & Aliens                             12     Sherlock Holmes
 13    Water for Elephants                          13     Hugo
 14    50/50                                        14     Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
 15    The Help                                     15     Jack and Jill
 16    Sherlock Holmes                              16     Gone
 17    The Ides of March                            17     In Time
 18    The Descendants                              18     Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
 19    Midnight in Paris                            19     My Week with Marilyn
 20    Friends with Benefits                        20     The Smurfs


DVD customers gravitated toward big-budget Hollywood action and adventure titles over the past
six months with Mission Impossible – Ghost Protocol, Tower Heist, Real Steel, Immortals and
Abduction all residing in the top ten for the past three and six months.




eDataSource                         Proprietary & Confidential                                    12
Netflix Performance on Facebook

                                                       Netflix Facebook Performance
                              1.40                                                                            2000.00
                                                                                     1827.91




                                                                                                                        Average Number of Likes/Comments
                                                                                                              1800.00
                              1.20
                                       1458.20                                                                1600.00
                              1.00                                                                            1400.00
              FB Post Index




                              0.80                              1047.26                                       1200.00
                                                                                                              1000.00
                              0.60                                                                            800.00
                              0.40                                                                            600.00

                                                 226.70                                                       400.00
                              0.20                                                             176.48
                                                                          120.85                              200.00
                              0.00                                                                            0.00
                                             May                     June                 July

                                     Average Like per Post         Average Comment per Post             FB Post Index




                                                                          Average Like         Average Comment
                                                 FB Post Index
                Month                                                       per Post               per Post
                May                                  0.86                   1458.20                 226.70
                June                                 1.16                   1047.26                 120.85
                July                                 0.99                   1827.91                 176.48


Netflix maintains an active Facebook presence. In June, though the number of posts was the
highest, the average likes and comments per post fell to their lowest point over the three month
period.




eDataSource                                               Proprietary & Confidential                                                                       13
Netflix Performance on Twitter

                                                                      Netflix Twitter Follower Trend
                                                195

              Number of Followers (Thousands)
                                                190
                                                185
                                                180
                                                175
                                                170
                                                165
                                                160
                                                155
                                                150
                                                145




                                                                       Netflix Twitter Performance
                                                1.40                                                                  10.00%




                                                                                                                               Monthly Follower Growth (%)
                                                1.20
                                                                                                                      8.00%
                                                1.00
                       Tweet Index




                                                0.80                                                                  6.00%

                                                0.60                                                                  4.00%
                                                0.40
                                                                                                                      2.00%
                                                0.20
                                                0.00                                                                  0.00%
                                                                May                June                  July

                                                            Monthly Growth of Twitter Followers (%)         Tweet Index



                                                                                                       Monthly Growth of
                                                                            Tweet Index
                                                       Month                                          Twitter Followers (%)
                                                        May                     0.90                          3.39%
                                                        June                    0.90                          4.87%
                                                         July                   1.20                          7.32%


On Twitter, Netflix showed an accelerated growth of followers, with sequential gains of 3.4% to
4.9% to 7.3% on a monthly basis.




eDataSource                                                           Proprietary & Confidential                                                             14
Appendix

Netflix Plans Defined

Monthly
Subscription
Fee ($)        Plan
$29.98         Unlimited Streaming + 4 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$15.99         3 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$23.98         Unlimited Streaming + 3 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$17.98         Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) (including $2.00 for Blu-ray) plan
$51.98         Unlimited Streaming + 8 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$22.98         Unlimited Streaming + 2 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) (including $3.00 for Blu-ray) plan
$40.98         Unlimited Streaming + 6 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$21.99         4 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$45.98         Unlimited Streaming + 7 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$32.99         6 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$5.99          1 DVD out at-a-time (2 a month) (including $1.00 for Blu-ray) plan
$37.99         7 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan
$52.99         8 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) (including $9.00 for Blu-ray) plan




