The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX. It includes technical analysis and commentary on various currency pairs including AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. It also includes economic data and events from Asia and details on movements in stock markets, commodities, and bonds. The report finds the US dollar weakened after dovish FOMC minutes while Asian stocks rose and gold hovered around $1,790. Technical analysis on currency pairs provides support and resistance levels and trade ideas based on 1 hour charts.

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14 October 2021
Daily Analysis Report

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Asian Bulle n: U.S. Dollar weakens sharply against major peers a er dovish FOMC Mee ng Minutes, Asian stock markets in green, gold hovers around $1,790 mark
Key Headlines:
• U.K. House Price Balance stands at 68 pct vs 72 pct previous release.
• Australia MI Infla on expecta ons stand at 3.6 pct vs 4.4 pct previous release.
• Australia Employment Change stands at -138.0K vs -146.3K previous release.
• Australia Unemployment Rate stands at 4.6 pct vs 4.5 pct previous release.
• China CPI stands at 0.7 pct vs 0.8 pct previous release.
• China PPI stands at 10.7 pct vs 9.5 pct previous release.
• Fed Minutes - Various par cipants stressed that economic condi ons were likely to jus fy keeping the rate at or near its lower bound over the next couple of
years.
• Fed Minutes - Par cipants largely agreed that, as long as the economic recovery stayed on pace, a gradual tapering procedure ending around the middle of
next year would be acceptable.
• Fed Minutes - Tapering could begin in mid-November or mid-December.
• Fed Minutes - Some of these par cipants saw infla on as likely to remain elevated in 2022 with risks to the upside.
• Fed Minutes - Par cipants expressed concern that infla on will last longer than predicted, par cularly if labor and other supply shortages proved more
persistent than currently an cipated.
• Fed Minutes - Various par cipants suggested that a complete return to pre-pandemic labor market condi ons was unlikely.
• Fed Minutes - Tapering process could see a monthly reduc on of $10 billion in Treasuries and $5 billion in mortgage - backed securi es.
• Fed Minutes - Officials at the mee ng expressed concern about infla on, saying it could last longer “than they currently assumed.”
• The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended higher on Wednesday, led by gains in shares of big growth names like Amazon.com and Microso , but JPMorgan shares fell
along with other bank shares and weighed on the market – Reuters.
• Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said Wednesday that U.S. financial regulators will seek to improve Na ve American communi es' access to credit –
Reuters.
• The United States plans to hold up to seven offshore wind auc ons in the next four years and will extend its ambi ons to areas that have yet to be developed
such as off the coast of California and in the Gulf of Mexico, a Biden administra on official said on Wednesday – Reuters.
• Mixing booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines currently authorized in the United States was found to be safe in adults, a study by the Na onal Ins tutes of
Health showed on Wednesday – Reuters.
• The Pan American Health Organiza on (PAHO) said on Wednesday that COVID-19 cases are dropping overall in North America but remain high in the American
Midwest, Alaska, and Canada's Northwest Territories, where infec on rates are 10 mes the na onal average – Reuters.
Economic Data Ahead:
• (0630 GMT/1200 IST) Swiss PPI, previous 0.7, expected 0.9.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. PPI, previous 0.7, expected 0.6.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Core PPI, previous 0.6, expected 0.5.
• (1230 GMT/1800 IST) U.S. Unemployment Claims Weekly, previous 326K, expected 315K.
Economic Events Ahead:
• (0830 GMT/1400 IST) BOE Credit Condi on Survey.
• (1400 GMT/1930 IST) U.S. FOMC member Bos c Speaks.
• (1700 GMT/2230 IST) U.S. FOMC member Barkin Speaks.
Major FX Pair Trend:
USD: The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.05% to 94.03 points.

