The 21st century has been a tumultuous one for the industrial sector of different countries. The population has seen a slow but a definite rise, so has Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over the past 2 decades. The report below collects and analyses the parameters of the industrial sectors of NAFTA and MERCOSUR countries.
The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was implemented in 1994 to encourage trade between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada. NAFTA reduced or eliminated tariffs on imports and exports between the three participating countries, creating a huge free-trade zone.
MERCOSUR, also known as the Common Market of the South, is a trade bloc agreement that exists between the following South American countries: Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Venezuela. The trade bloc was established under the Treaty of Asuncion in March 1991; it was then expanded under the 1994 Treaty of Ouro Preto, which set up a formal customs union.
The main objective of Mercosur is to bring about the free movement of goods, capital, services, and people among its member states. In addition to the four founding members of Mercosur and Venezuela, there are five countries with associate member status. These countries are Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru. As associate members, they can join free-trade agreements but do not receive the benefits of the customs union.
In the report, we have considered the following variables for analysing the data: 1. Population changes
2. GDP changes
3. Wages changes
4. L changes
5. Femaledistribution
6. Unemploymentrate
Development Economics Assignment (NAFTA + MERCOSUR): A look at the Industrial sector
1. GS F 234 DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS ASSIGNMENT 2021
INDUSTRIAL SECTOR: LABOUR, WAGES, EMPLOYMENT
A FOCUS ON NAFTA AND MERCOSUR COUNTRIES:
(USA - BRAZIL - CANADA - PERU - MEXICO - CHILE)
TEAM MEMBERS: ID NO.
PRAYAG MOHANTY 2020A3PS0566G
ANISH DHAIMODKAR 2020B3PS0563G
SAYANTAN KARMAKAR 2020A1PS1925G
2. INTRODUCTION:
The 21st century has been a tumultuous one for the industrial sector of different countries.
The population has seen a slow but a definite rise, so has Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
over the past 2 decades. The report below collects and analyses the parameters of the
industrial sectors of NAFTA and MERCOSUR countries.
The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was implemented in 1994 to
encourage trade between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada. NAFTA reduced or eliminated tariffs
on imports and exports between the three participating countries, creating a huge
free-trade zone.
MERCOSUR, also known as the Common Market of the South, is a trade bloc agreement
that exists between the following South American countries: Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay,
Uruguay, and Venezuela. The trade bloc was established under the Treaty of Asuncion in
March 1991; it was then expanded under the 1994 Treaty of Ouro Preto, which set up a
formal customs union.
The main objective of Mercosur is to bring about the free movement of goods, capital,
services, and people among its member states. In addition to the four founding members of
Mercosur and Venezuela, there are five countries with associate member status. These
countries are Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru. As associate members, they can
join free-trade agreements but do not receive the benefits of the customs union.
In the report, we have considered the following variables for analysing the data:
1. Population changes
2. GDP changes
3. Wages changes
4. L changes
5. Female distribution
6. Unemployment rate
3. 1.Population (in millions)
● There has been an increase in population among all the countries, with a significant rise in the USA,
Brazil, Mexico.
● Mexico had the fastest average growth rate of 1.33% over the time period of 2000-2020 and the
USA has the lowest with 0.78%
● USA, Brazil, Mexico have populations of more than 100 million while Canada, Peru, Chile have
populations of less than 50 million.
● From Fig.1.2, the people involved in the Labour force of the periodUSA are similar/larger than the
total population of the other 5 countries.
4. 2.GDP (in billions)
● There has been positive growth in the GDP for the above countries, over the last 2 decades.
● Peru had the highest average GDP growth over the period with an average growth of 7.38% whereas
Mexico had the lowest with 2.56%.
● Between 2007-2009, there’s a dip in the GDP curve in all countries except the USA. This can be
attributed to the Great Recession, where due to decreased demand in the market, the GDP
contracted.
● The GDPs of all the countries contracted in 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic with the highest
contraction of 23.06% recorded by Brazil. The USA wasn’t affected much and had the least
contraction of 2.3%.
3.Avg. income per month (in US $)
● The USA has the highest average income per month while Peru has the lowest. Peru’s
economy has a subsistence wage per person.
● Canada has a high avg. income despite its comparatively low population. They have the
potential to save and invest.
● Chile, Mexico, and Brazil have monthly wages close to $1000.
● Developed nations have a higher avg. income (>$3,000)
● Developing countries have monthly wages of around $1000.
5. 4.Labor force participation rate, total (% of total population ages
15+) (modeled ILO estimate)
● Labour participation rate indicates working people, both employed and unemployed. It is
closely related to the employment rate in this case.
● Peru has a high employment % with respect to population A number of FTAs with the USA,
China were signed during the period as well.
● The USA, Peru, Canada, and Brazil have an employment rate of around 60%.
6. 5.Labor force, female (% of total labor force)
● All countries have women’s representation in labor force, less than 50%, though Canada has
close to 50%
● Mexico lags behind in female employment but has seen a growth of 15%.
● Chile has seen the highest growth over the 2 decades
● Developing countries have seen a significant rise in female labor employment. This can be
attributed to changing mindsets, reforms, etc.
7. 6.Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (modeled ILO estimate)
● The unemployment rate for the countries peaked during 2008-9 due to the Great Recession,
decrease in demand.
● Except for Brazil, every country’s unemployment rate was below 10% before the coronavirus
pandemic.
● COVID-19 in 2020, spiked the unemployment rates with people losing jobs, businesses having
less demand.
● Brazil’s devastating recession from late 2014 through the end of 2016 led to a decline in
formal job creation which led to an increased duration of unemployment, and a rise in
underemployment and precarious forms of work.
8. INTERPRETATIONS:
● With a high population in the workforce and a high avg.wage, the USA has a higher production
function.
● Despite it’s low population Canada has a $1.6 billion economy due to high avg. wage, more
opportunities to the women population.
● Brazil is reeling under the aftermath of it’s recession with high unemployment,low wages
despite it’s huge workforce %.
● Mexico has a sizable workforce but is a changing traditional-to-developing economy with an
increase in women in the labour market.
● Peru is still a traditional economy with high employment rate with subsistence wages resulting
in $250 million GDP
● Chile has a comparatively less population, has moderate wages and has seen a boom in
employing women labour. It suffers from unemployment due to many factors including
recession,pandemic etc.
APPENDIX
Population (in millions)
Year USA Brazil Mexico Canada Peru Chile
2000 282162411 174790340 98899845 30685730 26459944 15342350
2001 284968955 177196054 100298152 31020902 26799289 15516112
2002 287625193 179537520 101684764 31360079 27100964 15684413
2003 290107933 181809246 103081020 31644028 27372217 15849649
2004 292805298 184006481 104514934 31940655 27624226 16014972
2005 295516599 186127103 106005199 32243753 27866140 16182713
2006 298379912 188167356 107560155 32571174 28102055 16354507
2007 301231207 190130443 109170503 32889025 28333050 16530201
2008 304093966 192030362 110815272 33247118 28562321 16708255
2009 306771529 193886508 112463886 33628895 28792663 16886184
2010 309327143 195713635 114092961 34004889 29027680 17062531
2011 311583481 197514536 115695468 34339328 29264314 17233584
2012 313877662 199287299 117274156 34714222 29506790 17400359
2013 316059947 201035912 118827158 35082954 29773986 17571511
2014 318386329 202763739 120355137 35437435 30090372 17758969
2015 320738994 204471769 121858251 35702908 30470739 17969356
2016 323071755 206163053 123333379 36109487 30926036 18209072