eDataSource                              Proprietary & Confidential                                        15

eDatasource Netflix Insight May-July 2012

  • 1.
    Netflix Insight Report May - July 2012
  • 2.
    Contents Summary ............................................................................................................................................................ 3 Methodology...................................................................................................................................................... 4 About eDataSource ............................................................................................................................................ 4 Disclaimer ........................................................................................................................................................... 5 Netflix Subscriber Acquisition: One Year Weekly Trend ................................................................................. 6 Netflix Joins and Cancels Performance ............................................................................................................. 7 Netflix Free Trial Subscribers Performance ...................................................................................................... 8 - Free Trial Subscribers Index................................................................................................................... 8 - Percentage of Free Trial Subscribers Converting to Paying Subscribers ............................................... 8 Plan Chosen by New Subscribers ...................................................................................................................... 9 - Type of Plan New Subscribers Choose .................................................................................................. 9 - Monthly Percentage of Type of Plan Chosen by New Subscribers........................................................ 9 Plan Switching by Existing Subscribers ........................................................................................................... 10 - Monthly Plan Switched Index .............................................................................................................. 10 - Type of Plan Existing Subscribers Switched To from May-July............................................................ 11 - Monthly Percentage of Type of Plan Switched To by Existing Subscribers ........................................ 11 Netflix Top 20 DVD Rentals ................................................................................................................... 12 Netflix Facebook Performance .............................................................................................................. 13 Netflix Twitter Performance ................................................................................................................. 14 Appendix: Netflix Plan Types Defined...................................................................................................... 15 eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 2
  • 3.
    Summary Once the up-and-comingcontender of the DVD rental business, Netflix has changed the home movie market forever. Their once ubiquitous red envelopes were a secret weapon in knocking out the reigning movie rental champion, Blockbuster, and they aggressively pursued flat-rate online streaming for the mass market. Their early gambles paid off, and in early-2012, the company boasted over 24 million U.S. subscribers, and their online streaming service represented over 30% of all U.S. Internet downstream bandwidth traffic during peak periods (October 2011, Sandvine). Despite their enormous success, Netflix has struggled in the past year. In July 2011, Netflix announced a price hike and the split of their online streaming and DVD subscription services. Additionally, they announced they would establish an entirely new brand, Qwikster, to handle the DVD subscription service. Customers were outraged and took to social media to vocalize their discontent. Netflix backtracked, but the damage was done. In the quarter following, Netflix lost over 800,000 subscribers, and, even more dramatically, the stock lost 80% of its value from July 2011 to August 2012. What is happening today? As the world’s largest paid Internet subscription service, it’s worth following closely. This eDataSource report focuses on the details and intricacies of the Netflix business. Through an innovative panel-based process, eDataSource has estimated a wide variety of business indicators, including: - Number of