3. AUD / USD
BUY SELL
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OCTOBER,
2021
Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
0.7390
R2 S2
0.7422
R3 S3
0.7450
R4
Commentary
S4
0.7476
Buy Above 0.7399
0.7432
0.7365
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 0.7368
0.7340
0.7399
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
AUD/USD: The Aussie remains almost unchanged after mixed employment change results and
stabilizes below $0.74 mark. It made intraday high at $0.7394 and low at $0.7370 mark.Aday chart is
likely to crossover for the bullish trend confirmation and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests slightly up
trend for the time being. A sustained close above $0.7390 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally.
Alternatively, a consistent close below $0.7370 will check further supports.
0.7370
0.7337
0.7310
0.7280

4. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.1638
R2 S2
1.1672
R3 S3
1.1705
R4
Commentary
S4
1.1738
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-
Time Frame: H1
EUR/USD: The Euro trades in narrow range on Thursday and hovers around $1.1600 mark. Today
pair made intraday high at $1.1601 and low at $1.1587. Today triple EMA on a day chart is down and
H1 chart suggest up trend for the time being. A consistent close above $1.1599 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a sustained close below $1.1570 on H1 chart will check further
supports.
EUR / USD
1.1570
1.1532
1.1502
1.1480
Buy Above 1.1602
1.1632
1.1574
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.1568
1.1538
1.1594
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021

5. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
H 1
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.3672
R2 S2
1.3715
R3 S3
1.3740
R4
Commentary
S4
1.3768
Buy Above 1.3680
1.3718
1.3655
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.3652
1.3627
1.3682
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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-
Time Frame: H1
GBP/USD: The sterling trades noticeably higher on Thursday and trading around $1.3670 mark.
Today pair made intraday high at $1.3672 and low at $1.3653 mark.Aday chart is down and H1 chart
with triple EMA suggest up trend for the time being. A sustained close above $1.3672 on H1 chart will
check key resistances.Alternatively, a consistent close below $1.3620 will check further supports.
USD
1.3620
1.3590
1.3570
1.3532
GBP/
Trends Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
OCTOBER,
2021

6. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trends Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1.2450
R2 S2
1.2478
R3 S3
1.2510
R4
Commentary
S4
1.2532
Buy Above 1.2450
1.2477
1.2425
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1.2422
1.2390
1.2452
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar rises sharply against U.S. dollar and remains well supported below
1.2450 mark. The pair made intraday high at 1.2445 and low at 1.2423 mark. Today a day chart and
H1 chart with triple EMAsuggests bearish trend for the time being.Asustained close above 1.2450 on
H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.2420 on H1 chart will
check key supports too.
USD /CAD
1.2420
1.2390
1.2365
1.2337
OCTOBER,
2021

7. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Up Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Above MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Above RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
113.68
R2 S2
113.94
R3 S3
114.26
R4
Commentary
S4
114.62
Buy Above 113.70
114.03
113.40
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 113.21
112.88
113.52
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
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Time Frame: H1
USD/JPY: The Japanese yen moves in stiff boundaries on Thursday and hovers around 113.50 mark.
The pair made intraday high at 113.54 and low at 113.21 mark. The triple EMA on a day chart and H1
chart suggests bullish trend for the time being. A sustained close above 113.68 on H1 chart requires
for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below 113.21 on H1 chart will check further key
supports.
USD /JPY
113.21
112.80
112.38
112.15
OCTOBER,
2021

8. BUY SELL
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Technical Summary
Trend Down Trend
Moving Average (Period=75) Below MA
H 1
RSI (Period=26) Below RSI LEVEL 50
FIBO Levels PIVOT
R1 S1
1799
R2 S2
1804
R3 S3
1809
R4
Commentary
S4
1815
Buy Above 1796
1804
1790
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
Sell Below 1781
1775
1788
– Take Profit
– Stop Loss
Trade Idea
+1 7754 366 970
analysis@tpglobalfx.com
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Time Frame: H1
XAU/USD (GOLD): Gold spiked up sharply in previous session after U.S. Inflation and FOMC
Meeting minutes. Today pair made intraday high at $1,793 and low at $1,786 mark. A day chart is
down and H1 chart with triple EMA suggests up trend for the time being. A sustained close above
$1,794 on H1 chart requires for the upside rally. Alternatively, a consistent close below $1,778 will
check further supports. Later today U.S. PPI, Core PPI results will remain in Focus for the further
directions.
XAU [GOLD]
USD
/
1778
1772
1764
1757
OCTOBER,
2021

9. Thank
you!
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