joins and cancels trended over the past year - Overall growth by month (index) - Free trial subscriber acquisition performance and conversion rate to paid - Type of plan chosen by new subscribers - Trend of subscribers switching subscription plans - Top DVD rentals in the past six and three months - Social media performance of Netflix on Facebook and Twitter Please note: this report focuses on the U.S. business only. For more information on eDataSource’s products and services, including customized eCommerce monitoring reports and data, please contact us at sales@edatasource.com, or via phone at 800-761-6580. Visit our website at www.edatasource.com eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 3
  • 4.
    Methodology eDataSource utilizes itsproprietary email analytics capability and a panel of ~800,000 consumers to provide unique insights into consumer purchasing trends by examining online purchase confirmations delivered by email. eDataSource has conducted detailed analyses of the sales and subscription rates at Amazon.com, Walmart.com, iTunes, Barnes & Noble, Netflix, Staples, Office Depot, Gilt, Ideeli, PayPal, OpenTable and others using anonymized data from more than half a million online purchase and subscription confirmations over the past six months. The following Netflix report is based on the analysis of nearly 8,000 anonymized Netflix Join, Cancellation and Account Update emails from eDataSource’s proprietary panel during the May through July 2012 time period. The primary analyses contained in this report include a whole year weekly trend of Netflix joins and cancels, monthly joins and cancel performance, free trial subscription performance, type of plan chosen by new and existing subscribers, top rented movies, as well as Netflix performance on Facebook and Twitter. In order to obtain the conversion rate of free trial subscribers to paid subscribers, we monitored over 1,000 free trial subscribers who joined between April through June and tracked their cancellation date through July. In order to obtain Netflix’s performance on Facebook and Twitter, we utilized our proprietary tool, EDS Analyst, to monitor Netflix’s Facebook and Twitter accounts from May through July 2012. About eDataSource Founded in 2003, eDataSource (www.edatasource.com) is the worldwide leader in competitive intelligence for email, social media and ecommerce activity, based on active monitoring of more than 800,000 consumer inboxes and 9,000 brands. The company provides strategic analytics products and services for online marketers, publishers and their service providers. For more information on eDataSource’s products and services, including customized eCommerce monitoring reports and data, please contact us at sales@edatasource.com, or via phone at 800-761-6580. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 4
  • 5.
    Disclaimer All material containedin this report is property of eDataSource, Inc. (“eDataSource”) unless otherwise indicated. This report is proprietary, confidential and provided for the exclusive use of the recipient. No portion may be directly or indirectly copied, published, reproduced, modified, displayed, sold, transmitted, or redistributed in any medium without the express prior written consent of eDataSource. Any unauthorized use of the content of this report is strictly prohibited. This report is intended for informational purposes only. eDataSource provides the information and data presented herein on an “as is,” “as available” basis, without representations or warranties of any kind whatsoever, expressed or implied. All statements and figures in this report are eDataSource estimates. The information in this report may be incomplete and may not contain all material information relating to the subject matter of the report. eDataSource does not provide any information or make any representation or warranty on behalf of the companies that are the subject of this report and this report has not been authorized or approved by said companies. This report reflects the results of our research as of the date of this report. Our research results are subject to change at any time as new or additional data and information is received and analyzed. eDataSource undertakes no duty to update this report, or to provide supplemental information to any client receiving this report, absent a specific arrangement to the contrary between eDataSource and individual clients, which arrangement may specify different frequency and depth of analysis and update commitments based on levels of service and fees selected by clients. This report is provided solely to clients of eDataSource, each of whom assume all risk and liability with regard to any use or application of the data included herein. In no event shall eDataSource or its officers, directors, affiliates, shareholders or employees be liable for any damages that are directly or indirectly related to this report. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 5
  • 6.
    Netflix Subscriber Acquisition(Weekly Trend) Joins and Cancels Index Price Increase Joins Cancels 2.00 Announcement Directly Sign up for a DVD only plan Redbox price increase Feb, 16 2012 July 12, 2011 1.80 announced and put into effect Oct 31, 2011 Netflix reaches 24MM 1.60 domestic streaming 1.40 members 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 Price increase goes into effect for existing customers. Sept 1 "Apology" 0.40 and Qwikster announcement Have an extra DVD on us 0.20 broadcast to customers. and Give the Gift to Netflix campaigns Sept 18, 2011 Dec 13 & Dec 15 2011 0.00 * Index Baseline: Average number of cancellations for the entire year. Key Announcements July 12, 2011 – “Netflix Raises Price of DVD and Online Movies Package by 60%” (The New York Times). Sep 18, 2011 – “Netflix Apologizes, Renames By-Mail Business 'Qwikster' -- But Keeps Price Hike” (Reuters). Oct 31, 2011 – “Redbox Price Hike Could Dodge Nexflix Outrage” (TheStreet.com). Feb 16, 2012 – “Now You Can Sign Up Directly for a DVD Only Plan” (Netflix US & Canada Blog). July 24, 2012 – Netflix announces “24 million domestic streaming members” eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 6
  • 7.
    Netflix Monthly Joinsand Cancels Performance Monthly Joins and Cancels Index Net Growth Index Joins Cancels 1.40 2.50 1.30 2.23 2.00 1.20 1.10 1.50 1.00 0.90 1.00 0.80 0.69 0.70 0.50 0.60 0.07 0.00 May June July May June July % Change from % Change from Net Growth Joins Index Cancels Index Month Previous Month Previous Month Index May 1.03 -5.8% 1.02 24.8% 0.07 June 1.16 13.1% 0.96 -6.3% 2.23 July 1.08 -6.9% 1.02 6.4% 0.69 Percentage of Joins vs. Cancels % of Joins % of Cancels 100.0% 80.0% 45.2% 47.8% 49.8% 48.5% 60.0% 40.0% 52.2% 50.2% 54.8% 51.5% 20.0% 0.0% May-July May June July For the entire period, Netflix is adding 2.2% more new subscriptions than cancelations. With both higher join rates and lower cancelations, June was the strongest acquisition month of the previous three. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 7
  • 8.
    Netflix Free TrialSubscribers Performance Free Trial Subscriber Index and Conversion Rate 1.20 100.0% 1.15 90.0% 80.0% 1.10 Conversion Rate (%) 70.0% 1.05 60.0% Index 1.00 50.0% 0.95 40.0% 30.0% 0.90 20.0% 0.85 10.0% 0.80 0.0% April May June July Conversion Rate Index Join Month Free Trial Subscriber Index Conversion Rate (%) April 1.04 89.7% May 0.97 86.0% June 1.05 90.4% July 0.94 - Over the previous three months, Netflix has maintained the number of free trials in a relatively tight range of ~+/- 5%, and has maintained a high conversion rate to paying subscribers of between ~85-90%. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 8
  • 9.
    Plan Chosen byNew Subscribers Percentage of Plan Chosen by New Subscribers in May-July 6.04% Unlimited Streaming plan OR 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 93.96% Unlimited Streaming plan OR 1 DVD out Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a- at-a-time (Unlimited) plan time (Unlimited) plan 100.0% 10.0% 98.0% 8.0% 96.0% 6.0% 94.0% 4.0% 92.0% 2.0% 90.0% 0.0% May June July May June July Value ($) Plan May June July May-July Unlimited Streaming plan OR 1 DVD out at-a- $7.99 92.6% 94.8% 94.4% 94.0% time (Unlimited) plan Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time $15.98 7.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.0% (Unlimited) plan New subscribers start out with the basic offered plan--either unlimited streaming or 1 DVD out at- a-time—94% of the time. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 9
  • 10.
    Monthly Plan SwitchedIndex Plan Switched Index 1.20 1.15 1.10 1.05 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 May June July Month Index Growth from Previous Month May 1.08 9.17% June 1.00 -6.87% July 0.92 -8.20% Over the period, the number of subscribers switching their plan has steadily decreased. This is further evidence that Netflix is making headway toward a single, simplified service offering of unlimited online streaming. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 10
  • 11.
    Type of PlanSwitched To by Existing Subscribers Percentage of Plan Switched To in May-July Unlimited Streaming plan 3.0% 11.8% Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 6.0% 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 47.9% Unlimited Streaming + 2 DVDs 6.8% out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 2 DVDs out at-a-time 9.3% (Unlimited) plan 1 DVD out at-a-time (2 a month) plan 15.1% Other Plans Value ($) Plan May June July May-July $7.99 Unlimited Streaming plan 47.3% 53.3% 42.9% 47.9% $15.98 Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 13.0% 15.6% 17.0% 15.1% $7.99 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 9.9% 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% $19.98 Unlimited Streaming + 2 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 6.1% 5.7% 8.9% 6.8% $11.99 2 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan 6.1% 4.1% 8.0% 6.0% $4.99 1 DVD out at-a-time (2 a month) plan 1.5% 1.6% 6.3% 3.0% - Other Plans 16.0% 10.7% 8.0% 11.8% When subscribers switch their plans, nearly 48% opt for unlimited streaming without a DVD component. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 11
  • 12.
    Top 20 DVDRentals Feb-July 2012 May-July 2012 Rank Movie Rank Movie 1 Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol 1 Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol 2 Contagion 2 We Bought a Zoo 3 Tower Heist 3 Tower Heist 4 Real Steel 4 Immortals 5 Hugo 5 The Iron Lady 6 Bridesmaids 6 Abduction 7 We Bought a Zoo 7 Red Tails 8 Immortals 8 Contraband 9 Abduction 9 J. Edgar 10 The Iron Lady 10 Real Steel 11 Drive 11 The Whistleblower 12 Cowboys & Aliens 12 Sherlock Holmes 13 Water for Elephants 13 Hugo 14 50/50 14 Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy 15 The Help 15 Jack and Jill 16 Sherlock Holmes 16 Gone 17 The Ides of March 17 In Time 18 The Descendants 18 Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close 19 Midnight in Paris 19 My Week with Marilyn 20 Friends with Benefits 20 The Smurfs DVD customers gravitated toward big-budget Hollywood action and adventure titles over the past six months with Mission Impossible – Ghost Protocol, Tower Heist, Real Steel, Immortals and Abduction all residing in the top ten for the past three and six months. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 12
  • 13.
    Netflix Performance onFacebook Netflix Facebook Performance 1.40 2000.00 1827.91 Average Number of Likes/Comments 1800.00 1.20 1458.20 1600.00 1.00 1400.00 FB Post Index 0.80 1047.26 1200.00 1000.00 0.60 800.00 0.40 600.00 226.70 400.00 0.20 176.48 120.85 200.00 0.00 0.00 May June July Average Like per Post Average Comment per Post FB Post Index Average Like Average Comment FB Post Index Month per Post per Post May 0.86 1458.20 226.70 June 1.16 1047.26 120.85 July 0.99 1827.91 176.48 Netflix maintains an active Facebook presence. In June, though the number of posts was the highest, the average likes and comments per post fell to their lowest point over the three month period. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 13
  • 14.
    Netflix Performance onTwitter Netflix Twitter Follower Trend 195 Number of Followers (Thousands) 190 185 180 175 170 165 160 155 150 145 Netflix Twitter Performance 1.40 10.00% Monthly Follower Growth (%) 1.20 8.00% 1.00 Tweet Index 0.80 6.00% 0.60 4.00% 0.40 2.00% 0.20 0.00 0.00% May June July Monthly Growth of Twitter Followers (%) Tweet Index Monthly Growth of Tweet Index Month Twitter Followers (%) May 0.90 3.39% June 0.90 4.87% July 1.20 7.32% On Twitter, Netflix showed an accelerated growth of followers, with sequential gains of 3.4% to 4.9% to 7.3% on a monthly basis. eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 14
  • 15.
    Appendix Netflix Plans Defined Monthly Subscription Fee($) Plan $29.98 Unlimited Streaming + 4 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $15.99 3 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $23.98 Unlimited Streaming + 3 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $17.98 Unlimited Streaming + 1 DVD out at-a-time (Unlimited) (including $2.00 for Blu-ray) plan $51.98 Unlimited Streaming + 8 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $22.98 Unlimited Streaming + 2 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) (including $3.00 for Blu-ray) plan $40.98 Unlimited Streaming + 6 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $21.99 4 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $45.98 Unlimited Streaming + 7 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $32.99 6 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $5.99 1 DVD out at-a-time (2 a month) (including $1.00 for Blu-ray) plan $37.99 7 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) plan $52.99 8 DVDs out at-a-time (Unlimited) (including $9.00 for Blu-ray) plan eDataSource Proprietary & Confidential 15